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friskyfitz

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Everything posted by friskyfitz

  1. Words are really failing me at this moment in time, just a stream of tears.. I just saw this notice minutes ago. I never got to make the meet up and promised to get over in late march or early april, then covid hit.... I never made it... R. I. P mate, im breaking out the Jack D for you
  2. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012-13 Turkish Liga 1 Hope this is the right place to put this. Tavsanli Linyitspor v Adana Demirspor Purely a value bet for this one with Adana playing. William hill are way out of line here offering 8/1 on the +4.5 goals market with most other going around 5/1 and 6/1. They have obviously not noticed that Adana have had 5/10 games going over 4.5 goals and there have been 39 goals in their last ten games. Tavsanli Linyitspor have conceded the second highest goals in the division while Adana have the second most goals scored. 8/1 is screaming value here at Hills for those reasons alone. +4.5 goals @ 9.00 William Hill
  3. Re: Poland > Ekstraklasa > 2012-13 Korona v Lech Poznan While Sifting through the games tomorrow, I stumbled across this one which I think holds a little merit for me. Lech are favourites here and I think they have yet to find their shooting boots this term. On the back of a 3-2 win away to Podbeskidzie came an emphatic 0-3 defeat at home to Slask Wroclaw. Lech have reserved all their form for away games this year and are on a four game away winning streak having just lost one of their last seven away winning the other six. Korona's home form is fairly good but I think they have been shooting avobe their mark for a while now but are safe from relegation due to the fact that there are two far worse sides than them going to take those spots come the end of season. Tomorrow, I see another good performance away from Lech but odds of 2.20 dont appeal nor do the handicap prices so this bet looks to me as being the best available considering I do fancy Korona to score at least once anyway. Lech Poznan total goals +2.5 @ 8.00 Coral
  4. Re: Bundesliga > 7th December - 9th December Freiburg v G. Furth I really like Freiburg in this fixture. Odds on the home win are too short for my plays but if Freiburg get off to a good start, I can see them scoring 4+ against a Greuther Furth side who i think are poor defensively. One thing you can be guranteed with Freiburg at home is that they will attack. They had 7 attempts against Bayern despite being down to ten men after just 18 mins so they do like going forward. They previously had beaten a Stuttgart side 3-0 which I rate as far better than tomorrows opponents. Dortmund are the only side i can remember outplaying them this season in their home games. For these reasons, Im going for a play of... Freiburg total goals 4+ @ 10/1 at Coral
  5. Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Litex v Chernomorets Burgas Little to choose between the home side who lie fifth and the away side who lie fourth. Litex are by far the more attacking and adventerous side but Burgas are on a seven game winning streak in the league and have conceded just 3 in their last nine league games. They are extremely tight at the back and this will be the strength of my bet. Litex will struggle to break them down and at odds of 1.66 are an obvious lay for me on the exchanges. I fancy Chernomorets to nick one at some stage and I dont really trust the home side to break them down so Im siding with Burgas @ 5.00 Chernomorets Burgas @ 5.00 Bet365
  6. Re: Belgium > Jupiler League > 2012/13 Cercle Brugge v Leuven The team of two sides, Cercle Brugge. Decent at home, Diabolical away. If it wasnt for the fact that this is a home game, Id have been on Leuven heavy. However, even though Id still fancy a little bit of Leuven @ 3.80, Im going to swing towards the +4.5 with Unibet at a tasty 5.25. Belgium is usually good for a few scoring games and overs in general but like everywhere throws up the random 0-0's too. Its 32 games since Cercle have had a 0-0 so hopefully it wont be tomorrow. The last 4 games between these two have finished +4.5 including a strange 6-4 to Cercle in one match. I expect more of the same tomorrow evening if the weather holds out! Cercle Brugge v Leuven +4.5 goals @ 5.25 Unibet
  7. Re: Belgium > Jupiler League > 2012/13 Gent v Waasland There must really be some value in backing the away side here. Gent has one solitary win in their last 10 games in the Juliper league Gent has also lost three of its last four hame games while Waasland has won its last two away games. While not a bona fide bet for everyone, Odds of 7.50 swing it for me. Id have been expecting this to have been a 4/1 or 9/2 shot on the strength of recent showings from either side R.S Waasland @ 7.50 Bet Victor
  8. Re: NextGen U-19 series :( 4-1 to Arsenal Youths after 81 mins ?? Where did that come from ? I was looking o.k until the 70 mins when it was still 1-1
  9. Re: Group A > Dec 6th (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys) One goal short in Switzerland for me. didnt even trade out when I had the chance too. ah well, Onto the Genk/Basle game.
  10. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012/13 Well not quiet the way I figured it to be with Arouca being completely outplayed and 0-4 down with a few minutes left. 6 yellow dished out so far with 5 going to Arouca. Hadnt quiet bargained on the arial threat of Feirense to be honest but a win is a win :ok
  11. Re: Group G > Dec 6th (FC Basel, Genk, Sporting, Video Fehervar) Odds of 8/1 but even so, I think its a crazy price for these two teams even if a draw is "mutually" beneficial
  12. Re: Group G > Dec 6th (FC Basel, Genk, Sporting, Video Fehervar) Match Genk v Basel Selection +4.5 Goals (Normal Bet) Strength 10/10 Date 06/12/2012 Bookmaker/Price Skybet @ 9.00 Reasoning Genk v Basel +4.5 Goals @ 8/1 Crazy Price in a game that seems to be forgotten by everybody. This is 11/2 with Paddy Power. Considering these two drew 2-2 in their first match and its a top of the table clash where if Basel wins they top the group while a draw is good for Genk. Any decent attacking side will hit Genk for two its just that we havn't really seen one so far in this group. If this were a Greek 2 game and the price for +4.5 was this high Id accept it but Genk v Basel?? This is way way way too big +4.5 Goals @ 9.00 SKYBET
  13. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012/13 Match Feirense v Arouca Selection +3.5 Goals (Normal Bet) Strength 10/10 Date 06/12/2012 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 4.50 Reasoning Feirense v Arouca The goals have started going in at both sides for both these teams in a last few games, Feirense games have seen 13 in their last 4, while Arouca has seen 12 in the same munber of games. Add to that the fact that this is usually a fierce battle with yellows and red a commonplace. Arouca are searching for a win that will put them clear third while Feirense are just 3 points from the drop zone albeit with a pretty respectable 2-2 draw last time out away to Lisbon B. There were 2 penalties in that one and Id consided this to be a more messy clash!! Joeano of Arouca has 11 goals already this season and hopefully he'll be at hand to do me a favour or three today. Feirense are a young and Inexperienced side and I expect Arouca to do the job today but they odds on an away win are tight. If the game turns into a battle of experience and shinpads, then I think odds of 7/2 for at least four goals is another Coral gift. A full point bigger than Paddy Power and liquidity is tight on Betfair and hovering around 1/2 a pint less. Expect a penalty, several yellows, a red and goals!!!
  14. Arsenal v Bilbao I cannot see any area to post this so I'll put it in here and if the Mods need to move it then please feel free. :ok. O.k where to start with this. Group 6 and the most random group you will ever see in any competition. Marseilles top the group with a goal difference of MINUS 6 and only 4 goals scored so you can see where this is going !! Bilbao are second and should in all fairness, top the table at the end of the group stage. They beat Marseilles 5-0 in the last outing and have only lost once from their four games, that was a 2-1 reverse to the same opponents. They have scored ten and conceded just two so far. Arsenal started well with a 3-0 win over Marseilles but have drawn two and lost two after that with a total of ZERO goals scored. They drew 0-0 in Bilbao but the hosts were down to 10 men after 38 minutes. Bilbao are currently 4.0 on Bet365. Yesterday they were 4.9 with Marathon Sportsbook but this has now dropped to 3.90 and in line with most. Crazy price for Bilbao with all things considered. Even if it were a coin toss, to be getting 3/1 on heads each time would be nuts!! Bilboa to beat Arsenal @ 4.00 Bet 365
  15. Re: Group A > Dec 6th (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys) Ive just read the piece about Anzi being through already so it kind of dampens this bet that has already been posted ..... I had this typed and written prior to coming in here...Still going for the bet and price though :p Young Boys v Anzi +4.5 Goals This price offered by Unibet is simply too big to refuse. Young Boys 5 games so far have produced 4,5,4,2,8 goals and now they are playing for a win of better than 2-0 to top the group if i have read the rules correctly. Even if Liverpool beat Udinese and it goes to a 3 way tie, Young boys should still come out qualified if they notch a +2 win. That said, Anzi will be no easy game to do so as they too are gunning for a draw at least to see them in pole position. It all makes for a very open game and if YB can notch an early goal, then this price will seem like a gift. Bet Victor are going 5.00 about this so a bit of value to be had Young Boys v Anzi +4.5 goals @ 6.75 Unibet
  16. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012-13 Finished 2-2 which was quiet a disappointment considering it was 1-2 after just 12 mins.... I had a decent green for a free bet on betfair but it came to nothing im afraid
  17. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012-13 Just noticed that i forgot to put in that this was a +4.5 goals bet. The exact bet is on the Punters Lounge tipster page for anyone who clarification. Still getting used to this new site :unsure
  18. Re: Bundesliga 3 > 7th December - 9th December REGIONAL SUDWEST Cannot find a thread for it and I dont suppose there will be much interest but....... Worms v Mannheim Wormatia Worms are probably the finest example of why one should never take statistic with anything other than a pinch of salt. Worms have only one defeat in 6 says one set of stats. The other set of stats say they also have FAILED to win in 6 scoring just two goals in the process. Waldhof Mannheim in that time have seen 4 wins and 1 draw from 6 and seem to be in better shape than their hosts of late. Mannheim had a despetate start to their campaign by losing 4 of their first 5 games but have since gone on to losing just 2 of their last 13 to the second and fourth places teams just above them and I feel that this team could yet bridge the gap of 6 points to second and be up there for the second promotion place. Bet Victor's 2.80 quote for an away win looks to be good to me as Id reckon P.Powers quote of 6/4 to be a little more realistic considering Worm's record of boring 0-0 and 1-1 draws recently
  19. Re: all lower leagues and Cups > 2012-13 ODENSE v HORSENS (Danish Cup) The last of the qarter finals in the Danish Cup takes place today and this was the only tie of the rond to interest me in terms of goals. Odense have had the easier run to this with a 7-3 win over Hvidovre and a 3-0 win over Vanlose, both games away from home with Pedersen scoring 5 of those ten goals and Id expect him on the scoresheet again today. Horsens came here via wins over Otterup (2-3) and Hellerup (0-4). With Home advantage to Odense here, Id expect them to have the upper hand but I feel that this will be an open game in comparison to the other 3 ties that have already been played. These teams drew 2-2 in the league already this year and with only one more game before the winter break, Id expect both sides to be on the attack again looking to have a cup semi final place to be cemented for the restart in March
  20. Re: Italian Cup > 4th December - 5th December Catania v Cittadella Approaching the business end of the Coppa Italia does seen to bring goals out of previously reserved sides. With a match up against Parma awaiting the winners, I feel Coral have given a bit of value on the +3.5 goals market with a quote of 5/2. Its Currently trading at 3.4 on betfair but as low as 2.8 on VC bet. Serie A side Catania are favourites for this but I couldnt put off anyone looking at Cittadella in this one off tie either although the 6.4 on Betfair is probably a little lower than I would have liked to be getting. Both teams progressed to this stage with 90th minute goals and 1-0 home wins in what were very drab affairs judging by the info I can get but as said, this stage generally brings about a change of plan and although I fully expect a cagey first 15 minutes so help the price rise up for in-play bettors, I'll be placing the bet prior to KO for the purposes on the Tipster Comp Catania v Cittadella +3.5 goals @ 3.50 CORAL Close
  21. Re: Premier League Hitmen Coupon Hope somebody took that value this weekend :ok
  22. Re: Premier League Hitmen Coupon For anyone still using this, there is value to be had BUT i noticed the 2 examples above used Lampard and Gerrard, these are more heart over head bets so not much value. HOWEVER, if a particular set of games comes up where 3 OUT AND OUT strikers in form have relatively easy fixtures and potential to score then of course there is value. This weekend, Van persie, Aguerro and Ba could be a good shout. Take VC as my marker here. Van P is 1.4 anytime goalscorer, Ba is 2.25 and Aguerro is 1.61. Thats a 4/1 or so shot i think so is 10/1 value ??
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