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Same old over 0.5 goals good for nothing strategy


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Hi guys. So I've already tried this many times obviously without success. Big surprise.

GOAL: 10 -> 500k

HOW: 113 bets in a row @ 1.10 average odds

PERSONAL BEST: 73 wins in a row

Why am I posting here? Because I need to get disciplined. Around 80% of the time I lose my runs it is because I either bet on crap leagues like Russia or I get greedy and go for another goal.

With all the major leagues starting soon, I figured it's a good time to start this challenge again. There is no method like 2 bets/day or anything like that. I see, I like, I pull the trigger.

With that being said, thank you for putting up with another of these stupid challenges and hopefully I will manage to reach my goal in he next 10 tries.

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  • 4 weeks later...
3 hours ago, Rey86 said:

i wouldnt

 

it is easy to bet 10 or 20 or 100 euros on  these crapy bets

but when we re talking about srs money it would feel hard

 

all im saying is its better someone to bet on higher odds, 2,0+ with descent stakes

again, you don't understand anything about odds.. the odds themselves don't represent any kind of value - it is about the selections and data behind it.. if 1.09 got value i bet, if 10.50 got value i bet. 

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3 minutes ago, liero1 said:

again, you don't understand anything about odds.. the odds themselves don't represent any kind of value - it is about the selections and data behind it.. if 1.09 got value i bet, if 10.50 got value i bet. 

 

 

why dont you look for value bets 2.0+?

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I wish you the very best with this. The one thing I can never get my head around is the selections that are taken. Please don't take this the wrong way but what is your knowledge of this game.

1. Malaysia: Terengganu II vs Kuala Lumpur OVER 0.5 @ 1.10 - '22

Seems to me this is pure gambling.

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  • 1 month later...

Been MIA, forgot about this place altogether, also busy at work.

@freddie01 hi mate. It's pure guessing, tired of trying to find out stuff about every match. Just roll the dice basically sometimes.

Got about £14 in my account so trying again.

Bet 1: Holland: Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente OVER 0.5 @ 1.10 

£14.29 to win £1.40

EDIT: GOAL! 1-0 '48

Edited by barbusergiu
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Not sure if this helps but I've just written a script that looks through the data I have going back to 2015.  This shows how many matches in each league ended in 0-0 or not.

 

League Matches Under 0.5 Over 0.5 % over 0.5
CRO2 52 0 52 100.00%
IRL2 23 0 23 100.00%
HOL1 1000 40 960 96.00%
WALP 69 3 66 95.65%
SW1 640 29 611 95.47%
SW2 363 18 345 95.04%
ICE1 20 1 19 95.00%
NOR2 815 41 774 94.97%
NOR1 815 44 771 94.60%
HOL2 1339 73 1266 94.55%
CZE1 152 9 143 94.08%
MEX 198 12 186 93.94%
FIN2 538 34 504 93.68%
AUS2 638 42 596 93.42%
MEX2 45 3 42 93.33%
AUS1 656 44 612 93.29%
BEL1 928 63 865 93.21%
TUR1 1129 78 1051 93.09%
SWE1 819 57 762 93.04%
GER1 917 64 853 93.02%
DEN 774 55 719 92.89%
JAP 914 66 848 92.78%
IT1 1387 101 1286 92.72%
SP1 1394 102 1292 92.68%
BEL2 601 44 557 92.68%
GER2 884 65 819 92.65%
ED2 1857 137 1720 92.62%
SLV 399 30 369 92.48%
POR1 1127 85 1042 92.46%
CZE2 79 6 73 92.41%
EAPR 1338 102 1236 92.38%
SLK 639 49 590 92.33%
SAPR 685 53 632 92.26%
SWE2 824 64 760 92.23%
FD1 1403 109 1294 92.23%
IRL1 615 48 567 92.20%
HUN 660 52 608 92.12%
EFC 1861 147 1714 92.10%
ED1 1857 155 1702 91.65%
ECH 1903 161 1742 91.54%
ICE2 34 3 31 91.18%
DEN2 682 61 621 91.06%
JAP2 1858 167 1691 91.01%
BRA 1517 137 1380 90.97%
POL1 869 79 790 90.91%
POR2 1504 139 1365 90.76%
UKR 483 45 438 90.68%
ROM 682 64 618 90.62%
CRO1 621 61 560 90.18%
SP2 1688 173 1515 89.75%
GER3 1139 117 1022 89.73%
BRA2 1500 155 1345 89.67%
IT2 1624 173 1451 89.35%
FIN1 624 67 557 89.26%
RUS 842 91 751 89.19%
FD2 1374 150 1224 89.08%
GRE1 630 70 560 88.89%
FDN 1053 119 934 88.70%
RUS2 199 24 175 87.94%
GRE2 181 24 157 86.74%
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