dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Share Posted January 25, 2010 RULES REMOVED 18/02/10 General basis relies on LTO, performance over time, weight, jockey, gender and distance of current race Selections for today LINGFIELD 13:25 NOUN DE LA THINTE WOLVES 13:45 MAROSH 16:40 LEYTE GULF :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules What i like about this is that it takes literally 2 minutes to check selections on the RP website so would be great if this develops in a winner :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules Forgot to add, all prices will be to BF SP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules LINGFIELD 13:25 NOUN DE LA THINTE...+22.5 WOLVES 13:45 MAROSH...+11.9 16:40 LEYTE GULF...-10 total stake = 30 total profit = +24.5 total yield = 81.67% strike rate = 2/3 = 66.66% not a bad start, LEYTE GULF was only a length away from making it a hat trick. like my other system i think im gonna drop the AW tracks though. i think these types of system work better on turf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted January 25, 2010 Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules good luck with this dannkez:hope,are you putting a min bf sp of 2 on when placeing bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules cheers matey, yes i think thats how its going to work. if a horse in the morning is forecast between 2.0 and 5.0, its a bet. not sure what ill do if its forecast at say 6/5 but actually on betfair its 1.9, not sure that would happen though as the exchange is higher 95% of the time. we shall see........ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 26, 2010 Author Share Posted January 26, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules no selections today :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trilobite Posted January 26, 2010 Share Posted January 26, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules I think you could check the stats for this system at the Adrian Massey site :unsure Maybe start with a Odds custom report and filter like this system. http://www.adrianmassey.com/odd/index.php Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 26, 2010 Author Share Posted January 26, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules trilobite, what a bloody brilliant website, why have i not seen this before i run a report off it with as best the criteria as i could, it returned 6819 selections of which 1833 were winners, strike rate of 26.9% with a success rate of 100.3% which is brilliant. using this i can make a staking plan that could turn break even in to 15% yield and away we go...... one thing i will refer to now though is his value odds of SP. Of course i wont be able to use the actual SP but the projected one on RP will do. If BF cant give me a price at value or more than it wont be a selection. i have high hopes for this now, thanks matey Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 27, 2010 Author Share Posted January 27, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 16:40 GLEN LASS 17:40 ROCKET ROB 18:40 SLICK MOVER 19:10 LOVE DELTA 19:40 GREYFRIARSCHORISTA LINGFIELD 14:30 FANTASY RIDE 16:30 STRAIGHT FACE NOTE; Selections made before 9am are done without checking the forecasted SP, once this is available, the SP will be compared against the exchange, all odds on selections will be removed and only those where value can be obtained will be selected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 27, 2010 Author Share Posted January 27, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules OK example Glen lass forecast SP - 5/4, Value exchange odds 2.31, so unmatched bet placed at 2.32 KEMPTON 16:40 GLEN LASS @ 2.32 unmatched at time of posting 17:40 ROCKET ROB @ 3.6 unmatched 18:40 SLICK MOVER @ 10 (value was 4.88) 19:10 LOVE DELTA @ 3.4 (value was 3.39) 19:40 GREYFRIARSCHORISTA @ 2.66 unmatched Lingfield selections removed as one was non runner and the other had 2 horses meeting the criteria so no bet :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted January 27, 2010 Share Posted January 27, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules You just got a winner in the last and a place before. Looking good so far. :hope and another winner. and another. Sounds an impressive run too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 27, 2010 Author Share Posted January 27, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 16:40 GLEN LASS @ 2.32...-10 17:40 ROCKET ROB @ 3.6...-10 18:40 SLICK MOVER @ 10...+85.50 19:10 LOVE DELTA @ 3.4...+22.80 19:40 GREYFRIARSCHORISTA @...+15.76 total stake = 80 total profit = +129.01 total yield = 161.26% strike rate = 5/8 = 62.5% i must say that was a good days work :dude the only problem i found today is there a clear distance in obtaining value at the forecast SP rather than the actual SP and the value calculated that i need is based on actual SP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 28, 2010 Author Share Posted January 28, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 19:25 SNOW BAY @ 5.7 unmatched 19:55 HOLLOW JO @ 5.8 SOUTHWELL 14:10 BOUNDLESS PROJECT @ 2.8 unmatched 15:50 HIGHLAND RIVER @ 8.37 THURLES 15:55 TALLY EM UP @ 5.7 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 28, 2010 Author Share Posted January 28, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 19:25 SNOW BAY @ 5.7...-10 19:55 HOLLOW JO @ 5.8...-10 SOUTHWELL 14:10 BOUNDLESS PROJECT @ 2.8...-10 15:50 HIGHLAND RIVER @ 8.37...-10 THURLES 15:55 TALLY EM UP @ 5.7...+45.14 total stake = 130 total profit = +134.15 total yield = 103.19% strike rate = 6/13 = 46.15% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 29, 2010 Author Share Posted January 29, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules value is gonna be an issue for me in terms of time at the min, so im gonna hve to stick for the BF SP for now which in sense represents value a lot of the time so hopefully it wont affect the system too much Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 29, 2010 Author Share Posted January 29, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules LINGFIELD 13:40 MISTER GREEN 16:00 BILLY RED WOLVES 18:40 BISHOPBRIGGS :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 30, 2010 Author Share Posted January 30, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules LINGFIELD 13:40 MISTER GREEN...-10 16:00 BILLY RED...-10 WOLVES 18:40 BISHOPBRIGGS...+63.1 total stake = 160 total profit = +177.25 total yield = 110.78% strike rate = 7/16 = 43.75% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 30, 2010 Author Share Posted January 30, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules LINGFIELD 14:15 NOVAY ESSJAY JUST THE ONE TODAY :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 31, 2010 Author Share Posted January 31, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules LINGFIELD 14:15 NOVAY ESSJAY...-10 total stake = 170 total profit = +167.25 total yield = 98.38% strike rate = 7/17 = 41.18% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 31, 2010 Author Share Posted January 31, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 14:55 BOOGIE WALTZER 16:25 CUTHBERT LIMERICK 16:40 CAOLA MANN PLUMPTON 13:45 EXTREME IMPACT 16:15 ONE CORNETTO :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 31, 2010 Author Share Posted January 31, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 14:55 BOOGIE WALTZER...-10 16:25 CUTHBERT...-10 LIMERICK 16:40 CAOLA MANN...-10 PLUMPTON 13:45 EXTREME IMPACT...non runner 16:15 ONE CORNETTO...-10 total stake = 210 total profit = +127.25 total yield = 60.59% strike rate = 7/21 = 33.33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 1, 2010 Author Share Posted February 1, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules WOLVES 15:15 MAGENTA STRAIT :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 1, 2010 Author Share Posted February 1, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules WOLVES 15:15 MAGENTA STRAIT...-10 total stake = 220 total profit = +117.25 total yield = 53.30% strike rate = 7/22 = 31.82% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 1, 2010 Author Share Posted February 1, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules Southwell 16:30 Wedding Dream Taunton 13:40 French Ties Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 3, 2010 Author Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules KEMPTON 19:30 CLEVER OMNEYA LINGFIELD 13:10 OBE GOLD :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 3, 2010 Author Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules post removed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 3, 2010 Author Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Five Golden Rules Thankfully the 2 i selected earlier fit the new criteria, i hope thats an omen :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 4, 2010 Author Share Posted February 4, 2010 Re: Seven Golden Rules Southwell 16:30 Wedding Dream...-10 Taunton 13:40 French Ties...-10 KEMPTON 19:30 CLEVER OMNEYA...-10 LINGFIELD 13:10 OBE GOLD...+33.4 total stake = 260 total profit = +120.65 total yield = 46.4% strike rate = 8/26 = 30.77% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 4, 2010 Author Share Posted February 4, 2010 Re: Seven Golden Rules Ive also studied the outsiders ie anything meeting the criteria but forecast outside of 9/2 So as well as posting my current selections, im going to follow stakes on the outsiders aswell, they will be posted separately for clarity, although there are none today, just my regulars SOUTHWELL 15:00 CHARGING INDIAN F/C 4/1 WINCANTON 14:20 GIFTED LEADER F/C 7/4 WOLVES 18:20 KIRSTYS LAD F/C 9/2 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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