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Betvictor Gold Cup/ Greatwood Hurdle - Sat/Sun


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  • BillyHills changed the title to Betvictor Gold Cup/ Greatwood Hurdle - Sat/Sun

Two big betting handicaps at Cheltenham this weekend

The Betvictor Gold Cup on Saturday followed by the Greatwood Hurdle on Sunday

 

225 Sat:
2m4f (2m4f44y) (Old) BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2019-11-12 at 10.57.43.png

Trends
10/10 Aged 9 or under (18/22 8 or under)
8/10 Carried less than 11st 8lbs
7/10 Rated 145 or more
6/10 Had a prep run this season (20/22 Had no more than 1 run)
15/22 Placed first 4 last time (8 won)
14/22 First 6 in betting
22/22 Had won at 2m4 previously (or 2m 3.5f)

______________________________________________________________

 

300 Sun:
2m½f (2m87y) (Old) Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2019-11-12 at 10.57.48.png

Trends
9/10 Aged 6 or less
7/10 Carried less than 11st 9lbs
7/10 Rated over 140
15/22 Ran within 60 days (4/5 ran within a month)
17/22 placed last time (9 won)
17/22 First 6 in betting
18/22 Ran once or making debut this season

 

 

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Key Trends:

  • 20/20 had won at least 1 of it last 6 races
  • 20/20 had won over 2m3.5f+
  • 20/20 had previously finished in the top 6 at Cheltenham
  • 20/20 had won no more than 5 handicap chases
  • 19/19 had run no more than 18 times over fences

"Secondary" Trends (trends not met by all recent winners):

  • 19/20 had been French or Irish bred
  • 19/20 had won 20%+ (1 in 5) of its runs over fences
  • 19/20 had won a class 2+ race

Shortlist of 4:

  • Slate House (6/1)
  • Spiritofthegames (7/1)
  • Happy Diva (16/1)
  • Eamon An Cnoic (16/1)
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10/10 Aged 9 or under (18/22 8 or under)
We lose Splash Of Ginge

8/10 Carried less than 11st 8lbs
We lose Us And Them, Siruh Du Lac, Spiritofthegames, Magic Saint

7/10 Rated 145 or more
We lose Highway One O One and below

6/10 Had a prep run this season (20/22 Had no more than 1 run)
We lose Mercian Prince

15/22 Placed first 4 last time (8 won)
We lose Belami Des Pictons

 

Selections
1pt Slate House 11/2 bet365
1pt EW Count Meribel 10/1 Betvictor

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On 11/11/2019 at 4:33 PM, richard-westwood said:

Big prices on offer for top 2 ....almost gone 

Casablanca mix 244 +3

Siruh du lac  243 +3 

Happy diva  240 +2 

Will hill offering 7/1 on sirah generally 11/2 And lads offering 20/1 on Casablanca..generally 16/1 ...so I'll take that before it's gone ...

5pts ew both 

Casablanca non runner replace with happy diva 14/1 brtvic

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21 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Casablanca non runner replace with happy diva 14/1 brtvic

 

On 11/11/2019 at 4:33 PM, richard-westwood said:

Big prices on offer for top 2 ....almost gone 

Casablanca mix 244 +3

Siruh du lac  243 +3 

Happy diva  240 +2 

Will hill offering 7/1 on sirah generally 11/2 And lads offering 20/1 on Casablanca..generally 16/1 ...so I'll take that before it's gone ...

5pts ew both 

That'll do nicely ...about 97 -100 pts returned 

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GREATWOOD HANDICAP

Key Trends:

  • 15/15 had won a class 3+ race
  • 15/15 had run 15 times over hurdles max
  • 15/15 had won 4 hurdle races max
  • 15/15 had run in an 18k+ race

Secondary Trends:

  • 14/15 had run in a Graded race
  • 14/15 had won over 2m.5f+
  • 14/15 had finished in the top 5 or failed to finish last time out

Shortlist:

  • Benny's Bridge (13/2)
  • Zanza (9/1)
  • Gumball (14/1)
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