jtw1 Posted March 30, 2008 Author Share Posted March 30, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results 2 for MONDAY The PRAGUE derby , SLAVIA v SPARTA , had ended UNDER 6 times from the previous 7. This is also a top of the table clash so hopefully both defences will be as mean as possible SLAVIA have had 5/6 homes end UNDER SPARTA have had 3/6 aways end UNDER. STAKE 28.35PTS @ 1.61 If that one comes in then STAKE 43pts @ 1.65 on SETUBAL v BOAVISTA finishing UNDER 2.5 goals . This has done exactly that in 5 of the last 6 meetings Also have 2.35pts on 2-1 home win. SETUBAL have had 5/6 homes end UNDER BOAVISTA have had 5/6 aways end UNDER If the CZECH game has finished OVER then the stake will be the starting bet of 20pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mpendle Posted March 30, 2008 Share Posted March 30, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results FYI; Partybets have the Czech game unders at 1.7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 31, 2008 Author Share Posted March 31, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results SLAVIA 1-1 :nana RETURNS = 45.64PTS So thats 43pts @ 1.65 on UNDER 2.5 in the SETUBAL V BOAVISTA game 2.64pts on 2-1 home win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arvanitis Posted March 31, 2008 Share Posted March 31, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Good choice for Prague! Setubal 2-1 in first half already though!!!:@ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 31, 2008 Author Share Posted March 31, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results 3-1 so far :@ Trouble getting that 3rd winner !! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subzero Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Now i don't know whats happened but the bookies seem to have shortened the odds for UNDERS in most of the leagues we look at. For example : S.OLOMOUC v ZLIN 4/5 previous fixtures have ended UNDER . OLOMOUC have had 6/6 homes end UNDER ZLIN have had 3/6 aways end UNDER. This would have been the selection and usually we would be looking for 1.5 at least , however even STAN JAMES , who have been pretty good so far , are only offering 1.44 !!!! In fact not one of the few other 'big' bookies are over 1.5 . If ZLIN had been on 5/6 or 6/6 aways UNDER i might have considered it but not with those stats. Unfortunately theres no other game near the criteria on Saturday. You're right jtw, the czech league has 64% unders, so 2 out of 3 matches have finished under. In fact if you had bet all the games at odds of 1.55 or higher you should have a profit this season. And until now, these odds were available. But the bookies don't want you to win so they offer 1.40 or 1.45 now :@ And this is not only in the Czech league, also in Greece and some other "under" leagues the odds are shortened. But on the other hand, the under % in Portugal and France had dropped under 60% so i think you find some matches with good stats for your system :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted April 2, 2008 Author Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Hello all To the regular followers of the thread you'll be aware that we are approaching the start of the league run-ins and at this point , as has been proved in the past 2 seasons , the games start to go against us [ think they may have started earlie than usual :\ ] Heres my post regarding this from 21 April last year - I now beleive that with only a handful of games left in all the leagues that we follow , we have reached the same point that caused us problems at the START of the season . I know from past experience that this is not a good time to keep trying to get results and have decided to end this season on a high. Last season [2006] i quit the thread on the 7th May when the BANK stood at 205.96pts [see page 8] , this represented a drop from 285.96 only 4 weeks previously [9th April , see page 7] This season we've dropped from 555.18pts [31st March , page 25 ] to a final 475.18pts [today] To me ,and others, this change in results pattern at the season's end is a regular occurence and affects PROFIT. The trick i've not found yet is the correct time to STOP !! STARTING BANK = 100PTS CURRENT + FINAL BANK [2007] = 475.18PTS PROFIT 2007 = 375.18PTS PROFIT 2006 = 205.96PTS. Profit for 2007/8 stands at 204.41pts after a starting bank of 100pts. This has dropped from 264.41 in the past few weeks . Now don't panic yet i think we have one more weekend in us but after that i'm thinking about calling a halt to procedings. Usually i stop until around SEP but this year i'm giving consideration to trying out the 'summer leagues ' but that will not happen until those leagues have played around 8 games. In the meantime i want to thank all of who read and contribute to the thread , newbies and oldies , who have made this quite a successful and profitable system for the PL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results In the meantime i want to thank all of who read and contribute to the thread ' date=' newbies and oldies , who have made this quite a successful and profitable system for the PL.[/quote'] I have never actually contributed to your thread, jtw1, but I have followed it with interest.... unfortunately (for me), I have never put hard cash on your selections :wall Your system has demonstrated consistent success over at last 3(?) seasons..... and there´s not many authors can claim that level of success :clap I think you are correct to draw a line under it at this unpredictable stage of the season...... I look forward to your selections on the summer leagues and, of course, the 2008/09 season for the "elite" leagues..... I might even have the balls to put some REAL money on it this time :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rich46 Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results :clapThanks for all your tips jtw1, really good thread and money in the bank!!:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results :ok Another good season JTW, lets hope theres one more good weekend left. Looking forward to the summer leagues already. It might save me wasting my money on Euro 2008. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted April 4, 2008 Author Share Posted April 4, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Here goes SP GIJON v GIMNASTICA has ended UNDER in 2/3 previous fixtures. Spains 2nd Div have had 62.2% of games end UNDER GIJON have had 6/6 homes finish UNDER GIMNASTICA have had 5/6 aways end UNDER STAKE 20PTS @ 1.57 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrightyoh Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Hi Punting God odds 1.62 on betfair Good luck, Andrew Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted April 6, 2008 Author Share Posted April 6, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results 3-3 f-t Disappointing finish to the season , especially with only 1 of last nights French Div 1 games finishing UNDER !! However 184.41pts profit in a season is pretty good going . Definately going to give the summer leagues a try once they've bedded in and if anyone's looking for a bet today then you could do no worse than take APPOLON K v XANTHI , 2/3 between the 2 in previous fixtures and current home / away unders stats of 6/6 + 4/6 1.57 available Please feel free to keep posting any UNDERS selections you consider worth posting in this thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted April 25, 2008 Author Share Posted April 25, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results An interesting game in the FRENCH 1ST DIV ,which is still on 60% UNDERS , on Saturday and thats the match between SOCHAUX v LORIENT which has finished UNDER in 6/7 fixtures. SOCHAUX have had 6/6 UNDERS in their last 6 homes LORIENT have had 4/6 aways end UNDER. What appeals is the 1.6 on offer with BET365 . * This is not a restart of the system , just pointing out a game that seems to be on offer at reasonable odds . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted April 26, 2008 Author Share Posted April 26, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results 1-1 :loon Only 3 UNDERS in the top French league . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 14, 2008 Author Share Posted July 14, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Here's something to keep us going for the rest of the summer leagues There won't be a lot of selections but if we can double the bank i'll be a happy chappy. Starting Bank = 100pts WEDS - RUBIN v SATURN [Russian Premier ] 0-1, 0-0, 0-3 ,0-1. RUBIN have had 3/5 homes end UNDER with 5[goals] for and 5 against. SATURN have had 5/5 aways end UNDER with 2 for and 5 against . Stake any returns from game below @ 1.61 - Stan James Russian premier have had 57.1% of games end UNDER. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 14, 2008 Author Share Posted July 14, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results STOP PRESS !!!!! Here's one for tomorrow [Tuesday ] in the FINNISH YKKONEN [2nd Div] PK-35 v HAMEENLINNA 1-0 , 0-0 , 0-0 . [6/6 h/a ] PK-35 have had 5/5 homes end UNDER , 6 [goals] for 0 against at home HAMEENLINNA have had 3/4 aways end UNDER , 2 for 5 against away. STAKE 20pts @ 1.72 with Stan James. FINNISH YKKONEN have had 58% of games end UNDER this season. Any returns from this should be put on the RUBIN v SATURN game -Weds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted July 14, 2008 Share Posted July 14, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Hi JTW1 - good to see this thread back again and good luck for the coming season. For those with accounts you can get: RUBIN v SATURN @ 1.73 with Sportingbet PK-35 v HAMEENLINNA @ 1.84 with Pinnacle Good luck!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 15, 2008 Author Share Posted July 15, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Cheers davidc :ok and we are back with a winner :nana PK-45 0-0 :loon So now it's 34.40pts on tomorrows RUBIN v SATURN game @ 1.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJ Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results I have backed under 2.5 goals too, fingers crossed that we, and anyone else following this tip, will be winners!! Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Bugger!! Im on the overs in this one @ 2.44.... I think both can score but I feel Rubin will have too much - Either way - Best of luck chaps (But not too much!!!) ;) :lol:lol:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Half way there guys - Looking good... I knew it was going to be tough when I saw this post :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Home and hosed guys - well done :ok:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJ Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Home and hosed guys - well done :ok:ok Thanks :beerhope you didn't lose too much on the overs! :ok I didn't want to post until Full Time flashed up, having lost to 3 goals in the 90th minute on a bet in the past. :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJ Posted July 16, 2008 Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Hi JTW1 - good to see this thread back again and good luck for the coming season. For those with accounts you can get: RUBIN v SATURN @ 1.73 with Sportingbet PK-35 v HAMEENLINNA @ 1.84 with Pinnacle Good luck!! To JTW 2 Excellent picks and both ending 0-0, I would ask how you did it... if this wasn't in the Systems forum! ;) Well done! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 16, 2008 Author Share Posted July 16, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Sorry Frisky , i'm sure the money's only lent ;) 0-0 f-t :clap RETURNS = 55.38 PTS Cheers + well done DJ :ok Away to study and see if we can a 3rd bet soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted July 18, 2008 Share Posted July 18, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results hi, i wonder which bookies you bet on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 18, 2008 Author Share Posted July 18, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Bet 365 + Stan James usually offer decent odds and more importantly have a decent selection of games on which to bet on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nt_inc Posted July 19, 2008 Share Posted July 19, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results DO U THINK UCD Cobh Ramblers IS A GOOD CHOICE FOR UNDER 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted July 19, 2008 Author Share Posted July 19, 2008 Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results Sorry about the lateness nt_inc but i was working overtime today and then was out later on . Didn't notice this one last night to be honest and if i had it would have been a selection . With stats of 1/1 Unders previous results and the home side having had 5/6 unders and the away team having 5/6 unders it should have been an obvious selection . Hope you were on as it's nearly finished and the score is 0-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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