The Equaliser
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Posts posted by The Equaliser
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2.10 Chep one point win Harambe at 9.0 Bet365 11.50am
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Skinny prices today considering the size of the fields for my selections
Doubles:
(1) AB: 2.25.Nm Stylisique 3/1, 3.15 Yk Absremious 3/1 = £3 v £48
(2) BC: 3.15 Yk Abstemious 3/1, 4.20 Yk Moss Gill 3/1 = £3 v £48
(3) CD: 4.20 Yk Moss Gill 3/1, 4.30 Chep King d’argent 10/3 = £3 v £52
(4) DE: 3.35 Cayenne Pepper 5/2, 4.30 Chep King d’argent 10/3 = £3 v £45.50
(5) EF: 3.35 Nm Cayenne Pepper 5/2, 4.10 nm Trueshan 6/1 =£3 v £73.50
Trebles:
(1) 2.25 Nm Stylistique, 3.15 Yk Abstemious and 4..20 Yk Moss Gill = £2.50 v £160
(2) 3.35 Nm Cayenne Pepper, 4.10 Nm Trueshan and 4.30 chep King D’argent =£2.50 v £265.42
= £20 staked
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Skinny prices today considering the size of the fields for my selections
Doubles:
(1) AB: 2.25.Nm Stylisique 3/1, 3.15 Yk Absremious 3/1 = £3 v £48(2) BC: 3.15 Yk Abstemious 3/1, 4.20 Yk Moss Gill 3/1 = £3 v £48
(3) CD: 4.20 Yk Moss Gill 3/1, 4.30 Chep King d’argent 10/3 = £3 v £52
(4) DE: 3.35 Cayenne Pepper 5/2, 4.30 Chep King d’argent 10/3 = £3 v £45.50
(5) EF: 3.35 Nm Cayenne Pepper 5/2, 4.10 nm Trueshan 6/1 =£3 v £73.50
Trebles:
(1) 2.25 Nm Stylistique, 3.15 Yk Abstemious and 4..20 Yk Moss Gill = £2.50 v £160(2) 3.35 Nm Cayenne Pepper, 4.10 Nm Trueshan and 4.30 chep King D’argent =£2.50 v £265.42
Win Bets:
(1) 2.0 YK Stone soldier £2 win at 9 with Bet365(2) 2.10 Harambe £2 win at 8.5 with Bet365
(3) 3.0 Nm Oh This Is Us £2 win at 8 Betfair
(4) 4.10 Nm Trueshan £2 win at 7 Bet365
NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
No bets yesterday so the balance remains the same after accounting for the previous day’s losses.Multiples: opening balance £800 less £102.81 £687.19 C/forward
Singles: No winners therefore the balance remains the sameSingles: opening balance £400 add £33 = £433 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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Well done to @RolandCooper for knocking me off my pedestal. A classic example of why no one should take SP. 40/1 v 20/1 SP
3.30 Exeter one point win Adimelo 26.0 with Bet365 12.35pm
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No published bets today as I can’t make the time to report
Results update:
Two winners in my multiples but no doubles again for me today. The total loss for the day was £20
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £112.81 £687.19 C/forward
Singles: No winners yesterday therefore a straight loss of £8 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 (add £41-8) = £433 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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No published bets today as I can’t make the time to report
Results update:
Two winners in my multiples but no doubles again for me today. The total loss for the day was £20
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £112.81 £687.19 C/forward
Singles: No winners yesterday therefore a straight loss of £8 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 (add £41-8) = £433 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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7.25 Nc Little Legs 26.0 Bet365 one point win
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Doubles:
(1) AB: 3.20 Lud Urban Artist 5/2, 6.10 Km Geranium 7/1 = £3 v £84
(2) BC: 6.10 KM Geranium 7/1, 8.25 NC Ghathan far 11/2 = £3 v £156
(3) CD: 2.55 Nott Duke Of Condicote 11/4, 8.25 NC Ghathanfar 11/2 = £3 v £73.13
(4) DE: 2.55 Nott Duke Of Condicote 11/4, 4.0 Nott My Ukellele 13/2 = £3 v £84.38
(5) EF: 4.0 Nott My Ukelele 13/2, 4.30 Nott Rakes Progress 3/1 =£3 v £90
Trebles:
(1) 3.20 Lud Urban Artist, 6.10 KM Geranium and 8.25 Ghathanfar = £2.50 v £455
(2) 2.55 Niott Duke Of Condicote, 4.0 Nott My Ukelele and 4.30 Nott Rakes Progress =£2.50 v £281.25
£20 staked
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Doubles:
(1) AB: 3.20 Lud Urban Artist 5/2, 6.10 Km Geranium 7/1 = £3 v £84
(2) BC: 6.10 KM Geranium 7/1, 8.25 NC Ghathan far 11/2 = £3 v £156
(3) CD: 2.55 Nott Duke Of Condicote 11/4, 8.25 NC Ghathanfar 11/2 = £3 v £73.13
(4) DE: 2.55 Nott Duke Of Condicote 11/4, 4.0 Nott My Ukellele 13/2 = £3 v £84.38
(5) EF: 4.0 Nott My Ukelele 13/2, 4.30 Nott Rakes Progress 3/1 =£3 v £90
Trebles:
(1) 3.20 Lud Urban Artist, 6.10 KM Geranium and 8.25 Ghathanfar = £2.50 v £455
(2) 2.55 Niott Duke Of Condicote, 4.0 Nott My Ukelele and 4.30 Nott Rakes Progress =£2.50 v £281.25
Win Bets:
(1) 4.0 Nott My Ukelele £2 win at 7.5 with Bet365
(2) 6.10 Km Geranium £2 win at 8.5 with BetVicter
(3) 7.25 Nc Little Legs £2 win at 26 with Bet365
(4) 7.55 Nc Glencarry £2 win at 9 Bet365
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get bett Nottt Rakes Progress er odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
Two winners in my multiples but no doubles for me today. The total loss for the day was £20
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £92.81 £707.19 C/forward
Singles: One winner yesterday at 6.5 therefore £11 less £6 = £5 profit on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 add £41 = £441 C/forward
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I am still kicking myself for not including The Accountant in my nap for yesterday. Lesson learned
3.05 Bri Joyful Dream 1 point win at 13.0 with Ladbrokes
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Doubles:
(1) AB: 3.25 Leic Getchgetchgetcha 9/4, 5.35 Leic Another Boy 4/1 = £3 v £48.75
(2) BC: 5.15 Bri Firenze Rosa 5/1, 5.35 Leic Another Boy 4/1 = £3 v £90
(3) CD: 2.20 Leic Max Guevara 5/1, 5.15 Bri Firenze Roa 5/1= £3 v £108
(4) DE: 2.0 Bri Kyll Wind 6/1,2.20 Leic Max Guevara 5/1 = £3 v £126
(5) EF: 2.0 Bri Kyllwind 6/1, 4.45 Bri Royal dancer 4/1 =£3 v £105
Trebles:
(1) 3.25 Leic Getchagetchagetcha, 5.15 Bri Firenze Rosa and 5.35 Leic Another Boy = £2.50 v £243.75
(2) 2.0 Bri Kyllwind, 2.20 Leic Max Guevara and 4.45 Bri Royal Dancer= £2.50 v £568.75
= £20 staked -
5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Doubles:
(1) AB: 3.25 Leic Getchgetchgetcha 9/4, 5.35 Leic Another Boy 4/1 = £3 v £48.75(2) BC: 5.15 Bri Firenze Rosa 5/1, 5.35 Leic Another Boy 4/1 = £3 v £90
(3) CD: 2.20 Leic Max Guevara 5/1, 5.15 Bri Firenze Roa 5/1= £3 v £108
(4) DE: 2.0 Bri Kyll Wind 6/1,2.20 Leic Max Guevara 5/1 = £3 v £126
(5) EF: 2.0 Bri Kyllwind 6/1, 4.45 Bri Royal dancer 4/1 =£3 v £105
Trebles:
(1) 3.25 Leic Getchagetchagetcha, 5.15 Bri Firenze Rosa and 5.35 Leic Another Boy = £2.50 v £243.75(2) 2.0 Bri Kyllwind, 2.20 Leic Max Guevara and 4.45 Bri Royal Dancer= £2.50 v £568.75
Win Bets:(1) 2.0 Bri Kyllwind £2 win at 8.0 with Bet365
(2) 2.20 Leic Maxguevara £2 win at 6.5 with Bet365
(3) 3.05 Bri Joyful dream £2 win at 13 with Ladbrokes
(4) 5.15 Bri Firenze Rosa £2 win at 6.5 Unibet
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
An interesting start for my latest approach. I was very comfortable to set out my doubles in such a way that I had a chance of winning right through to the final two selections. I suppose it had to be sod law that it was the last selection that won, albeit the price was smashed. The other irony was that The Accountant won for me whilst On Board faultered. Just shows that playing safe doesn’t pay. The total for the day was £20
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £72.81 £727.19 C/forward
Singles: One winner yesterday at 9.5 therefore £17 less £6 = £11 profit on the daySingles: opening balance £400 add £36 = £436 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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4.10 Win Secret Return 1 point win at 7.5 with 888Sport
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Pity that Pontefract has been abandoned. Out of pure enthusiasm to try out my amended approach I have included a couple of class 6 races in my multiples today. No doubt I will pay the proce for doing so
Doubles:
(1) AB: 2.10 Win Arabian Moon 5/1, 4.10 Win Secret Return = £3 v £108
(2) BC: 2.10 Win Arabian Moon 5/1, 3.20 Str Never Been To Paris 11/2 = £3 v £117
(3) CD: 3.20 Str Never Been TO Paris 11/2, 4.20 Str On Board 10/3 = £3 v £84.50
(4) DE: 4.20 Str On Board 10/3, 5.30 Nc Corked 10/3 = £3 v £56.33
(5) EF: 5.30 Nc Corked, 7.0 Nc Swiss Connection 4/1 =£3 v £65
Trebles:
(1) 2.10 Win Arabian Moon, 3.20 Str Never Been To Paris and 4.10 Win Secret Return = £2.50 v £585
(2) 4.20 Str On Board, 5.30 Nc Corked and 7.0 Nc Swiss Connection = £2.50 v £234.72
Total stakes = £20
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In an effort to achieve more regular winning doubles from today I will make a slight modification to my bets. When I have six selections for the day I will now increase the number of doubles from 3 to 5. The sequence will be AB, BC,CD, DE and EF. I will reduce the stake from £4 to £3 per double. This means that should any first leg selection fail to win then I will cover the next selection in another double. I will still rank the doubles in order of the horses that I perceive to have the best winning chances. This is not perfect but I resisted the bookmakers recomnedation of covering all permutations in a “Heinz” bet. Not least because it would mean spending £171 per day instead of £15 but also I have never once in my life strung together six winning selections!
With the singles, I have decided that the minimum price that I will accept will now be 4/1. I usually try to find four selections hence if only one won at 4/1 then I would make a profit of £2 (£8-£6) which is an ROI of 25%. Should I not find enough selctions at 4/1 I will restrict my bets. I would love to apply the same price criteria to my doubles selections but, I’m not brave enough to do so just yet.
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5 doubles, two trebles and 4 win bets today:
Pity that Pontefract has been abandoned. Out of pure enthusiasm to try out my amended approach I have included a couple of class 6 races in my multiples today. No doubt I will pay the proce for doing so
Doubles:
(1) AB: 2.10 Win Arabian Moon 5/1, 4.10 Win Secret Return = £3 v £108
(2) BC: 2.10 Win Arabian Moon 5/1, 3.20 Str Never Been To Paris 11/2 = £3 v £117
(3) CD: 3.20 Str Never Been TO Paris 11/2, 4.20 Str On Board 10/3 = £3 v £84.50
(4) DE: 4.20 Str On Board 10/3, 5.30 Nc Corked 10/3 = £3 v £56.33
(5) EF: 5.30 Nc Corked, 7.0 Nc Swiss Connection 4/1 =£3 v £65
Trebles:
(1) 2.10 Win Arabian Moon, 3.20 Str Never Been To Paris and 4.10 Win Secret Return = £2.50 v £585
(2) 4.20 Str On Board, 5.30 Nc Corked and 7.0 Nc Swiss Connection = £2.50 v £234.72
Win Bets:
(1) 3.20 Str Never Been To Paris £2 win at 7.0 with Unibet
(2) 3.50 Str Oak Vintage £2 win at 7.5 with Bet365
(3) 4.10 Win Secret Return £2 win at 7.5 with Sport888
(4) 4.20 Str The Accountant £2 win at 9.5 Unibet
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
Multiples: My Trixie flopped with only one winner. The remaining two were short priced favourites but got beat. Hence a loss of £4
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £52.81 £747.19 C/forward
Singles: No winner yesterday = -£2 loss
Singles: opening balance £400 add £25 = £425 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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4.10 Uttox Cracker Jak 1 point win at 4.0 Bet365 10.12am
The classiest of my selections today
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Not many possibilities today unless one wants to bet on the French races; let’s hope Enabled goes into the history books.
Having done some work on today’s racing I will place a small £1 Trixie on the following selections. I was tempted to place a £2 stake but I don’t have a good record with Trixies so I’ll stay very low key
(1) 2.50 Kel Kaizer, 4.10 Uttox Cracker Jack and 4.55 Kel Nortonthorpelegend = £4 staked £66.63
One singles bets today:
4.10 Uttox Cracker Jack £16 win at 4.0 with skybet
= £20 staked
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Not many possibilities today unless one wants to bet on the French races; let’s hope Enabled goes into the history books.
Having done some work on today’s racing I will place a small £1 Trixie on the following selections. I was tempted to place a £2 stake but I don’t have a good record wth Trixies so I’ll stay very low key
(1) 2.50 Kel Kaizer, 4.10 Uttox Cracker Jack and 4.55 Kel Nortonthorpelegend = £4 staked £66.63
One singles bets today:
4.10 Uttox Cracker Jack £2 win at 4.0 with skybet
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:Multiples: Laurens didn’t fire which was a pity. Anyway I did manage a double and a treble which paid £42.25 and £73.94 respectively = £116.19 less £16 = £100.19 on the day
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £149 add £100.19 = £751.19 C/forward
Singles: One winner yesterday = £9 less £6= £3 profitSingles: opening balance £400 add £27 = £427 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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3.35 Red Breton Rock one point win at 7.0 Skybet
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Lots of high class action today; I am hoping that Laurens gets her own back on Iridessa and Hermosa and retires triumphantly
Three doubles and two trebles and some win bets today
(1) 1.40 Newm Eva Maria 3/1, 2.50 Nm Never Alone 9/4 =-£4 v £52.00
(2) 2.35 Asc Morando 5/2, 3.25 Nm Laurens 7/2 = £4 v £63.00
(3) 4.15 Asc Di Fede 9/4, 5.20 Red Fairy Stories 9/4 = £4 v £42.25
Trebles:
(1) 1.40 Nm Eva Maria, 2.50 Nm Never Alone and 3.25 Nm Laurens = £2 v £117.00
(2) 2.35 Asc Morando, 4.15 Asc Di Fede and 5.20 Red Fairy stories = £2 v £73.94
= £16.00 Staked
Singles bets today:
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
3.35 Red Breton Rock £2 win at 7 Skybet
4.45 Red Olympic Conqueror £2 win at 5.5 Bet365
= £4 staked
= Total of £20 staked
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Lots of high class action today; I am hoping that Laurens gets her own back on Iridessa and Hermosa and retires triumphantly
Three doubles and two trebles and some win bets today
(1) 1.40 Newm Eva Maria 3/1, 2.50 Nm Never Alone 9/4 =-£4 v £52.00
(2) 2.35 Asc Morando 5/2, 3.25 Nm Laurens 7/2 = £4 v £63.00
(3) 4.15 Asc Di Fede 9/4, 5.20 Red Fairy Stories 9/4 = £4 v £42.25
Trebles:
(1) 1.40 Nm Eva Maria, 2.50 Nm Never Alone and 3.25 Nm Laurens = £2 v £117.00
(2) 2.35 Asc Morando, 4.15 Asc Di Fede and 5.20 Red Fairy stories = £2 v £73.94
= £16.00 Staked
Singles bets today:
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
3.35 Red Breton Rock £2 win at 7 Skybet
4.45 Red Olympic Conqueror £2 win at 5.5 Bet365
5.10 Nm Hunni £2 win at 9.0 Bet365
5.15 Font StrikeThe Flint £2 win at 9 Bet365
= £8 staked
Results update:
Multiples: Missed out on an £80 double by a head yesterday. Also Melody Of Scotland ran a shocking race ostensibly because of running too keenly at the beginning of the race. Hence a loss of £16
Multiples: opening balance £800 less £149 = £651 C/forward
Singles: Two winners yesterday ; wished I’d been brave enough to put them in my doubles. = £12 + 14 = £4 = £22 profit
Singles: opening balance £400 add £22 = £424 C/forward
“ When placing a bet on a selection ,never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit in the long run the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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22 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
Thank you. I'm having a good run at the moment, I'm sure there will be a losing run before too long. Well done with your winner in the naps competition.
CHELMSFORD 6.00 TWO HEARTS 5/4
£10 EW BET VICTOR 4 PLACES
Many thanks, A long way to go in the Naps competition
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Loads of short priced favourites today and a lot of my selections have had their prices slashed. The bookies want it all their own way.
Three doubles and two trebles and some win bets today
(1) 4.0 Hex Melody Of Scotland 11/4, 5.05 Hex Court Baloo 5/2 =-£4 v £52.50(2) 2.0 Asc Tulfaaris 7/2, 2.35 Hereby 7/2 =£4 v £81.00
(3) 4.55 Asc Mubaker 10/3, 5.15 Font Bally Longford 11/4 = £4 v £65.00
Trebles:
(1) 2.0 Asc Tulfhaaris, 4.0 Hex Melody of Scotland and 5.05 Hex Court Baloo = £2 v £118.13
(2) 2.35 Asc Hereby, 4.55 Asc Mubaker and 5.15 Font Bally Longford = £2 v £146.25
= £16.00 Staked
Singles bets today:
NB I place my bets on Betfair and get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
2.35 Asc Sapa Inca £2 win at 13.00 888Sport
3.10 Asc Parys Mountain £2 win at 11.0 PaddyPower
= £4 staked
= £20 staked
Naps - Friday 11th Oct
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
Odds look to be 51 on Bet365 now so you got a very good price