davidmphill Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 Been thinking about this for a while. Very simple system. Back a side that lose's it's manager in its next game. Worked recently for Leicester & Newcastle. If anyone knows of any side in Europe that's lost it's manager then please let me know as I'll include any European team in this thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Gary Megson left Nottingham Forest yesterday so will back Forest as the fiirst bet in this system. Bet 1: Port Vale v NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1pt @ 3.35 betdaq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome It's a well researched phenomenon and is called New Manger Phenomenon (or Syndrome) as it's rather the new manager's influence than the gone one's influence. Unfortunately, bookies often adjust their odds asap as there are often loads of backers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Forest win it 2-0 to record only their 2nd away win all season, no doubt Mr V will be miffed! Bets: 1 Wins: 1 Bank: +2.35pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted February 18, 2006 Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome good start mate - I remember reading a study that showed that the firs match and the first home matches of a new manager (not sure about caretaker) were of signfiicance - if I've still got it somewhere I'll post it here when I can mate. Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 19, 2006 Author Share Posted February 19, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome My teams manager left yesterday, Keith Curle of Chester so it's Chester to win at Grimsby on Saturday. Yeah right! Cheers Ali. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 21, 2006 Author Share Posted February 21, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Treviso have sacked manager Alberto Cavasin so will be backing them to win at Empoli n Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted February 21, 2006 Share Posted February 21, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome http://www.sports-punter.com/index.php?p=pages/newmanager Bit of a heavy read but the stats are all there :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 21, 2006 Author Share Posted February 21, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Cheers Jeffers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 25, 2006 Author Share Posted February 25, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Bet 2: Grimsby v CHESTER CITY 1pt @ 6.0 skybet Just doing UK as its easier to keep track of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 25, 2006 Author Share Posted February 25, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Chester improve under Mark Wright but still lose 1-0 away to Grimsby so its -1pt. Bets: 2 Wins: 1 Bank: +1.35pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 6, 2006 Author Share Posted March 6, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Mick McCarthy was sacked todat which doesn't bode well for the system as Sunderland are a poor side! Backing Sunderland on Saturday to beat Wigan at home, they have half a chance for me! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 7, 2006 Share Posted March 7, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome davemphill - chester play their first home game tonight under thier 'new' manager against bottom placed torquay whose last 11 games reads w2 d3 l6. Away they have lost 12 from 18 games. Before their current run of 12 defeats in 13 games Chester were looking like an average-decent team. Chester are a whopping 2.16 with betfair at the moment (compared to under evens elsewhere). Dunno if this'll qualify for your system but I'm on chester tonight :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 8, 2006 Author Share Posted March 8, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Well Chester screwed up as usual! I only back in the next game be it home or away just to see how things go. Cheers Ali. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 8, 2006 Author Share Posted March 8, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Bet 3: SUNDERLAND v Wigan 1pt @ 3.55 betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 9, 2006 Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Research at 2 Universities plus work by Kevin Pullen shows it makes no difference statistically. In actual fact it may be better to back the opposition on the exchanges if there is an over reaction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 9, 2006 Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Well Chester screwed up as usual! I only back in the next game be it home or away just to see how things go. Cheers Ali. probably for the best :@ doesnt bode well for chester tho, struggling to beat a 10 man bottom of the table side - qquicker the season finishes the better fow chester methinks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 13, 2006 Author Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Bet 3: SUNDERLAND v Wigan 1pt @ 3.55 betfair Needless to say the Mackems lost again, this time 1-0. Bets 3 Wins 1 Bank +0.35pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 13, 2006 Author Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Brechin have today parted company with their manager Ian Campbell today so bet 4 will be Brechin v St Mirren on Tuesday night! Doesn't bode well again for the system with the top side visiting the bottom placed side! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRat Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Think I read earlier on a Meatman post Amiens in French League 2 sacked their manager, and they are playing later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome is there any stats on the returns/results for either draw no bet or lay the opposition rather than betting on the victory - games like brechin v st mirren seem to me to be the games where losses/reduction in profits occur. I can see a draw a possibility in this game but the win for brechin just seems a bit unlikely. also what is the comparison between the manager leaving stats v a new managers first game (appreciated that this will have some matches overlapping) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatman Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Last week 3 managers were sacked in French ligue 2 and none of the teams won their first match with their new managers in charge Brest drew 2-2 Sete lost 0-1 (Although they are the equivelant to Sunderland) Amiens lost tonight 1-2 so it seems new managers have no impact in france :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 14, 2006 Share Posted March 14, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome 14 Mar-19:30Brechin v St MirrenMatch Postponed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 14, 2006 Author Share Posted March 14, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Cheers for the input guys. I'm just basing this on UK leagues as they're easier to keep track of. Brechins next scheduled game is now at home to Ross County, another toughie on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted March 15, 2006 Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Oxford sacked Talbot Tuesday too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 15, 2006 Author Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Yeah just seen the Oxford one Fleet.:ok Will be backing Oxford to beat Bristol Rovers at home tonight! Hopefully for Chester's sake they dont win!:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 15, 2006 Author Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Forgot to add in the odds for the bet. 1pt @ 2.6 williamhill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 15, 2006 Author Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Oxford win 1-0 which is good for the system but crap for me! Bets 4 Wins 2 Bank +1.95pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 18, 2006 Author Share Posted March 18, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Bet 5 Brechin v Ross 1 pt @ 6.6 betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 18, 2006 Author Share Posted March 18, 2006 Re: Manager Leaving Syndrome Brechin put a great effort in today leading 3-1 at one stage but got pegged back to 3-3 Bets 5 Wins 2 Bank +0.95pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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