MCLARKE

You're actually better off with the N/R   I've updated that and it will be on next table. 
In future could you do new selections for non-runners as a new post please, mate. Thanks

return 44.69, profit 24.69
this month - minus 75.31

I've had a fair bit of success when the going is heavy by backing those horses that have performed well on this going, you may need to dig deep in to the form book to uncover this.

Yeah I was gonna but betfair was 40 against bookies 33 so I rushed it....then its drifted to 50 !!! With bookies ...I'm gutted but super happy that the  computer is spotting these big prices so its bitter sweet ....note to self ...ew 
....lol

returns 60.00, profit 40.00, this month minus 100.00
not a big win but both horses drifted a bit which was handy ...... and after 13 successive losers any win is welcome !

All prices Bet365:
12.40 Wincanton - 2pts win Keep Moving @ 13/2
Won this race well last year off just 2lbs lower and has had excuses since. Ran okay when shaping as if needing the run at Exeter last time but ought to be a different proposition this afternoon and there's market support suggesting he can land this for the second year running. 
12.55 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Firmament @ 25/1
Backed this one last time over c&d and he went well for a long way on heavy ground and the slightly better conditions today will suit. Enjoys this track and with a slightly more conservative ride looks capable of getting involved here at a big price.
1.00 Aintree - 1pt e/w General Custard @ 10/1
Jumped a bit novicey on chasing debut after a long absence at Wetherby last time but could be a different proposition now with that under his belt. Needs to avoid the dreaded bounce but hopefully he can be ridden handier today as he gets the trip well. Mark looks appealing on novice hurdling form and if attacking his fences today, should hold sound claims.
1.30 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Ostilio @ 13/2
Dakota Gold will find this harder to dominate and I think the all round pace of Ostilio can see him prevail this afternoon. Plenty of form over 7f and a mile but has the speed to lie up with these and I can see him outstaying them late on so long as holding an early pitch. Good chance at the weights and ought to give a good account of himself.
1.35 Aintree - 2pts win Golan Fortune @ 11/2
Market support is there after this one ran a very promising race over a trip shorter than ideal on his reappearance at Cheltenham a couple of weeks back. Has ideal conditions here, is on a winnable mark and ought to go very well indeed.
1.50 Wincanton - 1pt e/w The White Mouse @ 12/1
Very interesting runner for Lucy Wadham as it looks well handicapped on novice form - winning a dual with Oscar Rose which reads well and was in the process of running a big race when clipping heels and coming down in a hot handicap when last seen. That was a while ago now but won its hurdling debut after a break and early market signals are quite promising. 
2.05 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Born With Pride @ 12/1
Still lightly raced and has a big chance on any of her form over this sort of trip. Hasn't finished off her races over further and it may just be that she doesn't stay and these conditions look spot on for her. Won on debut on heavy, ran okay despite having things go wrong in the hot Berlin Tango race at Kempton and ran a solid race over 1m4f behind Wonderful Tonight in France a couple of starts back. 1m2f on soft looks ideal and has a solid chance on ratings if bouncing back.

1255 donc 
Tomfre   312 
Kynren   310
These 2 are a bit clear .....kynren has been quiet for a while but conditions suit today and he usually picks up a race like this .....
Tomfre won a,shade cosily last time so could be more left in tank 
Tomfre 10pt win 5/1 sky 
Kynren 10pt win 9/1 b365 

Aintree 1.35 , Unowhatimeanharry  16/1 won
Wincanton 1.50, Cill Anna 5/1 lost 
Aintree 2.10 , Modus 6/1 Won 
Aintree 2.40, Call Me Lord 3/1 Lost 
Wincanton  3.35, Danny Whizzbang 9/2/ Some Chaos 14/1 lost 

Time to get some xmas spending money.   
315 donc november hcap 
Rhythmic intent 313
Tulip fields  310 
Massively wide open 23 runner hcap ....but these 2 are a fair few points ahead and huge prices....will need some extreme luck but could the xmas bonus be coming ??
Rhythmic intent 10pt ew 22/1 7places sky
Tulip fields 10pt ew 12/1 7 places sky
 

I'm good ta. These aren't calculations I have made, they were printed in the RP. All I was trying to say was that the RPR top ratings generated a similar return to that of favourites, I think this will be the same even if using BOG or BSP.
An interesting thread, thanks for starting it. I think I'll look at some of the rules I tend to use and list them un here to see what other people think.

Yes I agree with mcclarke above .....I rate on average 3 to 4 races a day when I have time but sometimes I have no bets purely because the value isnt there .....if the race looks messy or is too wide open and the horses are all bunched around 3/1 to 6/1 ...then it's better to pass .....a lot of the horses I back are twice the price they should be so if you keep backing horses like that your always gonna come out on top in the long run I.e ...you can have 8 straight losers at 10pts ...-80 ....but if your next horse wins at 12/1 your in happy town .......value is a big factor whatever system you use but making your own ratings just makes value bets that bit easier to find......and the more ....technical your rating the less likely anyone else will know what your seeing .....sometimes I plug numbers into the computer and think what the hell have you picked that for ??....its only when I dig a bit deeper that I realise theres some sort of hidden angle  ...big weight drop ....good performance finishing 7th etc ....behind it .....ratings can show that whereas it might be missed by just browsing the form as most people do .....its an "angle" 

Yesterday's selection won for a profit of £60. Balance + £58.
MUSSELBURGH 3.20
THE BEES KNESS 17/8
£20 WIN UNIBET

FAIRYHOUSE 3.15
MATTIE'S MOUNTAIN 5/1
£10 EW 888
 

The favourite won but my selection came 2nd so a profit of £18.

Agree Trotter, singles has worked very well for me over the years so I'll stick with that rather than going for sexier doubles.
I would have been in profit for the month if I'd stuck to singles but instead I ended up with a loss of £203.33.
That reduces my overall profit to £127.20 (2.1% ROI).
My 1st proper NH bets today, the 1st couple have lost but 1 more to go, 
CORK 3.53
CHARLIE SIRINGO 14/1 BET 365, £10 EW.
Favourite is 1/5 so there could be decent each way value here.
 

Congrats to all the winners and to Fader for stepping in wonderfully for BH

Well done all winners this month and to you guys in the money. Special Thanks to Fader for taking over and for all your efforts in keeping the comps going in difficult times, cheers mate. 
Off for my winter hibernation now   Good Luck guys and girls with all your stick hopping races and all have as happy a Christmas as you can have under these circumstances and we'll all be hoping for a MUCH better new year. You all look after yourselves and your loved ones and hopefully see you in the Spring. ❤️

No it's not a selection mate. If r/p forecast price is 1/4 or less it's not a selection. 

CATTERICK 3.15
LUCKY LUCKY MAN 10/1
£20 WIN BET365
 
 

Tuesday 27/10/2020
Catterick 02:45 MAIN FACT
f/c. 2/7
Stake =  10 pts. WIN

CATTERICK 3.15
LUCKY LUCKY MAN 10/1
£20 WIN BET365
 
 

2.15- Joie de vivre 
Mastercraftsman mare looks of interest on soft going. Only time she encountered it on the flat, won easily. Showed promise on handicap debut at Sedgefield, she slipped coming around the final bend losing momentum, but rallied for second, turned out too quickly few days later over extra distance & unsuitable ground, given a rest now back in trip & getting soft & getting capable claimer up taking 7lb off I think a big run is in order. Slightly put off at the drift, I've had a few shekels on at 4/1.
 
 

this month + 471.75
Having another go at getting a short priced double .....
Gal 3.00 - Beacon Edge 5/4
Gal 3.35 - Lieutenant Command 11/8
prices bet365 bog
£20 double

Sunday 25/10/2020
Wincanton 03:27 OSCARS MOONSHINE
f/c. 11/10
Stake =  10 pts. WIN

I don't normally bet on NH until November but with Cheltenham being on ITV I'll have a small punt.
2.10 Not a lot of data to go on but horses with forecast odds of 5/2 - 7/1 have an AE of 1.53. This leaves :-
BOTOX HAS 6/1 BET365
STRATAGEM 8/1 BET365