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Epsom derby /oaks


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Posted (edited)

Just starting a discussion about the big races this weekend .....not sure what the ground will be yet .....with scattered showers currently on the soft side ....it's possible it might dry and go off good sft .....

The derby is a bit of a puzzle .....all hinging on what city of Troy is ....certainly looks an o brien derby type but I've got to remain neutral and give the computer all the form as I see it  and let it decide ...

Derby 

Ambient friendly  8.9.  Class 65

Ancient wisdom.   8.7 class 99

Illinois  8.3.  class 60

City of Troy 8.0 ? ++

Dancing Gemini. 7.9 

Diego valzquez.  7.6 

Macduff.  7.6 

Los Angeles.  7.4 

Dallas star 7.1 

Portland  7.1 

Seyadati sedati. 7.0 

Gods window.  6.7 

Voyage.     6.7 

Bellum Justum. 6.7 

Diera mile. 6.5

Euphrates 6.5 

Euphoric 6.5 

Defiance 6.5

Padesha 6.5

Kamboo 6.5

Mister Hampstead 6.5

Tabletalk 6.5 

Ambient friendly looks the form choice overall and has been heavily backed into around 9/2.....an ient wisdom steps up in trip from 10f but has a much higher class rating so if gets the distance he could easily spring a surprise .....Illinois was annilated by ambient friendly so I can't see that one being a danger but is priced at big prices (33?).   So.could be a value Ew bet especially if could get 4 places or better ......before betting was suspended on Betfair there was 7.0 and 7.8 available and that looks value bets on top two so if that is still available when betting resumes I'll be taking that on top two ......interesting and classy race 

Edited by richard-westwood
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