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Over 4/1


Tiffy
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@Sir Puntalot 

@stevieday1983

Did I read somewhere that punters would be in profit if they backed teams at odds of over 4/1?

it went through my head when I looked at the odds on WBA to beat Man U away this weekend. Is there any chance someone could back test this over the current season to see if it is worth doing.

Im tempted to do it next season, and put results  it in the SYSTEMS & STRATEGIES thread.

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Best laying the 4/1 & over. MAYBE.

Done 50 test over the last week or so and looking at -8 profit and thats with the West Brom win :)

 If laying the fav +2.73 without comm taken off.

Will check laying the + 4/1 - the small amount of records I kept. Last 21 bets would be +21 profit haha

Will try and keep PROPER records from now.

 

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  • 3 weeks later...

The last round of Prem games there were 4 teams over 4/1

Brighton 5.5

Burnley 7.0

Huddersfield 21.0

West Brom  8.5

1point on each to win would have returned a 10pt profit

Only 1 team with odds over 4/1 lost!

Food for thought....

@Sir Puntalot can you get that lazy sod @StevieDay1983 to back test this over the summer. It's about time he did something useful........:ok

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13 minutes ago, Tiffy said:

The last round of Prem games there were 4 teams over 4/1

Brighton 5.5

Burnley 7.0

Huddersfield 21.0

West Brom  8.5

1point on each to win would have returned a 10pt profit

Only 1 team with odds over 4/1 lost!

Food for thought....

@Sir Puntalot can you get that lazy sod @StevieDay1983 to back test this over the summer. It's about time he did something useful........:ok

Sorry mate, he's in a World Cup dungeon over the summer. ;) 

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25 minutes ago, Tiffy said:

The last round of Prem games there were 4 teams over 4/1

Brighton 5.5

Burnley 7.0

Huddersfield 21.0

West Brom  8.5

1point on each to win would have returned a 10pt profit

Only 1 team with odds over 4/1 lost!

Food for thought....

@Sir Puntalot can you get that lazy sod @StevieDay1983 to back test this over the summer. It's about time he did something useful........:ok

Freak end of season results - lay em all. I have been watching this and getting near to a 100 paper bets, its a loser.

Will post my results when I hit the ton :) That will be tonight I think.

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2 hours ago, Sir Puntalot said:

Sorry mate, he's in a World Cup dungeon over the summer. ;) 

Hang on... why does that sound worse when it's written in text than when you said it to me? :lol

@Tiffy, this time of the season always sees results skewered. Before I was posting on here, I'd rarely get involved in betting at the end of the season because so many teams saw their form rollercoaster as desperation and pressure sets in. On the flip side, it's a great time to bet because there's loads of value in the underdogs. Not many teams go down or up without any fight.

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3 hours ago, padman said:

Freak end of season results - lay em all. I have been watching this and getting near to a 100 paper bets, its a loser.

Will post my results when I hit the ton :) That will be tonight I think.

You'd need well over 2000 bets to have any significant sample size. ;) 

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