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Scottish Open (plus QF)


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Straight into the Scottish and another tournament for Judd to win. Qualifiers today. I'll be taking a couple. First, it's Burns to beat Burden. I pretty much lay Burden in most matches as I think he's just not very good and has poor concentration. He'll have a half-decent match every now and then but Burns did alright last week, beating Junxu and Doherty and pushing Trump for a while. He was hitting it well at the Wuhan Open.

McGill looked terrible last week. He's gone out early in a couple of tournaments and was then smashed by Anda 4-1 at the English Open, Chadha beat him 5-4 at the Wuhan Open and he struggled badly against McGuigan (4-3) He was then smashed by Saengkham. Not one 50+ break in his last two matches. Yes, he's at the Scottish Open and he'll probably improve but I can see Thomerson getting a couple of frames at the very least.

2.75pts Burns to beat Burden 8/11 Paddypower
2pts Thomerson +2.5 frames to beat McGill 5/4 Bet365

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3 hours ago, 888888 said:

Trump is on a 22 match winning streak ; insane ; when will he lose ?

If he gets behind by 2 frames i'll bet against him because the laws of probability tell me this cannot go on forever


That's classic gambler's fallacy. The idea that winning streak has to end and a losing streak has to end. Of course these streaks do end eventually. but it's better to consider the merits of each match rather than get caught up in how a streak can't carry on.

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I'm going with 3 in the 11:30 matches. The Maguire/Day one is a hard one to call because Day hit a 147 in this event and that normally means that a player is playing well and carving out the right shots. He also has a good recent record against Maguire. However, Maguire is playing better and beating better opponents and so I'll side with him. I also think Junxu is worth backing. He beat Ding in their only h2h. McGill has improved his form massively in this event after looking hopeless a week prior. He can trouble Ronnie. Who is still coasting really in 2nd gear.

2.75pts Maguire to beat Day 8/11 Bet365
2pts Junxu to beat Ding 13/8 Bet365
2pts McGill to beat O'Sullivan 11/4 Coral
1pt treble - Junxu, McGill and Hawkins -1.5 9/1 Bet365

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35 minutes ago, 888888 said:

i am going with McGill +2,5 frames because Ronnie doesn't seem that sharp ;

Maguire to win to surf on his wave from beating Trump ;

and Barry Hawkins - 1,5 frame to beat the Thai player because there is a bit of a gap between the two players so 6-3 or 6-4 would be absolutely nothing strange

yep, like the +2.5. Agree with those 3.

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4 hours ago, 888888 said:

Good luck to us , Ding yesterday was bad but he came back from behind so he might be very confident so i don't have the balls to go against him 

Honestly, I wish I went Junxu and McGill on the plus handicap and Hawkins and Maguire on the minus in a 4-fold.

* I'm glad I didn't now. After a good start from McGill and Junxu, they both fall to pieces and go from 2-2 in both matches to both being beaten 6-2 😐 *

Only Maguire comes through.

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I think the only way Ford wins it is if Anda beats Ronnie. Your first ranking final, the last person you want to play is Ronnie. Ronnie leads the h2h 6-2 and the only 2 wins for Ford were 'bingo matches' in the shootout and wst pro series

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From 6-4 up Ronnie was dismal, tomorrow's final is going to be big for whoever wins as it'll be their first title and also give them entry to the champions.

I wonder if Ronnie will ever win another ranking title? It would take him up to 40 which is a nice round number. Same goes for Higgins I suppose as he's been patchy lately.

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