BBBC

Bit dramatic but a win is a win ...67pts pts profit I'll keep 2 running totals ....total profit and a running total including stakes and profit cos if I can bet 20 or 30pts each week and use same money plus profit to pay for an exotic hol I'd still call that a win win 
Total profit 67pts ......total including returned stakes  78pts .....start again next week 
Horses finished 1st and 4th ...not bad 

A great start to the season with a winning tip and a superb performance as well. He galloped them silly and despite jumping out to his left pretty badly at some fences the result was never really in too much doubt. This effort clearly backed up his 3 pointing victories and he is a very good horse. His trainer was quoted after the race though that Cheltenham 2020 might be a year too soon for him and I have to say at this stage I agree with him. Obviously he needs to go left handed, but I still worry about his jumping which was pretty bold at times and I can just see him coming to grief at the fence coming down the hill. Despite his age he is unexposed and as I said in the preview he had only had 3 runs over fences prior to today so there is plenty of scope for improvement to come as he gets more experience. It also suggests to me that he thinks Hazel Hill is a better horse at this stage. Speaking of which it is worth remembering he was really patient with Hazel Hill so it is no surprise to see him talking about doing the same here. For me there are two races I would target. First would be the Walrus at Haydock where the ground is often testing and as he proved at Ffos Las that would hold no worries for him. The 2nd, and it seems odd talking about the last day of the season on the first day, would be the Stratford Foxhunters. Stratford suits front runners and it would be a good building block on the way to the 2021 Foxhunters. He is 12/1 for this year's renewal and needless to say that doesn't appeal at this stage given the doubt about him actually running in the race.
Bishops Road finished 2nd and it was a good effort from him. It clearly wasn't as good as the Cheltenham win, but it did suggest he can add to that victory at some point this season. 
I know it might seem a slightly odd thing to say, but I do love to find horses who could be possible winners of the 4m race on Cheltenham Hunter Chase night and given my record in that race it is something I am good at doing. Mustmeetalady goes straight to the top of this year's shortlist as he was outpaced as I thought he might be round here, but he stayed on really well and nearly got 2nd. It was a better effort than I thought he would do and he looks the perfect horse for that contest in May.
I reckon Captain Cattistock will win the Fontwell hunter chase next month. Maxwell usually runs something in it and it is usually a small uncompetitive field. This was too sharp a track and trip for him and given his good run in the Southern National we know he handles Fontwell and the longer trip will also suit him there. He clearly performed well below his handicap mark here though.
Buck Dancing was outclassed although I don't think he enjoyed the ground and he is better than this. If Leicester has decent ground at the end of next month then I reckon connections should target the decent hunter chase there as that could be a realistic target. I guess they might also look at Aintree for a spin round.
Ultragold is going to struggle to even qualify for Aintree on this running and he would make little appeal going forward.
The next race is Ludlow a week on Thursday.

I had hoped that Wishing And Hoping would drift back out and he has as the money has come for Bishops Road so I am happy to put him up at 2/1.
Wishing And Hoping 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365 and pretty much everyone else.

Lovely two winners !!! 

Congrats as that is some system giving you 1st, 2nd and 3rd!!

1845 Battle of Marathon ew 16/1 @ skybet

1845 Battle of Marathon ew 16/1 @ skybet

17:15 Wolverhampton, International Law @ 7 at Bet365

Definitely on ice ...about 110 pts returned 

Not sure where to post this or if its just me (and not everyone) but my Hills account had a message saying that bog is only going to apply from 10am from the 1st of December. Obv knock on for the naps competition

1700 Chelmsford Kerrera 
Bet365 20/1
ty

Chelmsford 5.00 KERRERA 22/1 bet365 bog

First winner in 83 days

1510 Kempton Muthabir ew 40/1 @ Hills

I had picked this out as well, last night. Got on this morning but Hugh Taylor's column has now destroyed the price

You do seem to do quite well. 
I do think it's essential though to keep records. I used to think I was doing well until I started keeping records and then realised I was actually losing a small amount. I then went through my records and analysed why some horses won and some lost and after that I started making consistent profits.
Easy for me to say I suppose, I am now retired. I do remember those times when I worked 6 days a week, 12 hours a day.

Thanks for all the hard work involved @BillyHills

I don't no ....I know I should do but it takes a lot of time to rate and with work crazy this time of year for instance I'm working next 6 days straight ...time is precious to me ...that's why I have to post early sometimes or I won't get chance otherwise....there are races I just don't get time to post like I had a 12/1 winner on all weather last night but had no chance to post ..I do quite well though ..and I'm currently testing something else that could make my ratings a thing of past ....in 7 races it's won 5 ...one was 50/1 And 1000/1 forecast ...and i know anyone can say that but my close friends are following test stage and know its true including one off forum .....but it's early days so lots more testing to do yet ....just need time !!

2nd is the trick - well done Gazza!

Haydock 2:25 Stoney Mountain - 16/1 betvictor e/w thanks 

Stoney Mountain - from Henry Daly yard the 3yo has been a winner of three hurdle races and two NH flat races from 2m to 2m 4f on ground varying from good to heavy. He had a summer break of 226 days before coming out 27 days ago at Aintree 2m 4f soft hcp hurdle when he won by 0.5 lengths and was running on after last and could well be in hunt today going up to 3m today as was 3rd here last February over C&D, the yard bring Tom O'Brien in saddle for first time

225 Haydock
Trends:
9/10 Aged 6 or below
We lose Sykes, Flash The Steel, Potters Corner, Man Of Plenty
8/10 Rated 143 or lower
All qualify
6/10 Ran before this season
We lose Umbrigado, Mega Yeats, Ask Ben, Highland Hunter, 
8/12 first 3 last time
We lose Echiquier, Breaking Waves, Loisduin Bhearna, Tedham
12/12 Ran no more than twice this season
We lose Diomede Des Mottes, Sirobbie
10/12 Not won at 3m before (6 never ran at 3m)
We lose Eight And Bob, Lisnagar Oscar
Selections
1pt EW Stoney Mountain 14/1 Ladbrokes
1pt EW Acey Milan 14/1 Coral

Results

 

That'll do nicely ...about 97 -100 pts returned 

Doesnt seem that complicated to me ...If your betting below the threshold 9/2 ..11/2 etc then all your doing is limiting losses unless the horse wins ....so that ew part  bet in essence never has a chance to return a profit even before the race is run whereas a bet over the threshold always does and therefore gives you 2 rolls of the dice every time.......as a loss limiter it has it's merits but then it comes down to how often your horses win and place long term as a couple of non places and you can quickly find yourself in the red 

1400 Exeter Find us at gorcombe ew 20/1 @ Betway
Almost tempted not to do this as its drifted so badly but i can't resist the perceived value.
Last win was impressive but up 9lb. Bryony Frost last winning rider is now on the favourite. Still I don't have it as large as a 20/1 shot. Not relevant for this competition but lots of bookies are doing 4 places 1/5 as well if you fancy a dabble