Tennis Tips - February 24 - March 2

[CzechPunter]

🤔

[neilovan]

For me these are the best fovirites to win in the next 2 days. Will add some for tomorrow. Same system that I am running for underdogs ... essentially these 'dogs' have a low chance of winning. So far the system has offered up 20 bets with 17 wins.

I am taking all of them as singles betting 1/2 unit.

Another option is just to take 6 doubles, leaving 1 out (there ae 13), and not repeating any player in any bet

Third option is to return the same amount in each single bet, staking slightly more/less depending on the odds

Dubai        Perricard    vs.   Zhang Zh.   1.80   1.98

Merida      Linette   vs.   Cocciaretto    1.72    2.1

Austin       Maria T.   vs.   Bondar A.     1.78   2

Austin       Volynets   vs.   Tomljanovic   1.65   2.9

Austin       Lamens   vs.   Rakhimova   1.65   2.2

Acapulco  Tien L.   vs.   Norrie              1.48    2.6

Acapulco  Michelsen   vs.   Yunchaokete   1.44   2.75

Dubai        Aliasimme   vs.   Bublik      1.34    3.2

Merida      Jones F.   vs.   Sherif M.    1.65    2.18

Merida      Kostyk M.   vs.   Saville D.     1.33    3.25

Austin       Birrell K.   vs.   Yuan Y.       1.85      1.9 

Austin       Stearns   vs.   Gracheva       1.26         3.75

Austin       Cirstea C.   vs.   Siegmund    1.53     2.45

Austin       Dolehide C.  VS.    Zakarova A.  1.70    2.1    (added this match after qualifying)

Averge odds are 1.58 so implied prob is 1/1.58  = so you need a strike rate around 65% to break even.   0.65*13 or 9 winners in 13

A couple of very low priced favorites  (Aliasimme, Stearns, Kostyk), but Bublik falls into the 'low handing fruit' for me, and Stearns beat Gracheva easily, after losing the 1st set the last time they played.

I have watched a few matches of Zhang recently, and he is just too inconsistent (for this level). The 2 bets that worriy me are

Volynets v.Tomljanovic 

Birrell K.   vs.   Yuan Y.

These are closer matches than the others.

Softest underdogs for me ... Zhang,  Bondar, Sherif.

I expect more than 9 winners here, probably 11, but 10 will do as well.

 

All opinions and thoughts are welcomed!

Edited February 24 by neilovan
Added 1 more match