BillyHills Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Some nice races at the weekend but small fields looks likely, the two big betting races are at Haydock on Saturday and Navan on Sunday. Saturday 225 Hay: 3m½f (3m58y) Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) Previous Winners Trends: 9/10 Aged 6 or below 8/10 Rated 143 or lower 7/10 Rated 139 or higher 6/10 Ran before this season 8/12 first 3 last time 12/12 Ran no more than twice this season 10/12 Not won at 3m before (6 never ran at 3m) ____________________________________________________________________________ Sunday 230 Nav: 3m Ladbrokes Troytown Handicap Chase (Grade B) (4yo+ 0-150) Previous Winners Trends 9/10 Ran within 35 days 8/10 Aged 9 or less 8/10 Rated lower than 140 8/10 Carried less than 11st 5lbs 18/22 First 4 last time (7 won) 15/22 Ran no more than twice this season 12/22 Won at 3m or further G.Elliott 4/5 winners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 20, 2019 Author Share Posted November 20, 2019 Early prices Haydock Navan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Troytown Pont aven 322 Ravenhill 320 Very tricky race but these two are currently being offered at big prices and I think are way overpriced given their ratings ....I'll play ew Ravenhill 5pts ew 14/1 lads Pont aven 5pts ew 20/1 b365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Stayers Lisnagar Oscar 244 Ask Ben 243 Flash the steel 240 Another very tricky race ....there was a lot to like about flash the steels recent win but that was grade 3 and has been raised 8lbs so I've got to go with the top 2 here as they are unexposed and both seem to be progressing fast Lisnagar Oscar 5pts ew 7/1 betfred Ask Ben 5pts ew 8/1 bet365 2pt ew doubles with above race too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 21, 2019 Author Share Posted November 21, 2019 225 Haydock Trends: 9/10 Aged 6 or below We lose Sykes, Flash The Steel, Potters Corner, Man Of Plenty 8/10 Rated 143 or lower All qualify 6/10 Ran before this season We lose Umbrigado, Mega Yeats, Ask Ben, Highland Hunter, 8/12 first 3 last time We lose Echiquier, Breaking Waves, Loisduin Bhearna, Tedham 12/12 Ran no more than twice this season We lose Diomede Des Mottes, Sirobbie 10/12 Not won at 3m before (6 never ran at 3m) We lose Eight And Bob, Lisnagar Oscar Selections 1pt EW Stoney Mountain 14/1 Ladbrokes 1pt EW Acey Milan 14/1 Coral kroni, Tedthewolf and BBBC 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 Navan Sunday Trends 9/10 Ran within 35 days We lose Winter Escape, Chris Dream, Ravenhill, Mr Diablo, Solomun Grundy, The Big Lense, Burgas, DE Name Escpaes Me, Redhotfillypeppers, Space Cadet 8/10 Aged 9 or less We lose Noble Endeavor, Oscar Knight 8/10 Rated lower than 140 We lose Discorama, Tower Bridge 18/22 First 4 last time (7 won) We lose Woods Well, Gun Digger, Templemore Dream, Young Paddymc, Tamiyan 12/22 Won at 3m or further We lose Roaring Bull, Fitzhenry, Portmore Lough Selection: 1pt EW Shady Operator 10/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 Ratings Haydock Navan 3 x 3 9 EW Doubles Top 3 rated SP richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Yes I'm adding echiquier to my stayers bets ....I think he's vastly overpriced and also 2nd on yours Billy......I'll try 5pts ew at 33/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 In the stayers i have a win bet on both ASK BEN 12/1 & LISNAGAR OSCAR 7/1 & RFC on them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Race Trends Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Stayers' Hurdle Key trends: 12/12 were rated 132+ 12/12 had run in a class 3+ LTO 11/11 returned 12/1 or less 10/10 had run 4-11 times over hurdles 10/10 had won 0-1 handicap hurdles These 5 trends produce a shortlist of 3 (subject to likely SPs): ASK BEN (12/1) DIOMEDE DES MOTTES (14/1) STONEY MOUNTAIN (16/1) Tedthewolf, roger2256, richard-westwood and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Troytown I'm adding discorama as a replacement for non runner... good hidden in his own right and should run a big race...5pts ew around 7/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Haydock Looking for a 5 or 6 year old who's had a run this season, has won over the trip and has handicap form at around this level and appears to be improving Diomede Des Mottes - EW 18/1 bet365 Also like the look of one the totaly unexposed sorts from France who won his novice by 13 lengths on the bit then dropped down to a shorter trip to run in the grade 2 at Cheltenham behind Thyme Hill ......... now back up in trip and having his first run in a handicap Echequier - EW 25/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 23, 2019 Author Share Posted November 23, 2019 On 11/21/2019 at 12:44 PM, BillyHills said: Selections 1pt EW Stoney Mountain 14/1 Ladbrokes 1pt EW Acey Milan 14/1 Coral £123 Forecast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 4 hours ago, BillyHills said: £123 Forecast Well done ....fill ya boots Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.