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Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November


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Todays selections,

A)  -  8.00 Chelm - Suanni - 4/1

My only concern here is that it is ridden by a 7lb claiming jockey who is 0/24 at the track. 

---------------

B)  -  7.30 Chelm - Confederation - 11/2 (bet365)

A few others came close but this is the only definite qualifier which the results are based on.

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Brave new world 🌎 is coming, only just not quite yet.
NEWCASTLE 1340
Churchella
Win
Hard to halt here after emphatic 3 length win. On career low then and only three pounds above handicap mark now.
Entry level class four horse.
BAY OF NAPLES
Each way
The one who could make a mark here third the last twice and a winner off twenty pounds or so higher in a better grade in feb 21

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Wolverhampton 2-10

this is an Alexander bet

Top Flight Century

each way

has a chance here if ready to rock for the classic winning trainer and jockey team.

draw is absolutely crucial here and this newcomer is very well bred and a “full”

half brother to the chatty man alenquer a group 1 winner would not have to be anything special to go in here but yard have a trait of bringing them in slowly attaining a mark then stepping them up in trip. No suprise if that is the case, but yard aware of the effects of the draw on the all weather especially when there is a spare stall empty. Could be anything of course but I’m going with the physics in the absence of form.

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Missed break and it is a case of “ see you in handicaps 👋.

Thurles thurles thurles
1515
BROOMFIELDS HALL
Win
Weighted to do so as top weight and with the added free energy could cause a big suprise here. If not….

ATIMETODREAM

Win

ready winner last time handicapper taking no chances and looks the one to beat on potential.  Rachael Blackmore rides for Henry De Bromhead and wins or nothing else 
Faux fur
Each way
Handicap debut and middle weight
Unpredictable Gordon Elliott horse but Jordan gainford up and easily won maiden hurdle.


Dragons pass

each way

the new bottom weight and has Sam Ewing on board who has a stunning record when not riding for Gordon Elliott. Jockey of this horse was an unlucky loser when just squeezed out last time in a race where jockey was hit by a rival on board Gerdarme when horses came together on tight bend. Gendarme’s  (6th) jockey a mr P. Brynes suspended for 12 days as a result. Either benefits from absence of bottom weight or adversely affected by it.
COMBINATION TRICAST

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Chelmsford 1900

the top weight has a tremendous advantage over this field under traverse draw and gets a massive pull from the bottom weight whose position in stall 1 at the bottom of the handicap means GOT NO DOLLARS (WIN) is the most likely winner here.

vilaboss has almost identical claims drawn alongside both horses and the second weight. These two have a 1/1 record against each other. The third horse at the weights is Bletchley storm drawn in stall 4 and the betting and the weights indicate these three are well clear of the field. Winning stall range is 1-4 and a COMBINATION TRICAST 

is the call with a win bet on

GOT NO DOLLARS

whose last win was off a mark of 72 in a class five and is weighted to finally win again here under traverse law.

GOT NO DOLLARS

VILABOSS

BLETCHLEY STORM

COMBINATION TRICAST

 

13
8533
col063202311021900s01.gif
Got No Dollars (IRE) 5,b g 9-11

Showcasing (GB)-Canada Water(Dansili)

ts+cp+(14) c2 (Mr W Enticknap & Mr B Ralph)
Rated 57 Won When Rated 67-62-59blank.gif blank.gif

2/1
9/4 hotarrow.png 7/4

22
5229
col063202311021900s02.gif
Villalobos (IRE) 4,b g 9-11

Footstepsinthesand (GB)-Swift Acclaim(Acclamation)

cp+(31) c1 d1 (Mr P T Newell)
Rated 57blank.gif blank.gif

5/1

34
2369
col063202311021900s03.gif
Bletchley Storm (GB) 3,ch f 9-9

Night Of Thunder (IRE)-Mystery Code(Tobougg)

(15) (The Fitzrovians 3)
Rated 57blank.gif

9/4
2/1 coldarrow.png 11/4

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7 hours ago, Bang on said:

Todays selections,

A)  -  8.00 Chelm - Suanni - 4/1

My only concern here is that it is ridden by a 7lb claiming jockey who is 0/24 at the track. 

---------------

B)  -  7.30 Chelm - Confederation - 11/2 (bet365)

A few others came close but this is the only definite qualifier which the results are based on.

Suanni - WON 9/2

Confederation - Lost

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Round up

thurles thurles thurles!!!

Dragons pass

won 20/1

chelmsford

the french horse winning was the only unquantifiable factor and denied selection got no dollars by a narrow margin. The physics was spot on and that was emphasised next race when

 

MASTERCLASS

won 3/1

won well. Masterclass’s previous win was over got no dollars.( no coincidence)

bay of Naples ( each way 3rd)

I did win the last on Moogie  won evens

but clicked the button and up came the previous post instead of the selection!! Pleased the physics is working.

 

 

Edited by Sporting Sam
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