muppet77 Posted October 3, 2007 Author Share Posted October 3, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit Darlington Rochdale 1.70 h 1.85 d -1.00 Burnley Ipswich 1.34 h 2.22 d -1.00 Port Vale Cheltenham 1.14 h 2.34 h 1.27 Tranmere Crewe 1.17 h 1.78 d -1.00 Bury Lincoln 1.14 h 2.54 d -1.00 Shrewsbury Peterboro 1.70 h 2.54 a -1.00 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Amiens Montpellier -0.69 a 3.8 d -1.00 Bastia Dijon -0.49 a 4.5 d -1.00 Plymouth Crystal Palace -0.01 a 3.8 h -1.00 Preston Southampton -0.43 a 2.88 h -1.00 Gillingham Leyton Orient -1.40 a 2.76 h -1.00 Huddersfield Nott m Forest -0.75 a 2.5 d -1.00 Grimsby Chester -1.04 a 3.35 a 2.23 Mansfield Milton Keynes Dons -0.74 a 1.97 a 0.92 Notts County Hereford -0.47 a 3.4 a 2.28 bit of a shocker, but the two large priced french games and forest were so close. still, onwards and upwards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 3, 2007 Author Share Posted October 3, 2007 Re: Regression Digression well the aways are on the edge now, but i shall test this to destruction! HOMES AWAYS bets27 bets 27 wins 10 wins 11 strike 37% strike 41% profit -7.17 profit 0.04 yield -26.5% yield 0.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 3, 2007 Author Share Posted October 3, 2007 Re: Regression Digression games for wednesday and thursday: h a supremacy bet odds Colchester QPR 1.29 h 1.98 West Brom Stoke 1.65 h 1.75 Cruzeiro Santos 1.15 h 1.92 h a supremacy bet odds Atlético Paranaense Botafogo -0.01 a 3.90 Libourne Grenoble -0.29 a 2.82 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 4, 2007 Author Share Posted October 4, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit Colchester QPR 1.29 h 1.98 h 0.93 West Brom Stoke 1.65 h 1.75 d -1.00 Cruzeiro Santos 1.15 h 1.92 a -1.00 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Atlético Paranaense Botafogo -0.01 a 3.90 h -1.00 updates after h a supremacy bet odds Libourne Grenoble -0.29 a 2.82 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 4, 2007 Author Share Posted October 4, 2007 Re: Regression Digression ok, it's do or die time. i have looked at the top half most productive leagues. this gives around 50 games from friday-monday. the following games have a high amount of money and a book of 100-102%. there are more random games, from random leagues, which i may post up, depending if i can get decent odds - at the moment the back and lay prices are miles apart. anyhow - let's see how these get on over the weekend: h a supremacy bet odds Wycombe Notts County 1.95 h 2.06 Zaragoza Levante 1.85 h 1.54 PSV Eindhoven Willem II 1.82 h 1.20 Man United Wigan 1.79 h 1.21 Peterboro Grimsby 1.75 h 1.77 Accrington Wrexham 1.62 h 2.10 Carlisle Millwall 1.53 h 2.04 Man City Middlesbrough 1.43 h 1.74 Ipswich Preston 1.42 h 2.10 Liverpool Tottenham 1.39 h 1.62 Sevilla La Coruna 1.25 h 1.50 Lens Auxerre 1.23 h 2.14 Le Mans Nice 1.22 h 2.18 Rochdale Bury 1.16 h 1.98 St Etienne Marseille 1.15 h 2.60 Sheffield Weds Leicester 1.07 h 2.56 Stockport Barnet 0.99 h 1.98 Barcelona Ath Madrid 0.97 h 1.52 Real Madrid Recreativo 0.93 h 1.32 Southampton West Brom 0.91 h 2.84 Cheltenham Oldham 0.84 h 2.90 h a supremacy bet odds Sparta Ajax -1.52 a 1.44 CZ Jena Munich 1860 -0.94 a 2.34 Cardiff Burnley -0.76 a 3.95 Guingamp Bastia -0.57 a 4.60 Wolves Coventry -0.53 a 4.20 Libourne Grenoble -0.29 a 2.82 Montpellier Chateauroux -0.24 a 5.30 Osasuna Villarreal -0.20 a 2.64 Charleroi Mouscron -0.10 a 4.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 5, 2007 Author Share Posted October 5, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit Libourne Grenoble -0.29 a 2.82 a 1.73 HOMES AWAYS bets30 bets 29 wins 11 wins 12 strike 37% strike 41% profit -8.24 profit 0.76 yield -27.5% yield 2.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 6, 2007 Author Share Posted October 6, 2007 Re: Regression Digression BOOM! friday night aways did us proud! h a supremacy bet odds result profit Charleroi Mouscron -0.10 a 4.70 a 3.52 Guingamp Bastia -0.57 a 4.60 a 3.42 Montpellier Chateauroux -0.24 a 5.30 h -1.00 CZ Jena Munich 1860 -0.94 a 2.34 a 1.27 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Accrington Wrexham 1.62 h 2.10 a -1.00 HOMES AWAYS bets31 bets 33 wins 11 wins 15 strike 35% strike 45% profit -9.24 profit 7.97 yield -29.8% yield 24.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 6, 2007 Author Share Posted October 6, 2007 Re: Regression Digression as promised some more bets in addition to those in post 36. bets are for sat-mon inclusive. h a supremacy bet odds Korona Kielce Cracovia Kraków 1.02 h 1.6 Malaga Las Palmas 2.10 h 1.59 Cercle Brugge St Truiden 2.11 h 1.66 Gent Westerlo 1.42 h 1.67 Twente Roda JC 0.91 h 1.82 h a supremacy bet odds Hercules Sp Gijon -0.59 a 3.30 Valerengen Lilleström -0.05 a 2.98 Tromsö Viking Stavanger -0.12 a 2.54 Bordeaux Lyon -0.15 a 2.50 Aarau FC Basel FC -1.16 a 1.77 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 6, 2007 Author Share Posted October 6, 2007 Re: Regression Digression ..and some more bets: h a supremacy bet odds Falkenbergs FF Degerfors 0.98 h 2.16 Heerenveen Heracles 0.98 h 1.64 Mallorca Getafe 1.64 h 2.20 Salamanca Alaves 1.01 h 2.54 Rosenborg Trondheim Odd Grenland 1.17 h 1.48 Brann Bergen Lyn SFK 1.39 h 1.41 BK Frem Kobenhavn Fredericia -0.52 a 2.26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 7, 2007 Author Share Posted October 7, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds Bryne IL Tromsdalen 1.00 h 1.67 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 8, 2007 Author Share Posted October 8, 2007 Re: Regression Digression wow. a 16% yield on all bets for saturday and sunday. h a supremacy bet odds result profit Man United Wigan 1.79 h 1.21 h 0.20 Carlisle Millwall 1.53 h 2.04 h 0.99 Cheltenham Oldham 0.84 h 2.90 d -1.00 Ipswich Preston 1.42 h 2.10 h 1.05 Peterboro Grimsby 1.75 h 1.77 h 0.73 Rochdale Bury 1.16 h 1.98 a -1.00 Sheffield Weds Leicester 1.07 h 2.56 a -1.00 Southampton West Brom 0.91 h 2.84 h 1.75 Stockport Barnet 0.99 h 1.98 a -1.00 Wycombe Notts County 1.95 h 2.06 h 1.01 St Etienne Marseille 1.15 h 2.60 h 1.52 Korona Kielce Cracovia Kraków 1.02 h 1.60 h 0.57 Malaga Las Palmas 2.10 h 1.59 h 0.56 Le Mans Nice 1.22 h 2.18 h 1.12 Lens Auxerre 1.23 h 2.14 h 1.08 PSV Eindhoven Willem II 1.82 h 1.20 h 0.19 Cercle Brugge St Truiden 2.11 h 1.66 h 0.63 Gent Westerlo 1.42 h 1.67 d -1.00 Twente Roda JC 0.91 h 1.82 a -1.00 Falkenbergs FF Degerfors 0.98 h 2.16 a -1.00 Heerenveen Heracles 0.98 h 1.64 h 0.61 Bryne IL Tromsdalen 1.00 h 1.67 h 0.64 Liverpool Tottenham 1.39 h 1.62 d -1.00 Man City Middlesbrough 1.43 h 1.74 h 0.70 Barcelona Ath Madrid 0.97 h 1.52 h 0.49 Real Madrid Recreativo 0.93 h 1.32 h 0.30 Sevilla La Coruna 1.25 h 1.50 a -1.00 Zaragoza Levante 1.85 h 1.54 h 0.51 Mallorca Getafe 1.64 h 2.20 h 1.14 Salamanca Alaves 1.01 h 2.54 a -1.00 Rosenborg Trondheim Odd Grenland 1.17 h 1.48 h 0.46 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Cardiff Burnley -0.76 a 3.95 h -1.00 Wolves Coventry -0.53 a 4.20 h -1.00 Hercules Sp Gijon -0.59 a 3.30 a 2.19 Sparta Ajax -1.52 a 1.44 d -1.00 BK Frem Kobenhavn Fredericia -0.52 a 2.26 h -1.00 Aarau FC Basel FC -1.16 a 1.77 a 0.73 Osasuna Villarreal -0.20 a 2.64 h -1.00 Tromsö Viking Stavanger -0.12 a 2.54 h -1.00 Bordeaux Lyon -0.15 a 2.50 a 1.43 Valerengen Lilleström -0.05 a 2.98 a 1.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 8, 2007 Author Share Posted October 8, 2007 Re: Regression Digression BOTH HOMES AWAYS bets105 bets 62 bets 43 wins 51 wins 32 wins 19 strike 49% strike 52% strike 44% profit 5.20 profit -2.99 profit 8.20 yield 5.0% yield -4.8% yield 19.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 8, 2007 Author Share Posted October 8, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds Brann Bergen Lyn SFK 1.39 h 1.41 h a supremacy bet odds Landskrona Jonkoping Sodra IF -0.06 a 4.80 are the only two bets tonight. (the first has already been posted) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 8, 2007 Author Share Posted October 8, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit Brann Bergen Lyn SFK 1.39 h 1.41 h 0.39 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Landskrona Jonkoping Sodra IF -0.06 a 4.80 h -1.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 8, 2007 Author Share Posted October 8, 2007 Re: Regression Digression BOTH HOMES AWAYS bets107 bets 63 bets 44 wins 52 wins 33 wins 19 strike 49% strike 52% strike 43% profit 4.59 profit -2.60 profit 7.20 yield 4.3% yield -4.1% yield 16.4% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 11, 2007 Author Share Posted October 11, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds fri745 Grimsby Rochdale 0.82 h 2.46 fri745 Derry City UCD Dublin 0.95 h 1.94 sat8 Corinthians Internacional 1.13 h 2.22 sat12 Gillingham Millwall 1.12 h 2.40 sat1230 Macclesfield Wrexham 0.98 h 2.28 sat1230 Notts County Bury 0.82 h 2.16 sat1 Barnet Mansfield 2.18 h 1.65 sat3 Ljungskile Falkenbergs FF 1.70 h 1.56 sat8 Parana Clube Flamengo 0.88 h 2.25 sun01 Guadalajara Necaxa 1.56 h 1.88 sun130 Milton Keynes Dons Lincoln 2.09 h 1.55 sun2 Brescia Mantova 1.28 h 1.95 sun2 Frosinone Bari 1.53 h 2.27 sun2 Lecce Spezia 1.49 h 1.62 sun2 Darlington Stockport 1.75 h 1.88 sun2 Peterboro Wycombe 0.80 h 1.92 sun5 Bodo Glimt Lov Ham 1.72 h 1.37 sun5 Castellon Tenerife 1.89 h 2.20 sun6 U.N.A.M. Tigres 1.62 h 1.90 sun22 America Veracruz 1.56 h 1.86 h a supremacy bet odds fri745 Chester Hereford -0.54 a 3.35 fri745 Bray Wanderers Cork City -0.67 a 2.00 fri8 Sligo Rovers St. Patrick s Athletic -0.30 a 2.58 sat1 Cheltenham Nott m Forest -0.40 a 2.04 sat1 Port Vale Brighton -0.13 a 3.10 sat1 Yeovil Carlisle -0.58 a 3.10 sat5 Alaves Hercules -0.16 a 2.95 Some more aways to come, once prices settle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F. Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Re: Regression Digression sun22 America Veracruz 1.56 h 1.86 OMG, OMG, OMG !!!!! My team is in your picks !!!! SO excited... :cow They won't let you down, I promiss. Veracruz is a weak side, América has a great home record and we have a new coach with a very offensive mindset... :nana:nana:nana F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 11, 2007 Author Share Posted October 11, 2007 Re: Regression Digression i don't pick 'em, the system does, mate. glad to see someone else that is just as excited as me about the picks!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 12, 2007 Author Share Posted October 12, 2007 Re: Regression Digression sat2210 Gremio Goias -1.25 a 8.00 sat2210 Santos Palmeiras -0.11 a 4.50 sun0230 Atlante Pachuca -0.42 a 4.20 sun2 Piacenza Bologna -0.95 a 2.52 sun7 Vasco da Gama Botafogo -1.12 a 2.68 sun730 Elche Malaga -0.63 a 2.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 15, 2007 Author Share Posted October 15, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit Grimsby Rochdale 0.82 h 2.46 a -1.00 Derry City UCD Dublin 0.95 h 1.94 d -1.00 Corinthians Internacional 1.13 h 2.22 d -1.00 Gillingham Millwall 1.12 h 2.40 d -1.00 Macclesfield Wrexham 0.98 h 2.28 h 1.22 Notts County Bury 0.82 h 2.16 a -1.00 Barnet Mansfield 2.18 h 1.65 d -1.00 Ljungskile Falkenbergs FF 1.70 h 1.56 d -1.00 Parana Clube Flamengo 0.88 h 2.25 a -1.00 Guadalajara Necaxa 1.56 h 1.88 h 0.84 Milton Keynes Dons Lincoln 2.09 h 1.55 h 0.52 Brescia Mantova 1.28 h 1.95 POST FrosinoneBari 1.53 h 2.27 h 1.21 Lecce Spezia 1.49 h 1.62 d -1.00 Darlington Stockport 1.75 h 1.88 h 0.84 Peterboro Wycombe 0.80 h 1.92 h 0.87 Bodo Glimt Lov Ham 1.72 h 1.37 h 0.35 Castellon Tenerife 1.89 h 2.20 d -1.00 U.N.A.M. Tigres 1.62 h 1.90 h 0.86 America Veracruz 1.56 h 1.86 d -1.00 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Chester Hereford -0.54 a 3.35 d -1.00 Bray Wanderers Cork City -0.67 a 2.00 d -1.00 Sligo Rovers St. Patrick s Athletic -0.30 a 2.58 a 1.50 Cheltenham Nott m Forest -0.40 a 2.04 a 0.99 Port Vale Brighton -0.13 a 3.10 a 2.00 Yeovil Carlisle -0.58 a 3.10 h -1.00 Alaves Hercules -0.16 a 2.95 h -1.00 Gremio Goias -1.25 a 8.00 h -1.00 Santos Palmeiras -0.11 a 4.50 d -1.00 Atlante Pachuca -0.42 a 4.20 a 3.04 Piacenza Bologna -0.95 a 2.52 a 1.44 Vasco da Gama Botafogo -1.12 a 2.68 h -1.00 Elche Malaga -0.63 a 2.40 h -1.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 15, 2007 Author Share Posted October 15, 2007 Re: Regression Digression HOMES AWAYS bets82 bets 57 wins 41 wins 24 strike 50% strike 42% profit -6.90 profit 8.16 yield -8.4% yield 14.3% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 19, 2007 Author Share Posted October 19, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds fri5 Slavia Praha Plzen Viktoria 1.45 h 1.66 fri7 Brest Ajaccio 1.35 h 2.12 fri7 Grenoble Guingamp 1.27 h 1.80 fri515 Legia Warszawa Odra Wodzislaw 1.90 h 1.26 fri745 UCD Dublin Longford Town 0.96 h 2.06 h a supremacy bet odds fri745 Accrington Macclesfield -0.97 a 3.60 fri7 Gueugnon Dijon -0.42 a 3.50 fri7 Libourne Niort -0.13 a 3.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 19, 2007 Author Share Posted October 19, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds Colchester West Brom 0.92 h 3.35 Mansfield Notts County 1.34 h 2.58 Newcastle Tottenham 1.48 h 2.52 Bury Shrewsbury 1.08 h 2.5 Toulouse St Etienne 1.31 h 2.48 Goias Fluminense 1.45 h 2.46 Erzgebirge Aue Augsburg 1.11 h 2.42 Hamburg Stuttgart 1.90 h 2.38 Atalanta Torino 1.60 h 2.32 Paderborn CZ Jena 0.82 h 2.32 Lilleström Rosenborg Trondheim 0.83 h 2.26 Cesena Bari 0.90 h 2.2 Betis Santander 0.86 h 2.15 Ath Madrid Zaragoza 1.43 h 2.08 Gaziantepspor Denizlispor 1.25 h 2.08 Wycombe Grimsby 2.43 h 1.96 Leverkusen Dortmund 0.94 h 1.94 Cadiz Las Palmas 1.94 h 1.92 Stoke Sheffield Weds 2.13 h 1.88 Northampton Cheltenham 2.43 h 1.87 Leyton Orient Port Vale 0.85 h 1.85 Nott m Forest Doncaster 0.94 h 1.82 Sampdoria Parma 1.03 h 1.81 Dundee Livingston 0.98 h 1.8 AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen 1.03 h 1.75 Blackburn Reading 1.21 h 1.72 Nancy Sochaux 1.27 h 1.71 Carlisle Gillingham 2.42 h 1.68 St Johnstone Queen of Sth 1.14 h 1.57 Lyon Monaco 0.92 h 1.57 Werder Bremen Hertha 1.55 h 1.56 Fredrikstad Sandefjord 1.41 h 1.53 Bologna Treviso 1.84 h 1.5 Fiorentina Siena 1.72 h 1.39 Fenerbahce Konyaspor 1.65 h 1.38 Nitra Senec 1.62 h 1.34 Arsenal Bolton 2.11 h 1.32 Milan Empoli 0.85 h 1.3 Galatasaray Ankaraspor 2.55 h 1.27 Ajax Nijmegen 2.42 h 1.2 h a supremacy bet odds Palmeiras Parana Clube -0.95 a 7.6 Millwall Bournemouth -0.43 a 4.2 Rennes Le Mans -0.49 a 4.2 Roda JC Utrecht -0.24 a 4.1 Triestina Frosinone -0.53 a 4 Nurnberg Ein Frankfurt -0.40 a 3.8 Hannover Wolfsburg -0.52 a 3.8 Vicenza Modena -0.88 a 3.8 Plymouth Coventry -0.52 a 3.6 Rizespor Bursaspor -0.55 a 3.6 Southampton Cardiff -1.04 a 3.55 Lecce Brescia -0.56 a 3.5 Barnsley Burnley -0.14 a 3.25 Rangers Celtic -0.20 a 3.25 Groningen Twente -0.10 a 3.2 Stockport Chester -0.54 a 3.1 Falkirk Kilmarnock -0.07 a 2.98 Wrexham Barnet -0.90 a 2.94 Trabzonspor Besiktas -0.47 a 2.9 Livorno Lazio -0.09 a 2.62 Heracles Vitesse -0.57 a 2.54 Motherwell Hibernian -0.54 a 2.42 La Coruna Valencia -0.75 a 2.4 Odd Grenland Start Kristiansand -0.11 a 2.34 Espanol Real Madrid -0.46 a 2.26 Everton Liverpool -0.74 a 2.24 Aalborg BK FC Kobenhavn -0.05 a 2.24 Albion Rvs Montrose -0.52 a 2.06 Villarreal Barcelona -0.40 a 1.92 Cracovia Kraków Wisla Krakow -0.54 a 1.88 Middlesbrough Chelsea -0.07 a 1.75 East Stirling East Fife -0.88 a 1.6 Reggina Inter -0.88 a 1.53 Bochum Bayern Munich -0.93 a 1.49 a few more bets for sun/mon when the odds settle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 20, 2007 Author Share Posted October 20, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds result profit fri5 Slavia Praha Plzen Viktoria 1.45 h 1.66 h 0.63 fri7 Brest Ajaccio 1.35 h 2.12 a -1.00 fri7 Grenoble Guingamp 1.27 h 1.80 d -1.00 fri515 Legia Warszawa Odra Wodzislaw 1.90 h 1.26 a -1.00 fri745 UCD Dublin Longford Town 0.96 h 2.06 a -1.00 poor homes h a supremacy bet odds result profit fri745 Accrington Macclesfield -0.97 a 3.60 h -1.00 fri7 Gueugnon Dijon -0.42 a 3.50 h -1.00 fri7 Libourne Niort -0.13 a 3.45 a 2.33 sound aways. HOMES AWAYS bets87 bets 60 wins 42 wins 25 strike 48% strike 42% profit -10.28 profit 8.49 yield -11.8% yield 14.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 21, 2007 Author Share Posted October 21, 2007 Re: Regression Digression h a supremacy bet odds sun 12:00 Landskrona Ljungskile -0.29 a 2.32 sun 18:00 Necaxa Atlas -0.41 a 4.3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 21, 2007 Author Share Posted October 21, 2007 Re: Regression Digression mon 19:30 Le Havre Amiens +1.55 h 1.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 22, 2007 Author Share Posted October 22, 2007 Re: Regression Digression and a 4% yield for sunday. :) h a supremacy bet odds result profit Sundsvall Degerfors 1.52 h 1.42 a -1.00 Erzgebirge Aue Augsburg 1.11 h 2.42 h 1.35 Paderborn CZ Jena 0.82 h 2.32 d -1.00 AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen 1.03 h 1.75 a -1.00 Atalanta Torino 1.60 h 2.32 d -1.00 Fiorentina Siena 1.72 h 1.39 h 0.37 Lov Ham Tromsdalen 0.98 h 1.92 h 0.87 Milan Empoli 0.85 h 1.30 a -1.00 Sampdoria Parma 1.03 h 1.81 h 0.77 Betis Santander 0.86 h 2.15 d -1.00 Fredrikstad Sandefjord 1.41 h 1.53 h 0.50 Malaga Xerez 1.38 h 1.80 h 0.76 Nancy Sochaux 1.27 h 1.71 d -1.00 Galatasaray Ankaraspor 2.55 h 1.27 d -1.00 Lilleström Rosenborg Trondheim 0.83 h 2.26 h 1.20 Sao Paulo Cruzeiro 1.00 h 1.86 h 0.82 Ath Madrid Zaragoza 1.43 h 2.08 h 1.03 Internacional Juventude 1.58 h 1.65 h 0.62 h a supremacy bet odds result profit Landskrona Ljungskile -0.29 a 2.32 a 1.25 Olstykke Kolding -0.41 a 1.84 a 0.80 Southampton Cardiff -1.04 a 3.55 h -1.00 Groningen Twente -0.10 a 3.20 h -1.00 Roda JC Utrecht -0.24 a 4.10 d -1.00 Livorno Lazio -0.09 a 2.62 a 1.54 Hannover Wolfsburg -0.52 a 3.80 d -1.00 Lyn SFK Valerengen -0.06 a 2.42 h -1.00 Odd Grenland Start Kristiansand -0.11 a 2.34 h -1.00 Necaxa Atlas -0.41 a 4.30 a 3.14 BOTH HOMES AWAYS bets229 bets 131 bets 98 wins 111 wins 68 wins 43 strike 48% strike 52% strike 44% profit 9.18 profit -6.17 profit 15.35 yield 4.0% yield -4.7% yield 15.7% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 22, 2007 Author Share Posted October 22, 2007 Re: Regression Digression hi there, any feedback? has anybody noticed the 15% yield from 98 bets on the away picks? i crunched some chi tests, for what it's worth, using the odds to calculate expected wins/losses. BOTH HOMES AWAYS bets229 bets 131 bets 98 wins 111 wins 68 wins 43 strike 48% strike 52% strike 44% profit 9.18 profit -6.17 profit 15.35 yield 4.0% yield -4.7% yield 15.7% av odds 2.17 av odds 1.86 av odds 2.79 exp wins 105.5 exp wins 70.3 exp wins 35.2 exp loss 123.5 exp loss 60.7 exp loss 62.8 act wins 111 act wins 68 act wins 43 act losses 118 act losses 63 act losses 55 wins ahead 5.5 wins ahead -2.3 wins ahead 7.8 chi 53.7% chi 31.2% chi 90.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F. Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 Re: Regression Digression hi there, any feedback? has anybody noticed the 15% yield from 98 bets on the away picks? Hi Muppet, I follow you every weekend. I've never placed anyone else's bet as mine but I closely follow systems that show a consistent profit and yours is one of my favourites, especially for the away matches. I remember reading an old thread here (couldn't find though :eyes) about the chi square as a robustness test. And I remember that it stated that a 15% yield over 120-150 bets was *not* the result of chance with 99% confidence. So.... congrats, muppet!! :clap:clap:clap F. P.S.: Please don't get discouraged by the (apparent) lack of feedback. We are here !! :loon:loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted October 23, 2007 Author Share Posted October 23, 2007 Re: Regression Digression Cheers mate. I think that the homes will come good in the end. Overall bets are around 4% yield with 3 out of 4 homes winning last night. Will update the stats when i can. Thanks for your support f. I have confidence with this system. ;-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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