darksidersfk

I have to Say that this is looking very very good.
I'll look foward to this
 
Great job, keep going!

Table correction
The last table misses a game. This is the correct one✌
%win   Profit 334,00 € 80%   Roi 33,40% Game odd profit botafogo vila nova 1,63 63,00 € cobresal u. espanola 1,90 90,00 € mont. yamagata ryukyu 1,66 -100,00 € njardvik haukar 1,70 70,00 € kordrengir thor akureyri 1,55 55,00 € recoleta colchagua 1,70 70,00 € saoura mlila 1,70 70,00 € chacaritas atl porteno 1,83 83,00 € hafnarfjordur keflavik 1,50 -100,00 € ytterhogdals umea fc 1,33 33,00 €

A simple factor that i discovered when playing with the stats. I don't use probabilities, only this factor and the booker odds. They together form a ranking. Then i use the best boundaries to increment sucess. But i don't use anymore what we call probabilities and fair odds. This simple don't work. I try a new edge.✌

I have to Say that this is looking very very good.
I'll look foward to this
 
Great job, keep going!

Sent u a message, keep up the good work for the thread.
Long run is the objetive

Google just launched a new search engine, for databases  
Pretty cool if you want to crunch through more data, just search for 'betting odds' or related.
https://toolbox.google.com/datasetsearch/search?query=betting odds
 
 
 

OK I think I have done it The sheet is called RANKING
let me know if you can get it 
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11RJQuXTn-X52U6niSwqrL_wpFDSHw-O9YCkf2Wfoa9A/edit#gid=1656779749

Mirco, just sent you a message with a short description about the filter I used.
Harry_rag, thank you for your message. I aggree with you regarding luck in betting but on the same time I strongly believe that we have to forget about luck if we want to improve our play.
We can speak about luck when we are talking about a game but not when we are talking about enough bets over a long enough period of time. We all know that won/lost games in 90 +4 minutes..impossible games in last minutes..etc but of course we are built to remember better the negative expereinces. I just want to say that over a long enough period of time the luck has zero influence in betting. 
More than that,  at the moment a player will forget about luck and focus only on strategy, money management, patience...etc will be surprised how much will improve the play.
It is exactly like in Backgammon. I am now a more then decent player but I improved my play only when I discovered myself thay Backgammon is not about luck but it is about skill. Of course I can beat the world champion in a one point game but in 21 points game I have no chance because the luck has almost 0 influence and remains only skill.   On the same way you can win or lose a bet because luck but on long periods is another story.
I also agree that my example could not be necessary "not random"  but the probability for a team to beat a few better teams in row with luck is extremely low so we can assume that it was not random but something happens there. 
I hope my message is understable for native English speakers...:)
 
 

I don't want to talk about achieved results and profits. Because my games are not verified. I know that it is possible to have decent profits each season and I want to show first that I am capable of doing it.
The most important thing is that I will be seen as a serious analyst and that I have proven it and not with only words.

a system is a system if you follow certain criteria when you chose if you back (or lay) or not.. So you don't need it mathematically written down, if it's in your head it's still your system.
BUT I would doubt that you just can create it in your head without testing it on historic data.. well you might be super lucky and hit long term success but that seems highly unlikely..
btw, PM me if you like some help with data.
 

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