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BBOTD - Tuesday


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Russian Epic - Exeter 4:10 The Hobbs stable have been flying of late and this looks like an interesting recruit to the stable, having its first run for them tomorrow in this 2 mile 3 furlong Handicap Hurdle!! Was with Andrew Turnell and ran two nice placed races at Towcester and Newbury but had many runs on the flat and won 2 of those! Has had a 554 day lay-off but nobody knows how to get one ready as good as Mr Hobbs and im expecting a big run.. Dark Energy has a lot to prove after a fall 2 runs back and a poor effort last time out. Predateur has left Paul Nicholls and is a poor jumper so i will have to rule that out until it shows significant improvement. Royal Max is gradually improving and with a repeat of its last run might nick a place but has to improve to win. Mud Monkey makes little appeal after having a long break. Maurisca could be a bit of a danger after doing well in the chasing sphere of late and would be a danger to my selection. If Party Palace gets a soft lead here it will be a very big threat as it ran very well over C+D here recently.. Johns Gift is still relatively unexposed and comes in here off a handy mark tomorrow after a good effort on its last run and will have to come into calculations. Millers Dawn has the blinkers on for the first time which might sharpen him up, it will have to in order for him to take a hand here. Princess Flame i dont really like at all. Was 2nd last time out but 1 good run usually is followed by a few bad runs. The Wee Midget only won its last race because the leader fell at the last fence, it was well beat that day and is hit with a 6 pound rise so its very hard to be confident about its chances tomorrow. Captain Becket is an outsider that might have a squeak and should be weary of as it is a C+D winner but it has to improve significantly on its recent form to take a hand. Lemon Silk finally might have its stamina stretched here tomorrow, would probably better better at the short 2 miles but at the same time runs off a lowly mark tomorrow and not a forlorn hope. My summary is that Russian Epic is the most unexposed here and if market signals are positive tomorrow, im sure this animal will run very well. Hobbs has had a great time of late, plenty of winners last week and the fact this horse has been put in as 4/1 favourite shows how scared the bookies are of Mr Hobbs and his new recruit. 1 Point win @ 4/1 (Bet365) BOG

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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 4.00 Lingfield Sherjawy improved last winter on the AW causing a few upsets along the way had a much needed break recently but clearly showed he had come on for the run last time out when finishing 3rd over CD and was staying on, dropped a 1lb since that race and also claiming jockey takes a handy 5lb off and taking that into account he is on the same mark as his last win over 5f round here. 0.5pt e/w sherjawy 12/1 vc

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BBOTD - 19th October 4:30 Lingfield - Jigajig - 1pt @ 8/1 (Bet365 - BOG) Yard in fine order and booking of Hanagan looks a big plus, well drawn and return to 5f on the AW will suit, she was progressive and may yet find a mark of 71 below her true abilities. Hanagan is 2/4 when on her back and rides this course OK and does well when riding for Kevin Ryan. 8/1 looks good value and may not be around for too long.

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Re: BBOTD - 19th October 3.50 Yarmouth - Scoglio (10/1 Hills) 1pt Win Very trappy nursery, with only 4lbs seperating the entire field of 15. Although bred for sprint trips, this fellow has been running as if in desperate need of this sort of trip. Trainer looks like he might be returning from the doldrums, after having a 66/1 winner at Wolverhampton the other night. Should handle undefoot conditions and could go close if improving for the step up in distance.

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Re: BBOTD - 19th October


4.30 LINGFIELD FREDDIES GIRL 9-1 1pt EW Freddies girl is an interesting runner here for this Class 5 Citipost Direct Distribution Handicap at lingers today...Its been running 6f on the poly track and turf last 5 races,and looking at its last 3 races particularly at this track,ran out of steam as it came into the final furlong or shortly after.. so connections have decied to drop freddie's girl to the minimum sprint trip for which it is 1 from 1 at lingfield..Although high in the weights and seemingly in the grip of the handicapper,it drops in class here,and it's consistantcy on the clock,coupled with drop and class and trip plus the added advantage of the claimer taking off 5 pounds,a bold run is expected..
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Re: BBOTD - 19th October 340 Exe*: 87 Deans Grange, 86 Sunwise, 62 Puerto Azul Preview; The second novice race today has Dare Me making his debut, ran well in the top bumper races last back end and the stable have been placing their hurdlers well so far and he must go close in a poor event. Deans Grange represents the form book, he should again run his usual soild race along with Sunwise from the Nicholls camp. At the prices I like Deans Grange which appears a bet to nothing at 6/1. Bet 340 Exe: Deans Grange EW (6/1 Bet365 bog)

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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday Exeter 4.10 Princess Flame EW - 12/1 @ SJ & VC Usually I'd be looking at the progressive sorts in these races, but at Exeter it's not always that straightforward. I have few doubts about the market leaders today and will go with the price on this Brendon Powell old timer, who's been in decent form lately. Not a 2 miler anymore and appreciated the 2 miles on the flat last month when winning nicely. Ran a good 2nd two weeks ago and when on form, he can be relied upon. Seems to do all his winning at this time of the year. Had a winning spree two years ago with 2 flat wins and then another success off 112 over hurdles. Last year wasn't as good, but he still boosted some 2nds. Considering he is now racing off 97 and on the back of two very good runs, I think he could be well treated here and represents nice EW value at the price on offer.

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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 4:50 Katmai River @ Yarmouth - Ran well at Leicester LTO on similar ground and over the same trip.That came on handicap debut and won by one and a half lengths and the jockey that day Amy Baker is onboard again today claiming 5lb. 1pt Win bet @10/1 Bluesq

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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday Exeter 17:10 No form in this one obviously with it being a 3yo NHF race, over 1m5f. At the current prices, Hughie Morrison's looks the most likely winner both on paper and in the market but at 5/4, is a little bit ridiculous. On breeding and at the current prices, Firescent has a chance in this race. Being related to a 1m5f NHF winner, who won at this age, he's bred to do the job on debut. Other relatives include a precocious type, which bodes well for a race such as this. Trainer is 0-16 in NHF over the past five years, but those "16" do include 4 placed efforts and two 4ths, so not a disgraceful record. Trainer doesn't have the greatest form at the moment, but doesn't have many horses and had a placed effort this week. Jockey takes off 3lbs and he is pretty dependable. At 25/1, I'm willing to give this one a chance. May run no race at all, but we will soon see. EW @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG

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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday Ling 5.00 - Ptolomeos - ew at 28/1 BOG with stan james Won a similar looking race to this at Yarmouth 2 runs ago which gives him some recent winning form unlike most of these. Won by 4 lengths that day To date he's shown his best form at around 10 furlongs and on soft ground As long as he handles this surface he should get 12 furlongs ok, he's bred like the average Grand National winner........... Ran at Wolves last time and disappointed but the rider dropped his reins Lot's of todays runners look like dubious stayers so hopefully he;ll be staying on at the finish when most of them are giving up.

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