Grex Posted August 20, 2010 Share Posted August 20, 2010 Re: Close Games G-Good luck w-with th-the Bu... the Bu.... the Bu... Bundesliga (my attempt to communicate my nervousness at getting involved with German football) :hope:hope:hope:hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted August 22, 2010 Share Posted August 22, 2010 Re: Close Games Bundesliga :wall.... totally unpredictable :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted August 22, 2010 Author Share Posted August 22, 2010 Re: Close Games Oh well. 0 out of 2 this weekend. I don't think I want to throw in the towel because of that. Let's give it a couple more games. Results for this week: 1) Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen - Werder Bremen @ 2.37 - LOSE 2) Mainz vs Stuttgart - Stuttgart @ 2.25 - LOSE Staked: 2 pts Returns: 0 pts Profit: -2 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted August 27, 2010 Author Share Posted August 27, 2010 Re: Close Games 7 qualifying selections this weekend. Let's see how the Bundesliga does again. :hope Selections for this weekend: 3) GER: Frankfurt v Hamburg - Hamburg @ 2.20 4) GER: St Pauli v Hoffenheim - Hoffenheim @ 2.20 5) ITA: Udinese v Genoa - Udinese @ 2.40 6) ITA: Fiorentina v Napoli - Fiorentina @ 2.30 7) ESP: Hercules v Athletic Bilbao - Hercules @ 2.50 8) ESP: Malaga v Valencia - Valencia @ 2.40 9) ESP: Real Sociedad v Villarreal - Villarreal @ 2.37 All odds are from Bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted August 27, 2010 Share Posted August 27, 2010 Re: Close Games Kaiserslautern 2-0 Bayern Munich :loon..... as I said, the Bundesliga is totally unpredictable.... but good luck, anyway, with your selections :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted August 28, 2010 Author Share Posted August 28, 2010 Re: Close Games Kaiserslautern 2-0 Bayern Munich :loon..... as I said' date= the Bundesliga is totally unpredictable.... but good luck, anyway, with your selections :hope Quite a shocker. Somehow, Bayern Munich is still 1.50 @ Bet365 to win the league. The nearest rivals are Schalke at 10, and Leverkusen at 11. Is Bayern Munich really a cut above the rest?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted August 28, 2010 Share Posted August 28, 2010 Re: Close Games Who said the Bundesliga was unpredictable ? Not me ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted August 29, 2010 Author Share Posted August 29, 2010 Re: Close Games Who said the Bundesliga was unpredictable ? Not me ;) If you had looked closer, you would have realized, at the 80th minute, the scores for both the Bundesliga matches were 1-1 and 0-0. Can't rule out the element of luck. But as they say, a win is a win. So far, it's 3 out of 5 this weekend. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted August 29, 2010 Author Share Posted August 29, 2010 Re: Close Games And now, it's the Italian and Spanish leagues that are unpredictable. :loon Results for this week: 3) GER: Frankfurt v Hamburg - Hamburg @ 2.20 - WIN 4) GER: St Pauli v Hoffenheim - Hoffenheim @ 2.20 - WIN 5) ITA: Udinese v Genoa - Udinese @ 2.40 - LOSE 6) ITA: Fiorentina v Napoli - Fiorentina @ 2.30 - LOSE 7) ESP: Hercules v Athletic Bilbao - Hercules @ 2.50 - LOSE 8) ESP: Malaga v Valencia - Valencia @ 2.40 - WIN 9) ESP: Real Sociedad v Villarreal - Villarreal @ 2.37 - LOSE Staked: 7 pts Returns: 6.80 pts Profit: -0.20 pts --- Overall Total Staked: 9 pts Total Returns: 6.80 pts Total Profit: -2.20 pts Yield: -24.4% Strike Rate: 33.3% (3 out of 9) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 10, 2010 Author Share Posted September 10, 2010 Re: Close Games Only 2 selections this weekend. German Bundesliga and Serie A produce no selections, and let's see if the Primera can make amends to the poor showing last round. :ok Selections for this weekend: 10) ESP: Athletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid - Atletico Madrid @ 2.25 11) ESP: Sporting Gijon v Mallorca - Sporting Gijon @ 2.40 All odds are from Bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted September 10, 2010 Share Posted September 10, 2010 Re: Close Games What, no Bundesliga predictions ? :sad...... Good luck !! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 10, 2010 Author Share Posted September 10, 2010 Re: Close Games What' date=' no Bundesliga predictions ? :sad...... Good luck !! :ok[/quote'] Actually the past 5 seasons have only produced 152 matches in total for the Bundesliga. That's about 30 matches a season, which works out to be roughly 1 per week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
archie7 Posted September 10, 2010 Share Posted September 10, 2010 Re: Close Games Only 2 selections this weekend. let's see if the Primera can make amends to the poor showing last round. :ok Selections for this weekend: 10) ESP: Athletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid - Atletico Madrid @ 2.25 11) ESP: Sporting Gijon v Mallorca - Sporting Gijon @ 2.40 They will! Hopefully:ok Got them on as bets too. Sporting beat Mallorca 4-1 in this fixture last season and well, Atleti are just too good for Bilbao? All the best mate:D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 12, 2010 Author Share Posted September 12, 2010 Re: Close Games They will! Hopefully:ok Got them on as bets too. Sporting beat Mallorca 4-1 in this fixture last season and well, Atleti are just too good for Bilbao? All the best mate:D Spot-on, archie! 2 out of 2 this weekend. :cheers Results for this week: 10) ESP: Athletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid - Atletico Madrid @ 2.25 - WIN 11) ESP: Sporting Gijon v Mallorca - Sporting Gijon @ 2.40 - WIN Staked: 2 pts Returns: 4.65 pts Profit: 2.65 pts --- Overall Total Staked: 11 pts Total Returns: 11.45 pts Total Profit: 0.45 pts Yield: 4.1% Strike Rate: 45.5% (5 out of 11) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted September 12, 2010 Share Posted September 12, 2010 Re: Close Games Well done, Relf.... after a poor start, it's coming good :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 17, 2010 Author Share Posted September 17, 2010 Re: Close Games We have more selections this weekend, with German Bundesliga featuring as well. I'm seeing repeated clubs - Hoffenheim and Sporting Gijon have came up for the 2nd time already. Selections for this weekend: 12) GER: Kaiserslautern v TSG Hoffenheim - TSG Hoffenheim @ 2.40 13) ITA: Parma v Genoa - Parma @ 2.35 14) ITA: Sampdoria v Napoli - Sampdoria @ 2.25 15) ESP: Sporting Gijon v Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Gijon @ 2.40 16) ESP: Racing Santander v Real Zaragoza - Racing Santander @ 2.25 17) ESP: D Coruna v Getafe - D Coruna @ 2.25 All odds are from Bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted September 19, 2010 Share Posted September 19, 2010 Re: Close Games Hi Relf, Do u send ur pick only on friday bcos u have 2 selection dt qualify under ur system today(Sunday ): Valencia and Sevilla d odd is 2.25 and 2.37 respectively.. While d opposition is 3.0 respectively Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 19, 2010 Author Share Posted September 19, 2010 Re: Close Games Actually there's no exact timing I do my selections. As a habit I always determine based on Friday. As of Friday, these two fixtures didn't have such close odds (unless I overlooked them). Anyway, this weekend's selections aren't looking good. :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted September 19, 2010 Share Posted September 19, 2010 Re: Close Games Very bad luck this weekend, Relf..... perhaps you should change the title to "Close Games = DRAWS" ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted September 19, 2010 Share Posted September 19, 2010 Re: Close Games I think 4 a record purpose u should add both teams( Valencia and Sevilla ) i mention earlier today they won their matches... Thank God I'm on them and i won to recover little loss 4 today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 20, 2010 Author Share Posted September 20, 2010 Re: Close Games Very bad luck this weekend' date= Relf..... perhaps you should change the title to "Close Games = DRAWS" ;) Haha. It seems that most of the bets were ruined by late goals. The system has been working for large parts of the past 5 seasons, so I shouldn't doubt it because of a bad weekend. We will see if my stubbornness pays off. I think 4 a record purpose u should add both teams( Valencia and Sevilla ) i mention earlier today they won their matches... Thank God I'm on them and i won to recover little loss 4 today... Congratulations of your picks. From what I see, the odds tend to fluctuate quite a lot throughout the day. Thanks for pointing out, I will try to see if the timings make a difference in the selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 20, 2010 Author Share Posted September 20, 2010 Re: Close Games Let's hope it's just one of those bad weekends. Results for this weekend: 12) GER: Kaiserslautern v TSG Hoffenheim - TSG Hoffenheim @ 2.40 - LOSE 13) ITA: Parma v Genoa - Parma @ 2.35 - LOSE 14) ITA: Sampdoria v Napoli - Sampdoria @ 2.25 - LOSE 15) ESP: Sporting Gijon v Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Gijon @ 2.40 - LOSE 16) ESP: Racing Santander v Real Zaragoza - Racing Santander @ 2.25 - WIN 17) ESP: D Coruna v Getafe - D Coruna @ 2.25 - LOSE Staked: 6 pts Returns: 2.25 pts Profit: -3.75 pts --- Overall Total Staked: 17 pts Total Returns: 13.70 pts Total Profit: -3.30 pts Yield: -19.4% Strike Rate: 35.3% (6 out of 17) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted September 21, 2010 Share Posted September 21, 2010 Re: Close Games I think German and Spanish have league match today and 2morow and 2 teams qualify under ur system from german league... Dont discourage urself and dont let Grex mssg pull u down remember u have 0 out 6 before...u dont pick them they pick thierself so let go.. May be u should wait till match day before u post ur selection bcos final odd always available 4 a record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 21, 2010 Author Share Posted September 21, 2010 Re: Close Games I think German and Spanish have league match today and 2morow and 2 teams qualify under ur system from german league... Dont discourage urself and dont let Grex mssg pull u down remember u have 0 out 6 before...u dont pick them they pick thierself so let go.. May be u should wait till match day before u post ur selection bcos final odd always available 4 a record Thanks for your kind words and reminders. In fact, there will be another 3 from Serie A to join the 2 from Bundesliga. Since none of them are playing today, like what you have said, I will probably wait for some time before I post my selections. On another note, I'm not discouraged by Grex's message, that's for sure. :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 22, 2010 Author Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games Apparently, there has a slight difference between the odds on the day before and the matchday. Cagliari v Sampdoria qualified yesterday, but on matchday today, the odds have shifted and the difference is now more than 1. The result for this match will be interesting. Selections for this weekend: 18) GER: Nurnberg v VfB Stuttgart - VfB Stuttgart @ 2.25 19) GER: SC Freiburg v Schalke - SC Freiburg v Schalke @ 2.37 20) ITA: Bologna v Udinese - Bologna @ 2.60 21) ITA: Lecce v Parma - Lecce @ 2.62 All odds are from Bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted September 22, 2010 Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games If there are many Draw in the final result then i'm think of a formular, someting like formular below: The formular Comprises of TWO Selections that are covered to WIN or DRAW. Effectively the formular is 4 Separate individual double bets as follows: LINE ONE: Both teams to Win LINE TWO: Is the 1st team to Win and the 2nd team to Draw LINE THREE: Is the 1st team to Draw and the 2nd team to Win LINE FOUR: Is BOTH teams to Draw. Example: THE TEAMS Line 1________ Line 2_______ Line 3______ Line 4 Schalke 04 _____________ 1____________ 1__________ X__________ X Lecce ____________ 2_____________ X__________ 2__________ X Then you have to DUTCH this four selection odd to know value of different line. So as long as neither of the two teams lose, you have a winning bet on one of the lines then you win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flower567 Posted September 22, 2010 Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games 18 and 19 are today - not at the weekend - based on the odds of 2.37 you go for schalke? (bit confusing reading freiburg-schalke - freiburg -schalke) anyway good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 22, 2010 Author Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games 18 and 19 are today - not at the weekend - based on the odds of 2.37 you go for schalke? (bit confusing reading freiburg-schalke - freiburg -schalke) anyway good luck Oops, I tend to copy and paste the format. I have edited the changes. We always pick the away teams for Bundesliga. Hope this is clear now and thanks for pointing out. Apparently, there has a slight difference between the odds on the day before and the matchday. Cagliari v Sampdoria qualified yesterday, but on matchday today, the odds have shifted and the difference is now more than 1. The result for this match will be interesting. Selections for this MIDWEEK: 18) GER: Nurnberg v VfB Stuttgart - VfB Stuttgart @ 2.25 19) GER: SC Freiburg v Schalke - Schalke @ 2.37 20) ITA: Bologna v Udinese - Bologna @ 2.60 21) ITA: Lecce v Parma - Lecce @ 2.62 All odds are from Bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted September 22, 2010 Author Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games If there are many Draw in the final result then i'm think of a formular, someting like formular below: The formular Comprises of TWO Selections that are covered to WIN or DRAW. Effectively the formular is 4 Separate individual double bets as follows: LINE ONE: Both teams to Win LINE TWO: Is the 1st team to Win and the 2nd team to Draw LINE THREE: Is the 1st team to Draw and the 2nd team to Win LINE FOUR: Is BOTH teams to Draw. Example: THE TEAMS Line 1________ Line 2_______ Line 3______ Line 4 Schalke 04 _____________ 1____________ 1__________ X__________ X Lecce ____________ 2_____________ X__________ 2__________ X Then you have to DUTCH this four selection odd to know value of different line. So as long as neither of the two teams lose, you have a winning bet on one of the lines then you win. Wow, this looks a little too complicated for my simple brain. But I think the difficulty is how you are going to pair the selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted September 22, 2010 Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: Close Games O.K this is what i got today for today selection I select two teams one from Italy and one from Germany 1. schalke 04 @ 2.37 2. Bologna @ 2.6 Line 1: will be W W( both team to win) @ odd of 6.06 Line 2: will be W X (schalke to win and Bologna to draw)@ odd of 7.11 Line 3: will be X W (Schalke to draw and Bologna to win)@ odd of 8.45 Line 4: will be X X (both team to draw) @ odd of 9.75 After dutching the odd this what i got below for the point: Line 1: 0.31pt Line 2: 0.27pt Line 3: 0.22pt Line4: 0.19pt 1 pt will return 1.90 if none of the team lose.:nana:nana:nana Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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