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Third Qualifying Round - Second Legs


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Thursday 6th August 2015 [TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR] Thursday 6 August 2015 Home Draw Away BPP [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]AC Omonia Nicosia v Brøndby IF (17:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.24[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.83 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FK Qäbälä v Apollon Limassol (17:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.45[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.62 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Inter Baku v Athletic Bilbao (17:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.13 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Rubin Kazan v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (17:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.25[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.66 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona v FC Slovan Liberec (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.33 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]IFK Göteborg v Belenenses (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.08 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Istanbul Basaksehir FK v AZ Alkmaar (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.63 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Odd Grenland v IF Elfsborg (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.23 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Rosenborg BK v Debreceni VSC (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.7[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.45 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Strømsgodset v Hajduk Split (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.33 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Trabzonspor v FK Rabotnicki (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]5.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]11[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.14 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vorskla Poltava v MŠK Žilina (18:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.1[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Dinamo Minsk v FC Zürich (18:15 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.55[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.98 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]AEK Larnaca v Girondins de Bordeaux (18:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.93 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FC Vaduz v FC Thun (18:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.65[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FC København v FK Baumit Jablonec (18:45 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.55[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]105.95 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Astra Giurgiu v West Ham (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.85[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.89 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Atromitos Athens v AIK (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.1[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FK Željeznicar v Standard de Liège (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.94 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Saint-Étienne v FCM Târgu Mures (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.35[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]8.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.57 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vitesse v Southampton (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.25[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.34 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Zorya Luhansk v Sporting de Charleroi (19:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.26 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Spartak Trnava v PAOK (19:05 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Slovan Bratislava v FK Krasnodar (19:15 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsberger AC (19:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.07[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]9.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]26[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.83 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Aberdeen v FC Kairat Almaty (19:45 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.47 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Legia Warszawa v FK Kukësi (20:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.15[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]6.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]15[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.44 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vojvodina v Sampdoria (20:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.45 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vitoria de Guimaraes v Cashpoint SCR Altach (21:15 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]8.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.19 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

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I've compared the elo ratings of the sides, and based on this, there is possible value backing four teams at current odds - AZ , Astra, Vitesse and Trnava. Basaksehir (Tur) - AZ Alkmaar (Ned) AZ or draw 1.79 Marathon Astra (Rou) - West Ham (Eng) Astra or draw 1.85 Betway Vitesse (Ned) - Southampton (Eng) Vitesse or draw 1.62 Betfred Trnava (Svk) - PAOK (Gre) Trnava or draw 1.87 Marathon Stake 3 points on each Total stake: 12 points

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Molde-Dinamo Zagreb Well,after first game,and two goals in two minutes,draw on the end,1:1 scoreline. Molde played well and organised in defence,gived maximum,and I think that was their "maximum" in defence.They will not play so good at home,because they will open more.They just dont want to defend at home stadium,and I see there big chance for Dinamo... In league game,NK Zagreb beaten,0:2 ,but Dinamo was pushed by referees...Same situatuion during the years...Some reserve players taked a place and showed good skills,like Hodzic(Ex Liverpool youngster) I see value for visitors win...they are more experienced in this phase of competition,and Im sure it will be harder for Molde to defend against Pjaca and Rog.Will be great to see Coric as starter,but its hard to belive. Atmosphere in club isnt so great,after Machado incident,he is punished with 100 000 e,and he will be out of team for a while... DNB seems a great option here 1.83 8/10

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Vojvodina -Sampdoria Hmm...to big oddds on Vojvodina...they will try to win again,for sure,all town and Serbia are on fire,in shock after 0-4 in Torino... Fantastic striker Ozegovic scored one of the most beautifull goals in Superaleague history,and his confidence is sky high,,,all players are in the sky...that is maybe tricky,and can be counter-productive,but I belive they can score agains,why not?They will NOT defend,and Doria needs to atack ,and atack,they have nothing to lose...0-4 is hard to catch,but Muriel can score,minimum twice...we will see over here,I think...big over maybe.. Booth to score and over 2.5 at 2.30 for maximum stake from me...

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I wouldn't like goals, as it's the thing of the home side will take a 0-0. I'd be edging towards Sampdoria. You'd hope they'd want to set the record straight, and ordinarily, Sampdoria should be beating a side like this comfortably.

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Stromsgodset IF v Hajduk Split Stromsgodset IF: Ogunjimi (8/4 f, 2nd top scorer), Horn (6/0 d), Madsen (4/0 d) Hajduk Split: Grbi? (0/0 g), Roguljic (3/0 m), Milevskiy (0/0 f) AEK Larnaka v Girondins Bordeaux AEK Larnaka: - Girondins Bordeaux (last term): Jussie (0/0 f), Plasil (34/0 m), Rolan (36/15 f, top scorer), Sané (23/1 d), Diabaté (15/8 f) Aberdeen FC v Kairat Almaty Aberdeen FC (last term): Mark Reynolds (37/2 d) Kairat Almaty: Gerard Gohou (20/18 f, top scorer), Sito Riera (19/3 f)(both doubtful), Zaurbek Pliev (17/1 d) FC Vaduz v FC Thun FC Vaduz: Muntwiler (3/2 m, doubtful), Caballero (3/0 f), Burgmeier (0/0 m), Kaufmann (0/0 d), Kuzmanovic (0/0 m), Schürpf (0/0 m), Sutter (1/0 f), Untersee (0/0 d) FC Thun: Peyretti (0/0 m), Siegfried (0/0 m), Glarner (1/0 d) Dinamo Minsk v FC Zürich Dinamo Minsk: Nivaldo (8/1 d), Bykov (12/1 m), Udodji (9/2 m), Yedigaryan (12/1 m), Faji? (8/1 f) FC Zürich: Etoundi (2/1 f), Alesevic (0/0 d), Brunner (1/0 d), Chiumiento (2/0 m), Kecojevic (0/0 d), Kleiber (0/0 m), Schönbächler (0/0 m), Yapi (0/0 m) Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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I think Bordeaux look a bit short against Larnaca. The 3-0 in the first leg really flattered Bordeaux, even manager Willy Sagnol said so.One of the goals was offside and the penalty was a terriible decision. They have left some important players in Bordeaux such as those listed above Sane,Plasil,Rolan,Diabate and also Poundje. In total they have brought 22 players, according to the press conference today a lot of the younger players will be given a chance, i can´t imagine they will play anywhere near a full strenght team due to the League opener against Reims on Sunday. French media indicate that Carrasso will be captain tomorrow, which would mean Sertic will be rested along with many others i presume. Here is a Bordeaux forum...they predict a lot of changes. http://forum.chezlesgirondins.com/matchs-du-moment-f22/aek-larnaca-bordeaux-le-retour-t4653-15.html Add to that, it's nearly 40 degrees in Cyprus...i would be inclined to lay Bordeaux.

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Trabzonspor-Rabotnicki I know what i wrote yesterday about the Turkish teams that they lack game practice and physical condition but Trabzonspor will have a much easier task today against Rabotnicki.I expected Fenerbahce to lose yesterday but Trabzon are a real force at home and with the players they brought in they will have no problems to eliminate today's opponent.Bookies are awfully wrong here,offering odds around 2 for -1.5 AH which i would take every day.They have massively sthrenghtened their defence line by signing players like Uludag from Kayseri who actually is a top player and that move suits him,Mbia from Sevilla,Cavanda(Belgium national player and ex Lazio player) and Bosingwa is also there plus a couple of attacking players but their attacking was great last season so there was no need for more forwarders.The reversed fixture in Macedonia was a real disaster for the Turkish side.They were all over them but missed a DOZEN of chances while the Macedonians created only a few and scored 1 of them.I am sure that today Trabzon will have 20+ opportunities to net a goal but the question is how many they will put past them and if they are on their day they might win by 4-5 goals to nil.Of course this could be a replay of last week's clash but it would be a massive surprise to me.Trabzonspor had one of the best home records last season and they were a goal scoring machine so i fully believe their impressive home form will continue.Now with all these good players they should have a better defending as well so everything depends on how they'll finish the attacks.Personally,i don't know anything about Rabotnicki except that they are from Macedonia which is about 200 km from where i live and about 10 years ago they eliminated CSKA from CL but i don't need to know more because i watched the fixutre in Skopje and i am telling you that there's no way Trabzon don't go through.HW -1.5 AH @ evens with bet365. 1:0 I am lowering the stakes here from high to medium.Bosingwa,Mbia and Akbas are out and most importantly-Ekici.I am fully expecting Trabzon to go through because they did ok in Skopje without them but still their abcense will be noticable.

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Trabzonspor-Rabotnicki I am lowering the stakes here from high to medium.Bosingwa,Mbia and Akbas are out and most importantly-Ekici.I am fully expecting Trabzon to go through because they did ok in Skopje without them but still their abcense will be noticable.
Waris signed for Lorient and wont feature, which means only Cardozo left in the attacking line for Trabzon. All squad availabele for Rabotnicki which is full of youngsters. Motivation is sky high, especially after the first leg upset.
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Waris signed for Lorient and wont feature, which means only Cardozo left in the attacking line for Trabzon. All squad availabele for Rabotnicki which is full of youngsters. Motivation is sky high, especially after the first leg upset.
Cardozo gets plenty of support by Yilmaz and Erdogan and i think Trabzon will be very solid at the back at home.I think it won't be a blowout,maybe if Ekici and Mbia were avaialble but without them i think 2:0 would be the most probable outcome.Anyway i am fully behind my -1.5 AH. bet.GL!
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Vorskla Poltava - MŠK Žilina In my opinion, there is quite high chance that both teams are going to score today, so that will be my main bet today. Home team has to play offensively as long as it´s the only way how to score at least 2 goals to make it to the extra-time. In the previous rounds we had seen that Žilina is not that tight in the defence in order to keep a clean sheet in a game like this - they conceded in both Chisinau and Glentoran. On the other hand, their offensive power is huge (at least in terms of slovak league and 3Q round :D) so it would be a surprise for me if they don´t manage to score a goal as well. We have nice odds for that kind of bet, even my unwritten rule of "over comes after under" (not always obviously as you will see later) supports this bet - BTTS doesn´t mean over, but I think we won´t see max 1 goal! What is more, I would like to take one more bet - red card. As I mentioned last week, there were some tension on the pitch in last couple of minutes and Vorskla players promised a revenge. I don´t know what exactly it might mean but I think it´s worth to try! Both teams to score @2.05 William Hill - high stakes Red card @3.23 local bookie - small stakes Spartak Trnava - PAOK I don´t see value in backing PAOK to win and handicap seems to me dangerous, as long as I see few missings for PAOK from starting eleven. That makes me think that we are not going to see many goals today. Spartak barely created chances in the first game, even with one man advantage since the very early minutes. They also know that they brought a promising result so keeping 0-0 makes sense for them and they don´t need to rush with attacking. On the other hand, as I said before, I expect PAOK to control the game and I don´t see any reason why they should take attacking approach as well. In conclusion, this one look underish for me. Under 2,5 @1.85 Pinnacle - medium stakes Slovan Bratislava - Krasnodar I prefer to avoid this game. Slovan looks quite unpredictable at the moment and I don´t know much about Kranosdar anyway. It´s possible that they are coming to Bratislava to defend their 2 goals lead and I wouldn´t be surprised if they succeed. On the other hand, Slovan was really weak in terms of attacking in the first leg so maybe Krasnodar´s defence is really too strong for them.So it might look like under, but the odds are nothing attractive if I consider that it looks so unpredictable to me. I don´t know, I´m not sure, let´s skip this game! There are 3 more bets I´m going to take today, but I will be very short with them, it´s just my opinion how it might look like today: Stromsgodset - Hajduk - both teams to score @1.72 - the odds are quite short but I´m confident about this bet for several reasons. Home team has to attack (similarity with Poltava) and Hajduk finds it difficult to keep a clean sheet in EL this season. They are also often involved in high scoring games so at least 1-1 is possible imho. Home team scored 6 in the norwegian league this weekend, I hope they still have at least one hidden for Hajduk. Basaksehir - AZ - home team to qualify @6.00 - I think that first game was influenced a little bit by red card and it might have ended with completely different result. According to the home coach, their focus is to defend properly and don´t rush with attacking. Correct me if I´m wrong but AZ lost their striker this week so I see home team to get 2-0 and decide in extra-time :p. Astra - WHU - Astra to win @2.69 - It´s obvious that WHU doesn´t care about this competition and I think their time is coming to the end today. They left several players in London so with these odds there is nothing much to say, just make a bet.

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I've compared the elo ratings of the sides, and based on this, there is possible value backing four teams at current odds - AZ , Astra, Vitesse and Trnava. Basaksehir (Tur) - AZ Alkmaar (Ned) AZ or draw 1.79 Marathon Astra (Rou) - West Ham (Eng) Astra or draw 1.85 Betway Vitesse (Ned) - Southampton (Eng) Vitesse or draw 1.62 Betfred Trnava (Svk) - PAOK (Gre) Trnava or draw 1.87 Marathon Stake 3 points on each Total stake: 12 points
won, returns 5.37 won, returns 5.55 lost won, returns 5.61 Total stake: 12 points Total return: 16.53 points Profit/loss = +4.53 points
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