Kempton/Wetherby Handicaps Boxing Day -Tips & Trends

[BillyHills]

A couple of races to look at on Boxing Day for a start!

340 Kempton
2m5f (Winter) Ladbrokes Football "Acca-Boosty" Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-140)

No race 2010

Trends

9/10 Aged 6 or under (8 were under 6)
8/10 Ran within 6 weeks (1 debut)
8/10 Rated under 132
8/10 Carried 10st 10lbs or under
8/10 Fr or Ire Bred
10/16 won last time out
13/17 First 4 in market
10/16 not won beyond 2m4f
 

 

210 Wetherby
3m (3m45y) 888Sport Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

No race 2009/10/15

Trends
9/10 Aged 8 or under
8/10 Ran within 32 days
8/10 Rated 133 or higher
8/10 Carried 11st 4lbs or less
11/16 Not placed in first 3 last time out
10/16 First 4 in betting
13/16 had no more than 3 starts this season
13/16 Won at 3m previously
 

 

[BillyHills]

340 Kempton

Trends

9/10 Aged 6 or under (8 were under 6)
We lose Jenkins, Theos Charm, Gortroe Joe
8/10 Ran within 6 weeks (1 debut)
We lose Canyon City, Laskadine, Elysees, Our Power, Rhythm Is A Dancer
8/10 Rated under 132
We lose Eragon De Chanay, Colonel Custard, Star Of Lanka, Honest Vic
8/10 Fr or Ire Bred
We lose Mr Pumblechook
10/16 won last time out
Never Been To Paris, Dell Oro, Captain Tommy

Selections

1pt EW Oscarsman 12/1 bet365

___________________________________________

210 Wetherby

9/10 Aged 8 or under
We lose Lake View Lad, Wakanda, Jonniesofa, Guitar Pete, I Just Know, Lachian Bridge
8/10 Ran within 32 days
All qualify
8/10 Rated 133 or higher
We lose Didero Vallis
8/10 Carried 11st 4lbs or less
All qualify
13/16 had no more than 3 starts this season
We lose Rocco

Selections
1pt Top Ville Ben 11/4 bet365
1pt Bennys King 5/1 Hills

 

 

[Trotter]

Talking of Boxing Day I've seen that the FreeSports channel is going to show RTV's live coverage of the 3 Irish Meeting with the big races at Leopardstown and Limerick and the supporting card at Down Royal ...... several Grade One races and big names like Faugheen declared

RTV are shoving the Irish cards onto a separate channel on their website but you have to be an online subscriber to watch .......... the main RTV channel with shjow the UK meetings, no doubt with lots of splits screens and general chaos

So if you don't subscribe to RTV you can watch the Irish racing alongside ITV's coverage

FreeSports is available on Freeview, Sky, Virgin, BT and some of the streaming sevices

Good channel that FreeSports ...... they've been showing some Italian Serie A matches over the last week and they show Portuguese league games and other live football

[richard-westwood]

340 Kemp 

Star of Lanka 233 +2 

Mr pumblechook 230 +1 

Jenkins 228 +1 

Jenkins is well treated on old form but needs to bounce back from poor runs whereas top 2 have posted recent strong runs so qualify as bets ....anything over 13/2 would be value 

[richard-westwood]

210 weth 

I really like the bottom 2 here Rocco and didero vallis .....their light weights make them open to all sorts of improvement  now so ew bets over 7/1 look pretty good bets  to me 

[Big Race Trends]

Kauto Star Novices' Chase:

• 20/20 had finished 1-3 LTO
• 20/20 had run in a class 3+ LTO
• 15/16 had run in a Graded race
• 10/10 were aged 4-7

The 4 trends produce a shortlist of 2:

• Slate House (11/4)
• Danny Whizzbang (9/2)

Christmas Hurdle:

• 20/20 returned 10/1 or less
• 20/20 had won 1+ of its last 4 races
• 20/20 had a 31%+ win rate over hurdles
• 13/13 had run in a 68k+ race
• 10/10 had finished 1-3 LTO

Again, the trends highlighted produce a shortlist of 2:

• Verdana Blue (5/1)
• Silver Streak (11/1)

10 winners all returned 11/2 or less - thus, Silver Streak doesn't currently "qualify".

King George VI Chase:

• 20/20 had won 1+ of its last 4 races
• 15/15 have returned 12/1 or less
• 13/13 had won over 2m5.5f+

The 3 trends identified "rule out" current (6/4) favourite, Cyrname, & narrow the field down to:

• Lostintranslation (15/8)
• Clan Des Obeaux (5/1)
• Footpad (11/1)

[Big Race Trends]

Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase Trends:

• 11/11 had a RPR of 135+
• 11/11 had run in the past 61 days
• 11/11 had run 3-13 times over fences
• 11/11 had run in 2+ handicap chases
• 11/11 had run in a 31k+ race

Shortlist:

• Jonniesofa (8/1)
• Didero Vallis (12/1)