newjack
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Posts posted by newjack
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If you look at H2H for the last 5 games between Leicester And UTD only 1 failed to deliver o2.5. Granted it's Mourinho and granted UTD didn't perform well, but it's a season opener. I don't trust UTD with big ass HC, i'd much rather place my faith into overs hoping Leicester will create some chances for a 2:1 type result. Odds are definitely good for over, I say it's more than 50% probability of an over which odds suggest so here's my first bet:
Man U vs Leicester over 2.5 @2.04 Bet365
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I find it fairly easy to bet here. France is not the same France it was 2 years ago and while the qualifiers were sloppy to say the least and unconvincing this is totally a different scenario. They had league/ucl matches during quali and their head wasnt in the right place and qualis are always shit. So im betting on a convicing france win 2+ goals
Iceland could surprise argies with a goal. I certainly find much interest in bts here which is priced well. Aftet all its the same team as in Euro 2016, first time world cup, hype is real.
Value i find tonight is Croatia. So many quality players all over the place, they've always been strong but never won wc/eu. Nevertheless they should cruise here. So ill be bold and play Croatia -1.5.
Gl
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Liverpool @3.30 Bet365 is a value to me. They've been shaky lately but Jurgen wouldn't go setting like he does if he didn't want to win. Also Spurs are point behind and Chelsea has game less. They'll want to win here i think.
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Wow Real really luckboxed into final this time as if it was not clear vs Juve. No matter, i wont bet today because im emotions bound and therefore bet wouldnt be objective. I do however hope that liverpool qualifies regardless of tonights result regards
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Definitely on you with that o3.5 Stevie
i did a smallish funbet LP & O3.5 @15 Bet365. If it plays out great, otherwise i don't care, as long as Liverpool qualifies i'll be one happy camper. Also surely some value lies in Juve straight up. Yes Dybala won't be playing and RM is a tough nut to get a victory over especially at Bernabeu. But if Juve puts on a better display than 1st leg i can see them winning. Opinions?
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Hey boys and men (doubt there are any girls punting). We have an interesting set of matches this round.
Let's start
Everton - Liverpool
Liverpool coming of UCL win vs City and doubtful Salah. They need 3 points here and as pointed before Everton has a shitty record v Pool. Regardless if Salah plays or not Everton concede awful lot of goals and I cant see Lpool not scoring here at least twice. Everton on the other hand is mood swingy totally. Can't really tell which way they'll lean, more towards defense like last time or will they open up and try and win at home? Decisions decisions, could be a risky bet, but i'm a big fan of overs whenever it comes to LP so Over 3.5 @3.25 bet365 small stake it is for me.
Bournemouth - Crystal Palace
Can Palace do something here? they're really fighting for survival, just 2 points above relegation. Bournemouth sitting "confortably" at 10th, only 7 pts difference. It's safe to say that they're safe from relegation and is also safe to say that they play home match and it's a hard match to call. I'm leaning towards ahc +0 Palace @2.10 Bet365, but might skip it.
Brighton - Huddersfield
Skip, no idea.
Leicester - Newcastle
Crows really picked up form lately, netting 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over last 5 games. They might show something here. Leicester are hot, cold, hot, cold, don't like them straight up. To me value lies in BTS @1.90 Bet365 if Newcastle shows up. So small bet on that it is.
Stoke - Spurs
Is stoke done? is it? I think so. 3 points for them here would be awesome and could potentially save them. But the remaining fixtures for them are Westham, Burnley, Liverpool, Palace and Swansea. I think they'll be more inclined to seek points elsewhere as Spurs are too strong and too highly motivated. They're fighting for top 3 and have brushed off Chelsea last time. I just don't see any real threat from Stoke, even if we look h2h, spurs defeated them last 4 matches with 4 goal difference. Tottenham -1,5 handicap @1.95 Bet365 is what i'll bang hard. This a moneymaker for me, i'll try small stakes something ridic like spurs -3,5 @6.25 for like 1 unit.
West Brom - Swansea
West Brom resting comfortably at last place, giving up. No way out, their fixtures left are ManU, Liverpool, Newcastle, Spurs and Palace. Even if they win points vs Castle and Palace and get one from the big 3 they're still out. So no real motivation here. They haven't won or drawn last 8 matches. Swans have a fighting chance and WBR are the perfect whippin boys. I'll bet Swansea straight up @3.39 Bet365 midstakes as I see real value here.
Manchester City - Manchester United
Hard match to call. You have 2 great coaches Guardiola and Mourinho, none of which I like personally but can respect. United is perfect for these types of matches and Mourinho knows how to make a derby unwatchable. I'll skip this match personally but if i had to bet i'd choose the Scum.
Good luck
- sajtion and StevieDay1983
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I don't see a reason for me to write another wall of text, both teams we know, both teams average 3.5 goals per match, h2h looks goal heavy and venue is Anfield. I see no reason why i shouldn't try to bet over 3 goals @2.05 Bet365. Two best offences in EPL, Matip injured which is blow to Red's already shaky defense. Hopefully Liverpool wins this at home, i'm biased ofc being Reds supporter.
Here's a fun builderbet:
Over 3.5 Goals in the Match
Fernando Gabriel Jesus to Score Anytime in the Match
Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime in the Match
Over 10 Corners in the Match
Match result will be Liverpool
Over 2.5 Cards in the Match for Man City
€25.00 Bet Builder @ 81.00Could play out, Felix likes cards, averages 4,5 cards per match. Rest i won't try and justify, it's just a fun less than a unit bet
GL today
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Greeting Peepz!
I'm gonna do my wall of text now and try to predict the outcomes for this week's EPL. I'm really glad that the on paper most interesting match will happen first. I'm a Liverpool supporter and my mates are MUTD supporters and we'll watch the game together. Hopefully it wont end in broken noses and telly
Manchester United - Liverpool
As I stated before, I'm a Liverpool supporter so my opinion and betting patterns might be a bit subjective on this match. So the two don't have big goal scoring history, in fact last 4 matches ended either 0:0 or 1:1. So there's definitely something to consider! BUT a lot has changed recently in this last 6 months for both clubs. Jurgen's side keeps on scoring and they've had 11 out of 14 away matches over 2.5 and 8 out of 14 matches were over 3,5 but that trend has lately declined. Salah proved to be one goal scoring machine and is deadly in combination with Mane and Firminho. Man U went over 2.5 at home at 8 out of 14 times. So one of the plays to consider is definitely over 2.5 goals priced currently at 1.90 Bet365 inspite of previous h2h.
But Mourinho has another obsticle in the way and that is 2nd leg of UCL played on tuesday (2 days rest for players realistically) and he has to win there. So I highly have my doubts regarding squad vs LP. He might rest someone unless he believes home victory will come easier that it was an away game. But if we look at it objectively Sevilla was reeeeeallly close to scoring last time so he should be worried about them. Points are also in question, I don't know if there's any difference at the end moneywise for the club if u finish 2nd or 3rd, both lead to CL so I in the grand scheme I don't think it matters much. So his tactic will be like always, 1 striker and play counters/defensive match, try to shut down LP. Don't see it though, i really dont. The pace of Liverpool is just crazy and i think they'll get 3 points here. I'll go even further, bigger bet is away team win priced at 2.70 Bet365, smaller stake play Liverpool&Over 2,5 priced @4 Bet365.
Everton - Brighton
Man oh man, Everton is so similar to Arsenal lately. It's like a box of chocolate and if I borrow a phrase from Gump: You never know what you gonna get
I really really fancy Brighton here, especially after last results (2:1 v Arsenal, 4:1 Swansea), last 5 games 3 wins and 2 draws. I think 1:1 is a probable result simply because Everton will need to start winning and Brighton is no pushover, but Everton concedes a lot of goals, so why not, small stake bet for BTS @ 1.95 Bet365.
Huddersfield - Swansea
Swans are in a good form lately, really upped their game however I haven't watched many Huddersfield matches and I can't really judge them. So this is a pass on my behalf, don't really like any of it. I would consider Swansea +0,5, but the odds are not there for me. Pass. If i had to guess, Swansea would be my pick.
Newcastle - Southampton
I might snatch a home team bet here @2.79 Bet365. Really liking castle lately, but Benitez needs to do something about attack, be more aggressive, take the game to the opponent. Managed to get victory vs Utd, really liked them there, Bournemouth was a crazy match also, so slowly improving, also both teams in a dire need of points. On the other hand Southampon is just slumping with no real form in sight. Don't see them winning here, so small bet on home team it is.
West Brom - Leicester
Last time leicester played i wanted to back them but no bet. This time this is probably one of the better priced matches. WBR won just 3!! matches this season and drawn 11 times. I see no motivation here from home team, they're 8 points behind of getting out of relegation. Sure an anomaly might happen, Leicester doesn't show up to play, but considering the foxes are in the race for potential Europa Leauge qualification especially if Arsenal keeps dropping points they might just get a victory. No injuries reported for the away team, odds of 2.60 Bet365 look really generous to me. Leicester to win than.
West Ham - Burnley
This is a no bet for me. Can't really lean towards a winner. Burnley might also want to play for a shot at EL, but don't want to back them. West ham is unpredictable in my book. Probably something like 1:1, 1:2 result, can't tell.
Chelsea - Crystal Palace
Bah, another match i don't like. Don't like Chelsea lately, don't trust them to get the job done. I haven't got a clue why Conte is resting Morata and Giroud and has Hazard up front. Mindboggling. Also read that Conte is in talks with PSG this week he'll meet PSG representatives so his Chelsea run is ending. This is ofcourse a morale booster and could potentially cause an upset. Palace managed to score 2 goals vs tightypants UTD so if you feel adventurous, Palace x2 @3.5 Bet365 or palace outright @12 Bet365 might be a bet for you. However, as far as I'm concerned this is a no bet.
Arsenal - Watford
So I watched Arsenal yesterday defeat Milan. Different team, I don't get them nor do I want to place a bet here. If i had to guess i'd say Watford will beat them (i hope, dooooooooon't like gunners under Wenger).
Bournemouth - Tottenham
Spurs are out of Champions League which was disappointing, had the lead lost the match to Juve. Shame, rooted for them. Now they can focus on ending top 3 again and finish and try next year. This should be routine victory for Spurs, they have a good h2h record vs them and they will come pissed. Spurs -1,5 AHC is the play for me priced @2.30 Bet365. Also, this is a bigger bet.
Stoke - Man City
No bet again, line is set for City -2 and i don't like it. Stoke's home defense is somewhat better and the way City plays lately with the Barcelona passing i don't wanna risk it. Sure, they could win by 5 goals, but essentially win is a win and for pep 1:0 might be enough. City will most likely win 0:2, 0:3, but like I said, don't like anything here so no bet.
That's it, best of luck this week.
J
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I'm gonna go with something crazy and place a what might seem a strange bet.
PSG - Real Madrid
1st leg we witness defeat of the frenchies, but it was a bit of a turn of events. Real Madrid didn't really dominate the game, just a quick counter and after 2:1 they collapsed. 2nd leg Neymar is out which for me personally is a good thing. I don't like him, he hogs the ball and doesn't pass. This way Cavani and Mbappe will have more freedom to make plays. I've watched a couple of Laliga matches of RM this past weeks and Real isn't what it used to be. It reminds me of Bayern in an off period, will is not there anymore, players not liking Zidane etc. Enough with the bullshit, onto pick. I find it valuable to place a bet on PSG to qualify @3.75 Bet365. (stake 3/10).
Liverpool - Porto
Huge supporter of Liverpool but as mentioned before there will be some changes to starting 11. I don't think i've seen Liverpool Salahless this season and if it so then what we'll witness is likely something of a last year's Liverpool. Im struggling to find value in this game so i'll just skip it. If i were to bet i'd probably do something crazy like Liverpool -1,5 @2.20 Bet365 which is reasonably priced and likely outcome. I see a 2:0, 2:1 type game here, same as the one vs Maribor. They'll want to win it but won't stretch legs too hard.
BOL
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My guess is they won't play full team, Salah is doubtful to play according to Bleacher report. I think they will win but with a smaller margin and will probably concede, something like 2:1 result, classic 1:0 at ht
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Brighton - Arsenal
Everyone is hot and heavy on Brighton and rightfully so. Arsenal has been in shambles lately. I don't see a bright future for Arsene unless he turns this around somehow. So why not go with the popular trend that is home team for sure @4.20 currently at bet365. You can also play AHC +0,5 @1.99 Bet365. This is a bigger stake IMO.
City - Chelsea
Hard to not go with Citizens here but slightly too low odd for me. Chelsea has had up and down games lately, could have won against United but didn't. City are of course looking to secure tittle and will come swinging. I don't believe that midweek UCL game is of any factor, they play Basel at home on Wednesday but given that they have 4 away goals I don't see that match as a particular factor. Another important factor is City home's over record. Out of the last 14 matches they've played at home, 13 went over 2.5, and 9/14 over 3.5. Thats a hefty goal number. But on the other hand Chelsea's away record is 10/14 games were over 2.5's and 6/14 over 3.5's. So my bet will be over 3 @2.075 Bet365.
Best of luck,
J
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Damn, really thought Man City match was on friday (today), I would've pummeled hard city -1. Well what's done is done i guess, missed it
On to saturday:
Burnley - Everton - Everton really let me down last week with the 1 goal approach. I hate that type of football, let's close the game and hope to score a goal - oops, backfired, get the attackers in try and get a goal before FT!!. Anyway, Burnley don't concede a lot of goals, especially at home. I just don't think Eve is in the right mindset at the moment to win the game. As odds indicate the logical play would be under 2.5 goals, but at this price i see no value. So I'd try small bet on home team win @2.5 which is good enough.
Leicester - Bournemouth - Man on man, Foxes are hard to play this year, they show up play an awesome match or play like a 3rd league team. This is a no bet for me as I can't lean towards a winner, i'd say draw is a likely option.
Southampton - Stoke - Probably same as above match, both teams inconsistent, slowly slipping down the table. Stoke in hard need of points, but cant see it here. Probable home team win, again no bet for me.
Swansea - West Ham - Reeeally liking Swansea here, especially the way they're priced. I've seen major improvements on their end over the last few games. That aside, they're fighting for a spot in PL next year and are in a need of points. Unlinke Stoke above I actually see them winning here. West Ham not showing great form over last 5 matches, 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Swansea beat Liverpool and Arsenal over last 5 games. Managed to somehow lose to Brighton 4:1 which was a bit of a shocker for me. Anomaly I imagine. So, home team bet here at 2.6 is a steal in my opinion.
Spurs - Hudders - No bet. Spurs will likely cover the spread but why risk it.
Watford - Brom - Man that injury list at Watford is concerning me. Like how they play, might snatch up a home bet @2.14 small stakes even though there's massive injury list.
Last, but not least Liverpool vs Newcastle. Liverpool are flying right now, terrific form, but not much else to bet here. The way Benitez plays these type's of opponents is he closes a game in hopes of getting a draw/counter. I don't think he'll be able to do that vs fast liverpool side and therefore while i don't trust them to cover the -2 spread (call me paranoid) I do think Salah will score, at least once. So why not give a go with Salah scoring 2 or more @3.60.
Best of luck,
J
- slipkid, sturuff16, Sir Puntalot and 3 others
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Wow not much to call today. I'm really liking Swansea, they've showed good performances lately and I'm inclined to bet them, at least back +0,[email protected] which seems like a good value to me.
I'll have some fun with Liverpool's match in bet builder. I'm expecting home win however odds just aren't there for me, -2 for Reds is a big margin because they like to concede goals. So lets try this instead:
Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime in the Match
Sadio Mane to Score Anytime in the Match
Both Teams to Score in the Match - Yes
Over 7.5 Corners in the Match for Liverpool
Emre Can to be Booked
€10.00 Bet Builder @ 81.00Ofc this is 0.1/10 stake so just a fun bet
On a serious note I do like Btts and O2.5 @2.20. Liverpool have had few clean sheets lately and it's time to reverse that trend, WHU is more than capable of scoring a goal.
Might take Leicester crazy over 3 bet because with them you never know really.If i look back at h2h the most common result is 2:2 between the two in the last few games. So why not.
Have fun, BOL
- Tiffy and StevieDay1983
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Shit i'm a bit afraid to go on overs today. Yesterday I was all about the overs since everyone was on under for spurs/juve match. I might as well join the public band wagon on this one since i can't see past Liverpool scoring at least twice and conceding once. PSG Real is a tricky match to call. Majority thinks it'll be overs and well given Real's recent performances I can't see them not conceding and also giving a goal. Will be interesting.
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4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Liverpool vs Tottenham
A season or two ago I would be labelling this as a clash between the most prolific attack against the most solid defence. That is still slightly the case but the Spurs defence has been prone to conceding a few more than usual this season and Liverpool have maintained their inconsistency from previous campaigns under Klopp.
2018 has been hit and miss for the Reds so far. Ending Manchester City's unbeaten run was a highlight but defeats to Swansea in the league and West Brom in the FA Cup has left fans frustrated once again. Tottenham have fixed their Wembley hoodoo this season with just one defeat at their temporary home but they have struggled to equal that form on the road winning only 6 of their 12 away matches this season.
I think this could be a game full of goals. Liverpool have banged in 15 goals in their last three league matches at home. Tottenham have also scored 9 in their last six matches away from Wembley. Klopp has an impressive record against Pochettino but their last meeting did result in the Spurs manager's first win against his counterpart in a devastating 4-1 result. Three of the last six matches have ended in a draw and I wouldn't be surprised to see that happen again here. Maybe it's the Sunday morning chill out vibes but I fancy a couple of riskier bets today for this game.
Over 3.5 Goals Scored @ 2.50 with Betfair
Anytime Scorer Mohamed Salah @ 2.30 with Ladbrokes
I tend to agree with this. Also there's a revenge factor on Liverpool's mind I think, last match at wembley between the two ended in 4:1 result for Spurs. I think Liverpool will want to score plenty.
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I consier Hoff a very strong side and I doubt they'll be satisfied with a draw at home knowing that they'll have to play at Anfield next leg. They'll obv try and squeeze as much as possible.. Hoff is a strong team and seeing how Liverpool's defense has more holes than swiss cheese I'd be happy to back btts/o2,5 because liverpool will score, question is only once or multiple times.
My 2 c
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I was thinking 2/1 htft bet on real bayern, i had thatbsame feeling.. maybe safer to say real will win from behind anyway small wagers from me.. also Juve is priced huge.. Juve dnb is surely a good play as is monaco. I wont be touching leicester game coz its too hard to call but if i had to guess 1:0 and ot. gl guys
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lyon besiktas was dodgy af
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All I can think of is relatively large combo with some overs on it, don't really want to risk anything with singles coz it's a jungle out there
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15 hours ago, sandrasuzuki said:
Liverpool vs. Chelsea
The Reds could care less about the result of their upcoming match against Chelsea. They’ve managed to retain their Premier League status and from this, they will turn their attention to winning the final of the Europa League.
Chelsea might then take advantage of this situation just to ensure a stronger finish.
1-3If they could care less than why are they using their lineup that works the most? I see odds on Chelsea as being extremely high, I'd put them much lower since LP's goal is now Eu, however I do agree that there will most likely be goals. I'm gonna go O3,5 @2.3
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I think either one of the two will cause an upset, atletico or man city. I don't think both favorites will pass, i'm leaning more towards atletico than city
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Yeah, also overall poor performance in 2nd half by Liverpool. But overall 2/3 picks today so i'm not complaining
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My thoughts:
Liverpool -1,5 easily
City should cover 1,5 also
Southampton -1
Chelsea Bournemouth i ain't touchin that!
Premier League Predictions > Aug 10th - 12th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
I've placer these bets today, sorry no preview im on mobile
Wolves - Eve [email protected] bet365 - reasonable price for attacking type football thats to be expected.
Spurs to win @ 2.05 Bet365 - again decent price for a side i love. NC just not there for me, granted they are not the best starters, but this is just too inviting.
Lastly Hudder - Chelsea - O.25 @1.95 - same as UTD yesterday. I dont trust Chelsea to win nor I'd place any sort of hc bet here. Again im looking for 1:2, 2:1 type result.