newjack
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Posts posted by newjack
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I don't like to bet on ManU but i really feel the need to as they will IMO kill Villa. Also City is probably not a bad pick, liking Shampton also, only thing i'm worried is ther away form
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Odds still absurdly high on Leicester. If it was ManU at #1 spot at home they'd be at 1.19 messa thinks.. Value bets for next circle: Arsenal -1/1,5, City looks good at 1.95 tho i wouldn't trust them too much, Liverpool vs Tottenham should be a goal fest, LP always performs well at Anfield. Upset could be either Palace or Everton, haven't decided yet.
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The way Liverpool is playing lately I can't see this odds holding much longer. I think Klopp has finally found a way to balance this team and they should be able to win @Palace.
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Re: Arsenal v Liverpool > Saturday April 4th Interesting odds. I'd have to agree with the above, o2,5 is a def must to play however I'm actually a bit favoring liverpool here, odds seem too high for them so +0,5 at evens springs to mind since draw is likely.
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Re: Liverpool - Manchester City > Sunday March 1st Yeah i'd totally agree with you gowi, i think goals are the best options, i think that a draw is as likely as city winning so 1x2 is a no go for me here.
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Re: Southampton v Liverpool > Sunday February 22nd I strongly believe that best bet here is O2,5 especially with LP picking form, Ballotelli waking up and the overall defensive lackness in LP's defense make me want to bet this. Last 2 games between the two had O2,5 in it so worth a try for me.
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Re: Liverpool v Chelsea > Saturday November 8th I see absolutely no reason not to back Chelsea here at this gift of odds. Liverpool have done nothing but be terrible this whole season and nothing points out that things will change anytime soon.
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Re: Real Madrid v Liverpool > Tuesday November 4th I'm gonna take a shot in the dark with this one and back real first half -2 @5.5 for two unis. Lets face it, Real isn't slowing down, they've demolished Liverpool at Anfield and the only difference is Liverpools morale is worse that it was at their last game and Real is playing at home for that extra motivational boost to score. Seems like a good enough reason to try.
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Re: Manchester United v Chelsea > Sunday October 26th I like your bet Zozo.
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Re: Liverpool v Hull City > Saturday October 25th Lol price on Liverpool is a joke. I mean seriously? Hull plays fucking awesome this year, they're tough and attack minded. Yeah they have a few missings, but so does Liverpool? Balloteli is scoring handicap, only solution is Sterling and its too much for him to carry whole team. Hull +0,5 @2.75 all day everyday, BTTS is also not bad, most probable result? I'd say 1:1 or 1:2.
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Re: Chelsea v NK Maribor > Tuesday October 21st Well can't say i'm surprised that Maribor has such an odds. But surely HC +2 @2.44 is worth taking a look at? they'll come with full of confidence, granted theres a few classes difference between these two teams but if Mourinho decides not to take Maribor all that seriously we just might see a goal difference in favor of Chelsea. Worth considering it
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Re: Manchester City v AS Roma > Tuesday September 30th I think i'll back roma +0,5 aswell, don't see why odds on roma are so big, they've really been putting on a performance lately however i don't really like betting against city at Etihad and there's another important factor, both roma and bayern have points and they might go easier a bit, but there's no saying that will happen.
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Re: Hull City v Manchester City > Saturday September 27th I'd be carefull in backing City here, they have to focus on Roma in 3 days. Hull at home can be quite a pain in the ass defensively speaking and I doubt City will want to go allout to win this. For sure they're the stronger side and should take 3 points here but as far as big overs and handicaps go, i don't think it will happen.
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > Saturday September 27th OK so statisticly speaking, Everton went over 2.5 4 out of 5 times this season and so did Liverpool. As for over 3,5 goes, Everton delivered it 4 out of 5 games and Liverpool 2 out of 5 times. Odds on over 3 are at evens. I think it's very likely for this game to go in over 3, but it can be a tricky call since this is a derby and we can have an enjoying game of goals or a dull draw. I'm leaning towards the first option especially since both teams are lacking defensively this year. I am a bit concerned with absences of Sturridge, not at all of Coutinho since i dont like him. But Sturridge combinates well with Sterling and hence the reason Liverpool scores so much. I'd say it's a good idea to back guests +0,5 @2 but as a Liverpool fan I'll sit out winners and just enjoy the game hoping for goals. So my bet is: Over 3 @2 5/10 Good luck
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Re: FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th Seems to me like the value lies in City. Bayern has been playing really bad recently with the tika taka stuff. Not liking their new style at all and I strongly believe that Citizens have a strong chance of winning here. Lately they work really well together and Bayern has had problems in defeating City in the past. So bets: City win @5.25 1/10 City or draw @2.25 5/10 Ez game. Don't think that there's any value in goals unless City consumes one or two. Bayern has done plenty of unders lately and with all the injuries i don't see it any other way. So most probable results IMO are 1:0,1:1,0:1
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Re: Liverpool v Ludogorets Razgrad > Tuesday September 16th Liverpool disappointed, again. It really shows how much was Suarez to Liverpool aswell as the absense of Sturridge. Basicly they bark but can't bite. So many chances missed it's kind of an embarassement.
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Re: Liverpool v Aston Villa > Saturday September 13th Sweet jesus was that a poor performance by Liverpool. Probably one of the worst i've ever seen. They were completely clueless as to how to break Villa's defense and the interesting part was Villa was attacking the first half. Balotelli nowhere to be seen, don't know why not start with Sterling from the begining of the match. I suppose only Sterling/Sturridge combo works well. Coutihno I was annoyed by him and his selfish attempts at a goal. Sure you have to try once or twice but the dude to me personally is really obnoxious and self centered. Disappointed overall, had a great week as far as betting goes but this match was just grosse.
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Re: Liverpool v Aston Villa > Saturday September 13th I'm actually really looking forward to this match. I think it's time that Liverpool delivers a few goalz at Anfield supermario style if u know what i mean. One of the clubs with most signings, started poorly but are picking up, destroyed Spurs like they were some bottom of the table team (surprise surprise) because Liverpool is known to win with big margins against bigger clubs but have troubles with smaller clubs. Last game Mario had quite a few nice chances and will definitely be looking to score at Anfield, his new home. We'll definitely miss Sturridge in this one as he's one of the key factors when he's in the mood.I'm actually a little surprised that BTS odds are @2 since Liverpool is not really known for keeping their sheet clean. I guess they'll be looking to not go all out as Kev said, there's a CL match in 3 days but quite frankly I don't see how Villa or Ludogorets could cause them any serious trouble? I see them starting first half offensively and cooling down a bit in the second and play more of a counterish style. I'm not really all that comfortable by giving Liverpool huge handicaps as they're not that good in defending (they are however improving at defense from what i've seen). Best bets in my opinion are: Liverpool AHC -1,5 @1.85 Over 1.5 1st half @2.25 Over 3.5 @2.46 BTS @2 Super Mario anytime @1.95 Super Mario to score 2 or more @5.5 (long shot, small stakes) Good luck
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Re: Manchester United v Queens Park Rangers > Sunday September 14th Woah this isn't an official pick or anything but i'm strongly considering backing QPR on this one. I'm not at all impressed with United this or last season, i think they've just got too much talent and are not really sure what to do with it. While chances of QPR are extremely small to win here the price seems about right. And United lost to MK Dons lol, yes it was a B squad but still, i think it should be worth a shot for a small amount. I do agree to a degree that QPR would be perfect whipping boys for United to pick up but they've had their chances against weak teams this season and they didn't take'em. So we'll see. I'll wait till tomorrow to decide, United fans will probably hammer the odds on United so QPR should rise a little :)
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Re: Arsenal v Manchester City > Saturday September 13th I'd say City is a steal here at that price. If you saw last game Arsenal played v Leichester you could clearly see that Arsenal is limpy at best and is not near the form it was at the beginning of the last season. Remember the Liverpool v Arsenal game? Gunners were playing much better football then and Liverpool destroyed them 5:1. City started this season solid, they've hit the bump in the road with Stoke and will be looking to retaliate. After all, Stoke is known for their defense and Arsenal's defense is limpy therefore i predict an open game with with goals but City coming up on top. As stated before, Arsenal doesn't hold a solid record against top clubs in PL. My bets are as follows: City to win @2.5 Over 2.5 @1.89 Over 3.5 @3 Good luck everyone
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool > Sunday August 31st If there's one thing Liverpool is lacking is a solid defense. Same applies to Tottenham. I really can't see past goals in this match, if you watched match against City it was Liverpool who was constantly attacking and City actually had lower possesion and was forced to pulled back. However they've proved to be more sucessfull when they did get to attack and won the match. Tottenham started this year in good shape so morale is certainly there. However with the debuts of Balotelli and the overall aggressive play from Liverpool i expect to see goals here. I'd be much more confident backing Liverpool at Anfield as they were in beast mode there last year. On the road they weren't that effective however betting on overs has always proved to be good.
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Re: Manchester City v Liverpool > Monday August 25th Hey guys. I see most of you are leaning towards City on this match. I just find it wrong that odds on Liverpool are as high as they are specially if we're looking at last season. Granted LP lost Suarez and the first game was pretty weak but i guess with the new signings it's pretty common these things happen until players get adjusted to one another. Main problem i see with City is that they're full of talent however if you look closely this talent is divided into small cliques. There's always that triangle of players of who passes to who and to whom they don't pass at all. For instance, at some period of City they wouldn't pass the ball to Dzeko no matter what. So than after he finally recieved the ball he shot instantly and blew the ball. He still does it sometimes. I guess I'm off the topic here, MCity is a world class team especially because they've won 17 out of 19 games last season at home. However Liverpool is too much of a dog here for my taste. I'll consider taking Liverpool +0,5 @2.07. But bigger temptation are goals. Man City went over 2.5 goals in 14 of their 19 home league games, with 12 of those going over 3.5 goals. Liverpool saw over 2.5 goals in 16 of their 19 away league games last season and 11 away games going over 3.5 goals. So my main bet here will be over 3.5 @2.6 it's a steal IMO. Both teams have very exploitable defences and strong offences. Liverpool will start heavy the first half and lay back the second, it's how they usually play. That's it, good luck to all
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Re: Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th My hat's of to Algeria. What a beautfiul performance. I did lose the bet but they've really played well and i'm kinda sorry for them.
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Re: Group D: Italy vs Uruguay > Tues 24th June I actually agree. Should be a close match however I dont particulary fancy unders when there's Suarez involved. On the other hand while Italy needs a draw to win and will probably focus on defending while if Uruguay scores one they'll have to open up and score. So I actually fancy over here but i'll wait abit before i make any decisions
Premier League > April 16th through the 22nd
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Premier League is becoming unwatchable. I enjoy watching Libertadores more for fuck sake, just watched Arsenal, had them -1,5 but started to root for Palace midway through the game. Just horrible football with no real effort or desire to win.