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Smiles Tennis

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Posts posted by Smiles Tennis

  1. Hercog to beat Brady 1.79 with Betfair

    As already mentioned, Hercog has only lost to better players on clay recently. She plays more on the dirt with 56% specialisation on clay compared to Brady who plays only 25% of her matches on clay. 

    Brady hasn't won two matches in a row on clay since April last year and even then two of the players she beat (winning 3 in a row) were ranked below #300. She had trouble against Jorovic. 

    She hasn't won two matches in a row on clay against top 300 opponents for over 3 years. 

    Hercog has 20 titles, all on clay. Brady has 4 titles with 1 on clay. Looking at the surface ranking, Hercog is #30 with Brady at #193. 

    Hercog is great value here. 

  2. Andreescu to bt Bouzkova - 1.66 Betfair. 

    In play at 1 set all. Andreescu took a while to find her shots and still hit a shit load of winners in the first set which she lost. She picked it up in the second and should be a bit of value to take this. 

    Bouzkova is 2-9 in main draw matches and even lost in straight sets in qualifying as a 1.3 fave to Samsonova who before the FO had lost five straight matches to players all ranked below #150 and some down lower than #350. 

     

     

  3. Not entirely. I have played around with a few things and trying some other bits out but the thread wasn't generating any discussion or anything so I stopped posting them. When the FO Qualies started I was so busy doing the picks and getting them to a mate that I just didn't have time to keep posting them here when there were never any replies so called it a day here. 

  4. Today: +2.82pts

    Total (since 4th May): +30.57pts

    Two that weren't matched. The De Greef one just because Betfair was down for lots of time this afternoon. A small profit again though, so can't complain. I thought with the 3.6 and 4.2 winners early on it might have been a great day but a pile of losers took most of the profit back. 

    Capture.PNG

  5. 1 hour ago, four-leaf said:

    Diego Schwartzman to beat Kei Nishikori at 2.40 with 888sport

    I think Diego deserves a lot of credit for getting to the quarters and here he's up against Kei who had lots of problems last match when he beat J-L Struff. I think Diego has found his game on clay again after lots of poor performances, he's my favourite to get into the semi in this match.

    My system has Diego to win as well. I thought Struff was going to take it yesterday but he fell back towards the end. Schwartzman has been playing well. 

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