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The Equaliser

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Posts posted by The Equaliser

  1. No Multiples today with only Fairyhouse in Ireland running horses today.

     

    Just three single win bets today

     

    1.30 Fairy Ronald Pump £2 win 6.5 with Betfair

    2.05 Fairy The Gatechecker £2 win at 11 with Ladbrokes

    3.10 Fairy Lake Milan £2 win at 9.0 with Bet 365

     

    = £6 staked

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    Once again a little unlucky not getting a double for around £42 as  Greengage was beaten a short head.  Hence £12 loss on the day.  Great pty not to end the month in profit.

     

    You will notice from now on that I will be once more placing more emphasis on Trixies when posting up my bets.  I had a disastrous time when I first started out with this strategy in Jun/July.  However, I have learnt quite a bit since then.  I was relying on too few selections to produce results.  Since that time I have been focussing on doubles and trebles and aimed to have six selections each day.  This has had sporadic success.  The problem is that there are up to 15 possibilities for doubles and 20 possibilities for trebles.  For, me personally I had the added frustration of returning home from lunch and finding that even if I had a winner I had the possibility of continuity of the possibility of missing out on a winning double as the racing day progressed.  I tried to get around this by ordering the bets as AB, BC, CD, DE and EF which meant that if one selection lost then the next could win and the third could make a winning double etc. etc.  The problem with this approach is that I had to combine doubles in  chronological order which meant that I could not include my strongest selections in my doubles as I wanted.  Having thought about it all, I think that reverting back to Trixies where possible will mean that I can include my three strongest selections under full cover should any two horses win.  Also, I have noticed over the past six months that although I have made every effort so as to choose the horses with the expected strongest chance of winning a race this just does not happen very often.  I will continue to select the best three presumed strongest selections for my main Trixie(s), usually a contender within the first two (sometimes three) in the betting markets with ideal odds of 3/1 minimum 2/1.  This Trixie(s) will be staked at £2 = £8 with the possibility of two Trixies = £16 but, I think on most days I will only find one such strong Trixie.  This leaves me with the possibility of having another three Trixies at £1 = £4  (= £20 in total per day) where I can indulge in the higher-priced selections.  From the evidence of the last six months, I don’t think that my success rate of winners will be diminished and of course, the returns could be substantially increased.

     

    Finally, in relation to my single win bets, I will be seeking to stake £2 on selections between 4/1 and 9/1 and £1 on selections 10/1 and over.  I have to use Sportsbook on Betfair for this as I refuse to start opening lots of Bookmakers accounts for this purpose.  Sometimes Sportsbook can be mean e.g. I was only offered 8/1 for Gatechecker today so I had to put £2 on with the Betfair exchange at 12.0.

     

    I have now been posting up since the last six months and my betting bank has not disappeared (31 x £20 = £620 would be the loss if nothing went right for me over a 31 day betting period) so I am optimistic that with improvements that I will pretty soon get back into profit.       

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 -£27.02 -16.00 =  £756.98 C/forward ROI  N/A

     

    Single bets

     

    No winners yesterday which is a pity hence a £12 loss

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 +34 -12 = £422.00 C/forward  ROI 5.5%

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

  2. 47 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

    A poor month with a loss of £90.20.

    Total profit now £51.43 with a ROI of 2%.

     

    Sorry to learn this.  Let's hope that December, though a short month will be better.  My multiples went into a deficit balance which was a bit unlucky.  I guess, if we can't cope with disappointment then we shouldn't be in this game.  Good luck for December ? 

  3.  I called the Racing Post yesterday morning asking why TTF in red keeps showing up on their racecards this week.  I was told that this relates to a "TEN TO FOLLOW" competition that will run to the end of the jumps season.  I then asked why are there 18 horses shown in the 3.00 at Newbury.  I was told that various tipsters that entered into the competition chose from over 500 horses and that is why a lot of horses are being displayed.  I don't know about anyone else but I find this being highlighted in RED very irritating.  If you feel the same call the RP on 020 7748 3771 and tell them as I did that if they need to show it just put it in BLACK.  I told them that this is just about the most useless highlighted piece of information that I have ever seen on a Racing Post racecard.  The man told me that I am the only one to complain about it to them; hence, unless more people complain it won't be changed. It is up to you?

  4. 3.00 Robinsfirth one point win at 26 with Bet365

    Not sure where to mention this on the Forum however I called the Racing Post this morning asking why TTF in red keeps showing up on their racecards this week.  I was told that this relates to a "TEN TO FOLLOW" competition that will run to the end of the jumps season.  I then asked why are there 18 horses shown in the 3.00 at Newbury.  I was told that various tipsters that entered into the competition chose from over 500 horses and that is why a lot of horses are being displayed.  I don't know about anyone else but I find this being highlighted in RED very irritating.  If you feel the same call the RP on 020 7748 3771 and tell them as I did that if they need to show it just put it in BLACK

  5. Nine selections today.  Three Trixies( in a arush because one selection in 12.30 Lin)

     

    Selections

     

    A  12.30 Lin Rioman spiiner 3/1

    B  2.25 NB Elvis Mail 7/1

    C  7.50 Wolv Greengage 11/4

    D 1.05 Ling Sandgridge Lad 9/1

    E 1.15 Nb Molineaux 6/1

    F 6.20 Wolv Viola Par 5/1

    G 2.15 Ling wild Flower 13/2

    H 3.0 Nb elegant Escape 12/1

    I 3.40 Nb Ashoka 12/1

     

    ABC = £394.00 TRIXIE AT £2

    DEF = £592 TRIXIE AT £1

    GHI = £1631.50 AT £1

     

    = £16 STAKED

     

    Single win bets: 6 selections today

     

    2.25 Nb Elvis Mail  £2 Win at 8 with Bet365

    3.0 Nb Elegant Escape  £2 win at 13 with Bet365

    = £20 STAKED

     

     

  6. Nine selections today.  Three Trixies( in a arush because one selection in 12.30 Lin)

     

    Selections

     

    A  12.30 Lin Rioman spiiner 3/1

    B  2.25 NB Elvis Mail 7/1

    C  7.50 Wolv Greengage 11/4

    D 1.05 Ling Sandgridge Lad 9/1

    E 1.15 Nb Molineaux 6/1

    F 6.20 Wolv Viola Par 5/1

    G 2.15 Ling wild Flower 13/2

    H 3.0 Nb elegant Escape 12/1

    I 3.40 Nb Ashoka 12/1

     

    ABC = £394.00 TRIXIE AT £2

    DEF = £592 TRIXIE AT £1

    GHI = £1631.50 AT £1

     

    = £16 STAKED

     

    Single win bets: 6 selections today

     

    2.25 Nb Elvis Mail  £2 Win at 8 with Bet365

    3.0 Nb Elegant Escape  £2 win at 13 with Bet365

    3.0 Nb Robinsfirth £2 win at 26 with Bet365

    1.05 Lin Sandridge Lad £2 win at 11 with Betvictor

    2.15 Lin Wild Flower £2 win at 9 with Bet 365

    6.20 Wolv Viola Park £2 win at 7 with Bet365

     

    = £12 staked

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    Well, a liitle unlucky at not getting a double; the first selection was going well when it fell and the second selection was beaten by a nose.  £11.50 loss on the day

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 -£15.52 -11.50 =  £772.98 C/forward ROI  N/A

     

    Single bets

     

    Who would have thought that I would be in profit for the month with two outsiders winning yesterday ;  I sometimes think I am putting the wrong horses in my doubles and trebles.  Anyway £28 + £40 = a whopping  £68 profit on the day

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -34 + 68 = £434.00 C/forward  ROI 8.5%

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

  7. Four selections today.  Let’s hope that some of these rascals run to form

     

    Doubles

    A  1.20 Nb Shan blue 5/2

    B  1.50 Nb Kalashikov 9/4

    C  4.15 Sou Mister Freeze 3/1

    D 7.30 Km Split Down south 10/3

     

    AB = £34.13

    BC= £39.00

    CD= £52.00

     

    Treble

     

    BCD £140.83

     

    =  3 x £3 win doubles and one £2.50 win treble  = £11.50 Staked

     

    Single win bets: 2 selections today as I can’t get my minimum price of 4/1 on other selections

     

    3.335 Nb Champers On Ice £4 Win at 15 with Bet365

    7.0 Km Lord Howard  £4.50 win at 21 with Bet365

     

    = £20 staked

     

  8. Four selections today.  Let’s hope that some of these rascals run to form

     

    Doubles

    A  1.20 Nb Shan blue 5/2

    B  1.50 Nb Kalashikov 9/4

    C  4.15 Sou Mister Freeze 3/1

    D 7.30 Km Split Down south 10/3

     

    AB = £34.13

    BC= £39.00

    CD= £52.00

     

    Treble

     

    BCD £140.83

     

    =  3 x £3 doubles and one £2.50 treble = £11.50 Staked

     

    Single win bets: 2 selections today as I can’t get my minimum price of 4/1 on other selections

     

    3.335 Nb Champers On Ice £2 Win at 15 with Bet365

    7.0 Km Lord Howard  £2 win at 21 with Bet365

     

    = £4 staked

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    Haha, so much for my best bets of the day.  Even so, the only mistake I made was to make my bet a £4 Trixie instead of £3.

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 +£0.48 -£16.00 =  £784.48 C/forward ROI  N/A

     

    Single bets

     

    Two winners yesterday one at 6 and one at 5.5 =  £19 less £4 = £15.00

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -49 + 15 = £366.00 C/forward  ROI N/A

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

     

     

  9. Tricky day for selections; only chosen three for a £4 Trixie

     

    A  2.25 Ling Red Gunner 11/4

    B  2.50 Taun Highway To success 5/2

    C 4.0 Chelm Moosme 9/4

     

    = £16 staked

     

    Single win bets: 4 selections today:

     

    12.45 Lin Giving Back £2 Win at 7 with Bet365

    2.15 Taun Battle Of Ideas  £2 win at 8 with Bet365

    5.30 Chelm Reeves £2 win at 5.5 with Bet365

    6.00 Chelm Philamundo £2 win at 8 Ladbrokes

     

    = £8 staked

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    Awful day with no winners.  Let’s hope that I can turn it all around within the last 3 days of the month

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 + £20.48 - 20=  £800.48 C/forward ROI  N/A

     

    Single bets

     

    No songles winners either

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -35 –14  = £351.00 C/forward  ROI N/A

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

     

     

  10. 6 selections  today = five doubles and two trebles today

     

    A  12.30 Her Cougar Kid 9/2

    B  1.35 Her Delface 11/4

    C 2.40 Her Runasiimi River 5/1

    D 3.05 Sou Tynecastle Park 11/4

    E 3.30 Weth Heaqdscarf Lil 3/1

    F 3.45 Her Clondaw Rigger 9/2

     

    DOUBLES:

     

    AB £61.88

    BC £67.50

    CD £67.50

    DE £45.00

    EF £66.00

     

    TREBLES

     

    BCE £225.00

    ADF £283.59

     

    = 5 X £3 win doubles and 2 x £2.50 trebles = £20 staked

     

  11. 6 selections  today = five doubles and two trebles today

     

    A  12.30 Her Cougar Kid 9/2

    B  1.35 Her Delface 11/4

    C 2.40 Her Runasiimi River 5/1

    D 3.05 Sou Tynecastle Park 11/4

    E 3.30 Weth Heaqdscarf Lil 3/1

    F 3.45 Her Clondaw Rigger 9/2

     

    DOUBLES:

     

    AB £61.88

    BC £67.50

    CD £67.50

    DE £45.00

    EF £66.00

     

    TREBLES

     

    BCE £225.00

    ADF £283.59

     

    = 5 X £3 win doubles and 2 x £2.50 trebles = £20 staked

     

    Single win bets: 7 selections today:

     

    12.20 Sou Bright Spells  £2 Win at 15 with Bet365

    12.30 Her Cougar Kid  £2 win at 5.57 with Skybet

    2.40 Her Runasimi River £2 win at 6 with Skybet

    2.55 weth Genreation Gap £2 win at 6 with Betfair

    3.30 Weth Meep Mepp Mag £2 win 6.5 with Ladbrokes

    3.15 Her Clondaw Rigger £2 win at 5.5 with Skybet

    6.40 Km Haddaf £2 win at 5.5 with skybet

     

    = £14 staked

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    No bets yesterday so my balance remains the same

     Multiples: opening balance £800 + £20.48=  £820.48 C/forward ROI  2.5%

     

    Single bets

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -35 = £365.00 C/forward  ROI N/A

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

     

     

  12. No published bets today; just had a tooth extracted and not feeling great

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    A couple of seconds so no returns today, though I am feeling pretty upbeat about the future.  £20 loss on the day

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 + £40.48 -20=  £820.48 C/forward ROI  2.5%

     

    Single bets

     

    Majestic Noor beaten a nose.  Wonderful = £10 loss for the day

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -25 -10 = £365.00 C/forward  ROI N/A

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

  13. Lots of choice today so 6 selections = 5 doubles and two trebles today

     

    A  3.0 Musss Remember The Days 16/5

    B  3.10 Km I’d Better Go Now 5/2

    C 3.25 Chelm Far Rockaway 9/4

    D 3.30 Muss Petire Ganache 2/1 (yuk)

    E 6.0 Chelm Must Be An Angel 11/4

    F 7.0 Chelm Catapult 9/2

     

    DOUBLES:

     

    AB £44.10

    BC £34.13

    CD £29.25

    DE £ 33.75

    EF £61.88

     

    TREBLES

     

    CDE £91.41

    ABF £202.13

     

    = 5 X £3 win doubles and 2 x £2.50 trebles = £20 staked

  14. Lots of choice today so 6 selections = 5 doubles and two trebles today

     

    A  3.0 Musss Remember The Days 16/5

    B  3.10 Km I’d Better Go Now 5/2

    C 3.25 Chelm Far Rockaway 9/4

    D 3.30 Muss Petire Ganache 2/1 (yuk)

    E 6.0 Chelm Must Be An Angel 11/4

    F 7.0 Chelm Catapult 9/2

     

    DOUBLES:

     

    AB £44.10

    BC £34.13

    CD £29.25

    DE £ 33.75

    EF £61.88

     

    TREBLES

     

    CDE £91.41

    ABF £202.13

     

    = 5 X £3 win doubles and 2 x £2.50 trebles = £20 staked

     

    Single win bets:

     

    2.05 Km Fleur Irlandaise  £2 Win at 7.5 with Betway

    12.35 Lud Winds Of Fire £2 win at 7 with Bet365

    4.30 Chelm Majestic Noah £2 win at 5 with Bet365

    5.0 Chelm Pearl spectre  £2 win at 5.5 with Bet365r

    7.0 Chelm Captapult £2 win 6.5 with Betvictor

     

    = £10 staked

     

    No bets again  yesterday sos balancestoday remain the same.

     

    Results update:

     

    Multiples:

     

    Multiples: opening balance £800 + £40.48 =  £840.48 C/forward ROI  5%

     

    Single bets

     

    Singles:   opening balance  £400 -25 = £375.00 C/forward  ROI N/A

     

    “ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”

     

     

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