Grex Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Loads of Homes this weekend.... and one Away (starting in 60 minutes) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings The one Away selection failed miserably..... but an excellent weekend for the Homes (a return of 85% on 6 bets) :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings I'm liking the results of the AH Home selections ....may dip the feet into the waters this weekend ...;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings I'm liking the results of the AH Home selections ....may dip the feet into the waters this weekend ...;) I always get nervous when I hear that people may actually put hard-earned cash on the selections..... but, if you do, then good luck. Why the AH(+0.5) Home selections? They are only running at 4.2% yield, whereas the straight Homes and the AH(+0.5) Aways are around the 15% mark. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings I always get nervous when I hear that people may actually put hard-earned cash on the selections..... but, if you do, then good luck. Why the AH(+0.5) Home selections? They are only running at 4.2% yield, whereas the straight Homes and the AH(+0.5) Aways are around the 15% mark. Typing error !!....meant the straight wins ..:$ No need to get nervous mate ...it's my choice to get involved so if it does go tits-up .....:cry........but let's be positive ....:cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 6, 2014 Author Share Posted March 6, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings "let's be positive....."??... me??.... they don't call me Private James "we're all doomed" Frazer for nothing (character from Dad's Army from the 1970s..... I know, you weren't born) ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings "let's be positive....."??... me??.... they don't call me Private James "we're all doomed" Frazer for nothing (character from Dad's Army from the 1970s..... I know' date= you weren't born) ;) Don't panic Captain Grex ..Don't panic...:rollin Still one of the best comedy shows ever made and as funny now as when they were made..:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 7, 2014 Author Share Posted March 7, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Good luck with the Homes, JTW.... if you decide to go for it ("they don't like it up 'em ") ;) BTW, I missed the mid-week E1 matches. There would have been one Home selection.... Coventry - Walsall @ 2.75. The result..... 2-1 :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Starting with COLCHESTER today....:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Starting with COLCHESTER today....:ok 2-1 :ok Left UDINESE alone , couple of important players out but i think i'll have an interest in GRANADA , albeit on the AH [+0.5] @ 1.70 from betvictor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Left UDINESE alone ' date=' couple of important players out but i think i'll have an interest in GRANADA , albeit on the AH [+0.5'] @ 1.70 from betvictor. and of course UDINESE win 1-0 ....:spank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Oh, ye of little faith ;). I hope you by-passed the Swindon selection. GL with Granada..... I think AH(+0.5) is a wise choice. I gave up betting a few years ago, but I still get a "buzz" out of following the results.... mind you, the Granada game doesn't start until 11.00pm (Turkey-time), so I will probably be tucked up safely in bed (as per Private Frank Pike). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Sniff ..sniff....is that an Oscar in the air....:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings A very good weekend for the Homes selections. Let's see what happens to Monday evening's two selections :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 13, 2014 Author Share Posted March 13, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings Vallecano were very tasty winners at odds of 7.0. I will post the update together with the weekend's selections on Friday evening. I know, I should get a life and be out clubbing it on a Friday evening..... not at my age ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO Ratings There are 10 selections for the weekend...... 7 homes and 3 aways. To date, there have been 96 selections. The "Back Homes" and the "Away AH(+0.5)" (or Home Lays) are definitely out-performing the other two. I will keep all four systems going until the end of the season, at least...... but I will start posting the performance of the two best performers in the thread title. So the thread is re-named "Grex's ELO Homes back/lay".... exciting title :lol Let's see how it goes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 18, 2014 Author Share Posted March 18, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay - 96 bets 18.4% yield One for tonight.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 21, 2014 Author Share Posted March 21, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 106 bets: +16.1% yield Loads this weekend - the first starts soon. Apologies for the image size..... I am using a temporary laptop with a Turkish keyboard, and I can't get used to it :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 21, 2014 Author Share Posted March 21, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay - 96 bets 18.4% yield Just realised, the last away result (Colchester-Shrewsbury) should read 1-0, not 0-1. I will correct it with the next post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 107 bets: +15.4% yield A disastrous weekend..... it could have been worse but for Almeria's 91st minute winning goal last night. There may be some selections for mid-week.... I will post later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 118 bets: +9.2% yield Let's hope for an upturn in fortunes :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 118 bets: +9.2% yield Let's hope for an upturn in fortunes :hope Well, the "upturn" did not happen. So, onto this weekend...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 4, 2014 Author Share Posted April 4, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 128 bets: +9.3% yield Ten for the weekend.... the first starts in 10 minutes :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 7, 2014 Author Share Posted April 7, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 133 bets: +5.9% yield An excellent weekend for the "Homes", and even a small profit for the "Home Lays". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orhane Posted April 7, 2014 Share Posted April 7, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield hi grex, which kind of elo rating do you use for your forcast? i researched some webpages with ratings. thx for your answer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 9, 2014 Author Share Posted April 9, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield It was based on a system explained on a website. Unfortunately, I recently had to buy a new laptop (my old one crashed), and I cannot find the link. I will keep looking and let you know when I find it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 11, 2014 Author Share Posted April 11, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield This weekend's selections...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield Hi Grex Great results Do you calculate your elo rating yourself or do you extract the figures of a web site I am trying to find a web site that gives match probabilities for all major leagues but except for Betdevil (which is a paid service ) the only other one is The Fink Tank which is designed for English leagues I am sure there must be value in laying the home or away team at under evens if the probability is not in line with the odds by say 30% ie when a favourite as a probability of winning the game is 50% ie 2.0 yet the odds that the bookmakers are giving are only 1.5 to 1.7 Hope for feedback grex, great thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orhane Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield http://www.prosoccer.eu/ has elo ratings Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Re: Grex's ELO HOMES back/lay: 143 bets: +10.9% yield A cr*p weekend :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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