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I have a strict policy, i never listen to noise whether that is a horserace trainer a jockey, a paper pundit or MSM even down to what players say, i do my own research i make notes and i back what/who i think can win at whatever price/s is available within reason, i don't use exchanges (foolish i know but i can live with it) you are correct i avoid favs like the plague even in Horse racing unless they totally align with my criteria which consists of my own speed figures, my notebook and my memory. its a simple approach but it works for me. i recommended one max bet of 100 points this year i posted it on here it was a second fav and it won. A sample of one is as MR Rag says means nothing much but there are enough of my posts on here to support the profitability of my methods if anyone cares to research them. I bet for fun and the challenge. The EW question is a personal thing i also avoid them as much as possible sometimes if i am on a bit of a bad run i will do the occasional ew L15 just for the confidence boost if getting a little back. I will agree that the sensible thing to do would be ew on the golf given the prices but i choose not to i prefer to bet by the round and i view ew as thinning my bank, better to have two runners at a point each than 1 point ew on one given how pathetic ew is these days 1/5th odds is a joke. 1/4 was/is bad enough. In my opinion Hovland is currently one of the top golfers and as such should be able to play any course, if left handers can overcome what are essentially courses designed around right handers then Hovland should be able to negotiate Augusta. We shall see its going to be interesting/exciting as it always is.

Taunton 16:58 BUMPY EVANS 15/8 Bet365 

19:45 Kempton Jack Andrea 17 bet365

  6 hours ago, Cookiejames1 said:

Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Under 0.5 goals 10/1 Over 4.5 goals 9/2

Under 1.5 goals 14/5 Over 4.5 goals 9/2 

Under 2.5 goals 19/20 Over 4.5 goals 9/2

Under 3.5 goals 4/11

Under 4.5 goals 1/8

Over 4.5 goals 9/2

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It won at 4/11 and 1/8. That is 2 straight nights that it has won. 

  4 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

I have a full list of all players and the comments i make as i am watching and believe me i can find negatives on most of the field but at the end of the day you have to decide who has fewer than most. lets take Scheffler nought from five this year and surgery and becoming a father for the first time are few real negatives add on the yanks are not winning many of their own tournaments but you are willing to take a short price? How about Mcllroy getting on a bit now and doesn't seem able to get the job done at the  top level but he has surprised me this year but that price is shocking. Rahm faded in the liv and seems to have lost his edge to me, Morikawa i would argue is past his sell by date and another lacking belief, Aberg has been woeful, Lowry is a bottler to my eyes Shaufelle another who has had surgery and is out of form, Thomas is a sulker, Matsuyama didnt make the cut last week. Koepka is older than me ffs (well nearly) Cantlay, Spieth and fleetwood are zig zagers. De Chambeau i dont really know much about his recent form. im going to add Nieman to a point to my list at 28/1. Pops a few surprises the masters so there are a few reasons to avoid the top end of the market but like i have said before we all have our ways and means so it will be interesting, im looking forward to it.

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It certainly will be interesting and I'll be more than happy to see Hovland win and of course you can find negatives about every player including the favourites. As I've said before though, I can't see beyond comments from any golfer that suggest they aren't suited to a course. It's not as though his price is that great either considering what he's said - at least not as far as I'm concerned. I might have taken a chance on him in spite of his comments if his price was bigger - he's 55's on the exchanges which is inside the top 20 in the betting - but even then I can't see past the comments he's made. To put it another way, if he doesn't win then the first thing I'll be thinking about is how he practically told me not to bother with him before the tournament started.

As for the comment about Scheffler, yes I will back him at short odds but as I've said a few times now that's because I've decided to back him in every tournament this season regardless of any analysis of his chances. I'll also reiterate that the idea behind that is not that he's a good price in every tournament, but that he'll end up being a good price overall and the proof of that pudding will come at the end of the season or sooner if I decide to cut my losses. Ultimately it seems like you're someone who sees no value in favourites and just draws a line straight through them every time, whereas I have enough data behind me to know that favourites are worth backing. Let's just be satisfied about our differences.

As an aside, I'm assuming you're backing each-way rather than the straight win otherwise I can't see any value in what you're backing at all. As I said, Hovland is 55's on the exchanges and Niemann is 42's there and there's also Min Woo Lee at 50's and Zalatoris at 75's. Even if you are backing each-way I'm not convinced that betting with the bookies at those odds is worth it and if anything it just illustrates that the higher you go with bookie odds, the worse a deal you get and the harder it is to get anywhere.