Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 7th - 10th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Here are the odds and ratings for this weekend's matches in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Give us your predictions below! 

[malabgd]

CD Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisboa

2022-01-07T19:30+01:00

 

CD Santa Clara

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Costinha (2/0 m), Luiz Phellype (7/0 f, loan from Sporting)

Suspended: Rafael Ramos (14/0 d), Villanueva (11/0 d), Allano (9/1 f, doping)

 

Sporting Lisboa

Doubtful: Pedro Porro (11/2 d), Feddal (7/0 d), Ugarte (8/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Gonçalo Inácio (12/3 d, Covid-19), Geny (1/0 m, Covid-19), Jovane Cabral (9/1 f), Rúben Vinagre (6/0 d), Ruben Amorim (coach, Covid-19)

Suspended:

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics

Sporting Lisboa scored at least one goal in 100% of away games.

Sporting Lisboa scored at least two goals in 71% of away games.

65% chance that Sporting Lisboa will win this game.

41% chance that both CD Santa Clara and Sporting Lisboa will score in second-half.

[harry_rag]

Gil Vicente v Guimaraes: 10 points on <60 booking points at 6/5 Sky Bet

SX quote bookings at 52-56 for this game which implies it's more likely to go under 60 than over. 

Ref Rui Costa's average is around 53 points which is bang inside the spread quote and he shows under 60 in slightly more than half of his games (though tending a bit higher in the small sample for this season), He can do anything, high, low and in the middle but his average is around 53 with a slight bias to the unders.

I recently lost on one of his games taking evens for <60 when the spreads were in the low 60s. Getting 6/5 where the spreads are in the 50s is definitely a better proposition.

There's not a massive edge here but I'm confident I'm getting odds against about something that should be evens at the very most.