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Bang on

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  1. Like
    Bang on reacted to MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Monday 26th June   
    You are right, the losing runs can be long but in the long run there is an additional edge of 10 - 20% by using L15s.
    Most of my betting is on the exchanges and I too increase my stakes when my total profit reaches a new high on a weekly basis.
    I started at £10 per day and I'm now up to over £100 per day.
  2. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Monday 26th June   
    Each to their own, regular steady progress is reliable IMO, that's why I stick to singles ( with a rare double etc). The point I was making, was that it is a long time between drinks waiting for a 'lucky 15', and taking away the 1 successful bet would show the overall betting ( and selection process) in a truer light. I tend to use a 'Ratchet bank', meaning that I ratchet up after the bank increases, BUT, never reduce stakes after losers. The gradual increase is similar to compounding and the gradual increase in stakes starts to accelerate profits. For me personally, this gives much better returns in the long run.
  3. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Monday 26th June   
    If you hadn't had the 1 'Lucky 15' (the clue is in the name), what would your YTD be ? You are again changing trying to win people over, rather than just trying to win.
    There will always be bad days, bad weeks, and occasionally a bad (or seemingly pointless) months. You have to do your own thing, the fact that the bookies least favourite ( and least profitable) bet is the single should tell you something. There is a lot of racing these days (too much in reality), but as a punter, we don't have to bet in every race, or even every day. 
  4. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Royal Ascot Day 4 - Friday June 23rd   
    An interesting sprint at Musselburgh, with 2 lively contenders both dropping down the weights.
    7.50 Muss -
    Primo's Comet - 4/1 generally - Is now 13lbs below his winning mark (within the last year), is a 6 x CD winner, and the Mulrennan/Goldie (19% when paired) combination.
    Latin Five - 7/2 with W.Hills - Is now 10lbs below his winning mark (within the last year), is a 3 x D winner (but not course), and the Lee/Midgley (20% when paired) combination.
    I have backed both, and will be keeping an eye on (via tracker) whoever doesn't win as they are sure to be winning soon.
  5. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Royal Ascot Day 4 - Friday June 23rd   
    An interesting sprint at Musselburgh, with 2 lively contenders both dropping down the weights.
    7.50 Muss -
    Primo's Comet - 4/1 generally - Is now 13lbs below his winning mark (within the last year), is a 6 x CD winner, and the Mulrennan/Goldie (19% when paired) combination.
    Latin Five - 7/2 with W.Hills - Is now 10lbs below his winning mark (within the last year), is a 3 x D winner (but not course), and the Lee/Midgley (20% when paired) combination.
    I have backed both, and will be keeping an eye on (via tracker) whoever doesn't win as they are sure to be winning soon.
  6. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Bit of Fun ASCOT Lucky 15 Challenge.   
    2.30 - Chindit - 11/1
    3.40 - Dramatised - 5/1
    5.00 - Law of the Sea - 13/2
    6.10 - Raymond Tusk - 33/1
    Each Way 365
  7. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Bit of Fun ASCOT Lucky 15 Challenge.   
    2.30 - Chindit - 11/1
    3.40 - Dramatised - 5/1
    5.00 - Law of the Sea - 13/2
    6.10 - Raymond Tusk - 33/1
    Each Way 365
  8. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from Craig bluenose in Bit of Fun ASCOT Lucky 15 Challenge.   
    2.30 - Chindit - 11/1
    3.40 - Dramatised - 5/1
    5.00 - Law of the Sea - 13/2
    6.10 - Raymond Tusk - 33/1
    Each Way 365
  9. Like
    Bang on reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat- Saturday 17th June   
    I read that it made mistakes in its LTO race at the same venue and that put me off.  The same writer recommended Gina Force Ew.  We all know what happened there.  Great result with Mighty Gurkha though
  10. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat- Saturday 17th June   
    Dancingontheedge - lost disappointing
    Mighty Gurkha - WON comfortably
  11. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from fd1972uk in Racing Chat- Saturday 17th June   
    Dancingontheedge - lost disappointing
    Mighty Gurkha - WON comfortably
  12. Thanks
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat- Saturday 17th June   
    Dancingontheedge - lost disappointing
    Mighty Gurkha - WON comfortably
  13. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat- Saturday 17th June   
    6.40 Uttox - Dancingontheedge - 2/1 - From my tracker, for me this P.Nicholls runner hasn't really been busy, ridden at the back and taking the scenic route (extra furlong). Cheekpieces are added today and Harry Cobden takes the ride after others rode the last couple of runs. The only Nicholls runner at the course today where he has a 20% strike rate.
    7.55 Leic - Mighty Gurkha - 5/1 EW ( with bet365 as they are paying 1/5 3 places in a 7 runner race). Is falling down the weights (13lbs in last 6 runs), and is starting to look well handicapped. Jockey Taylor Fisher takes off a further 5lbs making it a very attractive bet at 5/1 with 3 places.
  14. Like
    Bang on reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 15th June   
    RESULTS UPDATE
    At long last I am in a YTD profit.  One of my L15's and accas won with three winning selections and a non-runner.  This produced a profit of 189.53 points + a small return on an ew bet meant a profit for the day of 190.23.  After deducting my YTD loss of -133.92 I am now in YTD profit of 56.31
  15. Like
    Bang on reacted to Villa Chris in Racing Chat- Wednesday 14th June   
    3.40 Newton Abbot Magic Saint 9/2
    Decent class 2 race with 2-3 improvers. Light N Strike and Clear The Runway need to prove they can win off their current marks with the former recording a very good time last time out . The selection though is Paul Nichols Magic Saint who’s absolutely thrown in here running in it’s first handicap since earlier in the year last handicap mark 143 now 127. He’s been running in hunter chases for a bit now without pulling up too many trees but this is not as hot as the handicaps he was once used to .Not as good as once was but as I’ve said he really is thrown in and has a good claiming jockey on board to aid the cause a bit more.  Interesting race. 
     
    5 points win 
  16. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    finished 3rd, beaten about a length.
  17. Sad
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    finished 3rd, beaten about a length.
  18. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    7.00 Ayr - Tilsitt  - 7/2 with bet365 (also paying 3 places in a 7 runner race) - likes it at Ayr with 3 wins at the course ( 2 x CD ). In fact his last 3 wins have all been here. Went from the front last time but weakened in the last furlong.  Has been dropped a further 2lbs and Joe Fanning ( Fanning from the front) takes the ride (2nd top course jockey riding here today). I'm on for WIN, but with bet365 offering 3 places(extra place offer) in a 7 runner race, it may appeal to others.
  19. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    7.00 Ayr - Tilsitt  - 7/2 with bet365 (also paying 3 places in a 7 runner race) - likes it at Ayr with 3 wins at the course ( 2 x CD ). In fact his last 3 wins have all been here. Went from the front last time but weakened in the last furlong.  Has been dropped a further 2lbs and Joe Fanning ( Fanning from the front) takes the ride (2nd top course jockey riding here today). I'm on for WIN, but with bet365 offering 3 places(extra place offer) in a 7 runner race, it may appeal to others.
  20. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from kensland in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    You seem to be changing your approach again. Your tag at the bottom says .. In handicap races we are not looking for long shots .
     
  21. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from kensland in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    7.00 Ayr - Tilsitt  - 7/2 with bet365 (also paying 3 places in a 7 runner race) - likes it at Ayr with 3 wins at the course ( 2 x CD ). In fact his last 3 wins have all been here. Went from the front last time but weakened in the last furlong.  Has been dropped a further 2lbs and Joe Fanning ( Fanning from the front) takes the ride (2nd top course jockey riding here today). I'm on for WIN, but with bet365 offering 3 places(extra place offer) in a 7 runner race, it may appeal to others.
  22. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    7.00 Ayr - Tilsitt  - 7/2 with bet365 (also paying 3 places in a 7 runner race) - likes it at Ayr with 3 wins at the course ( 2 x CD ). In fact his last 3 wins have all been here. Went from the front last time but weakened in the last furlong.  Has been dropped a further 2lbs and Joe Fanning ( Fanning from the front) takes the ride (2nd top course jockey riding here today). I'm on for WIN, but with bet365 offering 3 places(extra place offer) in a 7 runner race, it may appeal to others.
  23. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat-Tuesday 13th June.   
    You seem to be changing your approach again. Your tag at the bottom says .. In handicap races we are not looking for long shots .
     
  24. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from Smartins1234 in Greyhound Dutching System   
    I think you need to change your approach, you jump from track to track (much better to focus on 1 or 2 tracks as you get to know the dogs and trainers). Also backing 3 in a race when only 6 (sometimes just 5) runners is betting madness. Your ROI will be very very small at best. Trying to cover all eventualities is NOT trying to win .. just trying not to lose.
    Good luck, but I would suggest backing 2nd and 3rd favs .. or watch for any very late moves.
  25. Like
    Bang on got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat-Monday 12th June   
    Not today, but finished 4th at 10/1 .. so place money gained (2/1 for place).
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