Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

[Bathtime For Rupert]

1.10 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Bai Zhu @ 10/1 (Paddy Power) - 1/4 odds I quite like the look of this amateur riders' handicap chase over 3 miles, and the one with the nicest profile in my eyes is Bai Zhu - from the Nicky Henderson yard. He's an enthusiastic runner, who jumps well in the main, and likes to race prominently. These traits will certainly suit an amateur rider, who should enjoy a good round on top of this horse. This will only be his fifth start over fences so he also looks relatively unexposed. He's won a bumper, a hurdle, and two chases from 9 starts so he's certainly got a good strike rate and an attitude to match. His two defeats over fences haven't been too bad, either. He won a novice chase on his first start over the bigger obstacles (beating a now 135 rated chaser) before being pitched into handicap company. He was taken on for the lead, and ended up fading to be a 7l 5th of 14. It was a decent race, though, with Vino Griego in 3rd and the progressive Stoney's Treasure in 4th. Not a bad effort for his second start over fences. He made all in March at Newbury, clinging on by a nose. The bare form of his most recent run doesn't look all too clever, but the 140l losing margin was exaggerated. He finished very tired after they went quick over the testing Gold Cup trip. He jumped well and was still in 2nd as they started the run towards the home turn, but soon felt the pinch. 3 of the first 4 were held up right in the rear - proving that they did go too quick. He's had a break, and will no doubt come back more mature after a summer of training over the bigger obstacles. One of the main reasons he interests me so much is his record fresh. He has a 100% record when returning from an absence (3-3) and he will certainly be ready for this. There are question marks over plenty of the runners in regards to the handicap (Estates Recovery, Swing Bill), trip (Pigeon Island), and many of these are only new to the chasing game. Stewarts House looks the biggest threat to me. Everything looks primed for a huge run from this horse from a powerful yard who have seen 7 of their last 9 runners win, with a second, and a faller when booked for 3rd. 1.45 Cheltenham - 1.5pts e/w I'msingingtheblues @ 14/1 (Ladbrokes) David Pipe's 9yo is a classy sort, but has failed to get his head in front since January 2009. However, he's been contesting some higher quality races than this, and also has struggled to get his optimum conditions in most of his starts since. Each of his wins have come over 2 miles, with good ground clearly a preference. Since his last win, he's had these conditions twice (strictly speaking). Once was a decent 7th of 21 off a big weight in the Grand Annual at Cheltenham having lost his place during the race. The other came back in April of this year when beaten only a neck by Beggars Cap with a couple of today's rivals in behind. He's often been campaigned on softer ground, or at trips too far, so despite his long losing run, I don't think it's as bad as it looks. He is probably better on a flat track, but has won over hurdles at Cheltenham so I will give him another chance on that score. He ended last season in good form considering he wasn't really run in ideal races. The ground and the trip suit him fine here. His record fresh is also very respectable. 116F is that record, and he was still well in contention when falling 4 out in the Old Roan chase last year. This is his time of year with 4 of his 6 career wins coming between the 19th October and 12th December. He looks overpriced in this race with conditions to suit, and in a slightly easier race than he often contests. 3.30 Cheltenham - 1.5pts e/w Decoy @ 14/1 (BlueSQ) - 1/4 odds I'll be hoping for a good day for David Pipe - as I fancy another of his runners in the penultimate race of the day. A conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle is the name of the game, and I think Pipe has a well treated individual ready to progress this season. Decoy was a winner of a hurdle race in France, and showed promise on his debut in that sphere since moving to England. However, he threw in two very poor efforts in defeat following that, before showing much more the last twice. His two decent runs over 2 miles screamed out that he wanted further, and improved again when upped to 2m3f at Newton Abbot back in May. That was a rock solid race with the likes of Cockney Trucker, Owen Glendower, and Tri Nations filling the three places behind the 2nd placed Decoy. My selection only just failed by a neck that day to a horse who has shot up in the handicap since. Kylenoe Fairy was in great form when they met, so it wasn't as if that horse suddenly became progressive after their race. She won again by 17l next time out before a good 2nd in a listed event. Her mark currently stands at 134. It was 111 when she just beat Decoy. I think he's well treated on that form and because he has the scope to improve further now stepped up again in trip by another 2f. His dam's side has plenty of middle-distance flat stamina, and he's the half-brother to a decent hurdler who stays 3 miles. This trip should unlock some more ability, and the blinkers on today can aid the good young pilot Tom Molloy - as he can be a bit of a monkey. However, if they have the desired effect, and he's fit enough to do himself justice after a break, he can strike here.

[BKI Punter]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 1:45 Cheltenham Oh Crick 1pt EW - 14/1 (WH) Always needs his first race so I'm not put off by his reappearance behind Tatatiano. Runs off just two lbs higher than his last winning mark, and despite not winning for two years, he's now beginning to drop back to a workable mark, whereas before he was verging on 160, so impossible to place. Now off 141 he has a chance, has won twice at the track and will appreciate a good ground two miles.

[BKI Punter]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 2:20 Cheltenham Uncle Junior 1.5pts EW - 13/2 (Boylesports) Think Garde needs to be taken on at the price, he's steadily declining and not what he once was. Some of the rivals today have stamina doubts but you can't say that about Uncle Junior, who slogged out a 3m6f handicap under Ruby Walsh back in May (about 20 runners pulled up!), and has continued to stay on in better handicaps over three miles since. With eight runners lined up, it's incredibly hard to see him out the first three for me and think he has a chance to topple the fav.

[Monterosso]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 1:10 Cheltenham - Sound Stage - 1pt @ 16/1 (PaddyPower) The last 75 runners that Caroline Keevil has sent out to race have all come back defeated and although that's hardly inspiring at all, if we just concentrate on her chasers, that losing streak drops down to 15. I'm not going to pretend to know much about her at all but it's clear as day that she can train 'em to go over fences, as, from 97 runners in that code, she has managed to get 17 winners and 25 places, which is mightily impressive to say the least. Today, the unexposed Sound Stage bids to break that long losing run in an amateur riders' chase and he could go very well off a mark of 128. He's a nice jumper and an exceptionally strong traveller when on song, so the likely strong pace is going to suit. He also has course form having won and placed here over fences, the latter when coming a 9-length 2nd to Midnight Chase (then rated 125!) off a 3lb lower mark. He also pulled a long way clear of the rest, just finding the exceptionally talented and progressive course specialist that bit too good. Keevil's charge performed quite badly on reappearance three weeks ago but that was over hurdles and he was said to look badly in need of the outing. He travelled well for a long time but didn't jump fluently over the smaller obstacles and wasn't given a hard time once it became apparent that he wasn't going to get involved. With that effort being likely to bring him on quite a lot (was carrying an awful lot of condition) and the return to fences being a massive plus for a born chaser, I think he's more than up to running well here. I know absolutely nothing about the jockey that's on board today but he takes 7lbs off his mounts back and the trainer said he has been working for her at home, so hopefully he's got the know-how to guide this fellow to his third chase victory at the eight attempt (other 5 runs were placed efforts). It's a wide-open contest but the often smooth-travelling Sound Stage looks capable of further improvement in this code and should run a decent race if all goes well. Small win bet for me and hopefully he'll get involved. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1:45 Cheltenham - Tanks For That - 2pts @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes, WillHill) Another tough race to call but Tanks For That looks capable of giving Nicky Henderson his third win in as many years in this 2 mile handicap. This relatively unexposed 8-year-old will have to overcome having not raced since April but he ran his best race first time up last season and could do so again. On that occasion, Henderson's charge only found the impressive Woolcombe Folly too good in what was a very competitive contest at this course over half-a-furlong further. Whilst Tanks For That will have more on his plate to win from today's 5lb higher mark, it's quite possible that there's still more to come from a horse who surely hasn't reached his peak yet. Overall, he's not exposed in this code, but he's exceptionally unexposed when getting what I'd consider to be his ideal race conditions. With a truly run 2 miles at a track like this being right up his street, he could yet have a win in him off his current rating of 140 and today may just be the day he does that if being fresh brings out the best in him again. Ground conditions are also spot on. Nicky Henderson's yard are going great guns of late with a total of 8 winners from 22 runners in the past fortnight and although he has some very talented animals that should be winning their races, it's always good to see a yard being in such rude health. Henderson runs another animal in this race, but he looks weighted to the hilt and Barry Geraghty fancies being on board Tanks For That, which is another positive sign. He has only been on board for 4 of the horses chase outings, 2 of which ended up in placed efforts. Hopefully the pair can go even better here today and 9/1 looks like a decent price about that happening. Crack Away Jack could rout the field if Nicholls works his magic with the formerly high-class hurdler but 7/2 isn't a price I'd take about him given his recent profile. Henderson said he's hopeful of his charge running very well again and small/medium win stakes will do me in a tricky contest.

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 3:30
Selection	Semi Colon (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 10.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last three years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last three years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection is booked with Jeremiah McGrath. McGrath rides well for Henderson and a good candidate to give him this race for the the fourth year with a different jockey each time. McGrath has ridden 7 wins from 21 the last two seasons. 3/12 last seasons and even better this term with 4 wins from 9. He's had three rides for the trainer the last 14 days and they finished 3rd, 1st, 1st.

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 3:30
Selection	Kells Belle (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Betfred @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last three years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last three years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection is booked with David Bass who rode the winner last year. The selection is also open to improvement having been raced just five times.

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 1:45
Selection	Osric (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Victor Chandler @ 19.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last two years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last two years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection is the outsider of the duo but has to be respected being owned by Mr & Mrs R Kelvin Hughes. The owners has won and entered more here than any other tracks so it's the best place to follow them.

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 1:45
Selection	Tanks For That (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 10.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last two years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last two years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection has 10 Chase runs for 1 win, 3 seconds, and 1 third. This is his seasonal debut. He looked well on his first run of the season last year finishing 2nd to the hat trick seeking Woolcombe Folly who also had a record of 7 wins from his last 8 going into the race so that proved he can go well fresh.

[bowles10]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 1.10 Chelt Have to read the signals here and Pipe has taken out top weight Buena Vista of the race and therefore his SWING BILL looks an interesting bet now. Finished 2nd in the race last season and some have doubts about the trip of 3m although the horse has shown form over the trip and at this course. Has 9lb more to carry than last year but was giving 4lb to Divers in the Centenary Chase at th efestival in MArch and was only beat 9.5L. That is good form especialy with Divers lining up in the paddy power tomorrow. THe ground is also in the horses favour and i expect a big run. 11/1 still with Boylesports looks far to big

[mileni4uk]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November Cheltenham 1.10 Stewarts House 2.5pt win - 7/1 Lads Time For Spring 0.5pt win - 6/1 Lads Bai Zhu 0.5pt win - 10/1 Boyle Wh Barel Of Laughs 0.5pt win - 8/1 gen Was very impressed with Stewarts House lto. Beat decent field easily and claimer will offset the raise in the handicap. Don't know anything about the boy, but hopefully he'll be capable enough. Time For Spring is unexposed and probably still on the up, but trainer/jockey combo will always be underpriced, so doesn't really represent any value. Just a saver. Bai Zhu jumps really well and is lightly raced while Barel Of Laughs has won 2 from 2 over fences in Ireland and could be anything. 1.45 Crack Away Jack 3pt EW - 4/1 Very intriguing that Nicholls has done wind op with this horse straight after he got him in his stable. Always been a fan and I think he is classy, just bit hard to train. Nicholls knows what to do with enthusiastic sorts like him though and I think he'll do better than Lavelle with him. Potentially on a good mark and reports from the yard are that he is in good form. 2.20 Uncle Junior 1.5pt EW - 13/2 gen Loves good ground and this trip will suit. Hopefully they won't go very slow in the early parts of the race. Fav is getting on and despite his class I don't think he is worth backing at those silly odds. The race overall is not as competitive as it used to be and if 8 line up, I'm pretty confident my selection will place. 2.55 Ericht 0.75pt EW - 11/2 Bet365 Lads He will possibly be better over further, but according to trainer has enough speed for 2 miles. 6th in the Champion bumper and reportedly schooled well. Cheltenham always a track for proper NH horses, so I'm taking on the 2 ex-flat favourites. 3.30 Hear My Song 0.5pt EW - 50/1 Boyle Dune Shine 0.5pt EW - 22/1 Lads VC Brother Bob 0.5pt EW - 40/1 WH Very tough race, so just few speculative ones from me. Hear My Song was up there until 3 out lto and his earlier novice form looks decent. Dune Shine ran well behind a progressive sort latest and will come on for the run. Claimer's allowance will feel like 2 stone considering who rides the horse usually. Brother Bob doesn't love fences at all, but back over hurdles might run better than his odds suggest. Newcastle 2.45 Topenfeuer 0.5pt EW - 66/1 PP Decent in France winning on the all weather and placing in few other contests. Shot in the dark really, but he was too keen to do himself any justice and might strip fitter today. If he settles, he could run well. Worth a shot at the odds on offer. Race doesn't really look that strong anyway.

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November The night before the Grand National a few years ago i had a dream that Numbersixvalverde won the Grand National.. I had a footy match in the morning at 11:30am but after that i went into my little village bookies and put 5 quid e/w on it @ 11/1... It won... Havent had a horsey dream since until last night where i had a dream to stick with Number 3 at Cheltenham today... Weird i know but now i have to back all the Number 3's at Cheltenham today :lol Swing Bill e/w @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG Crack Away Jack e/w @ 9/2 Bet365 BOG Uncle Junior e/w @ 13/2 Bet365 BOG Steps To Freedom WIN @ 6/4 Bet365 BOG Devotion To Duty e/w @ 50/1 VC BOG Dualla Lord e/w @ 16/1 Boylesports BOG Fekkin dreams!! :lol

[BillyHills]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 1230 Newcastle Average looking novice hurdle and looks best left to the two most promising horses in the field. Zaplamation made too many errors and didnt settle on his first try over hurdles but was much better at Wetherby last time out finishing second to a fair sort. He should be thereabouts here. The only danger on paper is the top one Dubawi Phantom, rated in the 100's on the flat and won coisly on his debut at Uttoxeter, next time out in a much better race he was badly hampered and unseated at Kempton. He carries a penalty but looks a useful recruit and the stable are in terrific form. Zaplamation 7/2 VCBet Dubawi Phantom 5/2 SpBet

[switzerland]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November Crack Away Jack - 4/1 If the breathing operation has done the trick then he's really well handicapped and hard to see out of the front 4. Uncle Junior - 6/1 Willie Mullins only runner today. I don't know if he's good enough to beat the fav but at the price its hard to see him out of the places and won some very competitive races last year. Steps to Freedom - 6/4 I really really like this horse. Has a real touch of class about him. Weighting up the form of the opposition I focused in particular on Ericht and Prospect Wells. Ericht ran very well over course and distance at the festival bumper and wasn't knocked about when he wasn't going to win. 2 miles may well be on the sharp side for him and we have yet to see him jump a hurdle with puts me off a little (although that shouldn't be too big a deal given has Henderson can get them ready). He is probably the each way call in the race if the favourite is to slip up. Prospect Wells won well on his debut and visually it looked impressive but I'd question depth of the form. The horse 4lenghts back in 2nd (Battlecat) was having his first ever run. Comparing that to Steps to Freedoms last win where he beat a very decent yard stick in Sailors Warn. Sailors Warn ran a hell of a race to finish 6th in last years Triumph Hurdle and held every chance a few furlongs out before fading. That's rock solid form. I do have a slight concerns over Steps to Freedoms jumping but hopefully that has been worked on. Even allowing for that I still can't ignore the form of Steps to Freedom. Nap of the 3 days for me. Each Way Doubles between these three for me today.

[Petersson1984]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

The night before the Grand National a few years ago i had a dream that Numbersixvalverde won the Grand National.. I had a footy match in the morning at 11:30am but after that i went into my little village bookies and put 5 quid e/w on it @ 11/1... It won... Havent had a horsey dream since until last night where i had a dream to stick with Number 3 at Cheltenham today... Weird i know but now i have to back all the Number 3's at Cheltenham today :lol Swing Bill e/w @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG Crack Away Jack e/w @ 9/2 Bet365 BOG Uncle Junior e/w @ 13/2 Bet365 BOG Steps To Freedom WIN @ 6/4 Bet365 BOG Devotion To Duty e/w @ 50/1 VC BOG Dualla Lord e/w @ 16/1 Boylesports BOG Fekkin dreams!! :lol

I have a strong belief in this kind of superstition. Now I also have to play them. Damn you Aidymac.. :rollin

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

I have a strong belief in this kind of superstition. Now I also have to play them. Damn you Aidymac.. :rollin

Get your money down and you can punch me later! :lol

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Get your money down and you can punch me later! :lol

To be fair, they're not bad (random) picks!

[Stevet1859]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November 1:45 Cheltenham: Havingotascoobydo 1pt win 8/1 Ladbrokes Havingotasccobydo looks a chaser with a lot of potential. The bustle of this big field handicap will be a lot different from the stroll he enjoyed at Wetherby last time out. However, there comes a time when you have to go in at the deep end at this looks as good a place to start as any. Local trainer Martin Keithley is in good form and he has a decent record at the track too. Havingotascoobydo really likes this going 4 from 7 and this is his distance. Looking back through his chasing career, Havingotacoobydo got off the mark at the first time of asking at Ffos Las, the second Mark Twain has not run since but the third Milgen Bay won next time. On his second run at Aintree, Havingotascoobydo fell early, which is a worry for today, but he had a confidence booster at Wetherby last month and off 130 should go close with a clear round. 2:20 Cheltenham: Theroadtocroker 1pt e/w 20/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 123) Theroadtocroker seems very unlucky. The trouble is with horses that either find trouble in running or don't have things go their own way, things rarely change for them, they find even more trouble the next time !! However at 20/1 and a quarter the odds, it does seem worth chancing things will turn for Theroadtocroker. Theroadtocroker goes well in this sphere and if he stays on his feet and on the course, he could quite well make the frame, and although this is looks another excellent opportunity for Garde Champetre, you should never be afraid of one.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November Why go so bloody quick? I don't get it... Bai Zhu jumped like a dream but had no chance of keeping that up. Had he been restrained a bit, he would surely have been bang there.

[bowles10]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

1.10 Chelt Have to read the signals here and Pipe has taken out top weight Buena Vista of the race and therefore his SWING BILL looks an interesting bet now. Finished 2nd in the race last season and some have doubts about the trip of 3m although the horse has shown form over the trip and at this course. Has 9lb more to carry than last year but was giving 4lb to Divers in the Centenary Chase at th efestival in MArch and was only beat 9.5L. That is good form especialy with Divers lining up in the paddy power tomorrow. THe ground is also in the horses favour and i expect a big run. 11/1 still with Boylesports looks far to big

i love cheltenham get in, :clap

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

i love cheltenham get in, :clap

I love my dreams! :lol Well done Bowlesy!

[beaker1]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November well done bowles :clap

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Why go so bloody quick? I don't get it... Bai Zhu jumped like a dream but had no chance of keeping that up. Had he been restrained a bit' date=' he would surely have been bang there.[/quote'] Fort View wrecked Bai Zhu's chances. Bai Zhu has to lead but Fort View wanted to lead too, resulting in too fast a pace!!

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November Awww thought I had a monster chance there :( Jumped beautifully.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November I'msingingtheblues back on an easier, flatter track over 2 miles on good ground will go very close if they can find a suitable race for him.

[bowles10]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

1.45 Cheltenham - 1.5pts e/w I'msingingtheblues @ 14/1 (Ladbrokes) David Pipe's 9yo is a classy sort, but has failed to get his head in front since January 2009. However, he's been contesting some higher quality races than this, and also has struggled to get his optimum conditions in most of his starts since. Each of his wins have come over 2 miles, with good ground clearly a preference. Since his last win, he's had these conditions twice (strictly speaking). Once was a decent 7th of 21 off a big weight in the Grand Annual at Cheltenham having lost his place during the race. The other came back in April of this year when beaten only a neck by Beggars Cap with a couple of today's rivals in behind. He's often been campaigned on softer ground, or at trips too far, so despite his long losing run, I don't think it's as bad as it looks. He is probably better on a flat track, but has won over hurdles at Cheltenham so I will give him another chance on that score. He ended last season in good form considering he wasn't really run in ideal races. The ground and the trip suit him fine here. His record fresh is also very respectable. 116F is that record, and he was still well in contention when falling 4 out in the Old Roan chase last year. This is his time of year with 4 of his 6 career wins coming between the 19th October and 12th December. He looks overpriced in this race with conditions to suit, and in a slightly easier race than he often contests. 3.30 Cheltenham - 1.5pts e/w Decoy @ 14/1 (BlueSQ) - 1/4 odds I'll be hoping for a good day for David Pipe - as I fancy another of his runners in the penultimate race of the day. A conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle is the name of the game, and I think Pipe has a well treated individual ready to progress this season. Decoy was a winner of a hurdle race in France, and showed promise on his debut in that sphere since moving to England. However, he threw in two very poor efforts in defeat following that, before showing much more the last twice. His two decent runs over 2 miles screamed out that he wanted further, and improved again when upped to 2m3f at Newton Abbot back in May. That was a rock solid race with the likes of Cockney Trucker, Owen Glendower, and Tri Nations filling the three places behind the 2nd placed Decoy. My selection only just failed by a neck that day to a horse who has shot up in the handicap since. Kylenoe Fairy was in great form when they met, so it wasn't as if that horse suddenly became progressive after their race. She won again by 17l next time out before a good 2nd in a listed event. Her mark currently stands at 134. It was 111 when she just beat Decoy. I think he's well treated on that form and because he has the scope to improve further now stepped up again in trip by another 2f. His dam's side has plenty of middle-distance flat stamina, and he's the half-brother to a decent hurdler who stays 3 miles. This trip should unlock some more ability, and the blinkers on today can aid the good young pilot Tom Molloy - as he can be a bit of a monkey. However, if they have the desired effect, and he's fit enough to do himself justice after a break, he can strike here.

2:20 Cheltenham Uncle Junior 1.5pts EW - 13/2 (Boylesports) Think Garde needs to be taken on at the price, he's steadily declining and not what he once was. Some of the rivals today have stamina doubts but you can't say that about Uncle Junior, who slogged out a 3m6f handicap under Ruby Walsh back in May (about 20 runners pulled up!), and has continued to stay on in better handicaps over three miles since. With eight runners lined up, it's incredibly hard to see him out the first three for me and think he has a chance to topple the fav.

1:45 Cheltenham - Tanks For That - 2pts @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes, WillHill) Another tough race to call but Tanks For That looks capable of giving Nicky Henderson his third win in as many years in this 2 mile handicap. This relatively unexposed 8-year-old will have to overcome having not raced since April but he ran his best race first time up last season and could do so again. On that occasion, Henderson's charge only found the impressive Woolcombe Folly too good in what was a very competitive contest at this course over half-a-furlong further. Whilst Tanks For That will have more on his plate to win from today's 5lb higher mark, it's quite possible that there's still more to come from a horse who surely hasn't reached his peak yet. Overall, he's not exposed in this code, but he's exceptionally unexposed when getting what I'd consider to be his ideal race conditions. With a truly run 2 miles at a track like this being right up his street, he could yet have a win in him off his current rating of 140 and today may just be the day he does that if being fresh brings out the best in him again. Ground conditions are also spot on. Nicky Henderson's yard are going great guns of late with a total of 8 winners from 22 runners in the past fortnight and although he has some very talented animals that should be winning their races, it's always good to see a yard being in such rude health. Henderson runs another animal in this race, but he looks weighted to the hilt and Barry Geraghty fancies being on board Tanks For That, which is another positive sign. He has only been on board for 4 of the horses chase outings, 2 of which ended up in placed efforts. Hopefully the pair can go even better here today and 9/1 looks like a decent price about that happening. Crack Away Jack could rout the field if Nicholls works his magic with the formerly high-class hurdler but 7/2 isn't a price I'd take about him given his recent profile. Henderson said he's hopeful of his charge running very well again and small/medium win stakes will do me in a tricky contest.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 3:30
Selection	Kells Belle (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Betfred @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last three years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last three years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection is booked with David Bass who rode the winner last year. The selection is also open to improvement having been raced just five times.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Cheltenham 1:45
Selection	Tanks For That (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	11/11/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 10.00
Reasoning	Trainer Nicky Henderson comes into the meeting with very good form. The last 14 days, he's won 10 out of 26 runs. That includes 7 winners from the last 9 that began Nov. 7th. He has a total of six horses running in four races. He's won this event the last two years and looks for the hat trick double handed. He won the last two years by having one runner in each race so it looks as if he really wants to this again. The selection has 10 Chase runs for 1 win, 3 seconds, and 1 third. This is his seasonal debut. He looked well on his first run of the season last year finishing 2nd to the hat trick seeking Woolcombe Folly who also had a record of 7 wins from his last 8 going into the race so that proved he can go well fresh.

1.10 Chelt Have to read the signals here and Pipe has taken out top weight Buena Vista of the race and therefore his SWING BILL looks an interesting bet now. Finished 2nd in the race last season and some have doubts about the trip of 3m although the horse has shown form over the trip and at this course. Has 9lb more to carry than last year but was giving 4lb to Divers in the Centenary Chase at th efestival in MArch and was only beat 9.5L. That is good form especialy with Divers lining up in the paddy power tomorrow. THe ground is also in the horses favour and i expect a big run. 11/1 still with Boylesports looks far to big

Cheltenham 2.20 Uncle Junior 1.5pt EW - 13/2 gen Loves good ground and this trip will suit. Hopefully they won't go very slow in the early parts of the race. Fav is getting on and despite his class I don't think he is worth backing at those silly odds. The race overall is not as competitive as it used to be and if 8 line up, I'm pretty confident my selection will place. 2.55 Ericht 0.75pt EW - 11/2 Bet365 Lads He will possibly be better over further, but according to trainer has enough speed for 2 miles. 6th in the Champion bumper and reportedly schooled well. Cheltenham always a track for proper NH horses, so I'm taking on the 2 ex-flat favourites. y.

Uncle Junior - 6/1 Willie Mullins only runner today. I don't know if he's good enough to beat the fav but at the price its hard to see him out of the places and won some very competitive races last year. Steps to Freedom - 6/4 I really really like this horse. Has a real touch of class about him. Weighting up the form of the opposition I focused in particular on Ericht and Prospect Wells. Ericht ran very well over course and distance at the festival bumper and wasn't knocked about when he wasn't going to win. 2 miles may well be on the sharp side for him and we have yet to see him jump a hurdle with puts me off a little (although that shouldn't be too big a deal given has Henderson can get them ready). He is probably the each way call in the race if the favourite is to slip up. Prospect Wells won well on his debut and visually it looked impressive but I'd question depth of the form. The horse 4lenghts back in 2nd (Battlecat) was having his first ever run. Comparing that to Steps to Freedoms last win where he beat a very decent yard stick in Sailors Warn. Sailors Warn ran a hell of a race to finish 6th in last years Triumph Hurdle and held every chance a few furlongs out before fading. That's rock solid form. I do have a slight concerns over Steps to Freedoms jumping but hopefully that has been worked on. Even allowing for that I still can't ignore the form of Steps to Freedom. Nap of the 3 days for me. Each Way Doubles between these three for me today.

so many winners in here today, great work guys

[Monterosso]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November Phenomenal day. Well done all.

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

The night before the Grand National a few years ago i had a dream that Numbersixvalverde won the Grand National.. I had a footy match in the morning at 11:30am but after that i went into my little village bookies and put 5 quid e/w on it @ 11/1... It won... Havent had a horsey dream since until last night where i had a dream to stick with Number 3 at Cheltenham today... Weird i know but now i have to back all the Number 3's at Cheltenham today :lol Swing Bill e/w @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG Crack Away Jack e/w @ 9/2 Bet365 BOG Uncle Junior e/w @ 13/2 Bet365 BOG Steps To Freedom WIN @ 6/4 Bet365 BOG Devotion To Duty e/w @ 50/1 VC BOG Dualla Lord e/w @ 16/1 Boylesports BOG Fekkin dreams!! :lol

Who said dreams cant come through eh... :nana Made a packet! :cow Crack Away Jack prob would have won only for that blunder and all... Well done all the other winners, not often you see such a successful Cheltenham day! :beer

[Jimmy2shoes]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Who said dreams cant come through eh... :nana Made a packet! :cow Crack Away Jack prob would have won only for that blunder and all... Well done all the other winners, not often you see such a successful Cheltenham day! :beer

Very Very well done man, nice lift for Crimbo, am getting a bike. :cigar

[Aidymac]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November

Very Very well done man' date=' nice lift for Crimbo, am getting a bike. :cigar[/quote'] Are ya mate? Im gonna get a scooter and scoot over to Glasgow, well go on the piss! :beer

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Jump Racing - Friday 11th November :clap:clap Well done all top stuff:clap:clap