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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/10/17 in all areas

  1. Darran

    Weekend > Feb 11th

    Solihull v Sutton I was kicking myself for not backing Boreham Wood to beat Sutton in the FA Trophy replay on Tuesday night. Given Sutton’s away form and the fact they ended up with just 9 men on the pitch in the first game it really was an obvious bet, but for some reason I left it alone. They ended up getting stuffed and it is hard to understand why they aren’t favourites for this let alone priced up at 19/10 (various). Granted Sutton have two games in hand, but Solihull are actually 1 point above their visitors in the table. They have gone through some changes in the squad and I
    2 points
  2. Bordeaux - Paris Saint Germain Full Event Away -0.75 (AH) @ 1.826 5/10 PINNACLE Football / Fra. Ligue 1 / Kick off: 10 Feb 2017, 20:45 Match between 7th and 2nd team of Ligue 1 will be played on Matmut-Atlantique in Bordeaux and it will start at 20:45 on Friday. Bordeaux is coming to match after comfortable win in Caen (0-4). I need to admit that result did surprise me, but when I saw the goals, picture was clearer. First goal came because of critical mistake of 21 year old Leborgne, second goal after disastrous reaction of goalkeeper, third again after bad covering of Le
    2 points
  3. Gilles Muller/Roberto Bautista Agut over 2.5 sets at 2.50 with bet365 I think this one might go over 2 sets since we have two players in form playing excellent tennis. Gilles is serving as good as usual and Roberto also and their play from the baseline is alright too. Looks to me as if it could be 3 sets. It's 4-2 head to head to RBA. Last season RBA won in straight sets in the semis of Sofia and he also won in the Rio olympics by the same scoreline as in last years edition of Sofia and that is 7-6 6-4 and 6-4 7-6. But this time I think there might be 3 sets. With the odds 2.50 it's worth
    2 points
  4. Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either. West Ham - WBA I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up. Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up. I expect a cagey affair. U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT) HT X @ 2
    2 points
  5. First, well done to the OP. I don't think this will go anywhere but it will improve you as a bettor and make you think about different ways to price up markets and eventually you will pivot and come up with something new and take some of what you have learned from this experiment. To reply to Xtc12 when talking about long term statistically significance I would need a backtest of about 1,000 games and much more preferably 10,000. I am not a high volume bettor and will never reach 10,000 bets but my approach can't really be back tested as I look at many different factors which no form
    1 point
  6. Newport are a dangerous one. Unbeaten in their last five I think it is but still not really looking like a team that will win games regularly. However, top of the table Doncaster have to be fancied at that price. Watch it end in a draw now! Championships ratings are now up there in case you guys haven't seen as well. What are we thinking? I saw Ladbrokes promoting the 3-0 outcome for the Sheffield Wednesday versus Birmingham game tonight at 12.00. Did anyone get on that?
    1 point
  7. Goal and (RU) tryscorers are my "specialism" in as much as I have one, at least in terms of probably accounting for more of my bets than any other single type of bet, Dipping my toe into League to see if the same approach works or not. In tonight's Cas/Leigh game I've bought Eden's try minutes at 24 with SPIN. Heard a favourable mention for the prospects of him scoring and I'd equate that to around 11/8 anytime when he's actually 10/11 at most. Has a ratio of a try roughly every other game. Also topped up on Roberts at the eye catching 11/2 anytime with Spreadex, having followed some
    1 point
  8. I've just jumped on Doncaster to win v Newport at 1.95 Seems far too nice a price given how bad Newport have been this season. Doncaster have the 3rd best away record in the league and are coming in on hot form ( 1 defeat in 9) whereas their opponents have a number of injury concerns according to their coach. Newport also with 1 win in last 15. The hosts are unbeaten in four but I feel that was the side playing close to max potential. The pitch is suppose to be absolutely terrible tonight so that will help Newport but I expect Doncaster to be too strong. If you wanna win the title th
    1 point
  9. Bett

    Weekend > Feb 10th - 13th

    I'm looking at Real Betis vs Valencia. There's usually goals in this, and over 2.5 goals 2.00 @Bet365 looks great value.
    1 point
  10. Guys, dont forget to have a look at our very own racecards on the Punters Lounge Now included as well as all the runners and form we have the previous winners and all the latest odds comparison tables. https://www.punterslounge.com/horse-racing/racecards Example: Denman Chase at Newbury
    1 point
  11. Benoit Paire/Dustin Brown over 2.5 sets at 2.37 with bet365 Taking this because it seems to me both players have been playing well so far and both previous encounters between them have gone the distance. Dustin has a 2-0 lead in the head to head but as I've said it's been three sets both times and the price is higher on over 2.5 sets then it is to back Dustin. So I'm happy to back the match to go over 2 sets.
    1 point
  12. Tanktop

    Weekend > Feb 11th

    Grantham v Stourbridge Both teams on an amazing run of form. Stourbridge having lost once in the last 15 league matches (a 4-1 defeat away to Sutton Coldfield at end of Jan), Grantham are unbeaten in the last 15, seeing them rise to 6th in the table, 4 points behind second placed Stourbridge. Blyth are running away with the league on 65 points (10 ahead of stourbridge). The bookies make Stourbridge slight favourites, however, Stourbridge have lost 2 of the last 4; after the sutton Coldfield loss (their last away match), they played in the league cup and lost 4-1 at home... to Granth
    1 point
  13. Southwell 15.00 Sir Billy Wright @ 25/1 betfred e/w thanks Sir Billy Wright.....from David Evans yard the 6yo usually goes well after a long break he's been off track for 70 days after his last run at Wolverhampton AW 6f when he finished 8th of 12 runners in this class 3 he's in today, He has won four times from 5f to 7f including a win on the all-weather, He had a 2nd and 3rd here about this time last year with the 2nd place coming in class 2 off 82 mark, he goes off that mark today and has Clifford Lee in saddle claiming 5lbs
    1 point
  14. Yeovil v Leyton Orient Yeovils last 11 home matches W6 D3 L2 (losses to doncaster and barnet), and have the 6th best home record in the division, their lowly league position is due to their poor away record. Their last home win was against 2nd placed Plymouth. Im going to repeat what i said the other week about Orient - Leyton Orient are currently on an extremely poor run of form which has seen them pick up just four points from their last six games. Since the turn of the year, they have lost three games in a row; 4-0 away to Exeter, 3-1 at home to Barnet and 2-1 away to Portsmo
    1 point
  15. Ok so I woke to a free bet in one of my accounts today so I've placed it on Bordeaux Double Chance v PSG As mentioned before, PSG have been quite slack of late V Dijon and Lille whilst never really dominating at any stage at (H) v Monaco. I don't think this PSG will win the league. They are weaker than previous seasons and their rivals have improved. Cavani, for all his great movement and work ethic is nowhere near the player Ibra was for them. If you put Zlatan in this PSG side I'd think they'd win the league. Without him the fine margins such as Cavani's continuous ability to miss
    1 point
  16. Perth Glory won 5-0, WON £14 Bank now £710.35 Week One ~ Won £110.35. ~ Average Weekly Profit £110.35 ~ Average Weekly Target £60
    1 point
  17. Much tougher EPL card this week with hardly any value to speak of imo. Maybe Sunderland on a + since I don't like Southampton without Van Dijk and Fonte. They just look like one of those marooned in midtable, here have 3pts off us teams. Imagine what they'll be like after the league cup final, probably wont win another game for the rest of the season and stay up with 29 points due to Palace and Middlesbrough being total shite. Anyway no bets for me as yet, Sunderland price seems to reflect ELO ratings so hardly value bet of the century in any case. Your gut instincts have to take over mor
    1 point
  18. I fancy Betis - Valencia and Las Palmas - Sevilla BTTS double. Will come back to this when @betcatalog chimes in....
    1 point
  19. Holmes won 70-72, Day won 69-73, WON £21.35 Bank now £696.35. Profit to date £96.35
    1 point
  20. Hey guys Per DNB at 2.2 = I agree with vasili here Bri DNB at 2.35 = I agree with vasili again! City decimated by suspensions lolz CC DNB at 5.5 = Cc in a bit of form atm so happy to go with value here Gl
    1 point
  21. No problem backing PSG for me, the way i see it is that PSG struggled against strong middle team sometimes, oftenly by lack of motivation, but they usually crushed them, and moreover PSG almost never struggle against a team which try to play, offer decent football, and try to be offensive like this 2017 Bordeaux ;-) Yes PSG had a few bad games, but it's not the same team anymore.. I've a strong feeling they'll be able to beat Bordeaux, knowing Monaco is gonna beat Metz they won't let go the match, and Emery will motivate his players telling them that the best players on the pitch tonight
    1 point
  22. @StevieDay1983 Over the moon mate can't wait for April 2nd now! We finally deserve something positive after years of hurt. But we've got to put it to one side and focus on trying to survive in League One, which is looking highly doubtful at the minute. I just hope we play the nice football we played in the first half instead of the "hoof ball" we've been playing so far under Slade. Our very young defence coped well with Akinfenwa after his goal. With no league wins in our last 13 matches I think we need to win 3 out of our next 4 (or 2 wins and a draw minimum) in order to push ours
    1 point
  23. Napoli in the eight most recent games has six wins and two draws, offers the best offensive line in the division with 55 goals assets. Genoa seven most recent games has five defeats and two draws away from Genoa usually not do a whole away two wins, two draws and seven defeats with goals 10-21. Napoli did not think today have trouble on the field with Genoa, is a class above SSC NAPOLI vs GENOA CFC @@ -1.50 AH SSC NAPOLI, odds 1.85
    1 point
  24. Bordeaux whole league has 15 to 24 under 2,5 and 8 to 12 under 2,5 in her stadium. The PSG has the best defensive line with 18 conceded goals, which is why it has 15 to 24 no goal total in the league. and 7 to 12 no goal away. The two teams have good defenses, today I expect tough game and I don’t see a lot of goals FC GIRONDINS BORDEAUX vs PARIS SAINT GERMAIN @@ +2.75 Under, odds 1.86
    1 point
  25. Mansfield @3/4 are my nap. They are in great form and hartlepool are poor and woefull away from home. Can't see anything other than a home win for mansfield.
    1 point
  26. Mainz v FC Augsburg Mainz: Bungert (7/1 d, doubtful), Berggreen (0/0 f), Onisiwo (13/1 f) FC Augsburg: Kohr (14/1 m, suspended), Callsen-Bracker (0/0 d), Caiuby (2/0 m), Koo (15/2 m), Moravek (8/0 m), Finnbogason (6/1 f) Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com
    1 point
  27. Having seen Leeds in the flesh last week they are a pretty physical side who rely on set plays a lot and superior fitness. If you can not let their physicality knock you out of your stride you might have a chance of getting something from the game....I won't be backing you though lol.
    1 point
  28. Gone for Greenwood try minutes at 13 with Spreadex in the opener. A hasty bet and a foray into the relevant unknown but price looks ok for a low risk interest.
    1 point
  29. Feb 9 Rainbow goes for gold
    1 point
  30. B3.20 Barton Gift 14/1 William Hill
    1 point
  31. let's just agree that valencia will get red carded, concede a penalty and lose 5-0 because that's what they are good at and we can't lose
    1 point
  32. Tanktop

    Weekend > Feb 11th

    Aldershot v Barrow Both teams pushing for the play-off and are separated by just one point. Theres a massive difference is in form though. Aldershot last 8 games - W5 D2 L 1, since december theyve won 3 and drawn1, scoring 8 and conceding just 1. Barrow are the opposite, with only 1 win since november (although against Lincoln),Last 8 - W1 D3 L4, according to their forums theyre poor at set peices, good at the back, and have a 'direct' style of play (hoof the ball to the tall striker!), Barrow have a lot of injuries and rely a lot on loanees, also one of their main strikers (Harrison) is
    1 point
  33. i see no reason to think that roma, inter milan, torino, juventus will fail to win their games. it looks pretty straight forward and even atalanta, sassuolo and sampdoria have more than 50% chance to win theirs
    1 point
  34. DrBetter

    Weekend > Feb 11th - 13th

    Hi, thanks for these feedbacks... After last week, i'll be tempted to stay on Everton, with City, no major injuries for both.. I haven't any good feelings about Chelsea at Burnley or Stoke this week, for me Everton can't loose, it's just impossible, and City don't play in CL next week, they'll be on fire to progress and do a few good games more until Monaco, and as you said Bournemouth is currently very bad.. So I'll put my money on Everton in a draw no bet, combined with a City win at Bournemouth. Total odds: 2.1 Good luck!
    1 point
  35. Good game all Larynx been on the blink again but did the talking on the online felt :))
    1 point
  36. $62.68......my second PL triple crown...and 1st ever PLO triple crown....3 mtt wins in one day!
    1 point
  37. Hopefully I can back it up. Sydney should win but the odds for -1 is too low that's doesn't make it a worthy play. Adelaide will not have the service of Isaias due to suspension. He is like the Kante of Adelaide imo so he is a very big miss. 1st choice gk Galekovic will be out as well. His replacement will be John Hall, a very poor gk. In the 6 games he played last season, he conceded 13 goals and kept only 1 clean sheet. As seen last week, his positioning as a gk is woeful. Perth Glory should really be looking to take advantage as they look to close in on Roar and City. I will be on
    1 point
  38. Yes Division I have to agree entirely with your comments above but, there is nothing better than trying to find some criteria where you think you can catch the bookies (they are very rarely caught). My missus is constantly berating me as I have paper all over the place scribbling info that I pick up on this site. Yes you need to be careful, that you have backtested it for a long period and then bet small to see if you can beat the bookmaker. As the saying goes "I have yet to see a poor bookmaker" but we all still like to dabble once and all the time. Really LegendMon is testing his system at t
    1 point
  39. Happy New Year! I will update the results from a couple of weeks ago soon, just want to response to @Division first. The Burnley question. Simple answer is yes, the performance at home is factored into the equation in someway when looking at the away rating - this also works vice versa, where the away performance affects the home rating. Just because they are performing incredibly at home doesn't necessarily mean that they are a great team overall. The same is true with someone like Manchester City; just because their home form isn't that good, doesn't mean they are a bad team. Relat
    1 point
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