Smiles Tennis
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Posts posted by Smiles Tennis
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£146 loss yesterday. Two matches still to play and Ebden was injured and retired, luckily he retired at 0-5 in the first set. If he played one more game and lost the set it would have been a losing bet.
Quite a few picks up to the early afternoon matches. I have increased stakes to 2% per bet. Even with a fair amount of picks, there hasn't been too much of the bank used up. Saying this, on a day when I increase stakes I almost ALWAYS lose. I think it's the law lol.
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5 hours ago, anaconda69 said:
In your real bets, are you still matching at the 10-15 ticks more? Keep up the good work.
No, my real bets are being made at the price in the spreadsheet. Sometimes 2-3 ticks higher if there's a space but on the first day of restarting this I missed a winner by trying to get 15 ticks higher so cancelled that tactic. Maybe with underdogs I go a bit higher but the spreadsheet shows the price I bet at as this is my personal record of how it's going.
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Few more for this evening, that's it now though until the morning.
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1 more pick. Looks like a couple of points loss for the day unless Rybakina and Sousa can pull it out the bag. A few short price faves losing that took a hit. I did then think maybe I should avoid the lower priced faves, sub 1.5, but only two have lost so far so I am hoping just a random day where faves wanted to be crap.
1 more for the evening match, maybe another pick for about 10pm games (UK time)
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15 hours ago, mdlp said:
YTD 2-1, 1.95 units.
My only bet tomorrow is Allison Riske +296 on bookmaker for a single unit. Betting is all about the price and i think this is too much to pass on. Yes it's serena, I know etc etc...But this is destiny for Riske who played lights out against Barty and has a lot more matches on grass than Serena in 2019. I'm going to pass on the other 3 matches although I haven't yet watched Zhang Shuai's match yet(about to in a bit). I just have a hard time going against Halep who has such a correct mindset going into tomorrow.
I think Svitolina is hot and should get through but I've been doing this too long to lay -220 against Muchova. Also, don't want to fade Konta right now while also don't want to pay -230 against Strycova who will grind her little heart out tomorrow.
Good luck to us all!
Good luck, i hope you lose this one as I'm on Serena. When around 1.33 odds, Serena has an 11-0 record on grass. That's good enough for me.
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Four more picks
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two more
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Some early picks
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Today's picks. Possibly more Challenger matches later, depends how the markets develop.
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£32.80 profit from £60 stakes yesterday. I am just glad for the profit after having so many low odds in there. When Fognini lost I thought it was going to be one of those days when loads of them lose but scraped out a profit in the end.
- TheEdge and thecurlyone1
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Today's picks are ready. Lots of heavy faves today. I don't really like it as if the couple of underdogs don't win then all it takes is a couple of the faves to lose and it's a losing day with it being hard to make up the losses.
But, the algorithm is the algorithm. I can't argue with the rules. I personally would have been all over Halep to beat Azarenka at evens yesterday but the rules picked Azarenka so I went with her, and she lost.
I'm sure there will be some where my opinion will be wrong and the system will throw up the winner instead so shouldn't really compliain.
Over £500 profit recently so a nice buffer to help when the bad days come rolling along like they always do at some point.
- Torque, thecurlyone1 and TheEdge
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£80 profit from £58 stakes today.
- thecurlyone1 and TheEdge
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3 hours ago, Blackroses said:
I don't know how that got put there but I asked that...
I was about to say why have I been quoted, I didn't say that at all lol
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Today's picks. Plenty of underdogs so it could go very well, it could go horribly wrong!
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7 hours ago, thecurlyone1 said:
Going well fella ??
Ticking over at the moment yeah, thanks. I got excited when Niculescu was leading in the first set lol, would have been a great day if she would have won as well.
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£64 today, so slightly over a point profit from the four matches.
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Four early picks.
EDIT: after checking further matches there are no more picks for today.
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£126 profit yesterday. Thought it would have been higher but Gauff continued her cracking run by beating Rybarikova.
Just over 2 points it works out as.
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46 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Alright, that was enough. @eros is banned, should've been a long time ago anyway and I've given him more than enough final chances.
Personally, I'll be semi-away for the rest of the Wimbledon, thankfully my holiday falls right into this term and I'm not doing well anyway. I'll still be checking and posting, so good luck everyone!
Have a good holiday mate.
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1 hour ago, kempazzo said:
Kudermetova @2.60 vs Wozniacki - she had good run in Hertogenbosch (lost in SF to eventual winner Riske), in Eastbourne she lost as a qualyfier to Bencic. In that place, Wozniacki reached 3rd rnd where she lost to Sabalenka in 3 sets. Wozniacki's preparations for grass season were "hampered" by her wedding and that tells sth about the Dane's attitude toward tennis these days - she's past her prime time, now there are other important things in life... She had luck with opponent's injury to come back from 0:4 to 5:4, when Sorribes Tormo retired. Now, Kudermetova, who's 100% into tennis as a yound gun, will give her hard times on court.
My system picked out Kudermetova today as well. She's a nice price.
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Picks.
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Loss of £212 yesterday, nearly all of the underdogs lost, it could've been a profitable day if a couple had turned it around. Bouchard came closest I think, being a game away, but it's Bouchard and she was never really going to win I don't think lol
Tennis 2.0
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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