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FleetFanatic

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About FleetFanatic

  • Birthday 04/02/1974

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  1. Well that didn't quite go to plan. Spent £5 ew, £100, £50 refunded. Returns £36.25 so lost £13.75. For a while, we were hopeful for 3 of them near the front.
  2. Bit of a gamble on Mister Malarkey it seems - got 33/1 yesterday now down to 14/1...
  3. GRAND NATIONAL Lake View Lad Burrows Saint Talkischeap Anibale Fly Any Second Now Lord du Mesnil Cloth Cap Mister Malarkey Canelo All backed from the Grand National Thread I started. Placed yesterday, bet365, 5 places, BOG & half stakes back in refundable cash. BET365 OFFER IS STILL ON UNTIL MIDDAY.
  4. Had to edit Double Shuffle & Ami Desbois - I counted their weights as 10st 3 by accident when they are 10st 2 - both dropped 9 in the scoring. Neither were winning the race anyway. Added: Blacklion 74 Some Neck 70 Secret Reprieve 63
  5. Just done mine - in my excitement, I have managed to cover Mister Malarkey twice - I hope he's the winner now!
  6. Currently travelling back but here's the offer we wanted to see... https://extra.bet365.com/promotions/horse-racing/grand-national-money-back-offer
  7. I am currently travelling for a younger brother's funeral tomorrow. I'm unlikely to do any more updates until the final declarations on Friday. 👍
  8. Updated for the current top 40 declarations - no changes to my shortlist.
  9. I'm waiting to see what bet365 offer first... they have regularly done either bet 1, get stakes back as a free bet (to then use on another in shortlist, so 2 for the price of 1); their other one was bet 1, get the 50% of stake refunded as cash - so every 2 bets gave me the money to cover another. I'd rather bet 10 for the price of 5 or 6 than play for 6th/7th/8th but guess it's down to personal preference.
  10. Here's an interesting thing - If I slacked the above criteria just the one little notch - to be make it 'won at 3m or more' instead of 'won a distance greater than 3m) Then only 2 horses would actually improve their rating enough to score 90+ = Mister Malarkey & Canelo. With only 7 qualifiers at the moment (and I like to have 10 if possible, especially if any offer mean I'm only betting the stakes of 5), I think I'll shortlist those two.
  11. We lose Beware the Bear (withdrawn, as have Santini & Pym). Will update the first post including the next 3 that need to be rated later... now updated - no new additions to shortlist (currently 7 runners)
  12. You sure about the placing? I can see 3rd of 7, techncially not a place...
  13. You have similar ideas. Without the exact scoring methods being told: The ratings above insist a horse must have won at a distance further than 3m, as well as placed or better in something 3m 2 or greater. Mister Malarkey & Canelo failed both of those... (bigger than 3m - not 3m or bigger.) Looking for highest RPR in last 12 months in the last 3 runs. Also a bonus if their best in last 12 months is 5lbs greater than their official rating. Funny how similar our thoughts are mind; although the number of days run is different, I have factors for falls & unseated riders, best prize money race placed in or won, number of chase wins... On most criteria, a runner can fail 1 and still score 90. Apart from the weight. It's how we missed out on Tiger Roll in 2019 but he was an exception. I love the National more than Cheltenham.
  14. Well, I pass by here from time to time. Those that know me from previous years will know I back anything that rates 90+ in my little trends calculation. Now the 'peak previous run period' has been & gone, I have rated the first 40 in the declarations for now - will up date if any more withdraw etc. Currently dealing with the death of a brother at the age of 45, so will do my best...)2017: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10) 2018: 1st, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 6) 2019: 3rd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10) 2021: (currently shortlist of 9 - 7 plus an additional 2) 1 Bristol de Mai (FR) 10 11 10 167 Mr Simon Munir & Mr Isaac Souede Nigel Twiston-Davies 74 2 The Storyteller (IRE) 10 11 8 165 Mrs Pat Sloan Gordon Elliott IRE WITHDRAWN 3 Chris's Dream (IRE) 9 11 7 164 Robcour Henry de Bromhead IRE 54 4 Yala Enki (FR) 11 11 3 160 Hills of Ledbury Ltd Paul Nicholls 76 5 Ballyoptic (IRE) 11 11 1 158 Mills & Mason Partnership Nigel Twiston-Davies 83 6 Definitly Red (IRE) 12 11 1 158 Phil & Julie Martin Brian Ellison 63 7 Lake View Lad (IRE) 11 11 0 157 Mr Trevor Hemmings N. W. Alexander 92 8 Burrows Saint (FR) 8 10 13 156 Mrs S. Ricci W. P. Mullins IRE 90 9 Magic of Light (IRE) 10 10 13 156 Ann & Alan Potts Limited Mrs J. Harrington IRE 74 10 Acapella Bourgeois (FR) 11 10 12 155 Slaneyville Syndicate W. P. Mullins IRE 83 11 Talkischeap (IRE) 9 10 12 155 Mr Charles Dingwall Alan King 90 12 Tout Est Permis (FR) 8 10 12 155 Gigginstown House Stud Noel Meade 65 13 Anibale Fly (FR) 11 10 12 155 Mr John P. McManus A. J. Martin IRE 90 14 Mister Malarky (GB) 8 10 12 155 Wendy & Malcolm Hezel Colin Tizzard 81 15 Kimberlite Candy (IRE) 9 10 10 153 Mr John P. McManus Tom Lacey 83 16 Any Second Now (IRE) 9 10 9 152 Mr John P. McManus T. M. Walsh IRE 92 17 Balko des Flos (FR) 10 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE 56 18 Alpha des Obeaux (FR) 11 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE 56 19 Ok Corral (IRE) 11 10 8 151 Mr John P. McManus Nicky Henderson 72 20 Takingrisks (IRE) 12 10 7 150 Mr Frank Bird Nicky Richards 65 21 Shattered Love (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE 63 22 Jett (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Mr Robert Waley-Cohen Mrs J. Harrington IRE 49 23 Lord du Mesnil (FR) 8 10 6 149 Mr Paul Porter & Mike & Mandy Smith Richard Hobson 92 24 Potters Corner (IRE) 11 10 6 149 All Stars Sports Racing & J Davies Christian Williams 76 25 Class Conti (FR) 9 10 6 149 Mr Simon Munir/Mr Isaac Souede W. P. Mullins IRE 74 26 Milan Native (IRE) 8 10 6 149 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE 81 27 Discorama (FR) 8 10 6 149 Thomas Friel/Andrew Gemmell Paul Nolan IRE 83 28 Vieux Lion Rouge (FR) 12 10 5 148 Prof Caroline Tisdall & Mr John Gent David Pipe 72 29 Cloth Cap (IRE) 9 10 5 148 Mr Trevor Hemmings Jonjo O'Neill 90 30 Cabaret Queen (GB) 9 10 5 148 Syndicates.Racing W. P. Mullins IRE 56 31 Minellacelebration (IRE) 11 10 5 148 Mr Nick Elliott Katy Price00 58 32 Canelo (IRE) 8 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus Alan King 81 33 The Long Mile (GB) 7 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus J.P.Dempsey IRE 52 34 Give Me A Copper (IRE) 11 10 4 147 Done, Ferguson, Mason, Nicholls & Wood Paul Nicholls 76 35 Farclas (FR) 7 10 3 146 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE 70 36 Minella Times (IRE) 8 10 3 146 Mr John P. McManus Henry de Bromhead IRE 74 37 Sub Lieutenant (IRE) 12 10 3 146 Ms G. Howell Georgie Howell 79 38 Hogan's Height (IRE) 10 10 3 146 Foxtrot Racing: Hogan's Height Jamie Snowden 81 39 Double Shuffle (IRE) 11 10 2 145 Crossed Fingers Partnership Tom George 63 40 Ami Desbois (FR) 11 10 2 145 The Reserved Judgment Partnership Graeme McPherson 54 Blacklion 74 Some Neck 70 Secret Reprieve 63 So my current crop against the field are: 8 Lake View Lad (IRE) 33/1 92 9 Burrows Saint (FR) 14/1 90 12 Talkischeap (IRE) 66/1 90 14 Anibale Fly (FR) 33/1 90 19 Any Second Now (IRE) 10/1 92 28 Lord du Mesnil (FR) 33/1 92 34 Cloth Cap (IRE) 4/1 90 Also shortlisted: Mister Malarkey, Canelo Not worried about ante-post - on the day there's normally some sort of back 1, back another free type offer, so here's hoping...
  15. Aye, haven't been here for a while, but saw his wife's post on his Facebook profile. What an absolutely shite 2020 it is. RIP Graham
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