FleetFanatic Posted August 4, 2007 Share Posted August 4, 2007 SECRET METHOD - CURRENTLY IN USE Erm.....it's secret? :lol PUBLIC METHOD - ON HOLD RATE ONLY HOME TEAMS PREMIERSHIP TO CONFERENCE ONLY (Any other leagues is at your own risk) NO CUP GAMES UNLESS 2 TEAMS ARE IN SAME LEAGUE DIVISION Draw up a grid with the following columns: Home team / Odds to win / League Diff / Home form / Away Form / Home Overall Form / Total. 1st 2 columns explain themselves - if they don't then you shouldn't be betting! :lol League Diff is the difference in league places. If home team is lower than the away team then the number will be a minus figure. Home form: home team's home wins minus draws minus home defeats Away form: away team's away wins minus away draws minus away defeats Home overall form: Look at home teams last 6 LEAGUE GAMES ONLY. Award points as follows: Home wins by 1 goal - 1 point Home wins by 2 goals - 3 points Home wins by 3 or more goals - 6 points Away wins by 1 goal - 2 points Away wins by 2 goals - 5 points Away wins by 3 or more goals - 7 points Home draws - nothing Away draws - 1 point Home defeats - MINUS 4 POINTS Away defeats - MINUS 2 POINTS TOTAL: Calculated as follows: League Diff + Home form - Away Form + Home Overall Form The crucial thing to remember is that when subtracting the away form, if this is a minus figure, will actually meaning adding the number to the total. ie (10) - (-5) = 10 + 5 = 15 Remember: minus a minus is a plus! :spank As a ratings guide: 30+: on paper, consider it a banker 21-30: should win (but there's always one that doesn't) 11-20: probably win (but starting to get a few doubts) -10 to 10: could go either way by a goal, or a draw below -10: avoid! A large minus figure does not mean a banker away win - you've rated the home side, not the away side! Although the away team does win more than lose in these situations. For the treble, stick to teams that rate 30 or higher. If more than 3, take the 3 with the best odds. For the 7-fold, it was the 7 rated 20+ with the best odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 4, 2007 Author Share Posted August 4, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Just a reminder for the forthcoming season, save people asking during the season, I hope..... :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 4, 2007 Author Share Posted August 4, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Well here we are then. A new season is a week away. Neither of the 2 methods from last season can be used yet, with an obvious lack of form to go on. Unlike last season, I am not starting the season using the previous season's form..... .....to start us off, I have created a little formula using the last 5 H2H for each fixture, all we await now is a full set of odds from bet365. Working down the list, we will be looking for the 1st 3 teams with odds to win between 8/15 and just under evens for our treble - the same rules as our regular methods. Of course, we'll be doing a 7-fold using the 7 with the best odds. As soon as I have enough data for the season, I will bring in the methods from last season - both the original (made public version) and the newer (kept secret) methods. Luton 21 Arsenal 20 Bolton 17 Chelsea 16 Brentford 16 Crewe 14 Peterborough 13 Cardiff 11 Grimsby 10 West Ham 9 Preston 9 Port Vale 8 Chester 7 Southampton 5 Doncaster 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted August 4, 2007 Share Posted August 4, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Welcome back buddy, best of luck with it this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 4, 2007 Share Posted August 4, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 good to see you back butty :cheers hope things are on the up for you mate - you know where we are :ok i'm sure you'll be pissing off bet365 pretty soon mate :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mileni4uk Posted August 4, 2007 Share Posted August 4, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 GL mate :hope :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 6, 2007 Author Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Cheers Fellas. Noboy knows how the first few weeks are going to pan out, bet365 odds seem even better than I expected to be honest. Fingers crossed for some returns..... STARTING BANKS: Trebles: £500 7-folds: £500 SATURDAY 11TH AUGUST: 21 Luton 4/5 20 Arsenal 1/3 (EXCLUDED) 17 Bolton 7/5 16 Chelsea 1/6 (EXCLUDED) 16 Brentford 10/11 14 Crewe 11/10 13 Peterborough 4/7 11 Cardiff 11/10 10 Grimsby 11/10 9 West Ham 1/1 9 Preston 6/5 8 Port Vale 11/10 7 Chester 6/4 5 Southampton 10/11 2 Doncaster 5/4 TREBLE: 21 Luton 4/5 16 Brentford 10/11 13 Peterborough 4/7 £10 staked in an attempt to return £54.00 :hope 7-FOLD: 17 Bolton 7/5 14 Crewe 11/10 11 Cardiff 11/10 10 Grimsby 11/10 9 Preston 6/5 7 Chester 6/4 2 Doncaster 5/4 £10 staked in an attempt to return £2750.52 :loon :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £490 7-folds: £490 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted August 6, 2007 Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Good Luck as per usual Fleet.:hope Here's hoping for a winning return.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikola Posted August 6, 2007 Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Good luck fleet Last time you had great results if I remember correctly :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshman 2005 Posted August 6, 2007 Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 fleet i did something almost exactly the way you are doing for the past 2 years. and had a decent bit of success with it. :ok:ok:ok:ok:ok:ok. but mine is nowhere near as complicated to work out.;););) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 6, 2007 Author Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Great, open a thread and put your selections up :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshman 2005 Posted August 6, 2007 Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Great, open a thread and put your selections up no need to be sarky mate. do you really think i put my real selections on punters lounge. :rollin:rollin:rollin yeah right. go and find your own Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 6, 2007 Author Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Erm I do, HENCE THIS BEING MY THREAD and as other will tell you, I win often enough. Do me a favour and don't post in this thread again, as your pointless comments aren't welcome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 6, 2007 Author Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 REPOSTED STARTING BANKS: Trebles: £500 7-folds: £500 SATURDAY 11TH AUGUST: 21 Luton 4/5 20 Arsenal 1/3 (EXCLUDED) 17 Bolton 7/5 16 Chelsea 1/6 (EXCLUDED) 16 Brentford 10/11 14 Crewe 11/10 13 Peterborough 4/7 11 Cardiff 11/10 10 Grimsby 11/10 9 West Ham 1/1 9 Preston 6/5 8 Port Vale 11/10 7 Chester 6/4 5 Southampton 10/11 2 Doncaster 5/4 TREBLE: 21 Luton 4/5 16 Brentford 10/11 13 Peterborough 4/7 £10 staked in an attempt to return £54.00 :hope 7-FOLD: 17 Bolton 7/5 14 Crewe 11/10 11 Cardiff 11/10 10 Grimsby 11/10 9 Preston 6/5 7 Chester 6/4 2 Doncaster 5/4 £10 staked in an attempt to return £2750.52 :loon :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £490 7-folds: £490 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted August 6, 2007 Share Posted August 6, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Very very best of luck fleet - will look forward to checking this thread every saturday. :ok Not that you would but take no notice of the numpty. Good luck :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 11, 2007 Author Share Posted August 11, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 REPOSTED STARTING BANKS: Trebles: £500 7-folds: £500 SATURDAY 11TH AUGUST: 21 Luton 4/5 2-1 :clap 20 Arsenal 1/3 (EXCLUDED) 17 Bolton 7/5 1-3 :@ 16 Chelsea 1/6 (EXCLUDED) 16 Brentford 10/11 1-1 :wall 14 Crewe 11/10 2-1 :clap 13 Peterborough 4/7 3-0 :clap 11 Cardiff 11/10 0-1 :@ 10 Grimsby 11/10 1-1 :wall 9 West Ham 1/1 0-2 :@ 9 Preston 6/5 0-0 :wall 8 Port Vale 11/10 1-1 :wall 7 Chester 6/4 0-0 :wall 5 Southampton 10/11 1-4 :@ 2 Doncaster 5/4 0-0 :wall TREBLE: 21 Luton 4/5 :clap 16 Brentford 10/11 :wall 13 Peterborough 4/7 :clap £10 staked in an attempt to return £54.00 :sad 7-FOLD: 17 Bolton 7/5 :@ 14 Crewe 11/10 :clap 11 Cardiff 11/10 :@ 10 Grimsby 11/10 :wall 9 Preston 6/5 :wall 7 Chester 6/4 :wall 2 Doncaster 5/4 :wall £10 staked in an attempt to return £2750.52 :sadSo much for the H2H's lol CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £490 7-folds: £490 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted August 11, 2007 Share Posted August 11, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Only one lets you down for the treble.:( Plenty of time to recoup. Onwards and upwards Fleet.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 17, 2007 Author Share Posted August 17, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Just to say this weekend's wont be up until this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 18, 2007 Author Share Posted August 18, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 And even later than I expected - sorry about that, week off and time with daughter, etc. I love this part of the season, as I can tweak things etc without to much damage as there is little form to go on. Anyway, it's late so this week I will simply put up the bets only. TREBLE: Colchester 10/11 Coventry 4/6 Leeds 8/11 £10 staked in an attempt to return £54.96 :hope 7-FOLD: Fulham 11/10 Coventry 4/6 Crystal Palace 1/1 Norwich 5/4 Leeds 8/11 Macclesfield 6/4 Mansfield 11/8 £10 staked in an attempt to return £1615.27 :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £480 7-folds: £480 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted August 18, 2007 Share Posted August 18, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Good Luck as usual Fleet.:hope And the time with the daughter is more important than this.:ok Hope you both had a great day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smyther Posted August 23, 2007 Share Posted August 23, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 How did last week go any picks this week.. Cheers.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 24, 2007 Author Share Posted August 24, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Last week was pants, this week will be up later. The joys of nightshift and other grief lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 24, 2007 Author Share Posted August 24, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Well its been a busy day again, just got back and off to work soon. So I will do them at work and they will be posted around 6.30/7am. Sorry for the inconvenience lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted August 24, 2007 Share Posted August 24, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 No Probs there Fleet.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 25, 2007 Author Share Posted August 25, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Right....here we are, courtesy of my secret method (which has been tweaked for this season so the ratings will have higher figures than last season rating must be above 10 to be considered); Odds from bet365 and the 'top 3 below evens' rule still applies to the treble. All positive ratings are listed, the top 15 non-excluded will be used in the glory hunt forum for the canadian of trebles. 28 Hereford 6/5 25 Darlington 8/11 20 Burnley 4/5 19 Huddersfield 10/11 18 Peterborough 7/10 14 Aston Villa 8/11 14 Doncaster 4/7 13 Grimsby 4/5 11 Tranmere 4/5 10 Charlton 4/6 10 Chelsea 1/4 (excluded) 09 Stockport 6/5 08 Nottingham Forest 11/10 08 Luton 8/13 07 Brentford 4/6 05 Arsenal 4/7 03 Sunderland 5/1 02 West Ham 10/11 02 Hull 6/5 01 Walsall 8/5 TREBLE: 25 Darlington 8/11 20 Burnley 4/5 19 Huddersfield 10/11 £10 staked in an attempt to return £49.36 :hope 7-FOLD: 28 Hereford 6/5 25 Darlington 8/11 20 Burnley 4/5 19 Huddersfield 10/11 14 Aston Villa 8/11 13 Grimsby 4/5 11 Tranmere 4/5 £10 staked in an attempt to return £720.78 :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £470 7-folds: £470 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toffeeandy Posted August 25, 2007 Share Posted August 25, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Hey Fleet, good luck with the system, followed it closely last season- bad luck last week, didnt get to place a bet which turned out quite well in the end. Ive gone for your treble this week mate on betfair (as ive only just discovered the multiples button) and the odds seems much better ive got a possible £20 return for a £3 stake. fingers crossed for today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toffeeandy Posted August 25, 2007 Share Posted August 25, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 just noticed on bbc website, Burnley have cancelled their game due to the death of a player Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 25, 2007 Author Share Posted August 25, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Right....here we are' date= courtesy of my secret method (which has been tweaked for this season so the ratings will have higher figures than last season rating must be above 10 to be considered); Odds from bet365 and the 'top 3 below evens' rule still applies to the treble. All positive ratings are listed, the top 15 non-excluded will be used in the glory hunt forum for the canadian of trebles. 28 Hereford 6/5 1-1 :wall 25 Darlington 8/11 2-2 :wall 20 Burnley 4/5 p-p 19 Huddersfield 10/11 0-2 :@ 18 Peterborough 7/10 2-3 :@ 14 Aston Villa 8/11 2-1 :) 14 Doncaster 4/7 1-2 :@ 13 Grimsby 4/5 1-1 :wall 11 Tranmere 4/5 2-0 :) 10 Charlton 4/6 3-2 :) 10 Chelsea 1/4 (excluded) 09 Stockport 6/5 2-2 :wall 08 Nottingham Forest 11/10 1-2 :@ 08 Luton 8/13 3-1 :) 07 Brentford 4/6 2-1 :) 05 Arsenal 4/7 1-0 :) 03 Sunderland 5/1 0-2 :$ 02 West Ham 10/11 1-1 :wall 02 Hull 6/5 2-1 :) 01 Walsall 8/5 1-3 :@ TREBLE: 25 Darlington 8/11 20 Burnley 4/5 19 Huddersfield 10/11 £10 staked in an attempt to return £49.36 :hope 7-FOLD: 28 Hereford 6/5 25 Darlington 8/11 20 Burnley 4/5 19 Huddersfield 10/11 14 Aston Villa 8/11 13 Grimsby 4/5 11 Tranmere 4/5 £10 staked in an attempt to return £720.78 :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £470 7-folds: £470Needless to say we didn't win. Can't wait for the form to be bedded in better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted August 25, 2007 Share Posted August 25, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 It will happen Fleet.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Fleet's Football Trebles 2007-08 Continuing with the secret method whilst we wait for enough form for the public method: Some very strong ratings this week (I have changed nothing from last week) 44 COVENTRY 4/5 32 LEYTON ORIENT 10/11 31 WEST BROM 1/2 (EXCLUDED) 31 LIVERPOOL 1/6 (EXCLUDED) 25 SHREWSBURY 10/11 25 CRYSTAL PALACE 6/4 23 SCUNTHORPE 9/5 23 COLCHESTER 11/10 21 SWANSEA 10/11 --------------------------- 19 CHESTERFIELD 1/1 16 BRIGHTON 5/4 15 BOURNEMOUTH 1/1 12 MIDDLESBROUGH 1/1 11 BRISTOL ROVERS 6/4 11 CARLISLE 8/11 11 MAN UTD 1/6 (EXCLUDED) 10 HARTLEPOOL 6/5 10 NORWICH 11/10 10 SWINDON 1/1 08 BLACKPOOL 5/4 05 PLYMOUTH 11/8 05 ARSENAL 1/2 (EXCLUDED) TREBLE: 44 COVENTRY 4/5 32 LEYTON ORIENT 10/11 25 SHREWSBURY 10/11 £10 staked in an attempt to return £65.60 :hope 7-FOLD: 44 COVENTRY 4/5 32 LEYTON ORIENT 10/11 25 SHREWSBURY 10/11 25 CRYSTAL PALACE 6/4 23 SCUNTHORPE 9/5 23 COLCHESTER 11/10 21 SWANSEA 10/11 £10 staked in an attempt to return £1841.07 :hope CURRENT BANKS: Trebles: £460 7-folds: £460 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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