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BillyHills

Haydock Stayers Handicap/ Troytown Chase - Tips & Trends

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Some nice races at the weekend but small fields looks likely, the two big betting races are at Haydock on Saturday and Navan on Sunday.

Saturday

225 Hay: 3m½f (3m58y) Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Previous Winners

 

Screen Shot 2019-11-20 at 22.05.00.png

Trends:

9/10 Aged 6 or below
8/10 Rated 143 or lower
7/10 Rated 139 or higher
6/10 Ran before this season
8/12 first 3 last time
12/12 Ran no more than twice this season
10/12 Not won at 3m before (6 never ran at 3m)

____________________________________________________________________________

 

Sunday

230 Nav: 3m Ladbrokes Troytown Handicap Chase (Grade B) (4yo+ 0-150)

Previous Winners

 

Screen Shot 2019-11-20 at 22.05.05.png

Trends
9/10 Ran within 35 days
8/10 Aged 9 or less
8/10 Rated lower than 140
8/10 Carried less than 11st 5lbs
18/22 First 4 last time (7 won)
15/22 Ran no more than twice this season
12/22 Won at 3m or further
G.Elliott 4/5 winners

 

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Stayers 

Lisnagar Oscar   244

Ask Ben     243 

Flash the steel   240 

Another very tricky race ....there was a lot to like about flash the steels recent win but that was grade 3 and has been raised 8lbs so I've got to go with the top 2 here as they are unexposed and both seem to be progressing fast 

Lisnagar Oscar 5pts ew 7/1 betfred

Ask Ben 5pts ew 8/1 bet365 

2pt ew doubles with above race too 

 

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225 Haydock

Trends:

9/10 Aged 6 or below
We lose Sykes, Flash The Steel, Potters Corner, Man Of Plenty
8/10 Rated 143 or lower
All qualify
6/10 Ran before this season
We lose Umbrigado, Mega Yeats, Ask Ben, Highland Hunter, 
8/12 first 3 last time
We lose Echiquier, Breaking Waves, Loisduin Bhearna, Tedham
12/12 Ran no more than twice this season
We lose Diomede Des Mottes, Sirobbie
10/12 Not won at 3m before (6 never ran at 3m)
We lose Eight And Bob, Lisnagar Oscar

Selections
1pt EW Stoney Mountain 14/1 Ladbrokes
1pt EW Acey Milan 14/1 Coral

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Navan Sunday

Trends
9/10 Ran within 35 days
We lose Winter Escape, Chris Dream, Ravenhill, Mr Diablo, Solomun Grundy, The Big Lense,
Burgas, DE Name Escpaes Me, Redhotfillypeppers, Space Cadet

8/10 Aged 9 or less
We lose Noble Endeavor, Oscar Knight

8/10 Rated lower than 140
We lose Discorama, Tower Bridge

18/22 First 4 last time (7 won)
We lose Woods Well, Gun Digger, Templemore Dream, Young Paddymc, Tamiyan
12/22 Won at 3m or further
We lose  Roaring Bull,  Fitzhenry,  Portmore Lough

Selection:
1pt EW  Shady Operator 10/1 bet365

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Stayers' Hurdle

Key trends:

  • 12/12 were rated 132+
  • 12/12 had run in a class 3+ LTO
  • 11/11 returned 12/1 or less
  • 10/10 had run 4-11 times over hurdles
  • 10/10 had won 0-1 handicap hurdles

These 5 trends produce a shortlist of 3 (subject to likely SPs):

  • ASK BEN (12/1)
  • DIOMEDE DES MOTTES (14/1)
  • STONEY MOUNTAIN (16/1)

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Haydock

Looking for a 5 or 6 year old who's had a run this season, has won over the trip and has handicap form at around this level and appears to be improving

Diomede Des Mottes - EW 18/1 bet365

Also like the look of one the totaly unexposed sorts from France who won his novice by 13 lengths on the bit then dropped down to a shorter trip to run in the grade 2 at Cheltenham behind Thyme Hill ......... now back up in trip and having his first run in a handicap

Echequier -  EW 25/1 bet365

 

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