Carribean or bust

[richard-westwood]

Had a few discussions with people and seems there's a taste for a bit of fun this year and a thirst for decent big wins ...... trying to get a bit of excitement involved in  the weekly racing mainly the big weekend races and regular big festivals .....so I'll start this topic devoted solely to bets on 2 of the best weekend races ....prices allowing of course ....if I can only find 1 race with decent odds to risk ratio then it will be one or even none if all crap ......main aim is to just have a bit of fun with the weekend big races using my ratings whilst having a shot at a big win each week and who knows what could happen ....might bust out ....or with a touch of luck if I can build up a decent win here or there there might be an excess at some point enough to book a nice holiday ......small excess it might just be a weekend in bath lol... or a good couple of weeks and suddenly 600 or 900 up and you could be looking at a week or two somewhere more exotic .... I love my racing anyway and I like to get involved anyway so can't really lose but it will certainly be fun to try and if the first race wins each week it will generate some exciting 2nd races especially if the prices are big and you are looking at booking up that week ...eek...I.e 3pts on 12/1 is 39 pts ....carrying onto 16/1 2nd leg ..wins around 663 for the doubles and aboutv140 for the singles roughly so that's 800pts ....airport here I come !!

I've come up with a few rules and strategy .....I'll stick mainly to big hcaps and probably rate as many as I can ....hopefully 4+ and pick the strongest 2 races I can where the top 2 are furthest ahead of the 3rd rated .....that should be a good starting point ...

Also one of the top 2 must be in the first 5 betting ....as this seems to boost the horses chance twofold sometimes ....it doesn't matter about the 2nd horse as that is effectively the race wildcard and backable at any price especially as win bets I'll be paying attention to betfair prices on the outsiders because I've lost count how many times I've backed at 16/1 with bet365 only to see 25.0 later on betfair which will make a huge difference long term .....

Also I will only be backing Friday evening so as to avoid any non runners .....might mean slightly smaller odds but guaranteed best chance of a run and no loss due to any antepost rules so that will avoid silly losses ...

Overall .....it's not hard ....only what id be doing anyway so I may as well have a shot and have some fun with it 

Start Friday 

Edited January 5, 2020 by richard-westwood

[richard-westwood]

Just preparing for first race this week ....I think the lanzarote hurdle will be the first leg this week ....currently 25 runners I've passed the race through the computer and it threw out 4 horses 

Alfa mix 

Burrows edge 

Echiquier

Northofthewall 

I'm open to any suggestions or thoughts from any one....name of the game is to pick the winner from 2 selections however that happens so any thoughts appreciated ...

My current thinking is to wait And see what betting says to see if that helps .....Im thinking top 4 in betting for selection 1 is a must so that might be helpful or not 

2nd I'm sure I've read can Skelton does well in this so even though a novice and only raced at 2 mile really Northofthewall is catching the eye too .....Intersting race