Timmy1515 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Hi All, I've been working on odds compiling on football for years and wish to share with you my football betting predictor. Its something I've done then stop doing then lost all my data then started again and then stopped due to having no time to complete my project. Now due to some personal issues I'm in a position where I have time on my hands and looking to get back into it the problem is getting started again from nothing :(.I have 2 leagues done (Top divs in Norway and Sweden) but struggling to push myself to do more. The reason for the post is if there is someone out there who is interested in my work I hope this will give me the push I need to get the work done. More on what I've done to date above is a image of my work I'll break it down as best as I can. I rank each team from 1 being the best team to 16 being the worst (in a 16 team league) from this I compile my odds when each team play each other. The column at the end has green or red which tells he what more % I give the outcome of the match the the bookmaker. (Green being more , Red being less). Now this is a BASE so these odds do not include Bans,Injuries, Form and so on but what the do is the first stage of selection. Lets take a look at Start vs Tromso from the image above I compiled the odds of a home win 1.90 (54% of winning) the bookmaker were giving odds of 2.25 which showed me a 9.61% difference between my odds and the bookmakers so that Match you would look closer at. Maybe check for injuries ban of star players really bad form and so on. over 124 Picks +192.40 Profit 15.52% R.O.I I had last season which is small data that was across 8 leagues and 10pt single bets that was before i just didn't have time to carry on. If there is any interest from anyone who wishes me to post my work on here then please let me know its all free and all my own work. If not then thanks for reading Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 to PL @FootballBettingPredictor Interesting stuff. Just a small piece of advice. Many visitors are on mobile now, so making any images easy to view on mobile would be better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 (edited) Hi @Sir Puntalot I will do my best to make it easy for mobile users as well just struggling with how to go about posting my work atm in the forum for everyone to see and hopefully enjoy. Please bear with me Edited April 6, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor removed image from bottom of post Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 also if someone can help me remove the image at the bottom as everytime i post it comes up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 (edited) Above is odds I've compiled for the up and coming fixtures in the top league in Sweden. The teams that stands out are Goteborg, Elfsborg and Orebro. I will post selections at a later date just wanted to post this to get this page up and running. P.s If someone can advise me the best way to post my data for everyone to see I'm all ears. As I just tired to paste the data but it didn't fit on the screen. Edited April 6, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor data didn't fit on the screen removed image as it showed wrong data Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said: also if someone can help me remove the image at the bottom as everytime i post it comes up What image? Show us a screenshot please? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 (edited) Presumably not a reference to the "like" button that appears on each post, i.e. the heart symbol? That comment puzzled me too and that was my best guess. PS - ignore that - on posting this I was reminded that (for obvious reasons) the button doesn't appear on ones own posts! Edited April 4, 2018 by harry_rag Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 Irish Div 1 is now done one selction so far for the blog/forum post. Also will look closer at laying Cobh Ramblers hopefully will get more league ready for the weekend. Selection 1 Finn Harps vs Galway United LOI 1st Division / 6th Apr 2018 @ 20:00 Match winner • Galway United Odds: 2.78 Stake: 10.00 Bet365 All bets will be level stakes to make it easier to follow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 J League is Now up and running I will post all selections in around an hours time for over the weekend harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 (edited) New Selection 1 06.04.18 - 8pm Wexford to Draw/Win @ 1.83 for 10pts Selection 2 10.04.18 - 6pm Gotenburg to win @ 2.05 for 10pts Selection 3 07.04.18 - 6am Nagoya to win/Draw @ 1.83 for 10pts Selection 4 08.04.18 - 7am G- Osaka to win @ 2.70 for 10pts Selection 5 07.04.18 - 11am Kashima to win @ 1.75 for 10pts Selection 6 08.04.18 - 5pm Odd to win @ 1.90 for 10 pts All Prices are taken from Bet 365 Selection 7 - 3pm 07.04.18 Double chance • Örebro SK or draw @ 1.80 for 10 pts These are the selections for this week I will go into more detail later Edited April 6, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor added selection 7 to list and put dates and times on fixtures (Selection 1 was PP so New Selection was added Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 6, 2018 Author Share Posted April 6, 2018 Sweden Norway Sweden had to be reposted due to rating refresh was a small error in that excel sheet now fixed all other predictions are fine. So atm I have top league in Sweden Norway Japan and 2nd div in Ireland. If you would like to request a summer league then please post below i hope by the end of next weekend i would of added another 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 6, 2018 Author Share Posted April 6, 2018 Selection 1 Game is called off Having looked at tonight's Irish Div 1 games I'm going to replace Selection 1 with another game. When I compiled the odds in the Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers I had 2.7 3.2 2.5 was away side slight fav (underround is included in all my odds compiling). I cant spilt them Bet 365 on the other hand have now 4.50 3.30 1.85. The away side are heavy favs so I'm more then happy to take them on New Selection 1 06.04.18 - 8pm Wexford to Draw/Win @ 1.83 for 10pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 6, 2018 Author Share Posted April 6, 2018 (edited) Results New Selection 1 06.04.18 - 8pm Wexford to Draw/Win @ 1.83 for 10pts (1-1) Won +8.30pts Selection 2 10.04.18 - 6pm Gotenburg to win @ 2.05 for 10pts Selection 3 07.04.18 - 6am Nagoya to win/Draw @ 1.83 for 10pts (3-0) Lost - 10pts Selection 4 08.04.18 - 7am G- Osaka to win @ 2.70 for 10pts (0-1) Lost -10pts Selection 5 07.04.18 - 11am Kashima to win @ 1.75 for 10pts (2-1) Lost - 10pts Selection 6 08.04.18 - 5pm Odd to win @ 1.90 for 10 pts (1-0) Won +9pts All Prices are taken from Bet 365 Selection 7 - 3pm 07.04.18 Double chance • Örebro SK or draw @ 1.80 for 10 pts Won +8pts I will edit this post as results come in and when all are finished will add a P/L to it Edited April 8, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 8, 2018 Author Share Posted April 8, 2018 Not the best start I've ever made But its early days. As the season goes on and I watch more game the ratings will be better J league ratings aren't right just yet But having watch a few games and with games in midweek to see that will help. J League G-Osaka who sit rock bottom wont stay there for long the form of the team isn't good at all and that bad form is carried on from the end of last season which is a concern. But in today's match they didn't look like a bad side and where every unlucky to lose the game. Hiroshima Surprise package so far of the season sitting top of the league after nearly going down last season they were not fancied this year to do much. But not only are they top the have away wins against Kashiwa, Kawasaki, Kashima and Urawa who will all do well this season and out of that group of teams I execpt one of the to pick up the J League title. So for Hiroshima to have played 6 games this season and for 4 of the 6 games to be away to the top sides in J league yet sit top of the league with 5 wins 1 draw and only 1 goal against is amazing. But they are been champions before but still a long way to go. Kashima look like a team that will struggle to score goals but if they can fix that problem will go close to winning the league again maybe just a hang over from last season. V-Varen Nagasaki I believe will go down also Nagoya having seen them get taken apart by Sappora look like they could be in for a hard season. So as you can see the hard work is well underway the quicker I can get the rankings/ratings right the faster the results will come with 2 games left I sit on -13.7 for 10pts stakes so 2 wins for the last two will see me in profit but its not a ideal start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 8, 2018 Author Share Posted April 8, 2018 (edited) Japan Match Predictions for 11.04.18 Odds are from Paddy Power as Bet365 don't have odds up yet Edited April 8, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 8, 2018 Author Share Posted April 8, 2018 Here is Norway its been updated with current odds and new rating/rankings and odds Odd now at 2.04 They look a great price only time will time if this is correct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 8, 2018 Author Share Posted April 8, 2018 New Japan with Bet 365 odds Also Selection 8 will come from here Selection 8 11.04.18 11am Kashiwa to Win @ 2.29 for 10pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 9, 2018 Author Share Posted April 9, 2018 Super League from China now added odds are from paddy power as Bet365 haven't compiled the odds for this league yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 9, 2018 Author Share Posted April 9, 2018 Hoping to get involved tonight in the Lillestrøm vs Start match hoping to see a drift in the home price I have them at 1.70 currently to win currently 1.85 hoping for a bit higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 9, 2018 Author Share Posted April 9, 2018 Selection 9 09.04.18 6pm Lillestrøm to win @1.85 for 10pts All prices for this blog are taken from Bet365 price are higher at other bookmakers but I wish for this blog being kept at one bookmakers as I wanna show that what I do can turn over a profit without the need of finding the highest price. Of course to max profit and beat the bookmakers its advised to take highest odds as possible but for this project I wanna concentrate against one bookmaker. So Me vs bet 365 odds compilers if you will hope a few are enjoying what I do. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 9, 2018 Share Posted April 9, 2018 Following with interest though must admit I can only keep an eye on how it's going. Those goal and tryscorers don't pick themselves! Good luck with it, may your ROI be double digits! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 9, 2018 Author Share Posted April 9, 2018 Selection 9 09.04.18 6pm Lillestrøm to win @1.85 for 10pts (1-0) Won +8.50pts later on I will clear up this thread and put all selections together as a quick run down of results so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 9, 2018 Author Share Posted April 9, 2018 (edited) Selections Wexford to Draw/Win @ 1.83 for 10pts (1-1) Won +8.30pts Gotenburg to win @ 2.05 for 10pts (1-2) Lost - 10pts Nagoya to win/Draw @ 1.83 for 10pts (3-0) Lost - 10pts G- Osaka to win @ 2.70 for 10pts (0-1) Lost -10pts Kashima to win @ 1.75 for 10pts (2-1) Lost - 10pts Odd to win @ 1.90 for 10 pts (1-0) Won +9pts Double chance • Örebro SK or draw @ 1.80 for 10 pts Won +8pts Kashiwa to Win @ 2.29 for 10pts Lillestrøm to win @1.85 for 10pts (1-0) Won +8.50pts I Think from this day forward I will put a P&L after each day ( on days with selections) and an overall P&L will look like this. Profit/Loss of the day - -10.00ptsOverall Profit/Loss -6.20pts Overall Selections 8 Won 4 Lost 4 Strike rate :- 50% Avg odds 2.25 R.O.I -8.00% Edited April 10, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor updated as last game of the batch was played Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 10, 2018 Author Share Posted April 10, 2018 South Korea K League now added to database bringing the total of leagues up to 6. Selections for tomorrow will be posted later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 10, 2018 Author Share Posted April 10, 2018 (edited) Sweden updated ratings. I've got 1 selection already on the blog for tomorrow and before 10pm tonight will post the remaining bets for tomorrow morning Edited April 10, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 10, 2018 Author Share Posted April 10, 2018 (edited) Selections for 11.04.2018 11am Kashiwa to Win @ 2.29 for 10pts (1-2) WON 5:30pm Tromsø vs Strømsgodset Norway Eliteserien / 11th Apr 2018 @ 17:30 Double chance • Strømsgodset or draw @ 1.57 for 10pts FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers South Korea K League Classic / 11th Apr 2018 @ 11:30 Double chance • Pohang Steelers or draw @ 1.75 for 10pts (2-1) LOST F.C. Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Division 1 / 11th Apr 2018 @ 11:00 Double chance • Kashima Antlers or draw Bet365 Odds: 1.42 Stake: 10 (2-1) LOST Thats the selections so far for tomorrow if anymore I will edit them in here Edited April 11, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor added another selection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 11, 2018 Author Share Posted April 11, 2018 another selection has been added F.C. Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Division 1 / 11th Apr 2018 @ 11:00 Double chance • Kashima Antlers or draw Bet365 Odds: 1.42 Stake: 10 I have the home side @ 4.33 the away side @ 2.00 odds now are 2.87 home 3.20 draw 2.50 having watch Kashima a lack of goals is a worry at the moment but that is the only reason I have selected double chance rather then the away win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 11, 2018 Author Share Posted April 11, 2018 The Results for my selections were not great today with 1 left But I'm very happy with the ratings in the J- League and K -League. Just a few teams off I believe before the profits come in them leagues. With games in them leagues coming up on the weekend I forecast improved results in the coming week in them leagues. Japan Match predictions for over the weekend without odds as no bookmaker has compiled them yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 11, 2018 Author Share Posted April 11, 2018 Results Selections for 11.04.2018 11am Kashiwa to Win @ 2.29 for 10pts (1-2) WON +12.90 5:30pm Tromsø vs Strømsgodset (3-1) Lost -10pts Norway Eliteserien / 11th Apr 2018 @ 17:30 Double chance • Strømsgodset or draw @ 1.57 for 10pts FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers South Korea K League Classic / 11th Apr 2018 @ 11:30 Double chance • Pohang Steelers or draw @ 1.75 for 10pts (2-1) LOST -10pts F.C. Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Division 1 / 11th Apr 2018 @ 11:00 Double chance • Kashima Antlers or draw Bet365 Odds: 1.42 Stake: 10 (2-1) LOST -10pts Profit/Loss of the day - -17.10ptsOverall Profit/Loss -23.30pts Overall Selections 8 Won 5 Lost 7 Strike rate :- 41.66% Avg odds 2.00 R.O.I -19.75% Things can only get better no games tomorrow but I have a lot of selections to post for over the weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted April 11, 2018 Author Share Posted April 11, 2018 Friday 13th April Selection 13 Single Tianjin Quanjian F.C vs Jiangsu Sainty Super League / 13th Apr 2018 @ 12:35 Double chance • Jiangsu Sainty or draw Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10 Selection 14 Single UCD vs Finn Harps LOI 1st Division / 13th Apr 2018 @ 19:45 Match winner • UCD Odds: 2.04 Stake: 10 Selection 14 Single Galway United vs Wexford LOI 1st Division / 13th Apr 2018 @ 19:45 Match winner • Galway United Odds: 1.44 Stake: 10 All odds are with Bet 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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