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Showing most liked content on 03/23/18 in all areas

  1. 3 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 24th

    So close to landing a massive price treble in midweek with Maidstone drawing in the end against Macclesfield although a 2nd injury time winner in two days was always going to be a tough ask. Results really are all over the place in the National League at the moment and it certainly pays to pick and choose what games to get involved with and even then not get too heavily involved unless there is very good reason for doing so. I do have one bet in the division this weekend, but the main ones yet again come from lower down the pyramid. Ebbsfleet v Maidenhead I just get the sense that Maidenhead are beginning to coast a little bit as we reach the tail end of the season. They don't really have anything to play for now as they can't reach the play-offs and they are a big price to end up in the bottom 4. A 1-1 draw against Boreham Wood was a fair result, but they were poor last Saturday when losing to Barrow as they were the Saturday before when losing 7-1 at Gatsehead. Indeed in their last 10 away games they have only beaten Hartlepool and Guiseley which doesn't say an awful lot. Ebbsfleet haven't played for two weeks so certainly no excuse about them having tired legs and they won 4 on the bounce prior to a 1-1 draw against Leyton Orient. They do have the odd blip at home and defeat to Chester and a 3-0 loss to Boreham Wood weren't great, but otherwise they have been hard to beat. They still have a chance of the play-offs so have plenty to play for unlike their opposition. I think the home side should be a shade of odds on here so 13/10 with Marathon makes plenty of appeal. FCUM v Bradford Park Avenue The home side look a massive price here. I have written a few times about FCUM's great home form and their last 10 home games record reads won 7 drawn 2 and lost 1, That is impressive especially for a team who are in a relegation battle. It is their away form that has been the big problem, but their home should see them safe. They have played 2 games more than their opponents here, but they are actually only 4 points below them in the table which shows how congested it is. Bradford haven't won in 5 now and that includes a defeat to bottom side North Ferriby. They have won just once in their last 10 games. You get the sense after over achieving for most of the season that they are getting close to where they should be in the table. I think the home side should be favourites so the fact they can be backed at 85/40 with Marathon makes them a good bet. Southport v Alfreton Southport aren't quite odds against this week as the bookies are slowly catching up with their form. Another 3-0 win against AFC Telford last Tuesday means they have now scored 3 goals in their last 5 games and have conceded just once as well. That is impressive form and I think they can continue that run against a struggling Alfreton side who were pretty poor when losing to AFC Telford on Tuesday night. With Southport having had a near two week break that should mean they are fresher than Alfreton as well. Regular readers will know I don't often tip up odds on shots but at Marathon's 17/20 I think they offer plenty of value still. Whilst I was writing the previews it was announced that Ross Hannah is joining Southport on loan until the end of the season and that is a plus for me. Hemel Hempstead v Gloucester City I am going to back my own side on Saturday and it is a game I am going to as well. Hemel have threatened to play a part in the title race all season, but that has realistically gone now and they have to concentrate on finishing in the play-off places. That could be easier said than done because they have only won one of their last 6 games and they have blown leading positions against Chelmsford and Dartford. Now Chelsmford are 6th and Dartford 2nd so a Gloucester side in 12th place should be an easier test. But Gloucester are the form side in the division right now. They have only lost once in their last 9 and that came against top side Havant when they only had 10 men and even then they were unlucky to lose. Given issues off the field and the fact it looked like we were going to be fighting for relegation at the turn of the year it is quite staggering that we even have half an eye on the play-offs. Granted Hemel don't lose at home all that often, but they have lost to Poole and Hungerford in their last 5 home games so they have been fair from bomb proof of late. Gloucester are nearly 3/1 with Marathon which looks big to me as I think we should be around the 2/1 mark. Lowestoft v Burgess Hill Backing a side who have only picked up 1 point in their last 9 games is hardly something you would expect me to do and usually it would be a crazy thing to do, but I have to take Lowestoft on again. Burgess Hill are bottom and a bit detached although they do have games in hand and this really is a must win if they want to survive. These are clearly two bad teams, but the bookies still haven't caught up with the problems at Lowestoft and at 16/5 with BetVictor the away side have to be worth a punt as they shouldn't be that price. Ebbsfleet 1.5pts @ 13/10 with Marathon FCUM 2pts @ 85/40 with Marathon Southport 4pts @ 17/20 with Marathon Gloucester 1pt @ 72/25 with Marathon Burgess Hill 1pt @ 16/5 with BetVictor
  2. 2 points
    My Ratings on the Lincoln
  3. 1 point
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 24th

    I couldn't back Guiseley to win any match at the moment. They are pretty much certain to go down and it is a must win for Torquay who are giving themselves half a chance of getting out of the relegation zone. At the same time I wouldn't want to take the price on Torquay, but its priced up about right for me.
  4. 1 point
    Thank you everyone for your very helpful replies, I will be taking all of the information and suggestions on board.
  5. 1 point
    thebestthere

    Naps : Friday Mar 23rd

    Dundalk 8.00 Lucent Dream 16/1 Bet365
  6. 1 point
    Soi Bongkot

    Naps : Friday Mar 23rd

    Bird For life 20.45 kempton 6/1 bet 365
  7. 1 point
    CzechPunter

    March 19 - April 1

    Apparently, the latest rumour is that Gasquet played a practice set against Rublev a day ago, losing 0-6 and winning just six points.
  8. 1 point
    Yeah, I think 5 and 6 furlongs for sprints 7F appears to be a bit of a specialist distance. A couple of hints - there are a heck of a lot of sprint races ......... it might be worth filtering out some and specialising even further ..... for example the better class sprint handicaps or group and listed & conditions races. It's a juggling act to find a compromise between having so many races that it sends you doolally trying to keep up with the form ......... and so few races that you go days with no race Also a lot of horses start off in sprints as 2 year olds but a lot of them will end up as milers or stayers ...... so you might be considering a lot of horses that are not destined to be sprinters after the first few months of their racing careers. My advice would be not to bother with two year sprints and only look at races for older horses by which time you'd hope that the stayers had moved on and won't be cluttering up your brain. Very important to get to know the tracks ......... left hand bend, right hand bend or straight, uphill or downhill, flat or undulating. Draw biases. Some horses are just better suited to one type of track and you need to know if your horse will be at his best on todays track
  9. 1 point
    Seedy

    Non-League Predictions > March 24th

    No worries - this ones ok - I've written it down now!
  10. 1 point
    to PL @MattA147 My personal opinion is that only 5 and 6 furlong races can be classed as sprints. 7 furlongs could be argued over and I think many may disagree, but I'd have to class this the same category as a mile. My reasoning is no horse can "sprint" for 7 furlongs, they'd be legless at the end. Also, there's the fact that because all race distances were corrected a good few years back, which effectively made them slightly longer, so no way for me is 7 furlongs a sprint, but 5 and 6 furlongs absolutely.
  11. 1 point
    Sugardaddyken

    Naps : Friday Mar 23rd

    Ramblow 1:35 Lingfield Park 15/2 @ Hills
  12. 1 point
    Jediknight

    Naps : Friday Mar 23rd

    Kempton 7.45 Believe It e/w (12/1 bv)
  13. 1 point
    BillyHills

    Latest Tables - March

    Mar 22
  14. 1 point
    vangovin

    Naps : Thursday March 22nd

    1845 Chelmsford Nonios 11/10 SkyBet ty
  15. 1 point
    impressivegol

    March 19 - April 1

    has anyone taken a look at the Istomin-Kecmanovic match? Odds are even between the two and I know Denis hasn't been in the best of form, but Kecmanovic looks to be primarily a challenger player who has struggled with players below Istomin's level. Kind of confused as to why Denis isn't a larger favorite in this matchup and I know nothing about Kecmanovic other than the unimpressive results.
  16. 1 point
    luckypants

    Naps : Thursday March 22nd

    Malaysian Boleh 5.45 Chelmsford 7/2 Bet365
  17. 1 point
    corky

    Naps : Thursday March 22nd

    1615 cork 1pt win danse away 5/4 bet365
  18. 1 point
    bluemal

    Naps : Thursday March 22nd

    CHEPSTOW 4:00 Looks Like Power @ 11/1 bet365 e/w thanks Looks Like Power....from Debra Hamer the 8yo has been successful in a hurdle race and a chase at 2m on good and heavy ground, he's had 196 days break before yard gave him his first of two runs this season in December last year when did well to finish 2nd here over 2m 3.5f heavy in a handicap chase beaten 5 lengths a good show after long break , His other race came 65 days ago at Hereford 2m 3f soft again a place finish 3rd beaten 8 lengths but jockey Trevor Whelan was hampered and lost his irons didn't help as dropped back to 4th at last but fought back in run in, The yard up the distance to 2m 7.5f for the first time although did 2m 5.5f before and found a place and with only two runs this season should still be fresh and bit more fitter only stamina is a question.
  19. 1 point
    Hi all, I am new here.. Looking at tomorrow’s match Northampton vs Shrewsbury, don’t you guys think that odds are a bit high for away team? Northampton fighting against relegation that’s obvious but Shrews are aiming for the top spot.. I am backing them with DNB odds 1,53
  20. 0 points
    Sir Puntalot

    Stats

    to PL @Keith Allies I think this is what you're looking for.