Wimbledon (M+F)

[alexmac]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Yeah, I agree. I can now sit back and enjoy the match, knowing that whatever happens I will make good profit. Hopefully it will be a cracker!

[zoolander]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	J Henin-Hardenne v A Mauresmo
Selection	J Henin-Hardenne 2-0
Strength	10/10
Date	08/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>Paddy Power @ 2.10 (Back)
Reasoning	I'm backing this now incase odds go down. I backed Mauresmo to beat Sharapova but Sharapova had so many unforced errors she practicly gave Mauresmo the win. Mauresmo wasn't taking the game to sharpova, she was just getting the ball back in play and Sharapova had to generate her own power and was hitting shots everywhere. Henin is more intelligent than Sharapova and wont make the same mistakes, she can put Mauresmo's serve under real pressure and has the better ground strokes to win points. Henin is so strong at the moment and looks to blow away anyone that steps in her way. Even if Henin looses her serve she will have many oppurtunities to break back like Clisters in the semi and we think she can win this final in 2 sets.

[zoolander]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	J Bjorkman Vs R Federer
Selection	J Bjorkman 1st Set
Strength	2/10
Date	07/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>Paddy Power @ 10.00 (Back)
Reasoning	I have backed Bjorkman in every round and has made me a lot of profit so i feel obliged to back him in some way in the semi final. Bjorkman has won the 1st set in every game so far except Johannson in the 1st round so this shows he starts well in games. Bjorkman is as good a serve and volley player as there is around, although his serve can be broken he is probably the best return of serve in the mens game helped by all the doubles he plays so he has a chance to break the Federer serve. We all know how good Roger is so we are hoping he may find Bjorkman coming to the net a different proposition from previous opponents and his good return of serve may suprise Federer. We also hope Federer is still asleep in the 1st set and may underesitimate Bjorkman!

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	Wimbledon
Selection	Nadal v Baghdatis: MATCH TO GO TO 5 SETS
Strength	10/10
Date	07/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>Bet365 @ 3.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Not sure about this one really, I've underestimated both of these guys so far (especially Baggy) but they've both made it. Nadal dropped a couple of sets against Kendrick but apart from that has won through a very easy draw without dropping a set. Baggy started poorly but in the last couple of matches had played some cracking stuff especially knocking Hewitt off the court. Neither guy really likes this surface too much but they're getting the job done and I think they match up pretty evenly. People will mention the win Nadal had earlier this year on hard where he dominatd after a tough first set but Baggy is a big time player, just like in Australia he's performing on the big stage. I can just see this one being really close, and I'm hoping for a classic from these guys. Price is slightly better than you get doing it manually (backing both 3-2).

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	Wimbledon
Selection	Federer v Bjorkman: UNDER 29.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	07/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>Bet365 @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	This is a small number but the way Fed has been tearing through this draw I think we can go under. Awesome run by now but surely Bjorkman after that long 5 setter with Stepanek and all of his doubles must be tiring. His strength is the return and that wil surely just get him into a rally with Fed in which he will be taken apart. He will chip and attack the net but that just gives Fed a target to rip winners. I can't see him getting much from this and the scoreline and match should be similar to the Henman game. H2H is 3-0 to Fed all in straight sets a few years ago.

[dr.karl]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) I think Bahgdatis is fantastic value at 3.1 before commission on betfair. He has beaten proven Grass court players in his run, Grosjean and Hewitt. A tough game against the crowd and Murray on Monday too. Conversely Nadal has played two qualifiers, a wildcard, his only noteworthy win was against Agassi who has hardly played all year. I'm not convinced about Nadal on grass and combined with Baghdatis' good run his odds offer value.

[PIPMEL]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Felt sorry for Mario Ancic in the quarters, what more can a man do ? He played incredibly well and would probably have beaten any other player in the world, yet didn't come close to winning even one set. Super Mario hit 7 aces, 24 winners, made only one double fault and 13 unforced errors, he won 72% of first serves , 53% of second and was drubbed. Fed-ex was awesome, Ancic had to win every point several times, it was the complete performance. Today the 3 times champion faces 34 yo , Jonas Bjorkman, the doubles specialist is currently 54-1 to win the match, surely the biggest price anyone has ever been in a grand slam semi-final. They have met three times previously, RF winning all in straight sets, however, in the 7 sets played, 4 have gone to tie breaks, including 2 in the only meeting at Wimbledon, although that was 5 years ago. Federer has yet to drop a set, he will probably win 3-0 today, but at 1.22 max, we are not going to get fat on that, so we will have to look elsewhere for an interest. Jonas has nothing to lose, not sure that he will ever play in the singles again, but this year has already exceeded his wildest expectations. He has no reason to feel nervous, beyond the fact that no one wants to be demolished in front of millions of viewers. My best call is that Federer will progress in three, close sets, would not be totally surprised if we had at least one tie break. I am going to take over 30.5 games on Betfair, this is quoted at 2.70 right now, but should be nearer 3.0 later. There is a little money to "lay" at 1.40 + on under (3.50 over) and I am confident that more funds will come in later. So, the easiest way to collect on this would be one tie break and Jonas to pick up at least 6 games in the other two sets (6-3,6-3). Of course he could always take a set ! Then we are home and dry. Anything over 2.70 seems like value to me. In winning Halle, pre Wimbledon, Roger played 14 sets, 8 of which went to a tie breaker. For the more adventurous 7.0 + for Federer to win the first set 7-6, is a fair price, Ladbrokes offer 7.0, others may be bigger, as always, shop around. 3 points over 30.5 games in the Federer-Bjorkman semi 2.70 + betfair 1/2 point Federer to win first set 7-6 ladbrokes 7.0

[hornet_18]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Federer vs Bjorkman under 28 @ 2.2 Federer vs Ancic only went to 30games, who thinks Bjorkman has a better chance against Fed? 6-3 6-3 6-3 will make this bet so Im happy with those odds as Fed looked imperious the other day. Baggy to beat Nadal 3-1 @ 7.6 Baggy has beaten two grass court players 3-1 on sets (Grosjean and Hewitt). Both were fancied to go far in the tournament and since Baggy stopped them in their tracks I cant see why he cant stop the clay court master either. Baggy beat Nalbandian in the AUS semi final after being 2 sets down, nothing is impossible! Since his shocker in the first round against Mackin he has been playing brilliantly and I dont see why he shouldnt come through here. Im not convinced he should be the dog. GL

[Dave E]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	J Bjorkman Vs R Federer
Selection	Under 29.5 Games
Strength	10/10
Date	07/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.57 (Back)
Reasoning	Federer will be too quick and too strong for Bjorkman who is now getting to the end of his career at a ripe old age of 34. Federer is a Machine on Grass and I fully expect him to put away Bjorkman very easily indeed and book himself yet another Wimbledon Final.

[moiraz]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Has Greasy Nadal really raised his game that much? He always appeared to me as the clay court wonder who was poor when ever he played on grass. Do any of you expect him to do the unthinkable and bt the Fed express at wimbledon this Yr?

[Tulenos]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Imo he's the only one left now able to at least take Fed to four or five sets.;) And Fed has been the whole tourny and still is and is expected to be available @ more than prohibitive prices - so betting in-running and hoping he can falter a bit is probably the only hope.

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Has Greasy Nadal really raised his game that much? He always appeared to me as the clay court wonder who was poor when ever he played on grass. Do any of you expect him to do the unthinkable and bt the Fed express at wimbledon this Yr?

I don't think his game has changed too much but he is playing tactically a lot on the grass and using his game a lot more effectively. The only thing that has changed is the serve, and that is a lot better this year. If they play in the final I think he can really push Fed, purely because of his record against Fed and he's got to be in his head by now. Just need to get the semis done first:$ :$

[FootballTennis]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Nadal has won his past 5 meetings against Federer, so of course he has a chance. With this being grass, it is advantage Federer but Nadal still has a fair chance of winning.

[swampster]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) I've got a real dilemma for the Women's Final......I can't decide who's more hideously ugly - Justine Henin-Hardenne or Amelie Mauresmo. help please ?

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

I've got a real dilemma for the Women's Final......I can't decide who's more hideously ugly - Justine Henin-Hardenne or Amelie Mauresmo. help please ?

Pointless drivel:eyes

[^Newbie^]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Come on Baggy . Played very well in the 2nd set and lost to an even more awesome nadal . omg . :(

[alexmac]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Looks like I didn't need to hedge after all...

[A-Team]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) This is great stuff from Nadal. He's got to have a big chance against Federer on this form and taking the psychology of their recent meetings into account. I've just layed Fed at 1.21. I can see that price drifting a bit assuming Nadal closes this one out comfortably.

[Cosmetic Bob]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

I think NADAL is a good bet. As I said on here during Queens, I think he is underrated on grass and is a decent player on the surface IMO. His quarter looks weak and I think he will win it, only danger seems to be Ljubicic but he played useless against Monfils at Queens and doesn't look all that on the surface. I know Nadal just scrapped past an injured Verdasco but the most important thing was, he got the job done, the result wasn't wimbledon winner standard but neither was any of Federers performances in Halle!. He was giving Hewitt a match in QF when it was 1-1 sets before shoulder injury, i didn't see the match but the score suggests it could have gone either way!. With a bit of luck he can see of Hewitt/Roddick in semis (or maybe a shock happen in 3rd quarter and he gets easy semi final!!!!)

I still remember when Mardy Fish was fav to beat him at Queens :lol :lol what is wrong with the bookies:loon Massively underrrated on this surface Federer wont have an easy match in the final IMO.

[^Newbie^]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) nadal was impressive today . Gotta give Fedex another big game in the final .

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Nadal was absolutely class today. Baghdatis failed to convert 9 break points (went 0-9) but Nadal was impresive in saving them. I really want to bet on him to beat Fed, but I'm not sure I can bring myself to do it:$. I'll definately be having some sort of handicap or laying Fed 3-0 action:ok.

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Sport	Tennis
Event	Wimbledon
Selection	MAURESMO v Henin
Strength	10/10
Date	08/07/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 3.00 (Back)
Reasoning	A lot of people fancy Henin for this, but I'm willing to go against them. I was really impressed with the way Mauresmo took care of Sharapova in the semis and I think she can go all the way. Inner belief is a big thing for her and after winning the end of season tournament, the Australian and beating Sharapova in the semi I think she can put in a great performance here. Not impressed with Henin in the semi, Clijsters had a lot of chances and it really should have gone to 3 sets. I basically think it will be very close and at these prices I'm going to go for Amelie. £1286 available.

[PIPMEL]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Agree, Mauresmo odds too high. Same old story......... ...... today, Amelie Mauresmo has the game to win Wimbledon, but will her nerve hold? Under pressure it looks more like she is trying to serve cannon balls, almost impossible to get one over the net. Henin-Hardenne is in good form and a worthy favourite, but at 1.48 tops, I don't think so. Not convinced about the Belgian's serve actually, too many double faults and they are increasing, too few second service points won and they are decreasing. This will be very good in parts and very scrappy in others, with little in between. Amelie WILL get nervous and will need a little luck at key moments, but it is not everyday that you can back the world number one, serving 80% first serves at up to 120mph on grass, with the best volley in the tournament, at 2/1 plus. HH leads the h2h 5-4, 2-1 on clay, 3-3 on hard courts, this is their first meeting on grass, sure that Justine will have the better night's sleep, but in a big weekend for French sport, Mauresmo can give Les Bleus a boost by becoming the first French woman to win for 80 years. The odds dictate the bet really, at 3.05 on Betfair, she is the only possible option. 4 points Mauresmo 3.05 betfair.

[hornet_18]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Lay JHH @ 1.49 The choker is finally on the big stage at Wimby. She proved she can survive the heat of a final in the AO earlier in the year (even though JHH was injured or ill or whatever - she may have still folded!). JHH has been impressive and hasnt dropped a set in either Wimby or the French, however, Momo battled hard against el Screamio and that was a mighty impressive victory. Even though she choked away the second set, she didnt let that get to her and won the 3rd with relative ease (although she did try to throw it!). GL

[christo85efc]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Have to disagree chaps... Justine should take this one, and i believe in straight sets, shes too good for the man-mauresmo. Muresmo showed great nerves in her semi and i think only came through that match due to Sharapova's unforced errors, Henin-Hardene will not make that amount of errors and her power backhand will be too much! I think the odds are pretty much spot on here, so this is the bet for me. JHH to win 2-0 @ 2.10 bet365

[Wardy]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Just scanned my way through the mens and womens draws. As usual Federer is going to be extremley difficult to beat but he his a ridculous price. In order to get to the final he will probably have to beat Gasquet' date='Henman, Vilegen, Haas, Ancic and Nalbandian. Although he should do this, its still going to be a tough ask. Ancic is a top 3 player on Grass and Nalbandian is no mug either. So i will leave Federer well alone on the outright market. The bet that appeals to me is [b']Nadal. Yes, he is not at home on grass, but he was playing very well at Queens last week and i reckon he would have beaten Hewitt if it wasnt for his injury. He has quite an easy draw if you ask me and i would be very annoyed if he didnt get to at least the semis. He will probably have to beat Bogdanovic, Lu, Agassi,Gaudio, Ljubicic to get to the semis and then either Roddick or Hewitt in the semis. I have just had a £20 flutter on Nadal at 19.5 on betfair with a few to laying off in the semis to make some profit. In the womens draw only 2 really appeal and thats Sharapova and Henin. Mauresmo has a very difficult draw to get to the final probably needing to beat Abramovic, Krajicek, Golovin, Safina, Myskina and Sharapova just to get to the final. Extremley difficult if you ask me. Sharapova should easily get to the semis where should would probably play Mauresmo or Myskina. On the other side of the draw i would definatley say that Henin has the easiest route to the final. She would probably need to beat Yuan, Nakumura, Chakvetadze, Hantuchova, Hingis and then either Clijsters or Kuznetsova to get to the final. Henin is plying really well at the moment and is a force on grass. I would expect her to stroll into the semis where she would face a difficult game but she outplayed Clijsters this week and i would think she would have far too much for Kuznetsova who's never really looked that comfortable on Grass. My outright bets all taken from Betfair: £20 Nadal @ 19.5 £5 Ljubicic @ 70 £60 Henin @ 4.9 Looking to trade off with both Nadal and Ljubicic as the tournament goes on. One of these two will get to the Semis. Where i will trade off for a profit. I will probably let Henin ride as i think she will be extrmley difficult to beat this year. Sharapova hasn't been her best recently but she is brilliant on Grass and prepares for this week all year. Good luck

Right, i need some help and opinions if possible. These were my bets placed before the tournament but i also had some small punts during the event. I also placed another £100 on Henin at 3.9 on Betfair after Hingis and Kuznetsova were knocked out the tournament. Although i still feel Henin will win Wimbledon I still have concerns as Mauresmo has the potential to win. All in all i was due to win £438 but have already laid off at 1.5 as i don't want to not win anything. So i have won just under £250 whatever happens. Now onto Nadal. Just as Murray was about to beat Roddick i placed another £74 on Nadal at around 16.5, as i knew they were likely to meat in the semis and i was quite worried that roddick would beat him before the tournmament. At the present moment in time if Nadal wins Wimbledon i will win just under £1500 but everyone knows how great federer has been playing this week. Having said that Nadal just seems to be getting better everygame and he has really adjusted his game to suit grass. Does he have any chance? Feds knows that Nadal as the mental edge over him will this make a difference. Should i lay off now to make a profit off just under £200 or leave it and hope that Nadal gets an early break or wins the 1st set and then lay off? Really don't know what to do guys. HELP:wall

[TheRat]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Have to disagree chaps... Justine should take this one, and i believe in straight sets, shes too good for the man-mauresmo. Muresmo showed great nerves in her semi and i think only came through that match due to Sharapova's unforced errors, Henin-Hardene will not make that amount of errors and her power backhand will be too much! I think the odds are pretty much spot on here, so this is the bet for me. JHH to win 2-0 @ 2.10 bet365

I agree - I can't see Mauresmo being able to take HH today at all. 2-0 is currently 2.42 on betfair - great odds in my opinion. I fancied Sharapova to beat Mauresmo to be fair but she was not on her game, and if HH is anything near the top of her game today I expect her to win

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Well done everyone on Mauresmo...finally I've hit something:lol :lol :lol

[TheRat]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F) Well done Mauresmo backers! I can't help thinking HH threw it away towards the start of the second set, she was so on top but came out for the second and made so many unforced errors and even had chances later on to come back in the set. Mauresmo played well though

[hornet_18]

Re: Wimbledon (M+F)

Lay JHH @ 1.49 The choker is finally on the big stage at Wimby. She proved she can survive the heat of a final in the AO earlier in the year (even though JHH was injured or ill or whatever - she may have still folded!). JHH has been impressive and hasnt dropped a set in either Wimby or the French, however, Momo battled hard against el Screamio and that was a mighty impressive victory. Even though she choked away the second set, she didnt let that get to her and won the 3rd with relative ease (although she did try to throw it!). GL

Win :ok Mauresmo has never before won a match at Wimbledon coming from a set behind! First time for everything I guess