1907zico Posted September 30, 2009 Author Share Posted September 30, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 8. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.12 Benfica:5 pts @1.5 Bayern: 22 pts @1.23 (-5 pts from last weekend, new stake!) Galatasaray: 9 pts @1.57 (-5 pts from last weekend, new stake!) Fenerbahce: 5 pts @1.41 Current Bank: 1052.15 pts Profit/Loss: +52.15 pts :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 3, 2009 Author Share Posted October 3, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 8. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.12 Benfica:5 pts @1.5 Bayern: 22 pts @1.23 (-5 pts from last weekend, new stake!) Galatasaray: 9 pts @1.57 (-5 pts from last weekend, new stake!) Fenerbahce: 5 pts @1.41 Current Bank: 1052.15 pts Profit/Loss: +52.15 pts :drums 8. Week Barcelona: +0.6 pts Benfica: +2.5 pts Bayern: -22 pts (-27 pts total) Galatasaray:-9 pts (-14 pts total) Fenerbahce: +2.05 pts Current Bank: 1026.3 pts Profit/Loss: +26.3 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neomosquito Posted October 10, 2009 Share Posted October 10, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System hi zico, just wanted to let you know that i've been following this thread all the way and it still looks promising. however, i would like to know if this was a paper trail or a one using real money because i kind of realised that there was a possibility of the bookies limiting your bets if your bet with the same bookie week in week out and consistently make money out of them? thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 10, 2009 Author Share Posted October 10, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System hi zico' date=' just wanted to let you know that i've been following this thread all the way and it still looks promising. however, i would like to know if this was a paper trail or a one using real money because i kind of realised that there was a possibility of the bookies limiting your bets if your bet with the same bookie week in week out and consistently make money out of them? thanks![/quote'] It is no paper trail. But no bookie will limit my bets because simply 1 pts is 1 € for me so far. So usually it will be around 5-100€ stakes which no bookie will complain about. If you would go further and stake 1 pts = 10 or even 100€ then you could get problems I think, but again you could simply use the mass of bookies to spread the bet all around. My aim is to see at the end of the season how much risk this system contains - what changes can be made regarding number of teams, stakes e.g. If we get stake back from Bayern and Galatasaray then we sit at 67 pts profit. When I had staked 10 pts at the beginning it would be 132 pts which is very promising. So far there was no situation where staking 10 pts at the beginning would have killed the bank. Such "statistics" are what I am looking for and maybe I can make the first changes in winter break already. Thanks for your interest and input :ok 1907zico Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 11, 2009 Author Share Posted October 11, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 9. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.75 Benfica: 5 pts @1.25 Bayern: 47 pts @1.64(-27 pts total - new stake) Galatasaray: 25 pts @1.65 (-14 pts total - new stake) Fenerbahce: 5 pts @1.6 Current Bank: 1026.3 pts Profit/Loss: +26.3 pts :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 17, 2009 Author Share Posted October 17, 2009 9. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.75 Benfica: 5 pts @1.25 Bayern: 47 pts @1.64(-27 pts total - new stake) Galatasaray: 25 pts @1.65 (-14 pts total - new stake) Fenerbahce: 5 pts @1.6 Current Bank: 1026.3 pts Profit/Loss: +26.3 pts :drums 9. Week Barcelona: -5 pts Benfica: +1.25 pts Bayern: +30.08 pts Galatasaray:+16.25 pts Fenerbahce: -5 pts Current Bank: 1063.88 pts Profit/Loss: +63.88 pts :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 18, 2009 Author Share Posted October 18, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System A good day for the system getting back high stakes from Bayern and Galatasaray. Barcelona and Fenerbahce with first loss for the system this week. Anyway, I am very content. Slow but steady :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 20, 2009 Author Share Posted October 20, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 10. Week Barcelona: 36 pts @1.14 (new stake due to -5 pts last week) Benfica: 5 pts @1.28 Bayern: 5 pts @1.25 Galatasaray: SKIP Fenerbahce: SKIP (-5 pts from last week just as a reminder) Current Bank: 1063.88 pts Profit/Loss: +63.88 pts Small odds this week, all three favorites playing at home. Skipping Galatasaray and Fenerbahce because they play against each other :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 24, 2009 Author Share Posted October 24, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 10. Week Barcelona: 36 pts @1.14 (new stake due to -5 pts last week) Benfica: 5 pts @1.28 Bayern: 5 pts @1.25 Galatasaray:SKIP Fenerbahce: SKIP (-5 pts from last week just as a reminder) Current Bank: 1063.88 pts Profit/Loss: +63.88 pts 10. Week Barcelona: +5.04 pts Benfica: +1.4 pts Bayern: +1.25 pts Galatasaray: SKIP Fenerbahce: SKIP (-5 pts from last week just as a reminder) Current Bank: 1071.57 pts Profit/Loss: +71.57 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted October 24, 2009 Share Posted October 24, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Going well zico :clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 25, 2009 Author Share Posted October 25, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Thank you Scotty :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palaceman Posted October 25, 2009 Share Posted October 25, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Anyway, I am very content. Slow but steady :ok Slow but steady is fine zico. Well done :ok I think you should keep an eye on your yield though. Have you worked out what it is so far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 25, 2009 Author Share Posted October 25, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Thank you palaceman, so far I did not work out the yield - I may do it when I review the whole thread and look for possible changes ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 27, 2009 Author Share Posted October 27, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 10. Week Barcelona: +5.04 pts Benfica: +1.4 pts Bayern: +1.25 pts Galatasaray: SKIP Fenerbahce: SKIP (-5 pts from last week just as a reminder) Current Bank: 1071.57 pts Profit/Loss: +71.57 pts Another green weekend! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 27, 2009 Author Share Posted October 27, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 11. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.51 Benfica:5 pts @2.3 Bayern:5 pts @1.9 Galatasaray:5 pts @1.25 Fenerbahce: 7 pts @1.85 (-5 pts new stake) Current Bank: 1071.57 pts Profit/Loss: +71.57 pts Some nice away odds this week. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted October 31, 2009 Author Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 11. Week Barcelona: -5 pts Benfica: -5 pts Bayern: -5 pts Galatasaray: +1.25 pts Fenerbahce: -7 pts (total -12 pts) Current Bank: 1050.82 pts Profit/Loss: +50.82 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 1, 2009 Author Share Posted November 1, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Not satisfied, all away favorites did not win. Let us hope that they at least two out of four grab a win to get stake back next week :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pitheavlis Posted November 2, 2009 Share Posted November 2, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Hi, Good thread. Couple of things I don't understand and would appreciate some advice please. When you say G is the Goal of money you want to win in that sequence then what does that equate to, is it the 5pt bet? Secondly, O-1 what does this mean? If the odds are shown as 1.9 then would that mean your calcualtion would be 1.9 - 1 = 0.9? Any help here will be greatly appreciated. Many thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 2, 2009 Author Share Posted November 2, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Hi, Good thread. Couple of things I don't understand and would appreciate some advice please. When you say G is the Goal of money you want to win in that sequence then what does that equate to, is it the 5pt bet? Secondly, O-1 what does this mean? If the odds are shown as 1.9 then would that mean your calcualtion would be 1.9 - 1 = 0.9? Any help here will be greatly appreciated. Many thanks. Your completely right. Goal of money is the stake we did lose and which we want back. After our first losing bet it is 5 pts then. To make a slight profit we add +1 pts on this. Which means 6 pts / odds -1. If odds are 1.9, that would be as you say 0.9. So we calculate 6/0.9 = 6.6 (so we stake 7 pts) If you make the reverse calculation and look how much you would win stacking 7 pts on 1.9 odds you would get: 13,3 pts - which means 5.3 profit. And since we lost 5 pts before, we would now be at +0.3 pts. I hope I could help you, and thanks for your interest :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 2, 2009 Author Share Posted November 2, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 12. Week Barcelona: 40 pts @1.15 (total -5 pts) Benfica: 30 pts @1.2 (total -5 pts) Bayern: 8 pts @1.75 (total -5 pts) Galatasaray: 5 pts @1.45 Fenerbahce: SKIP (total -12 pts) Current Bank: 1050.82 pts Profit/Loss: +50.82 pts We will have to SKIP Fenerbahce because they automatically get three points due to Ankaraspor taken out of league activities. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 7, 2009 Author Share Posted November 7, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 12. Week Barcelona: +6 pts Benfica: +6 pts Bayern: -8 pts (total -13 pts) Galatasaray: +2.25 pts Fenerbahce: SKIP (total -12 pts) Current Bank: 1057.07 pts Profit/Loss: +57.07 pts Patience...! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 16, 2009 Author Share Posted November 16, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 13. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.54 Benfica: 5 pts @2.2 Bayern: 15 pts @2 (total -13 pts) Galatasaray: 5 pts @1.26 Fenerbahce: 9 pts @2.5 (total -12 pts) Current Bank: 1057.07 pts Profit/Loss: +57.07 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 22, 2009 Author Share Posted November 22, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 13. Week Barcelona: -5 pts Benfica: -5 pts Bayern: -15 pts (total -28 pts) Galatasaray:-5 pts Fenerbahce: -9 pts (total -21pts) Current Bank: 1018.07 pts Profit/Loss: +18.07 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 22, 2009 Author Share Posted November 22, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Wow what a red night :rollin I hope that Fenerbahce/Bayern will win soon :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 23, 2009 Author Share Posted November 23, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 14. Week Barcelona: 6 pts @2.02 (total -5 pts) Benfica: 5 pts @2.37 (total -5 pts) Bayern: 37 pts @1.8 (total -28 pts) Galatasaray: 6 pts @2.1 (total -5 pts) Fenerbahce: 115 pts @1.2 (total -21pts) Current Bank: 1018.07 pts Profit/Loss: +18.07 pts High stack on Fenerbahce and quite high on Bayern too. At least one should go trough this weekend, especially Fenerbahce would be important.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted November 28, 2009 Author Share Posted November 28, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 14. Week Barcelona: 6 pts @2.02 (total -5 pts) Benfica: 5 pts @2.37 (total -5 pts) Bayern: 37 pts @1.8 (total -28 pts) Galatasaray: 6 pts @2.1 (total -5 pts) Fenerbahce: 115 pts @1.2 (total -21pts) Current Bank: 1018.07 pts Profit/Loss: +18.07 pts High stack on Fenerbahce and quite high on Bayern too. At least one should go trough this weekend, especially Fenerbahce would be important.:ok 14. Week Barcelona: + 6.12 pts Benfica: -5 pts (total -10 pts) Bayern: +29.6 pts Galatasaray: -6 pts (total -11 pts) Fenerbahce: -115 pts(total -136 pts) Current Bank: 927.87 pts Profit/Loss: -72.13 pts At least Bayern win a winner, but Fenerbahce losing at those odds was not good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted December 1, 2009 Author Share Posted December 1, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 15. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.28 Benfica: 50 pts @1.22(total -10 pts) Bayern: 5 pts @1.3 Galatasaray: 40 pts @1.3 (total -11 pts) Fenerbahce: (total -136 pts) Current Bank: 927.87 pts Profit/Loss: -72.13 pts I will wait with Fenerbahce a bit to get team news e.g. Do not want us to lose whole bank now. Fenerbahce away to Büyüksehir at odds of 2 might be a bit difficult ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted December 4, 2009 Author Share Posted December 4, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System 15. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.28 Benfica: 50 pts @1.22(total -10 pts) Bayern: 5 pts @1.3 Galatasaray: 40 pts @1.3 (total -11 pts) Fenerbahce: (total -136 pts) Current Bank: 927.87 pts Profit/Loss: -72.13 pts I will wait with Fenerbahce a bit to get team news e.g. Do not want us to lose whole bank now. Fenerbahce away to Büyüksehir at odds of 2 might be a bit difficult ;) Barcelona: +1.4 pts (MIDWEEK) 15. Week Barcelona: 5 pts @1.66 (WEEKEND) Benfica: 50 pts @1.22(total -10 pts) Bayern: +1.5 pts Galatasaray: 40 pts @1.3 (total -11 pts) Fenerbahce: (total -136 pts) Current Bank: 930.77 pts Profit/Loss: -69.23 pts Will decide about Fenerbahce pick short before kick off :ok EDIT: Barcelona match was midweek, did not notice this. It was a winner and we will of course add the weekend match now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted December 5, 2009 Author Share Posted December 5, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Barcelona: +1.4 pts (MIDWEEK) 15. Week Barcelona: +3.3 pts (WEEKEND) Benfica: +11 pts Bayern: +1.5 pts Galatasaray: -40 pts (total -51 pts) Fenerbahce: (total -136 pts) Current Bank: 905.10 pts Profit/Loss: -94.90 pts I did decide to skip Fenerbahce as you can see above and they again did lose 2:1. I must be very careful in chosing the right match to get our big stake back - but I will do it I am sure :ok Despite this, Barca and Bayern provided winners and I hope we also get back stakes from Benfica and Galatasaray. I would then like to stop this Thread until I find the right match to get Fenerbahce stake back. After this, I will evaluate my experiences from this system and do some adjustments for second half of season. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted December 6, 2009 Author Share Posted December 6, 2009 Re: Favourite Backing System Alright, for the next weeks I will skip Bayern/Benfica and Barcelona and will look to get stakes back of Galatasaray and Fenerbahce. When we get our stakes back, our bank should be: 1092,1 pts which would mean +92,1 pts which is acceptable :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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