lunatism Posted March 1, 2009 Author Share Posted March 1, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections MFK Ruzomberok v MSK Zilina has been postponed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 1, 2009 Share Posted March 1, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections MFK Ruzomberok v MSK Zilina has been postponed Hey, elusive one where art though;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 1, 2009 Author Share Posted March 1, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Hey' date=' elusive one where art though;)[/quote'] As of 20 or so minutes ago? Sitting in a pub watching the Sheff Utd match :unsure as a warm up to the cup final....i'll be back around 17:00/18:00 (UK time) (i'm on my phone, otherwise I would be on msn :lol) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 1, 2009 Author Share Posted March 1, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 2, 2009 Author Share Posted March 2, 2009 Irritable SELECTIONS (02/03/09) MATCHDAY 15 Matchday 15...interesting selections today: DATE TIME LEAGUE FIXTURE SELECTION LAY ODDS 02/03/09 18:00 Ukrainian Premier League FC Illychivets Mariupol v Joint Stock Company FC Shakhtar Donetsk Away 1.28 02/03/09 20:45 English League One Oldham Athletic AFC v Leeds United AFC Home 2.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 3, 2009 Author Share Posted March 3, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 3, 2009 Author Share Posted March 3, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 3, 2009 Share Posted March 3, 2009 Re: Irritable SUMMARY (02/03/09) MATCHDAY 15 Today's selections (one that goon will love i'm sure) to appear shortly ;) No doubt you're laying Arsenal:\. A certain winner at the moment:$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 3, 2009 Share Posted March 3, 2009 Re: Irritable SELECTIONS (03/03/09) MATCHDAY 16 Handful for today' date= highlight must be the Arsenal one...what do you think Goon....will the Arsenal of the bottom three do a job on you? :D Probably:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 4, 2009 Share Posted March 4, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Unlucky yesterday mate but I think this type of thing always has the potential to do that using such low odds. At least you didn't lose much though due to them being such low odds. Every cloud and all that:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 4, 2009 Author Share Posted March 4, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 4, 2009 Author Share Posted March 4, 2009 Irritable SELECTIONS (04/03/09) MATCHDAY 17 Just two selections for today: DATE TIME LEAGUE FIXTURE SELECTION LAY ODDS 04/03/09 20:45 English Premier League Wigan Athletic Football Club v West Ham United Football Club LAY Home 2.16 04/03/09 20:45 Scottish Premier League Heart of Midlothian FC v Motherwell FC LAY Home 2.26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 4, 2009 Share Posted March 4, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Ouch, I thought Woking was a win:( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted March 4, 2009 Share Posted March 4, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Right, Wigan and Hearts double for me tonight :tongue2 (Seriously, good luck :hope) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 4, 2009 Author Share Posted March 4, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Ouch' date=' I thought Woking was a win:([/quote'] I did too...since it was drawing at half time - then they decided to call it off and make things worse :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted March 4, 2009 Share Posted March 4, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections 90th minute winner for Hearts undoes the good work with Wigan :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 5, 2009 Share Posted March 5, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Unlucky again last night mate:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 5, 2009 Author Share Posted March 5, 2009 Irritable SUMMARY (04/03/09) MATCHDAY 17 90th minute winner for Hearts undoes the good work with Wigan :wall after seeing they were ahead (but with a red), the pessimist in me chalked this one down to be a bad night anyway, so I was not at all suprised to see last minute winner coming for Hearts after Motherwell had equalised....damn shame nevertheless :@ Unlucky again last night mate:sad Naaaa...not luck - something more sinister is at work here my friend :lol Wigan Athletic Football Club v West Ham United Football Club :unsureHeart of Midlothian FC v Motherwell FC :@ STARTING BANK £55.94 CURRENT BANK £36.54 P / L -£19.40 GROWTH -35% SELECTIONS 87 WINS 44 LOSSES 43 STRIKE RATE 51% AVERAGE ODDS 2.53 MINIMUM ODDS 1.28 MAXIMUM ODDS 7.80 MIN BANK 41% DURATION 15 Days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 6, 2009 Author Share Posted March 6, 2009 Irritable SELECTIONS (06/03/09) MATCHDAY 18 7 for tonight :D DATETIME LEAGUE FIXTURE SELECTION LAY ODDS 06/03/09 18:00 Austrian Red Zac 1st League FK Austria Memphis MAGNA Amateure v SV Grödig LAY Home 1.93 06/03/09 18:00 German 2 Bundesliga FSV Frankfurt v 1. FC Kaiserslautern LAY Away 2.48 06/03/09 20:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie FC Omniworld v Stichting MVV LAY Away 2.52 06/03/09 20:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie Fortuna Sittard v BVO FC Dordrecht LAY Away 2.08 06/03/09 20:30 Belgian Pro League RAEC Mons v Standard de Liège LAY Away 1.59 06/03/09 20:30 French Ligue 2 FC de Metz v Dijon Football Côte d'Or LAY Home 1.67 06/03/09 21:30 Portuguese Liga Sagres Rio Ave FC v Maritimo Funchal LAY Away 2.67 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted March 6, 2009 Share Posted March 6, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Good luck tonight Loon. If I may play Devil's Advocate for a moment, do you still feel that your system is a profitable one that is in a bad spell, or is it possible your original data was retro-fitted somewhat for the past data you have? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 6, 2009 Author Share Posted March 6, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections Good luck tonight Loon. If I may play Devil's Advocate for a moment' date=' do you still feel that your system is a profitable one that is in a bad spell, or is it possible your original data was retro-fitted somewhat for the past data you have?[/quote'] Hmmm....personally still thing it can be profitable, although it's entirely plausible that the previous results I had were the "good spell", and what it's on now is the "normal spell" - hopefully it's just on a bad spell that will soon enough pick up :hope i was very careful NOT to retro fit data (and there we have it, a much better name to the "back-fashioning" that I had been using earlier in the thread :clap). And like you have said many times - causation should be a paramount consideration within the selection process...and it is. As I mentioned at the start of this thread - things that look promising can quickly turn otherwise, but I'd consider the continous collection of selections for this particular type of system very important - because the larger the sample size, the easier it will be able to see if there are other factors that i hadn't taken into account that are contributing to losers. And despite this having a torrid time at the moment, the strike rate only needs to be a 10% or so higher, and it would be making profit nicely (let's hope that starts at some point :hope) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 7, 2009 Author Share Posted March 7, 2009 Irritable SUMMARY (06/03/09) MATCHDAY 18/ Irritable SELECTIONS (07/03/09) MATCHDAY 19 This is getting silly now :wall FK Austria Memphis MAGNA Amateure v SV Grödig :wall FSV Frankfurt v 1. FC Kaiserslautern :D FC Omniworld v Stichting MVV :wall Fortuna Sittard v BVO FC Dordrecht :D RAEC Mons v Standard de Liège :wall FC de Metz v Dijon Football Côte d'Or :wall Rio Ave FC v Maritimo Funchal :D That Mons game.....late late goal for the away side after Mons fought until the 80 something-th minute and then went and got a red card....Liege naturally went and grabbed a winner few minutes later STARTING BANK £55.94 CURRENT BANK £30.57 P / L -£25.37 GROWTH -45% SELECTIONS 94 WINS 47 LOSSES 47 STRIKE RATE 50% AVERAGE ODDS 2.50 MINIMUM ODDS 1.28 MAXIMUM ODDS 7.80 MIN BANK 41% DURATION 17 Days DATE TIME LEAGUE FIXTURE SELECTION ODDS 07/03/09 13:00 Ukrainian Premier League FC Kharkiv v FC Metalurh Donetsk Away 1.78 07/03/09 15:00 Czech Czech Liga FC Slovan Liberec v 1.FK Pribram Home 1.57 07/03/09 15:30 German Bundesliga FC Bayern München v Hannover 96 Home 1.33 07/03/09 16:00 English National League Conference - North Tamworth FC v Farsley Celtic AFC Home 1.49 07/03/09 16:00 Welsh Premier League Caernarfon Town FC v Port Talbot Town FC Away 1.82 07/03/09 16:00 Welsh Premier League Llanelli AFC v Newtown AFC Home 1.33 07/03/09 16:00 Welsh Premier League Neath Athletic FC v The New Saints FC Away 1.55 07/03/09 19:00 French Ligue 1 Olympique de Marseille v Valenciennes Anzin Football Club Home 1.56 07/03/09 19:15 Polish Ekstraklasa Wroclawski Klub Sportowy Slask Wroclaw SSA v TS Polonia Bytom Home 1.53 07/03/09 20:00 Belgian Second Division UR Namur v Royal Rivirton Excelsior Away 1.65 07/03/09 22:00 Portuguese Liga Sagres Leixões v Futebol Clube do Porto Away 1.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 8, 2009 Author Share Posted March 8, 2009 Irritable SUMMARY (07/03/09) MATCHDAY 19 Another bad day at the office - i guess those good initial results were just part of an anomaly that I unfortunately noticed :D Anyway - like i wrote earlier, there were some good selections here (if i were to be damn picky), and so i'll continue to collect them just to see if there happens to be a "big picture" (something i didn't notice that all these have in common), and then hopefully i'll be back with something that actually does what it's supposed to (make rather than lose money!) :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SvN Posted March 8, 2009 Share Posted March 8, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections If you're regularly losing, why don't you use the same system, but back the teams instead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 8, 2009 Author Share Posted March 8, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections If you're regularly losing' date=' why don't you use the same system, but back the teams instead?[/quote'] would be a good idea, i'll have a look and see what happens :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 8, 2009 Author Share Posted March 8, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections BTW, there were 8 selections for today...no doubt because i didn't post them they all turn out well...:rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 8, 2009 Author Share Posted March 8, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections If you're regularly losing' date=' why don't you use the same system, but back the teams instead?[/quote'] Doesn't work i'm afriad, not even for the last few days (well, brings 0.41pts back from 29 games) :(, and makes an overall loss of -63 pts if from the "start" of selections Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 8, 2009 Author Share Posted March 8, 2009 Re: Irritable Selections BTW' date= there were 8 selections for today...no doubt because i didn't post them they all turn out well...:rollin FFS....they did as well :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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