chris34 Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 4.45 Southwell 3yr old handicaps not usually my betting ground but this one does attract me, simply because of the level of fibresand form on show. Red Primo is 2 from 2 around here both over 6f, winning a maiden and a classified event. Never cut any ice on handicap debut turf last time out off a mark of 73, runs off 72 today. Although winning in good style when last seen he beat very little and this mark might be harsh enough based on that form but could bounce back on this surface. Outbacker has shown very little recently but does have 1 run on this surface and that was a respectable 3rd behind Alumina. Two Shades Of Grey comes from the in form Fahey yard but has been held since winning on seasonal debut and handicapper might be in chance. Buy Out Boy shown nothing for old connections but has joined Appleby yard who know the time of day with their runners around here but on shown form cant be backed. Injaz wasn’t disgraced on only one run around here over 6f, again good effort last time out but needs to step up again. Wildcat Lass is the interesting one for me, was unlucky to bump into a couple of better rivals in course maidens before finally getting off the mark on this surface 3 starts back, not a strong race but did it in good style. Lesser effort back on turf before bouncing back around a mile here, stamina look stretched that day and drop back to 7f a huge plus and looks a real course specialist in the making. 1pt win Wildcat Lass 4/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Jockey Jimmy Fortune has yet to score in his years Royal Ascot and if his 3yr old grey colt mount can run faster than the other eighteen runners and pass the post first he will win. If he doesn't run fast enough he will lose, wide open race and whoever runs the fastest over the trip of 1m 4f will be declared the winner. ?5:35 Ascot - Arab Dawn 1pt win bet @ sp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aidymac Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Royal Ascot 4:25 - Gold Cup(Group 1) (1) 2m4f The value for this race in my humble opinion is the Dermot Weld trained Pale Mimosa who was staying on very late in the Long Distance Cup at Ascot back in October. He finished up 4th behind Royal Diamond that day and I have no doubt that the step up in trip has to be a major advantage for this horse. The Weld yard has been in terrific form this season and at 14/1 he looks an each-way steal. I have also put a very small each-way bet on Oriental Fox who looks too big at 66/1. The Mark Johnston horse ran a cracker when 6th in the Cesarewitch last October and he finished 3rd in the Sagaro Stakes soon after. I don't think he will win but he is overpriced and could easily run into a place. Oriental Fox WIN @ 80/1 Bet Victor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertob Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 15.45 Ascot: Final Score E/W @ 14/1 Coral I do like this Italian filly Final Score. I saw her winning the Italian Oaks, which impressed me. She overcame a wide draw and raced prominently, travelled on the bridle till the 400m marker, she got challenged by horses left and right, but then 200m out she was asked for everything and she responded in some fashion, running on strongly to win with authority in the end, even though the winning margin might suggest otherwise. That was over 1m3f and she will definitely appreciate the additional furlong. She is bred for this trip through and through which emphasizes the impression she gave on the track. Final Score is still lightly raced, had only three starts, won them all. It's obviously hard to say what she beat over there, but the visual impression is something and my only concern would be the fast ground as she is unproven over it and has strong form over soft though, while soft form dominates through her pedigree. But on the balance she is overpriced in my mind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 2.55 Southwell – Two Moons 1pt Win @ 5/2 (BOG BetVictor) A case can be made for a few of these, but the Tony Coyle trained Two Moons looks the most persuasive with an AW record of 211. Those two wins were both over C&D and sandwiched a disappointing run on turf at 1m where he has never shown so far. He is only up 3lbs for the latest win and half fluffed the start that time. He is definitely the most unexposed in the field, with the fewest questions to answer, and doesn’t look a bad price to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
santos_ Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Ascot 3.45 - Variza (1pts win, 10/3 BetVictor) Alain De Royer-Dupre's French raider Variza seems to me like a horse who leapt of the page in this one. She has won two of her three starts and her other run was a second placed effort in a Group 1 at Longchamp and she was clear of the others behind her. She also seems like the type who should go well over this 1m4 trip given how she runs her races. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Litts Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Ascot gold cup Brown Panther 7/1 e/w 2pts Tipped this one LTO, this is a stiffer test but with the way he's won in the last two outings I can see him doing very well. Trip doesn't seem a concern but the ground will be a lot harder than he's raced on in the last two wins. Leading light is obviously a big danger but at evens there's much better value in Brown Panther Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FedericoBTH Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 2.45 RIPON (Class 5 - 6f Claiming Stakes) INXILE @10/11 (PaddyPower #BOG) Looking at the form figures is not productive in this case: Inxile failed to be in the frame in the last three times out (best result an eighth place) but it has to be said that all of those were Class 2 (or 3) contests. The 9yo is a former Listed race sprinter, once rated 115, with 9 wins in that category and almost £440,000 of earnings in his career. Now he has probably lost his touch but the triple jump down in Class should give him a huge advantage against a very modest competition. David Nicholls stable looks completely out of form lately having produced its last winner 24 days ago but he's a trainer to be followed closely when lining up horses dropping in class, especially if he puts them in Claiming races (26% SR lifetime and a +8% yield). With Haamody out it's only a five runners race and two of them have absolutely no chance. He'll drop in the 4/6 range by the off so plenty of value here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bathtime For Rupert Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 5.00 Ascot - 1pt win Hors de Combat @ 12/1 (Ladbrokes) For all this is a wide open handicap I'm sweet on James Fanshawe's charge who was thought of highly enough to be considered a Guineas prospect at one point and you can see why with his form reading well. It was a highly impressive debut which saw him account for a now 88-rated animal and the very smart Inchila back in third. Wouldn't have enjoyed the tactical nature of a four-runner contest at Kempton next time but at least the winner is potentially useful (2-2 after that) and my selection has bounced right back from that. Was midfield in a race won by Muwaary (form franked) on his reappearance which he'll have improved for and the ground was on the softer side which I don't think is ideal. I think he'll relish the quick conditions today and his win last time was impressive. Is only 5lbs higher than that day when I thought he won with plenty up his sleeve and the strong pace on here over a mile on quick ground looks right up his street. Ought to go very well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Ascot Gold Cup This is a terrific renewal of the Gold Cup and every decent staying horse in training has turned up here to do battle. The Queens horse Estimate will have plenty of support but I think this is more difficult this year and the absence worries me also. It’s difficult to get away from Leading Light, the 4yo has won a Classic and promises to be even better over these extreme distances and I wouldn’t be surprised if he became a superstar in these Cup races similar to Yeats who won this race four times for the same stable. Selection: Leading Light Evens SJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corky Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 1735 royal ascot 0.5 ew windshear 15/2 stanj consistent 3 year colt, 4 starts,2 wins 2 places must have a chance today in an 18 runner handicap,he ran a good race last time out ,2nd behind cannock chase who runs earlier in the day,and that has a great chance,and if it wins,this price will surely disapear,first attempt at this trip,and if he sees it out,another big run ensues, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainbow Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June mukhmal 2.30 ascot is the one for me today. the favourite is reported to be something special, but the form isnt that strong and so until he proves himself to be this superstar, then im happy to oppose him at short odds. mukhmal has solid form and i take this one to dominate the whole race and leave them all with extra to find. johnstons horses are in good form and so no reason why this one shouldnt run a cracker. 1 point win 5/1 paddy power bog Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 5:00 Ascot - American Hope (66/1 Bet365) 1pt Win After nothing to show for a couple of painful days at Ascot thus far this may look like a desperate attempt to recoup any losses incurred. But American Hope has actually been one of the horses in my notebook that I have been particularly sweet on for quite some time. Since joining Mike Murphy he has been restricted to the AW at Lingfield and has run respectably on each occasion, his run behind Ertijaal when a staying on second in the Spring Cup looks like relatively solid form with the likes of Brazos, Bow Creek and Wee Jean a long way behind. I think his run next time out is best ignored as it was a really messy race with just the 3 runners and he was not at all suited by the lack of an early gallop, he then put up another decent performance when a bit further behind Ertijaal back over 7 furlongs last time out. As a big, scopey individual I don't think he is ideally suited by the turns and contours of Lingfield and I think he can improve again here over the straight mile at Ascot. He has only run on artificial surfaces so far in his career but there is no reason to believe he will not be just as good on the turf and I am quite bullish about his chances and think the current prices are far too big, I actually had him in at a tad shorter than 20/1 which may be slightly optimistic but he is now as big as 66/1 in places and that has to be real value in my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 2.45 RIPON (Class 5 - 6f Claiming Stakes) INXILE @10/11 (PaddyPower #BOG) Looking at the form figures is not productive in this case: Inxile failed to be in the frame in the last three times out (best result an eighth place) but it has to be said that all of those were Class 2 (or 3) contests. The 9yo is a former Listed race sprinter, once rated 115, with 9 wins in that category and almost £440,000 of earnings in his career. Now he has probably lost his touch but the triple jump down in Class should give him a huge advantage against a very modest competition. David Nicholls stable looks completely out of form lately having produced its last winner 24 days ago but he's a trainer to be followed closely when lining up horses dropping in class, especially if he puts them in Claiming races (26% SR lifetime and a +8% yield). With Haamody out it's only a five runners race and two of them have absolutely no chance. He'll drop in the 4/6 range by the off so plenty of value here. Another crazy bonkers result. Bookies win again, what mugs we are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June 1 winner 1 place today BH Evens Corky 2nd 15/2 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FedericoBTH Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June Another crazy bonkers result. Bookies win again, what mugs we are. lol beatean by a 66/1 maiden with little to no interest from the market. Hate this game. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Re: BBOTD 19th June lol beatean by a 66/1 maiden with little to no interest from the market. Hate this game. :) Makes ya wonder at times eh fella. Its only a great game when we're winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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