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Heisenberg68

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  1. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to harry_rag in Euro 2024 Predictions 14th - 18th June   
    Can be backed at 6/1! 
  2. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from yossa6133 in Euro 2024 Predictions 14th - 18th June   
    I think the odds are really high for France tonight!

    France @1.59
    Mbappé 2 or more @4.60
    4-5 Goals @3.40
  3. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in Euro 2024 Predictions 14th - 18th June   
    I think the odds are really high for France tonight!

    France @1.59
    Mbappé 2 or more @4.60
    4-5 Goals @3.40
  4. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to Torque in Euro 2024 Predictions 14th - 18th June   
    I'll put up anything I think is value during the tournament - time permitting. There'll be a few dogs so if following expect plenty of losers. All available on the exchanges with prices calculated inclusive of commission.
    17pts Switzerland to win Group A @ 6.68
    7pts Scotland to beat Germany @ 13.5
  5. Sad
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from amity in French Open 2024   
    and now i think she will win the match
  6. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to timovk in French Open 2024   
    Rus - Kerber @1.52 Kerber is much more experienced and can take this easily. 👎
     Azarenka - 1.5 sets - Podorovska  @1.6.5                        Azarenka is also very experienced  while Podorovska is only a mediocre player. 2H2 for Victoria in straight sets. 👍

    Ram/Salisbury - Behar/Pavlasek @1.53 Very experienced pair ready to success here! 👍
    Popyrin - Kokkinasis @1.90 Kokkinasis is also old fox and knows how to play on Grand Slams. Tough battle but I see Aussie to win in 4-5 sets. 👍

    Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas - Molchanov/Smith @1.59 Greek brothers can go far away here and are talent clay player. 

    Keys - 1.5 sets - Zarazua @1.45  EASY Win to the Yankee who has been in tough condition lately. 👍
    Errani - Schmiedlova @1.75     👎 Errani is more experienced especially on this surface, but is much more slower and not at her best. 
    Heliövaara/Patten - Gonzalez/Vasselin @1.84   👍        This pair is the hottest just now! They have won 7 last matches and IMO they should be bigger favourites today. 
     
    Good luck you all. 
  7. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to Torque in £100 to £100,000 Glory Hunt (36% Complete)   
    I think that's the key - being selective. It's difficult to know who is able to do that and who isn't, which makes a collaborative approach problematic.
  8. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to harry_rag in Premier League Predictions > 11th - 13th May   
    So-so or not, he's in after surviving a VAR review. Think all my winners this weekend have been in the Premier League, I make it 7 posted in here. 
    Plenty of losers elsewhere but it breaks the recent trend for me to somehow manage to post all my losing bets on here!
  9. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in 💠 Heisenberg's Classic bets 2k24 / In Progress   
    ✅ Won / +£29,64
    💷 New Bank : £1048,84
  10. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in 💠 Heisenberg's Classic bets 2k24 / In Progress   
    ✅ Won / +£19,20
    💷 New Bank : £1019,20
  11. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to harry_rag in 💠 Heisenberg's Classic bets 2k24 / In Progress   
    Thanks. It just looked a bit like a menu or a wedding invitation! 
    Might have been a bit wearying on the eye once there was a lot of posts to be reading through.
  12. Thanks
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in 💠 Heisenberg's Classic bets 2k24 / In Progress   
    Hi 👋 
    For the next bet I'll put the text on the left-hand side so that it's easier to read. 
    No problem 😉 
    Thanks for the encouragement and I hope that the work will pay off and that success will be on my side. 
  13. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from avongirl in 💠 Heisenberg's Classic bets 2k24 / In Progress   
    Hello forum,
    A little update:
    I'm still here 🤪 , but the big lack of time at the beginning of the year. Everything's back in order now.
    Two weeks' holiday now to clear my head.
    a little trip to my second home in bolleart to follow my favourite club vs clermont

    https://www.flashscore.fr/match/tYfVQo8L/#/resume-du-match
     ( no problem for the victory if you want to bet )
    too bad I can't play Football Tipster Competition anymore 🤫 @avongirl
     
    after this enormous period of pressure at work and everything will be back to normal. The Olympics are great on TV, but France is really out of breath for the preparations.
    So, after my holidays, I'm finally going to spend some time on my project, which will finally have changed a bit.
    I'm going to trade offplay in prematches, but with a bank divided by two. I'll be starting the 2023 season with £1,000.
    You can read my second topic with the remaining £1000.
     
     
    Nothing else changes.
    We'll discuss it if there are any questions as I post my bets.

    Of course, once again, I apologise for my difficulties with English 😅
     
  14. Sad
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 2 - Week 6 Selections   
    10£
    Lens @3,50
  15. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to przemek in Division 1 - Week 6 Selections   
    Birmingham 3.75
    Lens 3.5
    15 double please 
  16. Sad
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 2 - Week 5 Selections   
    double £10
     
    Over 2,5 Toulouse - Lyon @1,83
    Lens @2,00 
  17. Thanks
    Heisenberg68 reacted to MCLARKE in Quest about odds movement on draws   
    Not wanting to butt in here but I am taking a bit more interest in football at the moment
    I have analysed the major leagues over the last 15 years and the worst return is the away win with a ROI of -10%, the draw is -8% and the home win is -4%. 
  18. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to harry_rag in Quest about odds movement on draws   
    Not intrinsically any harder or easier than the home or away odds really, with the added knowledge that punters don't generally like backing the draw which might suggest it's more likely to offer value. Indeed, if it's "easy" to calculate the home and away odds then, by a simple process of deduction, it's easy to work out the draw odds!
     
    Probably worth keeping a bit of an eye on. If there is a tendency for the price to drift as the win prices firm up then it could present a good trading opportunity.
  19. Sad
    Heisenberg68 reacted to Sterphyle in Division 1 - Week 5 Selections   
    Osasuna - Real Madrid 2 @ 1.55
    Montpellier - PSG 2 @ 1.53
    Dundee - Rangers 2 @ 1.33
    Treble £ 31.93
  20. Sad
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 2 - Week 3 Selections   
    Single 20£ 
    Psg @ 2,00
  21. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 3 - Season 2 Final Week 10 Selections   
    Double £10
    Rennes @2,70
    Lens @2,00
  22. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in Quest about odds movement on draws   
    The odds on a draw are really hard to estimate.
    Indeed, a drop in the odds of the favorite will tend to increase those of the Dog in general, of course, but may also have consequences for the draw.
    I'm only interested in one odds at a time, to be honest, either the Fav or the Dog. I've never really studied the odds of a draw because they're too unpredictable, except in certain cases, but that's relatively rare.
     
  23. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from harry_rag in Coup de France Predictions > January 19th - 24th   
    I found a few interesting bets :
     
    Nice , Rennes , Rouen
  24. Like
    Heisenberg68 got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in Coup de France Predictions > January 19th - 24th   
    I found a few interesting bets :
     
    Nice , Rennes , Rouen
  25. Like
    Heisenberg68 reacted to Fader in Scottish Open (plus QF)   
    The final tournament of the year (some German Masters qualifiers on 18th-22nd December) but the final tournament which will give us a winner, of the year. It's also the cut-off for the Grand Prix qualification. (15th-21st Jan).
    It's that cut-off which should inspire certain players. Mainly Luca Brecel, who is 2k from the cut-off and Kyren Wilson, who's 4k adrift. Si Jiahui has snuck into the top 32 after a good Shootout but he'll need to find some points to stay there. The likes of Un Nooh and Milkins will need at least one win to stay in the top 32 I reckon.
    With that in mind and also looking at the draw, I'll take the following:
    1pt e/w S.Murphy 20/1 Bet365
    1pt e/w K.Wilson 22/1 Bet365
    ----------------------------------------------------
    0.5pts e/w Vafaei 33/1 Paddypower
    0.5pts e/w Carter 66/1 Paddypower
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