The Equaliser
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Posts posted by The Equaliser
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Three selections today so I have stake a £3 Trixie = £12 in total = £418.50
A 1.45 Chep Golden Sovereign 7/2
B 3.50 Chep Lock’s Corner 5/1
C 4.40 Km Sir Rodneyredblood 2/1
Single win bets:
1.45 Chep Golden Soverieign £2 Win at 5 with Bet3652.50 Chep De Forgotten One £2 win at 6.5 with Bet365
3.50 Chep Lock’s Corner £2 win at 6.0 eith Bet 365
3.50 Chep Champaigne chaser £2 win at 15 Bet365
4.10 Kem Magic force £2 win at 8 with Bet 365 (git 16 on Betfair last night)
Results update:
Multiples:
No bets yesterday so balances remain the same
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £44.10 = £844.10 C/forward ROI 5.5%
Single bets
No bets yesterday so balance remains the same
Singles: opening balance £400 -7 = £393.00 C/forward ROI N/A“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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3.20Km Kyllachy Gala one point win at 10 with Skybet
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No bets tomorrow as I will be out all morning and unable to work out selections.
Results update:
Multiples:
One winner and not coupled so another nil return for the day. Hence a £20 loss
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £64.10 -£20 = £844.10 C/forward ROI 5.5%
Single bets
1 winner but reduced odds because of a non runner = £8.00 returned less £14 = - £6 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 -1 - £6 = £393.00 C/forward ROI N/A
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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No bets tomorrow as I will be out all morning and unable to work out selections.
Results update:
Multiples:
One winner and not coupled so another nil return for the day. Hence a £20 loss
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £64.10 -£20 = £844.10 C/forward ROI 5.5%
Single bets
1 winner but reduced odds because of a non runner = £8.00 returned less £14 = - £6 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 -1 - £6 = £393.00 C/forward ROI N/A
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” -
6.45 Sou Country"N"Western one point win at 15 with PaddyPower
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5 doubles,two trebles and 8 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 14.20 Wolv Brockley Rise 5/1
B 15.20 Wolv Sandret 11/2
C 15.50 Wolv Royal dancer 9/2
D 17.15 Sou Moonraker 9/2
E 17.45 Sou Dark Regard 11/4
F 18.45 Sou Twpsyn 10/3
Doubles: At £3
AB £117.00
BC £107.25
CD £90.75
DE £61.88
EF £48.75
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) ABE £305.63
(2) CDF £327.71
= £20 staked
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5 doubles,two trebles and 8 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 14.20 Wolv Brockley Rise 5/1
B 15.20 Wolv Sandret 11/2
C 15.50 Wolv Royal dancer 9/2
D 17.15 Sou Moonraker 9/2
E 17.45 Sou Dark Regard 11/4
F 18.45 Sou Twpsyn 10/3
Doubles: At £3
AB £117.00
BC £107.25
CD £90.75
DE £61.88
EF £48.75
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) ABE £305.63
(2) CDF £327.71
Single win Bets:
8 win bets today
(1) 1.20 Wolv Treaty Of Dingle £2 win at 7 with Bet365l
(2) 2.20 Wolv The Kings Stead £2 win at 17 with Bet365
(3) 3.20 Wolv Sandret £2 win at 6.5 with WilliamHill
(4) 3.50 Wolv Bird To Love £2 win at 10 with Coral
(5) 5.15 Sou Free Love £2 win at 13 with Bet365
(6) 5.45 Sou Vintage Polly £2 win at 15.0 with Bet365
(7) 6.45 Soun Country’n’Western £2 win at 15 PaddyPower
(8) 7.45 Sou Sooqaan £2 win at 10 Bet365
NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
Very frustrating day. I had the first winner in on a double and then the next race my horse came second. More annoying for me is that I tipped Diessel Dalia in the Cheltenham Comp and then forgot to back it to win. Stupid. Lesson learned. Hence a complet blank day for me.
Multiples:
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £84.10 -£20 = £864.10 C/forward ROI 8%
Single bets
6 losers yesterday = - £12 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 +11 -12 = £399.00 C/forward ROI N/A
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 12.45 Duc De beauchen 3/1
B 1.15 Chelt Urgent De Gregaine 5/2
C 12.55 Font Really Racical 11/4
D 2.05 Font Colonel Custard 5/2
E 3.15 Font Howlongisa foot 2/1 (yukk)
F 3.45 Font Truckers Tangle 11/4
Doubles: At £3
AB £42.00
BC £39.38
CD £39.38
DE £31.50
EF £33.75
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) CDF £123.05
(2) ABE £112.50
= £20 staked
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5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 12.45 Duc De beauchen 3/1
B 1.15 Chelt Urgent De Gregaine 5/2
C 12.55 Font Really Racical 11/4
D 2.05 Font Colonel Custard 5/2
E 3.15 Font Howlongisa foot 2/1 (yukk)
F 3.45 Font Truckers Tangle 11/4
Doubles: At £3
AB £42.00
BC £39.38
CD £39.38
DE £31.50
EF £33.75
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) CDF £123.05
(2) ABE £112.50
Single win Bets:
Six win bets today
(1) 12.45 Chelt Treasure Dillon £2 win at 23 with WilliamHill
(2) 1.50 Chelt Rouge Vif £2 win at 6 with Unbet
(3) 2.40 Font shanroe Santos £2 1in at 6.5 with Bet365
(4) 3.0 Chelt Monsieur Lecoq £2 win at 8.5 with 888Sport
(5) 3.30 Chelt Eden Du Houx £2 win at 6.5 with Bet365
(6) 4.00 Chelt Hogos Other Horse £2 win at 13.0 with Bet365
NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
Multiples:
One winner and a joint favourite let me down for a double
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £104.10 -£20 = £884.10 C/forward ROI 10.5.%
Single bets
5 losers and one winner yesterday = £9.00 - £10 = -£1 on the day
Singles: opening balance £400 +12 -1 = £411.00 C/forward ROI 2.75%
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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12.45 Chelt Treasure Dillon
1.15 Chelt Diesel D'allier
1.50 Chelt Rouge Vif
2.05 Font Colnel Custard
2.25 Chelt Politilogue
2.40 Font Shanroe Santos
3.00 chelt Monsiieur Lecoq
3.30 Chelt Eden Du Houx
4.0 chelt Hogos Other horse
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12.45 Chelt Treasure Dillon one point win at 23 with Betfred
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8 hours ago, Trotter said:
thankfully one of the two bigger priced ones won !
returns 65.31, profit 45.31
bank 1636.86
Well done Trotter, your balance is growing
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5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 1.40 Weth Sakhees City 4/1 (hope it holds its form)
B 1.50 Chelt Ramses De Teillle 11/4
C 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel 15/2
D 3.0 Chelt To Be Fair 11/2 (drifting like a barge : Mat chapman)
E 3.20 Weth Dali Mail 5/1
F 3.30 Chelt Legends Gold 5/1
Doubles: At £3
AB £56.25
BC £95.63
CD £65.75
DE £117.00
EF £108.00
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) BCD £517.97
(2) AEF £450.00
= £20 staked
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5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today:
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 1.40 Weth Sakhees City 4/1 (hope it holds its form)
B 1.50 Chelt Ramses De Teillle 11/4
C 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel 15/2
D 3.0 Chelt To Be Fair 11/2 (drifting like a barge : Mat chapman)
E 3.20 Weth Dali Mail 5/1
F 3.30 Chelt Legends Gold 5/1
Doubles: At £3
AB £56.25
BC £95.63
CD £65.75
DE £117.00
EF £108.00
Trebles: at £2.50
(1) BCD £517.97
(2) AEF £450.00
Single win Bets:
Six win bets today
(1) 1.40 Weth Sakhees City £2 win at 5.5 with Bet365
(2) 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel £2 win at 11 with Bet 365
(3) 2.10 Ling Smply beautiful £2 1in at 11 with 888Sport
(4) 3.0 Chelt Tobefair £2 win at 7.0 with Bet365
(5) 3.20 Weth Dali Mail £2 win at 6 with Bet365
(6) 3.30 Chelt Legends Gold £2 win at 6.5 with Bet365
NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
No bets yesterday
Results update:
Multiples:
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £104.10 = £904.10 C/forward ROI 13.%
Single bets
3 losers yesterday = -£6.00
Singles: opening balance £400 +18 -6 = £412.00 C/forward ROI 3%
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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2.25 Chelt Count Meribel one point win at 11 with Bet365
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10 hours ago, roger2256 said:
Tough luck with this it seems the industry didn't share your views of it being a 1/2 shot lol .
Interesting you were happy taking 11/8 when it was freely trading at 2.94 on BF . So you were losing an extra 45 % of potential profit before the race was run . Pot and kettle come to mind .
Well OK; I did wonder how Rolemat came up with the 1/2 probability, especially as the horse had a known breathing problem previously. There were two other contenders including mine that finished last. Eliana was pulled up and did not run well at all. However, it was still sent off 15/8 favourite which meant that the market thought it would run well. All I am wondering is, if it is still kept in training, will it run a better race next time at better odds because sometimes a horse will run better on the second occasion after a wind op?
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4 hours ago, BillyHills said:
That didn't last long?
Haha, I missed it when looking through the racecards today. Should have watched out for it as I had no winners today. You are very eagle eyed. Three favourites won at Newcastle and then some outsiders. Very difficult to truly work out which horses will perform to their best on Heavy going unless they are stand out performers. This is a problem for tomorrow though because Uttoxeter is forecast Heavy going and both Cheltenham and Wetherby are forecast Soft, Heavy in places. Cheltenham has the class action whilst Wetherby isn't too bad with class 4 races being the lowest. Wolverhampton has the lowest class action whilst Lingfield has a few decent class races. If Cheltenham and Wetherby stay the same I will be considering selections there; I will probably skip Uttoxeter though. I had a bad day when I wrote the above note; possibly should reconsider only horses that are proven on heavy going if I am prepared to back them. For doubles and treble purposes I would need a selection close to the front end of the market that has proven form on heavy going. Don't know if I will be able to enter your competition at Cheltenham; Cheltenham was abandoned today so who knows what will happen tomorrow. It is very annoying to do work on these racecards only to find that they have been scrapped.
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Not enough qualifying races for doubles and trebles today. Gone for three win bets instead
Three win bets today.
(1) 1.05 Nc Fyfin Patsey £6 win at 10.0 with Bet365
(2) 3.25 Nc Trooper Turnbull £6 win at 8 with Ladbokes
(3) 3.45 Sou Zamoyski £8 win at 7.0 Skybet
= £20 staked
NB I place my bets on Betfair Exchange and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
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Not enough qualifying races for doubles and trebles today. Gone for three win bets instead
Three win bets today.
(1) 1.05 Nc Fyfin Patsey £2 win at 10.0 with Bet365
(2) 3.25 Nc Trooper Turnbull £2 win at 8 with Ladbokes
(3) 3.45 Sou Zamoyski £2 win at 7.0 Skybet
NB I place my bets on Betfair Exchange and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
Results update:
Multiples:
Two winners yesterday but not coupled. I was disappointed with Templepark in the 3.40 at Taunton and although I wrote elsewhere that I could not find a decent outsider today I was interested in Walt. It had such a bad right up in the sporting press so I didn’t back it for win purposes. Lesson learned. It won by a neck at 16/1. £15 loss on the day.
Multiples: opening balance £800 + £119.10 - 15 = £904.10 C/forward ROI 13%
Single bets
One bet and one winner yesterday = £8 profit on the day.
Singles: opening balance £400 +£10 +8 = £418 C/forward ROI = 4.5%
“ When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.”
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22 hours ago, BillyHills said:
Hi Graham; I place my win bets on the Betfair Exchange and my multiples on Sportsbook. Betfair used to have a "multiples" section on their menu which meant that I could achieve returns at Betfair SP but they no longer show this option. I used to have a number of bookmakers accounts open but I didn't like using them because this meant having deposits spread over a number of accounts which rather waters down the ability for individual bets. I now just have one account with Betfair (I can't get on with Betdaq). I only state that I place my win bets on Betfair Exchange out of being honest. I do usually get better odds than the best prices of the bookies on Oddschecker, however I of course incur a 5% commission on my winnings so I have to be careful. I hope this explains my situation
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3.45 Sou Zamoyski one point win at 7 with skybet
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1 hour ago, roger2256 said:
I do apply it to the AW if there is a suitable race .
On BF I do the win market and the place market.
It's like all things you have to adapt and work with what you have and get on the best way you can .
Many thanks Roger
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On 11/12/2019 at 7:47 PM, roger2256 said:
For goodnes sake . I'm loathe to get involved in this 'debate ' but I will because its getting monotonous. You are looking at ew in the normal sense whereas in ew short odds it's a different concept . Have you not heard of 'maggot' bets , you should have if you listen to will hill radio, it's a staple of andy holding . I have made a 5 figure a year living for the last 11 yrs out of it and although my ' method' is similar its actual quite different as far as bet selection . For me it only works on the flat and I have to find the right sort of race . I wont quote % because that just confuses things . I find a 8 or 9 horse race , the odds need to be ,for arguments sake 10/11 5/2 6/1 16/1 20/1 33/1 50/1 50/1 or similar but you get the drift . On simple few mins study I can discount the 33 and both 50's . I'm going to back the 2nd fav at 5/2 because I'm getting 3 places for a 5 horse race ,in simple terms, 10 ew on a 5/2 , if it wins I get 50 quid return ,( 35 plus 15 ) a profit of 30 quid . If its placed I get 15 return a loss of 5 . With backing ew at short odds it's not about losing on the bet its losing as little as possible , therefore I see it as a what I stand lose ie 5 to what I can win ie 30 therefore a 5/2 becomes a 6/1 . Before you say yes but if you lose you lose 20 ,absolutely correct but if it's done correctly the odd total loss is insignificant. It took bet victor 5 bets ( 2 actually won ) to cancel my account as unviable . Others slightly longer , actually I can only do it on BF exchange now . On the flat i can regularly have 20 odd runs of no total loss . I have 11 yrs of every bet struck that I could put up but wont only because I chose not too . My response is only to prove short price ew ( maggot bets ) works but in the right races and the right odds . I wont be drawn into any debate . I do what I do , I really dont care if you agree or not but its certainly got you thinking away from the norm
Very many thanks for sharing the principles of your strategy with the Forum. Just wondering if your method works on the All Weather flat and since you now have to use the Betfair Exchange do you choose the E/W option or do you select the win market for the win bet and the place market for the place bet separately? Also I know succesful traders who regularly win money on the Betfair Exchange, they suffer from Betfair Premiums for their success. Do you get adversley affected by this?
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Four double, one treble and one win bet today. Odds are a bit skinny, so I am hoping to get better returns with BOG
Doubles and trebles:
Selections:
A 12.30 Sedg Millie The Minx 5/2
B 1.00 Sedg Ringarinarosie 9/4
C 1.50 Lud Seenanythingyouwant (a better price would be nice) 9/4
D 3.40 Taun Templepark 3/1 (up 8lbs but hopefully can beat Overland Flyer)
E 3.50 Sedg Kingrullah 4/1
Doubles: At £3
AB £34.13
BC £31.69
CD £39.00
DE £56.25
Treble: at £3.00
(1) ABC £110.91
One win bet today. Too many short priced favourites for my liking
(1) 3.50 Sedg Kingrullah £5 win at 5 with SkyBet
= £20 staked
NB I place my bets on Betfair Exchange and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Three selections today so I have stake a £3 Trixie = £12 in total = £418.50
A 1.45 Chep Golden Sovereign 7/2
B 3.50 Chep Lock’s Corner 5/1
C 4.40 Km Sir Rodneyredblood 2/1
Single win bets:
1.45 Chep Golden Soverieign £2 Win at 5 with Bet365
2.50 Chep De Forgotten One £2 win at 6.5 with Bet365
3.50 Chep Lock’s Corner £2 win at 6.0 eith Bet 365
4.10 Kem Magic force £2 win at 8 with Bet 365 (git 16 on Betfair last night)
=£20 Staked