BBOTD 7th of September

[Aidymac]

On a bit of a high after my winner today so posting early for tomorrow on a selection who i think is good value. Captain Dunne - Doncaster 3:10 Very fast animal who won the Epsom Dash in June, given a very enterprising ride by David Allan. Has wore cheekpieces on its last 3 runs and it seems to be effective as it wore them that day and wears them again tomorrow. Was 4th to Prohibit in this race last year but was only about 1 length behind the winner. The ground is vital tomorrow and its going to be good to firm and if it stays that way Captain Dunne has a massive chance, having run on good to firm 15 times he has come first 3 times, come second 5 times and come third 3 times, so has only ever been out of the frame 4 times on this ground. Well drawn, Easterby having a great year and im hoping it will win. WIN @ 11/2 Hills BOG

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 8.20 Kempton Iron Condor won on turf for the first time last time out at Yarmouth over 1m3+f. He won with plenty in hand obviously that was off a much lower turf mark, but clearly fresh from a break and in tip top form and returned to his favourite venue he could well be very hard to beat off a career high mark. He is 2 from 7 over course and been placed another 4 times and is 2 from 5 over CD. Draw has put him out wide but with his hold up tactics that isnt a major concern and a good pace should be assured with Becausewecan and with the keen going Warneford in first time blinkers and Dynamic Drive likely to push the pace. 1pt win Iron Condor 3/1 Boyles

[TheRat]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 6/1 with Ladbrokes Aidy

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 3.10 Doncaster Group Therapy win @ 8/1 Ladbrokes Willing to forgive his run last time out in Ireland. He finished 3rd in this race last year off a 3lb higher mark behind group 1 performer Prohibit and looked back to his best 2 outings ago at Goodwood where he go no luck in running but finished like a train. Spencer booked for the ride who does well for David Barron and he take this race last year on Prohibit and he is the perfect partner for Group Therapy who likes to be held up. Group Therapy is a genuine group performer albeit probably just a little off being a group 1 class horse. Think there is plenty in his favour today and this race will be run to suit. He looks more than capable off a mark of 105 and I expect a big run from this horse.

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September

6/1 with Ladbrokes Aidy

Blast it! How come Laddies aint on oddschecker anymore? Not to worry, with the way Group Therapy is being backed, everything else will be drifting!

[hereforthep]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 15.10 Doncaster Medicean Man - 1pt win @ 7/2 >Bet365 Medicean Man has made giant strides during the summer and was unlucky at Ascot last month but should go very well here today after being in great form keeps progressing well and every chance given today

[TheBoyRooney]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September

Blast it! How come Laddies aint on oddschecker anymore? Not to worry, with the way Group Therapy is being backed, everything else will be drifting!

because ladbrokes wont supply them prices any more as they were testing to see if it was worthwhile having their prices on a comparison site and used oddschecker as the gunea pig.you can get them on which i find best as the odds shorten only show as shortening for a few minutes where as oddscheker stay blue all day www.attheraces.com or if you like odds checker,similar format on this site as seen here but with ladbrokes. http://odds.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2011-09-07/doncaster/15-45/betting/

[Monterosso]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 2:00 Doncaster - Magic City - 1pt @ 8/1 (WillHill) There's no getting away from the fact that Magic City has proved to be massively disappointing since producing one of the best debut juvenile performances seen this year. However, the step up to 7 furlongs is taken to suit Richard Hannon's talented 2 year old and I can't help but thinking that he could completely outclass this Nursery if he's on song. Today, the handicapper gives him a good chance by letting him run off a mark of 88, which is one that he ran above when scooting in on debut in what was a useful 5f contest. It has proved to be a disappointing rise through the ranks for Magic City, as he hasn't managed to win any of his following 6 races - 3 of which he was sent off odds-on for. Regardless of that, his penultimate run when finishing ½-a-length behind West Leake Hare (6/1 here) over 6 furlongs at Newmarket was more than encouraging, especially as he was doing all of his best work late on at that stiff track. This easier track combined with an extra furlong could well unlock the door, assuming he manages to settle over this longer trip (can often race keenly). Connections have said that they've been teaching him to settle and with a good pace being likely, I'm hopeful that it won't be a problem. Since then, Magic City finished in mid-div at York when tackling a very valuable sales race over 6f. He traveled fairly well under the guidance of Pat Dobbs (Richard Hughes back on board today) on that occasion but the track was favouring those racing handy and he could never land a blow from the rear. There's a good chance that this test will be much more to his liking and with the Hannon yard being in good form over the past while, it will be no surprise to see him bounce back to his best. This isn't the best of races and I'm finding myself discounting plenty of the rest quite easily (my selection is a class above if on song). Due to the overall profile of Magic City, I'm only going to play small win stakes as he's not one to trust, but he should get involved here if all goes well. Here's hoping it doesn't lash down with rain, as the likely decent ground is about as bad as he wants it. The faster it is, the better.

[Lars]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 17:20 Doncaster Actually my smallest bet of the day but LOST IN PARIS may have been plotted for this kind of race and could improve again dropped back to an 0-85. Won four starts ago off 5lbs lower and that day he did it in very convincing fashion and looked an animal able of operating off a mark in the low 90's. Followed up the win with a decent effort at Chester when poorly drawn but his last two efforts have been more mediocre. However, he's been fairly weak in the market and hold-up tactics have been employed (definitely don't suit). Showed a fair bit of promise even so last time when making a decent amount of ground and a return to more prominent tactics today would see him have a massive chance. That of course is a big guess but at 18/1 currently, it's worth the risk as he could well have been set up for this kind of race. Lost In Paris; EW @ 18/1 Bet365 (bog)

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 4.50 Doncaster - 1pt win Firebeam @ 13/2 (Ladbrokes) - BOG Firebeam has been a progressive individual and looks set to run another cracker today with conditions to suit. Putting aside his rather flat Southwell run, he's improved since his promising debut over today's course and distance behind the useful King Of Jazz. He bolted up at Lingfield by 6l from a subsequent winner and then murdered another field from another subsequent winner at York. Was well fancied back to 6f at Ascot last time out and disappointed slightly. However, 6f might not have been ideal given his success over 7f, and also, the race was a good one. The winner, Morache Music, ran a good race in France since behind Marchand D'or (beaten 2 1/2l) and the 2nd, Desert Law, proved much too strong at Bath to register an impressive victory. Firebeam had to settle for third, but was not disgraced, and now upped back to 7f on a track which suits, he can get back to winning ways. The race is a good one, but Firebeam has the best form in the book in my opinion and therefore looks a good price @ 13/2. The yard are going very sweetly of late and I think this one will add to their run.

[punterpete]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 3.10 Doncaster Medicean Man win @ 7/2 Bet 365 Very proggresive sprinter who has really come to the fore this season. Was a little unlucky last time out when just losing out to Dungannon and just failed to complete a hat trick of Ascot wins. I am sure he has the ability to take the step up in clas in his stride and take this listed event.

[Petersson1984]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 14:00 Doncaster Ghostwriting 1 pt win (6,00) Bet365 The horse 3rd race and second whit course jockey champ, Buick. First race at class 5 was won, while second at classe 1 ended 7/11. Unlike many of the other horses, Ghostwriting only ridde 7F. That might be at his advange. Going suits William Buick well, 3 off his previous was under the same conditions.

[cc75]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 5.20 Doncaster: Googlette 1pt win @ 28/1 Boylesports BOG This horses 2yo form is very strong with both the maiden 2nd on debut and subsequent win being franked in no uncertain terms by the horses who finished behind it. Has been competing in better grades of contest than this on two starts as a three year old, the first in listed company and latterly over 6f - disappointed in both, however the ground may have been plenty slow enough on both occasions with both decent 2yo efforts coming on fast ground or the polytrack at Kempton. 2yo form makes current mark of 84 look lenient to say the least and with first time headgear applied today and back on fast ground I think the horse will have enough pace to cope with 5f here and the price is too big in my opinion.

[mileni4uk]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September Uttoxeter 5.10 Geneva Geyser win - 3/1 Boyle WH Geneva Geyser has been very impressive over hurdles so far and bolted up 3 times in 3 novice races this summer. Opening mark of 130 is probably lenient, because he was a very good horse on the flat and could still be well handicapped for up and coming trainer.

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 405 Utt: Moon Melody EW (12/1 Hills) This one is a moderate type but always runs his race and stays really well. Too short last time and this return to 3m will be right up his street, course and distance winner and the stable are going well too. Looks competative on paper but only a few will stay this trip and hopefully Moon Melody will be able to get in the frame.

[ballyoisin_bomb]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 405 uttoxeter consult 7/1 SJ a tricky enough race to solve but the favourite is so for a reason. running well without winning recently he should go close if taking the increase in trip in stride. it should be noted mccoy chooses point blank here and hes markedly up in trip so is a big danger but 7/1 for the favourite is value

[TGS]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September Doncaster 4.50 Johnny Castle 10/1 (Bet365) Going to take a punt on Johnny Castle here. Hopefully freshened up after a 2 month break after apparently running flat last tme at Sandown. Looked progressive before that and had never finished out of the top 2 (1,1,2,2,2,2). Will handle the ground, trip. Gosden and Buick both in decent form and hopefully will be fully tuned for this race.

[DM99]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 5.50 Kempton - Minortrangression (1pt WIN 20/1 Will Hill) To my way of thinking, he stands out and is underbet in a pretty dire contest. He strung a good run of AW results together last year and performs best on this surface. Unfortunately this boosted his OR into the stratosphere but he has been declining in lb for some time now. Had four runs since his AW season began 6 weeks ago, and is generally getting improving each time (at least that is what Topspeed and ATR Speed Ratings say ;)). He also has the second highest RPR and third highest RPR in the race. With Beschizza's claim he drops back to the lowest OR of his life! With the general cruddy form around and the market leaders being unproven, he must be in with a shout today.

[Verisimilitude]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September High Jack 3.30 Uttoxeter. 0.5 points each way. Consistent and gets in again off a mark of 107, so with trip and ground in favour and the race not looking demanding, there's no reason why he shouldn't go close. 4/1 Boylesports (bog)

[wizzkid walter]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 3:20 Carlisle - Albaspina - Back This looks a pretty tricky day all round and it is hardly ideal to be napping a debitant but he has some very notable Group 1 entries. Comes from a big yard who are known for being able to get them ready first time out. None of the runners with experience have achieved a great deal as yet and it looks a winnable race 1pt win @ 5/4 Bet365 BOG

[Boulder5111]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September U4.05 Folie A Deux 0.5pt E/W 9/1 Stan James The selection is one of only 2 c&d winners in this 16 runner field and is weighted to go close again today with a top 7lb claimer booked for the ride. The trainers runners are running much better now than they were a while back and the jockey has won on 2 of his only 3 rides in the last few weeks. It looks sure to be in the shake up and off this mark with the jockeys claim, it has every chance of getting its nose in front.

[League1_punter]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September Sahara Sun - 4.20 Doncaster (11/1 win Paddy P) Ill take a chance with this one. Finished second in a group 1 (the Chilean Derby) in previous effort and has shown lots of ability in Chile. Majority of his runs have been on firm; conditions are currently good to firm so hopefully if theres no more rain the conditions won't be a problem. Fallon on board and tongue-tied, hopefully this one will surprise a few on his British debut.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September

4.50 Doncaster - 1pt win Firebeam @ 13/2 (Ladbrokes) - BOG Firebeam has been a progressive individual and looks set to run another cracker today with conditions to suit. Putting aside his rather flat Southwell run, he's improved since his promising debut over today's course and distance behind the useful King Of Jazz. He bolted up at Lingfield by 6l from a subsequent winner and then murdered another field from another subsequent winner at York. Was well fancied back to 6f at Ascot last time out and disappointed slightly. However, 6f might not have been ideal given his success over 7f, and also, the race was a good one. The winner, Morache Music, ran a good race in France since behind Marchand D'or (beaten 2 1/2l) and the 2nd, Desert Law, proved much too strong at Bath to register an impressive victory. Firebeam had to settle for third, but was not disgraced, and now upped back to 7f on a track which suits, he can get back to winning ways. The race is a good one, but Firebeam has the best form in the book in my opinion and therefore looks a good price @ 13/2. The yard are going very sweetly of late and I think this one will add to their run.

Non-runner, so... 4.20 Doncaster - 1pt win Rasmy @ 9/1 (PaddyPower) - BOG This horse has had an interrupted career, but when he's actually had the chance to run with ideal conditions, he's run with promise. He's only run 6 times in three years but has shown plenty of ability. Smashed a useful type in Breakheart by 5l in a Bath maiden on 2nd start, and then a solid run beaten less than 3l by Myplacelater after a break. Only went down by 1/2l at Chester behind Azrael and Dancing David when he actually got chance to run with race fitness. Another break followed before needing a run at Sandown this year behind Class And Class. More promise last time at Goodwood behind Drunken Sailor and now should be fully fit. Back down to this trip will suit, and he's still got improvement in him. Tregoning going much better than he was when this horse was running a couple of months ago.

[markmywords]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 17:20 Donc Berberana -She has had some decent runs in her career opening up with a win. 2nd in class2 as a 2 year old. Winner at York in July with todays jockey on board who has record of 1/1 on her. Back to class 2 LTO and played up at the beginning had a OK run where once jockey realised not today just coasted home. Dropping back to class 4 today would prefer a bit more rain with a record of 2/2 in handicaps on easy surface but at 33/1 is more than able to win if good break and wanting to play. 0.5 EW bet365.

[Falbrav]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September CHOKIDAR 4.30 Carlisle. 0.5 points each way. Out of form, but a return to soft ground and the addition of blinkers can bring about a return to form. The trip's fine, so with all others having their own ifs and buts, it's an open looking race with us sticking out as a 'more than possible'. 10/1 Bet365 BOG

[cc75]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 1st selection a non-runner... 4.20 Doncaster: Rasmy 1pt win @ 9/1 PP BOG Has some quite smart 2yo and 3yo form on the book and after a fairly low key return to action after over a year off in July when down the field in a listed race, ran with a lot of credit last time out over 12f on fast ground in a Goodwood group 3. This easier and if able to build on that improved effort over, what may be, a more suitable trip then this horse could go very close at a fair price. Stable in decent heart at the minute also.

[kev2oo9]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 4.30 Carlisle - Indian Giver 1pt win sp Poss last race came too son after creditable 8L 3rd as generally has a good rest in between races. Dropped 5lbs for that run and down In class should see it run and sole win came on heavy so soft ground no worries and Hannagan takes over today. Placed 6lbs higher in past at course so weight looks good

[kev2oo9]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September sorry clock on phone must be way off

[twinny]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 0.5e/w rigelleto 16.50 doncaster 40/1 sportingbet a good 7 furlong contest with many possabilities from a quallity field,i will go for the outsider of 12 rigelleto who i think is overpriced at 40/1 to cause a bit of an upset, rigelleto is a predicted 20/1 shot with sporting life,has had 12 runs todate and has been placed 7 times,beaten fav last time out,its only win is over this distance if on blob can grab a place

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: BBOTD 7th of September 5.20 Doncaster - Jack Rackham - 40/1 Bet365 - E/W Bryan Smart thinks this one is worth a try back over 5f and i tend to agree with him. Has got speed and goes on turf even though his best form is at Wolverhampton. Off a lower mark than his last win on the a.w and can go well at a big price.