Racing Chat Friday 24th September

[The Brigadier]

Day 2 of the Newmarket Cambridgeshire meeting and here’s my thoughts and fancies for the six ITV races including a couple of tough looking handicaps at York. The ground is likely to be good fast conditions for both meetings.

 

Newmarket 1.50

The listed Rosemary Stakes is run over a mile of the Rowley mile and has attracted 13 fillies and mares this year. The race has an open look about it with the highest rated being the Godolphin three year old Soft Whisper who will be ridden by Frankie Dettori. She won a couple of nurseries last season before being shipped over to Meydan for the Dubai festival where she won twice more but this time on the dirt before she flopped badly in the UAE Derby. She’s not been seen since but the vibes are good for her recent work at Newmarket and at an each way price as officially the best in the race is worth a small bet. Roger Varian’s Fooraat ran well at York last time and with her stable in form may be the biggest threat. 

SOFT WHISPER 1 point each way @ 9/1 1/5^th 1234 Bet365 

 

York 2.25

An open end of season 6F handicap in which bets should be kept to a minimum in my opinion with plenty of these sprinters having had long seasons. The best recent form is brought to the table by John Quinn’s Mr Wagyu who ran an excellent third in the Ayr Gold Cup last Saturday. He should be competitive today. A horse who had Mr Wagyu behind him last time is the Ed de Giles trained Treacherous and he maybe the one to be backing small each way here today. He’s yet to win this season but did win five times last season and has run credibly on occasions this season including last time out when 4th in the Portland Handicap behind Hurricane Ivor (won since) with the aforementioned Mr Wagyu 1/2L behind. There’s others with chances but I’ll stick with Treacherous to finally come good but to small stakes. 

TREACHEROUS 1 point each way @ 13/2 1/5^th 1234 William Hill

 

Newmarket 2.25

Albaflora has the highest official rating here but is a much better horse when the mud is flying and with conditions tightening up all the time Ralph Beckett’s mare is worth opposing today.  One horse I haven’t lost faith in is the Hugo Palmer trained four year old Golden Pass who loves to hear his hooves rattle and simply bumped into a Gosden improver in Free Wind last time out at Doncaster in the Group 3 Park Hill Stakes. That was over 14F and the drop to a mile and a half may well suit this daughter of Golden Horn as her best run this season was when out battling the aforementioned Free Wind at the July course at Newmarket over today’s distance of 12F. Ryan Moore takes over for the first time and with conditions likely to suit looks excellent each way value. His trainer was talking him up on the excellent Nick Luck Daily podcast earlier in the week. 

GOLDEN PASS 1 point each way @ 15/21/5^th 1234 William Hill

 

York 2.40

13 go to post for this 7F class 3 handicap and has an open look about it. La Trinidad is on my shortlist as he goes so well at this track but is creeping up the handicap whilst recent Doncaster winner Able Kane can be competitive with only a 3lb rise although he has to prove his stamina here having never run at 7F. John Quinn’s five year old Poets Magic has been in fine shape all season having only been out of the frame once in nine starts and can reward an each way bet. This confirmed front runner was chinned on the line at Doncaster last week and can race off of the same handicap mark today (he’s due to rise 1lb in future handicaps). Jason Hart knows him well and is in the saddle again today. He may have Challet as a contender out front but as long as he can bowl along out front will be a hard one to pass. 

POETS MAGIC 1 1/2 points each way @ 9/1 1/5^th 1234 Paddy Power

 

Newmarket 3.00

The 7F Rockfel  Stakes is a Group two contest for fillies and looks most likely to go the way of the Andrew Balding trained Majestic Glory who’s the clear form horse having followed up her maiden victory on the July course here by winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at the same venue last month. That success was given a major boost by the victory last weekend of the runner up Wild Beauty in a grade 1 contest in Canada. Her two most likeliest dangers are both stepping up in class with Ralph Beckett’s Girls On Film having won a maiden on the July course here last month and Roger Charlton’s Jumbly who’s won a maiden and a novice stakes contest. They’re both progressive but will need to step up dramatically to beat the 104 rated selection who stands out as the days best bet. 

MAJESTIC GLORY 3 points win @ 7/2 Bet365

 

Newmarket 3.35

An excellent renewal of the Group 2 Joel Stakes with it an odds on chance that the winner will be carrying the blue colours of Godolphin. Favourite Master Of The Seas hasn’t been seen since running Poetic Flare to a short head over course and distance in the 2000 Guineas in May and this lightly raced Dubawi colt can make up for lost time by winning this en route to some nice worldwide targets this Autumn. The vibes are strong that he’s working well and of course William Buick will be on top. His major danger may well be the Saeed Bin Suroor trained globetrotting Benbatl who’s won 10 of his 23 starts and should of added to that tally last time at Goodwood when he fell out of the stalls and didn’t have the clearest of passages though was only denied by the shortest of margins by Lavenders Blue at the finish with Pogo and Perotto behind and now held that day. The Shadwell runner Laneqash will appreciate the drying conditions and could hit the frame but for me Master Of The Seas can lead home a Godolphin 1-2. 

MASTER OF THE SEAS 2 points win @ 6/4 William Hill

 

 

[Zilzalian]

3:00 Newmarket Rockfell stks G2 2yo speed figures

1 Romantic Time           121           14/1 didnt stay 7f

2 Hello You                    117           8/1   won

3 Majestic Glory             115          9/4   ???

Edited September 24, 2021 by Zilzalian
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