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Zilzalian
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Posts
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Posts posted by Zilzalian
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23 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
One Trixie at Newbury today
2.30 Scarlet Dragon £2 win at 9/2
4.15 Dbai £2 win at 4.6
5.20 Inclyne £2 win at 4.8One £1 Trixie = £4 = poss return of £145.67
Other equaliser bets:
2.10 Ayr Gumdrop £1.20 win at 5/1
2.10 Ayr Nastase 70p win at 12/12.45 Ayr Queen Of Rio 70p win at 12/1
3.55 Ayr Flying Pursuit £1.20 at 8/1
Total Multiples = £4
Total win bets = £9.80
My pic of the Napster tips (so Far)
3.40 Chantilly Jubilation 70p win at 14/1
3.55 Ayr Abstemious 70p win at 14/1
Only spent £1.40 so far but not all of my selected members have posted up yet
= Total so far = £15.20
Back later
4.55 Ayr Strong Steps 30p win at 28/1
5.25 Ayr Chinese Spirit 45p win at 20/1
Total £2.15 on Napster picks
Total stakes so far £15.95
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Another blank day. Nastase was a bit unlucky to be beaten a neck and Dbai should have won but got into traffic problems about three times during the race. I sometimes wonder why I put money on top jockey's mounts.
Anyway multiples showed a loss of £4 so the balance c/fwd is £674.69 (£800 Bank).
The singles produced a loss of £11.95 hence the balance c/fwd is now £275.38 (Bank £400)
Loads of class racing later on at Ayr, Newbury and Newmarket. Should be another day of Covid free armchair fun
Forgot to mention that I am now keeping a memo and running total of my pick of the Napsters selections. I haven't scored so far and the negative balance after 3 days is - £8.40. My strategy is to select the best tips from the most of the in form napsters for the month. However, the minimum odds I take is 7/2 and I quite often choose to back outsiders. This means that there will be days when nothing comes together but hopefully over a period of time these wil be profitable ?
interesting , Let me know how u get on with your napsters choices. was thinking of doing something similar, on the basis of a lucky 15 but consecutive runs seem a bit inconsistent and quite rare.
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1 hour ago, The Equaliser said:
No worries, it is the bane of my life trying to work out if a horse, especially a favourite, will give its true expected running in a race.
To be honest imo it dont matter. what i prefer to do is look at the winner if it beat my selection in a good time like plainchant did and by the distance it did i find its usually one to note this only applies in pattern races i rarely do it in handicaps. As a little experiment lets see where this plainchant ends up.
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5:35 Newmarket Geranium 8/1 bet365
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9 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
I've lumped on your nap Jubilation. Well put 70p win on at 14/1. I suspect that @MCLARKE may have a different view with regard to the odds on Legal Attack. Good luck anyway
Mine was quite disappointing but i think i called legal attack right it was beaten 5 lengths one good thing tho the winner Plainchant needs going into a few notebooks it was by far the quickest horse at the meeting putting in an exceptional time.
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Away from Ayr thoughts from this quarter...There is a race in france today (3:40 chantilly) Legal Attack (crisford n crisford) even if this horse wins by 10 lengths its got to be the worst value/price (4/5) i have come across all year i was actually going to post this last night when it was 11/8 My figures don't even put it in 1st 3.
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3:40 Chantilly, Jubilation 11/1 bet365
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Apologies! i just noticed i cant quote skybet so Ayr 4:30 with respect 9/1 betfred
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4:30 Ayr with respect 12/1 skybet
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3:10 A La Voile 10/1 bet365
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winners a winner sometimes you need to pic one of these just to get back in the winning habit
bummer if it loses though.
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1:00 Yarmouth Cubswin 10/1 bet365 shovelling it on a horse that wont know its got a jockey on.
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4:25 Lingfield Smiley Bagel 20/1 (previous selection is a NR)
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3:05 Bath Gordonstoun 7/1 bet365
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Revision 2:25 Donc Konchek 14/1 bet365, (I put the wrong price in)
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2:25 Donc Konchek 12/1 bet365
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2:40 Donc. Peroto 20/1 bet365
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1 hour ago, The Equaliser said:
Very well done. After the horse won I knew that I had seen it mentioned somewhere. 22/1 should put you right up there in with a shout at winning the naps comp this month ?
Cheers. Going for the hatrick of biggie prices tomorrow lol
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Time and time again I have watched Jason Watson get it all wrong in a race, he may now understand why he has lost rides to Holly Doyle and others. Anyone else have an opinion?
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2:25 Kempton Kings Slipper 25/1 bet365
- BillyHills, BBBC and LeMale
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3
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4:10 Newcastle Sincerity 14/1 bet365
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3:20 leic Thrave 18/1 bet365
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Maybe but Pinutabo is now a quirky 3year old, looks like Siskin has its problems too. This from a bloke who follows Fabre blindly and deserted him today just because of the price of Siskin was too big to leave, you may call me a nob head for not thinking 8/1 was a huge price for Persian King and you would be correct. but we are all good after the race lol.
Naps - Sunday September 20th
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
3:00 Chelm Firepower 12/1 bet365