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ATP Stuttgart
S. Johnson Vs M. Marterer - Under 21.5 games 21/20 Skybet
Back on the grass and Johnson with his serve should win this match 2-0. I'm going to take the rather nice price of under 22 games here. You would expect Johnson to win each set with a break and not need any tie-breaks. Max Marterer hasn't even played a grass match since 2015 by the looks of it. He lost that match in straight sets 2-0 to Maurer.
 

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Lion Challenger

Maxime Chazal - De Greef 3.70 Pinnacle

Chazal is playing his best tennis in the last few years. He is a typical clay court player, who is residing in France. I like very much De Greef style, but he isn't on form. Managed to beat an injured opponent in the previous round making untypical big number of UE.

Krejsova - Tsurenko 6.00 Matchbook

The odds are because of the big difference in the rating, but actually on grass the difference is not so big. Tsurenko strarted very strong here. She won just two matches on grass for the last two years loosing from the likes of Rodina, Hradecka, Hlavackova and Erakovic. The Ukrainian beauty improved a lot, but still I am not sure if her power play will be enough. Krejsova is on her best career run. SHe already won two ITF tournaments this year and played two more finals. She just beat Jankovic (Out of form) and has a good run from the qualifications. I see her the odds for Krejsova around 4 - 4.50 and I see some value at 6.00 (Actually I already match some bugs them 6.50)

 

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15 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

McHale - Sevastova :loon Your typical WTA match.

But Christina Mchale won in the end and I backed you on that one. Thanks for the tip!

Today there was a non-typical WTA match between Camila Giorgi and Carina Witthoeft because there where only one break of serve during the hole match and it went to Carina who went on to win the match.

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Czech I've got a fivefold on Paddypower I wonder how I should do with. It's Carina Witthoeft at 2.10 and that one is finished, Magdalena Rybarikova (over Alison Riske) at 1.66, Alexandr Dolgopolov (over Vasek Pospisil) at 1.80, Thanasi Kokkinakis (over Daniil Medvedev) at 2.25 and last Feliciano Lopez to win in straight sets (over Jeremy Chardy) at 2.50.

Should I close the bet while it stands on double money from what I staked and bet on Magda Linette or have it open and see if I win on the remaining four tomorrow?

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Thanasi Kokkinakis to beat Daniil Medvedev at 2.25 with Paddypower

Thanasi can win this as I believe he is a better player then Daniil who isn't in form either and Thanasi badly needs the ranking points. For Daniil, beating a bad grassplayer as Robin Haase in three sets doesn't count to me. Thanasis win over Mikhail Youzhny doesn't count either since the russian is in really bad form for many months now but what counts is the talent which Thanasi has and I think he's got more talent than Daniil. Thanasi also has come back quite strong by taking a set off Kei Nishikori in RG and he played really well then. As I see it this is a 50/50 matchup so I'm going with the underdog who badly needs every win he can get on his protected ranking.

Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Alison Riske at 1.66 with Paddypower

Head-to-head reads 2-0 for Magdalena and form is also on her side. Alison plays only her second match of the season on grass and she will have problems with this in form opponent. Magdalena is 17-1 in her last 18 matches and has only dropped 3 sets along the way. Two of the sets she lost where in her loss to Mariana Duque Mariño in Roland Garros and clay isn't her best surface anyway. 

Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Vasek Pospisil at 1.72 with Paddypower

Alexandr does have more in store for this tournament I believe as he's played well enough to reach a quarter final. He's beaten Vasek before on hard in Acapulco 2014 by 6-2 6-2 and can undoubtly do it again. Even though the surface will give Vasek a good chance to hold his serve until tie-break or break of serve and not get broken back this is a match Alexandr can win even if he drops a set somehow.

Feliciano Lopez to beat (-1.5 sets) Jeremy Chardy at 2.37 with Paddypower

They've met once on grass in Eastbourne and that time Feli won in straight sets and he showed here that he's dangerous enough on grass again by beating Gilles Simon by 6-3 6-3. Feli hasn't had any greater season so far but grass is always a surface that can give him momentum and some good ranking points. Hoping for Feli to catch some grassform and to win this in straight sets as it is the most logical bet to be taken even though Jeremy served excellent in his last match against Flo Mayer.

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Rus - Hlavachkova 2.25 Matchbook

Rus always has been great talent  with huge serve. I can't understand why she is not able to break for a long time at Top 100. She showed very good tennis against Babos and her strong serve. She proved her 

Now her next opponent is a double specialist. Hlavachkova beat three opponents, who are not in best shape. She played a lot of games, including her doubles game. Rus has the edge here and those odds are pretty nice to be missed. 

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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Cheers, thinking about backing Hlavackova as well.

We will see tomorrow. Got a feeling that Rus is capable to make a strong tournament here

Wickmayer - Konta 4.08 Pinnacle

Wickmayer is 1:2 in H2H, but she won the last match on grass in two sets. Both are doubles partners so know each other very well the strong and weak sides of the game. Konta is in kind of hole currently. Not sure she is recovered after awful clay season. She started with a win over out of form and injured oponent. Wickmayer was very strong in her serve games in the first match so I am sure she will be a decent hurdle. Lovely odds.I wouldn't give more than 2.75 to Wickmayer in this match.

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It's not about that point, it's about the fact that he should've been able to end the match in two sets, he was outplaying Pouille quite comfortably until the decider. I was seriously considering backing him outright instead of the handicap, but then I remembered how poor he is under pressure. I mean, he's yet to reach the third round of a Grand Slam, only three R2 appearances - mental demons I reckon.

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9 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Thanasi Kokkinakis to beat Daniil Medvedev at 2.25 with Paddypower

Thanasi can win this as I believe he is a better player then Daniil who isn't in form either and Thanasi badly needs the ranking points. For Daniil, beating a bad grassplayer as Robin Haase in three sets doesn't count to me. Thanasis win over Mikhail Youzhny doesn't count either since the russian is in really bad form for many months now but what counts is the talent which Thanasi has and I think he's got more talent than Daniil. Thanasi also has come back quite strong by taking a set off Kei Nishikori in RG and he played really well then. As I see it this is a 50/50 matchup so I'm going with the underdog who badly needs every win he can get on his protected ranking.

Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Alison Riske at 1.66 with Paddypower

Head-to-head reads 2-0 for Magdalena and form is also on her side. Alison plays only her second match of the season on grass and she will have problems with this in form opponent. Magdalena is 17-1 in her last 18 matches and has only dropped 3 sets along the way. Two of the sets she lost where in her loss to Mariana Duque Mariño in Roland Garros and clay isn't her best surface anyway. 

Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Vasek Pospisil at 1.72 with Paddypower

Alexandr does have more in store for this tournament I believe as he's played well enough to reach a quarter final. He's beaten Vasek before on hard in Acapulco 2014 by 6-2 6-2 and can undoubtly do it again. Even though the surface will give Vasek a good chance to hold his serve until tie-break or break of serve and not get broken back this is a match Alexandr can win even if he drops a set somehow.

Feliciano Lopez to beat (-1.5 sets) Jeremy Chardy at 2.37 with Paddypower

They've met once on grass in Eastbourne and that time Feli won in straight sets and he showed here that he's dangerous enough on grass again by beating Gilles Simon by 6-3 6-3. Feli hasn't had any greater season so far but grass is always a surface that can give him momentum and some good ranking points. Hoping for Feli to catch some grassform and to win this in straight sets as it is the most logical bet to be taken even though Jeremy served excellent in his last match against Flo Mayer.

I just thought it necessary to add what I consider a valuable contribution to your picks as they stand. I am believing that you will add this advice to your bank of experience for future battles. Firstly you need to be aware of the general format of this indulgence to even have a chance of surviving in it. To put it simply, it surpasses intellectual capacities and human wisdom, an indulgence predicated on demonic sequences codes and invincible manipulations not detectable by the mere senses. You will be amazed about some key things that I could reveal to you in 30minutes over a cup of tea that will leave you gobsmacked. I will leave that for now and address the issue at hand.

Firstly as a matter of good principle, you must never play accumulators that are a mixture of today and tomorrow's games. Such an accumulator is bound to fail 9 times out of 10 for definite. That is one of the greatest manipulations of the game that people fall into so easily because they are not aware of the existence of these supernatural demonic codes in play. For anyone reading who thinks I am just ranting on, how many times in your long indulgence in this game have you won with a last selection to be completed the next day. Answer? Very rare.  How many times do you always lose out by the one selection by what seems a little margin? That happens to everybody(losing by one selection 99%of the times because of these invincible codes in play)

Another top manipulative strategy has to do with offers. Offers are to enslave and police your thought process. Once you digest it on any level you are hooked. You must learn by default to always accept the first reasonable offer that gives you your money back and any little extra. Any attempt to consider your position on an offer  based on human wisdom is folly and destructive. Your first principle should be always to protect your investment no matter how much. The right choice only comes once to your memory and briefly so, and you always have to be tough and hard-willed to act on it.

Your first thought to take the initial offer was the right one and I say this with 99% certainty even without the matches played yet. In my opinion it will clearly appear that you have forfeited your chance to make the little profit if you failed to take the offer. I will be totally shocked if your remaining games all make it. Infact where I was initially worried about  Pospisil vs Dolgopolov, I now feel confident on a Pospisil victory having been conversant with these situations too many times. I have chosen that over the  Kokkinakis match, both of which one is primed to give birth to a loser. My pick based on this situation? Pospisil to beat Dolgopolov.   Good luck everyone!!!

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Back Maria Sakkari (+3.5) to beat Donna Vekic at 1.85 with Unibet

Sakkari seems to be the conwoman in Nottingham right now, having escaped against both Christina McHale and Jana Cepelova. Such comebacks give players a lot of confidence, which is something we're seeing time and time again, so I think she could do quite some damage against Vekic, who's having a very lukewarm season by all kinds of imaginable standards. Sakkari has already beaten her once this year - and I think that she'll be very competitive yet again.

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