The Equaliser

Watchya                                                              3 25 Asc/       1/40th of a pt ew  12/1
Sempo                                                                 3 40 Pun       1/40th of a pt ew  44/1
Conflated                                                            5 25 Pun       1/40th of a pt ew  40/1
Roedora                                                              6 35 Pun       1/40th of a pt ew  38/1
Rossario                                                              2 50 Asc        1/40th of a pt ew  18/1

Double for me tomorrow...

Walk Away Harry 2:30 Punchestown (4/1 Skybet). Chap I follow on X is sweet on this one. Had issue with wind that is hopefully solved now (1st time TS on). Form of bumper win has been well franked (3rd and 5th gained RPRs of 131 and 143 since). Runs off just 113 so well weighted on ability.
2pts win 4/1 Skybet
 
Well backed into 7/4 but struggling a long way out and didn't land a blow 🤢
 
P/L: -9.3pts.

Lucky15Ref: 376865942 4 Selections
7. Budding - 7/2Winner - 14:40 Yarmouth   1. Wisper - 5/1Winner - 16:10 Brighton   3. Queen's Reign - 11/2Winner - 17:00 Yarmouth   6. Arlo's Sunshine - 7/2Winner - 17:20 Brighton   Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 158.71

Lucky15Ref: 376862603 4 Selections
5. Cat Ninja - 7/2Winner - 15:15 Yarmouth   9. Tenyatta - 10/3Winner - 16:45 Brighton   6. Voodoo Ray - 5/1Winner - 17:55 Brighton   4. Tarbat Ness - 9/2Winner - 18:20 Catterick   Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 133.37

B/Fwd L15's -77.40 RC P/L Incl. L15's  -107.30
Had 2 L15's today on the daily = 3 points
3.35 Bri Lexington Hero 0.50 win at 11/1
3.50 Yar Campaign Medal 0.50 win at 14/1
6.20 Catt Tarbat Ness 1 pt win at 5/1 with Billy aboard
5 pts staked 10 races to watch
Good luck to all today
 

Hiya. 
The bet today is in the 5.35 at Yarmouth. "Magnificent Match" to win. Justin. 🏇.

🤞 good luck with Cat Ninja, Its drifting again now as betfair 9/2 and b365 4/1...........
 
5 places in Punchestown 3.05 soooo .....few UK runners....
Immortal Fame @ 25/1 EW   .......Tune in a Box @ 28/1 EW   WON.........irish runner bottom weight Paddys Milestone @ 9/1 EW 
 
paying 6 places at Punchestown 4.15 sooo little EW play i think......UK trainers gone over.......
B Pauling has runner Densworth @ 25/1 EW ( b365)   non runner .....        
H Derehams Brentford Hope @ 12/1 EW ( b365).... 2nd
C Longsdons Rare Edition @ 28/1 EW 
 
 
 

I cashed this out for 13.63 as there was 40c r4 on 8.25 for a return of  around 630.
I put it on again ( musical society 6/1, all others same odds) for a return of 815.

+97.7
.5 ew L15
Quick look selections on inform stable and jockeys 
 

Yeah they have a tendency to shorten relatively quickly mate 👍🏼. He pops the message out to several of us who obviously then share with certain people/groups and so prices can move quickly. I'd still back at 3/1 personally as the info has been in profit the past 4 years I've had it but obviously it is an unraced 3yo so it carries it's risks. Gosden info has been good on the whole however. 

I see it is now 3/1. Do they normally shorten quickly ? Is it still worth backing at 3/1 ?

Just so you have a bit more clarity on my horse posts, I'll always state if it's info as I have today. I've actually backed e/w as I got 5/1 but the info is usually always to back on the nose.
They only ever really suggest e/w of odds over 12s so today's is suggested on the nose but I'm trying to play slightly cautiously. 
This is the 3rd info bet since returning. The 1st won around 9/2, the 2nd came 2nd at around 18/1 and that was suggested e/w and this is the 3rd so hopefully the solid info continues 👌🏼. 
Good luck if you follow 🙂

5.10 Catterick-Hailey Ya Mal
Each Way @ 28-1 [4 places] with Coral
Could surprise if hand brake let off...

1515 Yarmouth Cat Ninja 5/1
Info 👍🏼

Couldn't put both up, so here's the other one.

My 2 pennies worth is, it's very much swings and round-abouts and as a @Zilzalian Type 2.5 (kind of inbetween) i make a judgement call depending on the odds at the time i'm betting, which can be very beneficial (like in the race you mentioned - placed bet at 16-1 with 365 win bet not ew because price too low, got BOG as sp was 33-1) or can backfire badly, just like the race after that with Moutarde where i split the bet, half at 40-1 (and 2 mins after went to 50-1) and half at sp both ew with skybet. At the time i was gutted i took the 40's as price was rising, but like i said, it backfired because it went off at 12-1 i think and lost £16.80 on the sp bet. I will try to put them on here at the end as don't want anybody thinking i'm a "hindsight punter" as long as no one laughs at my stakes. (it's what keeps it fun and not really gambling in my eyes) It can be frustrating when that 16-1 shot drifts to a big price (a price that i would normally bet ew) and it places, so i get nothing, but when it wins like yesterday i make more, like i said, swings and round-abouts you have to take the rough with the smooth, that's racing. 

Another variable is that Sky do not offer BOG.
Another feature is the "shape" of the betting, if the favourite is short priced then there is likely to be more benefit of betting each way

Yes the psychology of betting is indeedy an interesting variable in itself, i used to observe it with great interest when i used to frequent the dens of iniquities that are bookies shops.

Fair points that illustrate “what type of punter are you” is yet another variable to throw into the mix generally!
I’d have said there are theoretical extremes where most punters would go one way or the other (a tiny difference in price for a couple of extra places or only getting half the odds for a single extra place) but everything in the middle is harder to call.
I might knock a spreadsheet together and perhaps @The Equaliser and anyone else who experiences the dilemma can try it out. I might get some use out of it in other sports. At least I can get the idea out of my head then and fully concentrate on the stuff I actually bet on day in day out!

Shishkin has been put down after fracturing a hind leg in the stables.  Very sad

Roughly break even, which a success.

Had 2 L15's on the daily = 3 pts
2.45 Ayr Smalleytime 1 pt win at 8.2
3.15 Ayr Bustaam 1 pt win at 7.60
= 5 pts staked today
No Naps today