Fader

PDC World Championship

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Alot of 50/50 type matches today. King/Whitlock. Gurney/Durrant. I'm going to go with Whitlock in the first but I'm basing that on Kings last performance. He got the win, but was very poor. I'll leave the Gurney Vs Durrant match alone as I have Durrant on an outright but that really is a 50/50 match. I think Dobey takes on Sherrock. She's had a wonderful tournament but Dobey -2.5 is very tempting.

in the evening, I think Henderson gets a set or two and it would not suprise me if Bunting did too. I have Bunting to win the quarter. Ill add Aspinall in the accy as i do have him on the outright.

5pts S.Whitlock to beat M.King 4/5 bet365
1pt accy - Whitlock, Dobey -2.5, Bunting +3.5, Aspinall 12/1 coral 

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20 minutes ago, bookiebasher said:

Nice hit on Whitlock mate.. I decided to go with Sherrock over 3.5 x 180,s and he got 8 i believe, great effort by her as well and had she had won the 5th set i think she would,ve gone all the way.. bless her  

I'll be interested to see the odds on her winning the women's tournament and her to have the most 180s. She did so well.

[ PDC World Championships ]
bets = 11/18 matchplay. 2/11 accys. 0/2 outrights
bank = 
+34pts

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I'm going to try a treble for this evening. Over 5.5 sets in the Price Vs Henderson match and the same bet in the Aspinall Vs Anderson match goes without saying. I expect Henderson to get a few sets. Final bet is Bunting to get a decent amount of 180s as he is really doing well in the red bit recently.

1pt treble - Over 5.5 sets (Henderson Vs Price & Anderson Vs Aspinall) and Bunting over 5.5 180s 7/1 paddypower

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I'm finding it hard to split Beaton and Labanaskus so I will just add my pick in the accy. I think Huybrechts is overpriced against Humphries. I will take Kim for that match although it's probably going to be another close one. I think I will take on Lewis again. Twice now he's been 2-0 down and if Van Der Bergh can keep his scoring up then he should get too far ahead.

4pts K.Huybrechts to beat L.Humphries 6/4 bet365
5pts G.Price (-2.5 sets) to beat S.Whitlock 4/5 william hill
1pt Labanaskus, K.Huybrechts and Van Der Bergh 9/1 betfair
0.5pts 3 above plus Durrant, Price -2.5 sets and over 5.5 sets (wright vs de zwaan) 45/1 william hill
 

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poor day yesterday Down to the business end now. I think Durrant has every chance today. Both averages and doubling % are identical. Wright and MVG both look a solid bet but odds not really worth it. As I already have Durrant there is no point me betting on him. The final 8 today contains 3 of the outrights.

Just an accy for me today

1pt accy - Aspinall (-1.5 sets), Humphries (Most 180s) vs Wright, durrant - 12/1 coral

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We have our Semi-finals sorted then. Tomorrows matches :

Peter Wright Vs Gerwyn Price (7.15pm)
MVG Vs Nathan Aspinall (9pm)

I have one in each and so no bet for me now until the final. In an ideal world, it's Wright Vs Aspinall. That would be lovely. 

[ PDC World Championships ]
bets = 11/20 matchplay. 2/15 accys. 0/4 outrights
bank = 
+17.50pts

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A nice 7 point winning bet for me yesterday overall 2 bets 2 winners in the tournament + 8 Well today I can only see a MVG and Price final and that would do nicely as I have backed MVG outright to win the tournament.I would like to see wright win as not keen on G.Price.Good Luck

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I'm just looking through the Semi-finals in abit more depth (more time with no afternoon matches) and there a couple that i do like the look of.

Wright Vs Price (7.15pm) - I got the 180 bet wrong in the last match for Peter Wright. I thought Humphries would get more and at times it was level, but Wright was on fire in that match and you have to feel sorry for Humphries who lost with an over 100 average. The guy is such a talent. Good for me though, as I have Wright to win this event. This match will be one hell of a test though for Wright. He doesn't have a good h2h record recently and Price just seems to up his game whenever he is tested.

I will go with the 180s count for this match. Price has managed 21 180s in the tournament although he's only played 87 legs of darts. We'll call that 24%. Peter Wright, with 41 180s in the tournament, tops the table for 180s hit. He has played more legs, at 121 but that still equates to 34%. I expect Wright to score more 180s with this being more sets (first to 6) but the bets for me will be total 180s (over 21.5 180s) and I'm also backing Wright to hit 3+ >100 checkouts. Wright will need high checkouts in this match to get legs and sets on the board and so this price seems a good one.

MVG Vs Aspinall (9pm) -  Asp actually has a good record against MVG. He's already beaten MVG twice this season (lost 1) but one thing that will be very important in this match is the scoring. MVG has always been hot on the T20 but he is actually behind when it comes to this match-up. This could be the fact that MVG has played less legs ofcourse but MVG has managed 24 180s in his 82 legs. We'll call that 30%. Aspinall has hit 37 180s in his 112 legs of darts. That's 33%. MVG lost the 180 battle in his win over Labanaskus. I'm going to back Aspinall to get the Most 180s. Aspinall has won 2 of the 3 matches between the two and the one he lost on a deciding leg he won the 180 battle on.

5pts Over 21.5 180s (Wright Vs Price) evens marathon
4pts P.Wright to have 3+ 100+ checkouts 7/4 paddypower
4pts N.Aspinall to get the Most 180s (Vs MVG) 6/4 betfair
1pt session accy - Each player 8 180s and each player 2+ 100 checkouts (all 4 semi-finalists) 14/1 paddypower

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WOW! MVG is playing like absolute sh*t and he still makes a final. Bottle went for Aspinall. Id say for Price too really. Couldn't keep his composure. I should be happy with Wright in the final but Aspinall really threw away a great chance there. What a shame.

Wright Vs MVG final. If MVG plays like that he loses but ofcourse we all know he wont.

main bets come in tonight. How Wright didn't get 3 100+ checkouts when he had 2 after 2 sets I don't know.

[ PDC World Championships ]
bets = 13/23 matchplay. 2/16 accys. 0/5 outrights
bank = 
+19.50pts

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I would say price played poor yesterday and we all know MVG has another gear when most do not.What a bad loser price is and pleased he got beat as not my favourite person.I like Wright as a player as well and as I have backed MVG I see no reason to jump ship now but if he did lose I would not be to worried but I could still half my stake on Wright and still get 5-2.On betfair.6-4 but backed it with a bookie at 5-4.at the start of tournament is not a bad price now for MVG.I will have a think but I can play it both ways for a return and win win win if I arb my bet.Dam if you do and dam if you do not.Good Luck and enjoy your New Years Eve.

Edited by notanotherdonkey

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The two I’m going for tonight are Wright with a -1.5 180 handicap and a small outsider bet on wright winning, most 180s and highest checkout 

5pts Wright (-1.5 180s) evens paddy power 
2.5pts Wright match treble 6/1 paddy power 

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Well done Peter Wright World Champion.Well today just sums up my whole betting day started off okay and went from bad to worse but luckily I was just using the bookies betting money which I had won over the last 4. months and lost over 1k today on horses mainly and not the best start to the New Year.Will have a break and see what is what.Good Luck

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2 minutes ago, bartvz said:

Thanks for your picks during the PDC WC @Fader! Do you also have some picks for the BDO tournament? Maybe some outrights?

Thank you, Bartz. I'm taking a look at the BDO today. I hope to have something up in the next 2-3 hours but it's a very weak field. I can't see me having asmany bets thorughout the tournament for the BDO.

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