Under 2.5 Goals System Diary

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary No problem mate, As I said, I am simply just using results from the teams involved in the game as my selection process. So far, no either criteria has been used, although there are several factors within 'results from the teams' which my system must adhere to. Good luck with your bets too mate.

[Betfairbetting]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary TopSavings, I have an idea how to improve /maybe/ your strategy, according to this idea you would avoid betting on Under in the following games today: Bornemouth - Colchester, Swindon - Brentford and Lokeren - La Louviere (maybe there is more, but I found these three for now). I would tell you my idea on PM but I can't send PM to you, I don't know why :unsure

[pralque]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary you gotta reach something like a 40, or 50 message quota, so I was told when I joined, you ll get there, when you do pm me as well. :)

[davidmphill]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary

you gotta reach something like a 40' date=' or 50 message quota, so I was told when I joined, you ll get there, when you do pm me as well. :)[/quote']50 it is.:ok

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Believe it or not betfairbetting, these were three of the 'borderline' games I was talking about earlier that I would not have been happy to be on. I am interested in your theory however, but believe that I may just need to tighten up on one of the factors I use. I appreciate your help though, so mention it later down the line. :) Saturdays results and Sunday's games will follow shortly...

[Betfairbetting]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Wow, 50, I didn't know:)) OK, I will make some posts.

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Results for Saturday 22nd April Germany Southern Region TSV 1860 Am. v Pfullendorf @1.78 0-1 :ok (+0.74pts) Augsburg v Hoffenheim @1.94 1-0 :ok (+0.89pts) Darmstadt v Trier @1.80 1-0 :ok (+0.76pts) Germany Bundesliga 1 Bielefeld v Wolfsburg @1.81 0-1 :ok (+0.76pts) Stuttgart v Frankfurt @1.85 0-2 :ok (+0.80pts) England Championship Hull v Preston @ 1.73 1-1 :ok (+0.69pts) Leeds v Crewe @ 2.10 1-0 :ok (+0.99pts) Leicester v Plymouth @1.70 1-0 :ok (+0.66pts) Millwall v Burnley @1.61 1-0 :ok (+0.57pts) England League One Blackpool v Barnsley @1.76 1-1 :ok (+0.72pts) Bournemouth v Colchester @1.67 1-2 :cry(-1.00pt) Swindon v Brentford @1.81 1-3 :cry(-1.00pt) England League Two Mansfield v Carlisle @1.93 1-1 :ok (+0.88pts) Oxford v Northampton @1.64 1-3 :cry(-1.00pt) Rushden v Wycombe @1.85 1-3 :cry(-1.00pt) Czech A Liberec v Pribram @1.76 1-0 :ok (+0.72pts) Ostrava v Teplice @1.52 0-0 :ok (+0.49pts) VJ v Pizen @1.45 2-0 :ok (+0.42pts) Poland A Arka Gdynia v Odra Wod. @1.47 1-1 :ok (+0.44pts) Austra Max. Bundesliga Graz AK v Ried SV @2.00 1-4 :cry(-1.00pt) Belgium A Beveren v Germ. Beerschot @1.87 0-0 :ok (+0.82pts) Lokeren v La Louviere @1.86 3-2 :cry(-1.00pt) St. Truiden v Genk RC @1.77 2-2 :cry(-1.00pt) Spain Alaves v A. Madrid @1.65 0-1 :ok (+0.61pts) Celta Vigo v Zaragoza @1.69 4-0 :cry(-1.00pt) Portugal Penafiel v FC Porto @1.94 0-1 :ok (+0.89pts) Argentina Colon v Lanus @1.69 1-3:cry(-1.00pt) Mexico Atlante v Club America @1.75 1-0 :ok (+0.71pts) Pachuca v Veracruz @1.72 0-0 :ok (+0.68pts) DAY PROFIT +5.24pts Not the greatest day if I'm to be honest - that was hard going. 20/29 on the day has brought the averages right down but I'm amazed to still be in profit after so many losers. I mentioned before posting up that there were 8 or 9 bets that I wouldn't have been happy to be on, and it's no coincidence that 4 of those went over :spank A little bit of tweeking and I'll get this sorted if it kills me! :@

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary TOTAL BETS 42 WINS 32 WIN PERCENTAGE 76.19% PROFIT/LOSS +12.19 pts (after 5% commission) RETURN ON INVESTMENT 29.02% This does not look as great now, but 12 points profit is ok for a week's betting I suppose. Just not happy that the ROI has gone so low, but as stated previously, think I have the answer to get rid of a few of those losing bets. Sunday's bets to follow, which will NOT have any rule changes applied as I've not reached my quota of 50 qualifiers yet...

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Under 2.5 Qualifiers for Sunday 23rd April Argentina Clausura Newell's Old Boys v San Lorenzo Tiro Federal v Gimnasia LP Velez v Boca Juniors Mexico Clausura Pumas v Tigres Bulgaria Vyscha Liga Lokomotiv Sofia v Levski Sofia Marek Dupnitsa v Botev Plovdiv Slavia Sofia v Belsitsa Petrich Germany Northern Region Carl Zeiss Jena v Werder Bremen (Am) Germany Southern Region Kaiserslautern (Am) v Regensburg Switzerland Super League St. Gallen v FC Zurich Belgium Jupiler League Westerloo v AA Gent Czech Gambrinus Liga Blsany v Olomouc Brno v Zlin Most v Mlada Boleslav Turkey Super Lig Kayserispor v Gaziantepspor Rizespor v Trabzonspor Samsunspor v Ankaragucu Portugal Superliga Uniao Leiria v Amadora Spain Primera Division Athletic Bilbao v Valencia Mallorca v Osasuna Sevilla v Barcelona 'Over' bets to note Toluca v Santos (Mexico) Sonderjylland v FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark) Aarau v Young Boys Bern (Switzerland) :hope

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary For anybody that is still interested after my average day yesterday (yes we do all make mistakes from time to time), I have gone back through all 42 qualifiers so far and applied the new 'tweek'. This has led to a few pieces of news, all positive... 1) There would only have been 19 qualifiers so far, so less outlay :ok 2) 17 of these went under (89.47%) :ok 3) The ROI would be a massive 53.63% :ok Also, when I've been posting my 'over' bets to note, I kind of forgot that those were only supposed to work in certain leagues, so there is no way I should have been posting them up from Italy and England. From going through the leagues that the orginal statting worked on, there would only have been 4 over bets, and yes, they all would have won. Eventually, I think this will become and 'under' and 'over' system, and it will all form part of the same staking plan. Systems are there to be adjusted slightly, and the adjustment I have applied really isn't that major, but seems to have made a huge difference. So, I am going to re-post today's games, putting a star next to the ones that WOULD qualify under the new rules. Time to get my head in gear. Hope you're all okay with this... N.B. Just to note, the declaration of profits, wins and ROI will carry on with the original rules (ie. there will be 63 bets after today), but I am making seperate notes of my own for the new 'tweeked' qualifiers.

[Bedlam]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary

For anybody that is still interested after my average day yesterday (yes we do all make mistakes from time to time)

Blimey TS I'd settle for a week like that every week! This is looking good, very good. Keep up the good work!:clap

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Under 2.5 Qualifiers for Sunday 23rd April Adjusted rules qualifiers noted by * Argentina Clausura Newell's Old Boys v San Lorenzo* Tiro Federal v Gimnasia LP* Velez v Boca Juniors* Mexico Clausura Pumas v Tigres* Bulgaria Vyscha Liga Lokomotiv Sofia v Levski Sofia* Marek Dupnitsa v Botev Plovdiv Slavia Sofia v Belsitsa Petrich Germany Northern Region Carl Zeiss Jena v Werder Bremen (Am)* Germany Southern Region Kaiserslautern (Am) v Regensburg* Switzerland Super League St. Gallen v FC Zurich* Belgium Jupiler League Westerloo v AA Gent Czech Gambrinus Liga Blsany v Olomouc Brno v Zlin Most v Mlada Boleslav* Turkey Super Lig Kayserispor v Gaziantepspor Rizespor v Trabzonspor* Samsunspor v Ankaragucu Portugal Superliga Uniao Leiria v Amadora Spain Primera Division Athletic Bilbao v Valencia Mallorca v Osasuna* Sevilla v Barcelona* 'Over' bets to note (all from correct leagues this time!!!) Toluca v Santos (Mexico) Sonderjylland v FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark) Aarau v Young Boys Bern (Switzerland) As you can see, this has brought the unders down from 21 selections to just 11, which is more managable. Now am I gonna look a right **** and get these all the wrong way round now I've changed it!? :$ No more from me until all games are over, I have the mightly Boro to cheer on to get into the FA Cup Final. COME ON BORO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :hope

[Betfairbetting]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary TopSavings, if you want, give me some e-mail address (you can make some new yahoo addres or something in this way if you don't want to give your personal e-mail address) and I will tell you about my theory. And yes, I will not ask you for your rules, I will only share my ideas. I don't want to post it here. I would give my e-mail first but then I can not be sure that this man is you if someone writes to me :)

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary bet fair, If you post up your e-mail address, i'll definitely send you one mate. You know it will be me coz my initials are BG ;)

[Betfairbetting]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary

bet fair, If you post up your e-mail address, i'll definitely send you one mate. You know it will be me coz my initials are BG ;)

email address removed.

[newboy76]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Send a private message through the forum no need to post email addys in public. Cmon the Boro :clap

[piggeh]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Interesting that St Gallen still qualifies - it's 2.36 on betfair for unders! by the way - Newell's match has finished 1-1. :)

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Yeah I'd noticed that that match was over, luckily I'm not after timing though as I posted it up yesterday as being a qualifier when discussing it with somebody else. Swiss games are all going to be massive for unders as it's such a high scoring league, but I have to follow the system wherever it takes me, and 2.36 is a huge price! :eek TS

[piggeh]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary yeah, looking at the past matches, I can see why it's a massive price now! Maybe I shouldn't have put 20%ish of my bank on it, but faith in the system as it's given me quite a few winners. :)

[thunderfoot]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary TS, I have faith in ye' ..... all BACKed, just waiting for the money to roll-in now ;)

[davidmphill]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary No pressure on the guy Thunderfoot eh!:loon Looking good earlydoors.:ok

[piggeh]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary st gallen 1 - 1 zurich after 24 minutes! :'(

[piggeh]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary 2-1 now. BAH. :'(

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary system isn't looking shocking at this stage of the day, although my face is after boro getting beaten :cry think I'll have to sink another 5 strongbows, play some poker, eat a kebab, :puke go to bed, :cry some more, pass out and hopefully get some :zzz B****X!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Thunderfoot!!! Just interested to know if you backed ALL 21 unders and the 3 overs, or the adjusted 11 unders and 3 overs, or some sort of combination??? Need to know how much dosh I've won/lost you mate?

[thunderfoot]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary

Thunderfoot!!! Just interested to know if you backed ALL 21 unders and the 3 overs, or the adjusted 11 unders and 3 overs, or some sort of combination??? Need to know how much dosh I've won/lost you mate?

Just the adjusted 11 unders, except the Mexico game that had no money available on Betfair and a couple of the games that had kicked-off by the time I'd decided to take the plunge!!!

[pralque]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Tops, Are the prices quoted, market averages, from say betbrain, market highest values, or the best you can get from a selected no. of bookmakers.

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary best i can get from the 3 i am a member of... betfair betdaq gamebookers :)

[psilocybin]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary A couple of questions of you don't mind...How long have you been developing the system? Do you use a database?

[TopSavings]

Re: Under 2.5 Goals System Diary Results for Sunday 23rd April Adjusted rules qualifiers noted by * Argentina Clausura Newell's Old Boys v San Lorenzo* @1.71 1-1 :ok Tiro Federal v Gimnasia LP* @1.73 0-2 :ok Velez v Boca Juniors* @1.81 2-3 :cry Mexico Clausura Pumas v Tigres* @1.80 1-1 :ok Bulgaria Vyscha Liga Lokomotiv Sofia v Levski Sofia* @1.87 0-2 :ok Marek Dupnitsa v Botev Plovdiv @1.39 3-0 :cry Slavia Sofia v Belsitsa Petrich @1.68 1-0 :ok Germany Northern Region Carl Zeiss Jena v Werder Bremen (Am)* @1.80 0-0 :ok Germany Southern Region Kaiserslautern (Am) v Regensburg* @1.77 2-0 :ok Switzerland Super League St. Gallen v FC Zurich* @ 2.38 2-3 :cry (swiss games under 2.5? :lol) Belgium Jupiler League Westerloo v AA Gent @1.97 0-1 :ok Czech Gambrinus Liga Blsany v Olomouc @1.56 0-2 :ok Brno v Zlin @1.45 1-1 :ok Most v Mlada Boleslav* @1.58 1-0 :ok Turkey Super Lig Kayserispor v Gaziantepspor @2.04 0-1 :ok Rizespor v Trabzonspor* @1.93 1-6 :cry Samsunspor v Ankaragucu @2.08 2-1 :cry Portugal Superliga Uniao Leiria v Amadora @1.61 1-1 :ok Spain Primera Division Athletic Bilbao v Valencia @1.63 0-3 :cry (3 goals in last 10 mins!) Mallorca v Osasuna* @1.67 0-1 :ok Sevilla v Barcelona* (postponed) 'Over' bets to note (all from correct leagues this time!!!) Toluca v Santos (Mexico) 1-2 :ok Sonderjylland v FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark) 2-2 :ok Aarau v Young Boys Bern (Switzerland) 1-5 :ok DAY TOTAL for all 20 under qualifiers +3.72 points (ROI/yield of 18.60% :( ) DAY TOTAL for the 11 new rules qualifiers +3.32 points (ROI/yield of 30.18% :\ )